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#TRONGlobalFriends We are observing a clean movement above the ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. The price has gained strength from the MA30 and trend support (0.3000 zone) and turned its direction upwards again.
▪︎ Critical Resistance: 0.307633
A high-volume breakout of this level could trigger a new bullish wave. As long as it stays above the trend line, the direction remains upward.
I am keeping it on my radar, paying close attention to stop levels.
Is the Era of 'Leverage' in Bitcoin Coming to an End? The 6.5 Billion Dollar Shift Arrives in Silence!
The open interest volume in Bitcoin options, surpassing that of futures, indicates a move away from leverage-driven speculation in the market and a shift toward a more mature structure based on volatility and risk management.
Since November, Bitcoin's price (BTC) has been moving within a relatively narrow range of $80,000 to $95,000, while a striking change is occurring in the derivatives market. According to Checkonchain data, the open interest in Bitcoin options has reached $65 billion. At the same time, open interest in futures contracts stands at around $60 billion. The fact that options have surpassed futures in open interest has been ongoing since July 2025.
Options are financial instruments that grant investors the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell at a predetermined price by a specified date. Particularly favored by institutional investors for hedging and volatility strategies, these instruments also exert a limiting effect on sudden price fluctuations in the market. This shift signals a transition from leveraged, inflated positions toward a more balanced risk approach.
Historic Weight in IBIT Options Checkonchain data reveals that IBIT, issued by BlackRock, has achieved a record share in the options market. IBIT options, with approximately $33 billion in open interest, represent 52% of the total market—marking the highest level to date. The demand for IBIT options, which began in November 2024, has been so strong that a request was submitted to Nasdaq ISE to increase position limits from 250,000 contracts to 1 million.
Successful Rotation Between Ethereum and Dev Altcoin: Trader Earned Millions in Just Two Moves
A trader who closed their Ethereum position a year ago ended up returning to ETH with millions in profit through a rotation on HYPE.
According to data shared by the on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, the trader identified as 0x0eD9 sold approximately 599.7 Ethereum (ETH) nearly a year ago, receiving 2.21 million USD in USDC in return. This sale took place when the price of Ethereum was around 3,687 USD.
The trader then shifted their funds toward the Hyperliquid (HYPE) token, which was relatively undervalued at the time. They purchased approximately 233,584 HYPE tokens at an average price of 9.47 USD, and simultaneously staked these assets to generate passive income. This move signaled a long-term, strategic position shift rather than a simple buy-sell transaction.
Strong rebound through HYPE According to the shared data, the trader unstaked and sold all their HYPE holdings about five hours ago, generating a total of 5.78 million USD in USDC. Subsequently, they reinvested this amount into Ethereum, acquiring 1,844 ETH at an average price of 3,133 USD.
When evaluated as a chain of events, it becomes clear that the trader returned to significantly more Ethereum than they initially sold. According to Lookonchain data, the net result of this rotation was 1,245 ETH. Calculated at current prices, this profit amounts to approximately 3.9 million USD.
The resulting picture once again highlights how powerful a rotation can be in the volatile crypto market when combined with proper timing and asset selection. Such transactions represent striking examples of how major investors can read market cycles.
Six-Digit Price Scenarios Make a Comeback in Bitcoin: These 2 Views Signal an Uptrend!
Bitcoin's price has reignited discussions about scenarios exceeding $100,000, as technical outlook and macro conditions are aligning in support.
Bitcoin (BTC) has managed to stay above the $95,000 level, with market analysts highlighting a clearer upward path ahead. According to Alex Kuptsikevich, Head of Market Analysis at FxPro, Bitcoin now has a more defined trajectory toward the $100,000–$106,000 range, situated between psychological round levels and the 200-day moving average.
Kuptsikevich emphasized that the price has reached its highest levels since November and is significantly above the 50-day simple moving average, indicating a strong bullish technical outlook.
Sponsored: Koin Bülteni - Get your ad in the spotlight. Book your slot! Gold and Macro Balance Support Bitcoin QCP Capital, based in Singapore, does not attribute Bitcoin’s recent rise to technical factors alone. According to the firm, the surge in precious metals—seen as safe havens during periods of geopolitical uncertainty—provides indirect support to Bitcoin. QCP notes that if the demand for protection against value erosion in metals continues, strong capital inflows into digital assets could reemerge.
QCP Capital also points to the current macro environment being what is known as a "Goldilocks" scenario. Sustained strong U.S. employment data and inflation remaining under control are encouraging investors to take on more risk. This environment maintains strong risk appetite across a broad spectrum, from equities to cryptocurrencies.
The Altcoin of the Years, While Falling, Leapt Over Whales: Gathering Like Crazy!
While the Litecoin price has experienced a sharp decline over the past week, whale activity on the network has reached its highest level in the last 5 weeks, signaling a possible reversal.
Amid volatile movements in the crypto market, a striking divergence has emerged between Litecoin (LTC)'s price and on-chain data. According to the latest data shared by Santiment, Litecoin's market cap declined by 8.6% over the past 7 days, while whale activity significantly increased during the same period.
This data suggests that despite weak short-term price performance, large investors are beginning to reposition. Santiment emphasizes that sudden spikes in whale activity have historically paved the way for trend reversals.
Whales on stage, prices pulling back According to Santiment data, the number of high-volume transfers on the Litecoin network has reached a 5-week high. Such transactions are typically associated with wallets holding large balances and are interpreted in the market as "whale movements."
Looking back at past cycles, increased whale activity during price declines is often seen as an accumulation phase. In other words, major players use periods of market weakness as buying opportunities.
What do historical data say? Santiment notes that after similar spikes in whale density, the probability of price recovery has significantly increased. While this does not guarantee a definitive upward move for Litecoin, it indicates that the current decline is not one-sided.
In summary, while the Litecoin price is pulling back, large investor movements on the network are accelerating. This divergence could lay the groundwork for a sharper and more directed price movement in the near future on the LTC front.
Has the Altcoin Cycle Broken? Wintermute Data Points to Bitcoin and Ethereum!
As risk appetite weakens, liquidity is being withdrawn from altcoins in the crypto market, while capital is increasingly concentrating in large, liquid assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
Price movements in the crypto market throughout 2025 have significantly diverged from previous bull cycles. According to Bloomberg, investors' willingness to take risks has declined, leading to a substantial capital outflow from smaller and mid-sized altcoins. OTC data shared by market maker Wintermute indicates this shift has now become structural.
According to the report, the average duration of altcoin rallies in 2025 has shortened to about 19–20 days. In the previous year, this duration was around 60 days. During the same period, open positions in altcoin derivatives dropped by 55%, and over $40 billion in leveraged positions were eliminated from the market. This trend shows that investors are becoming less reliant on short-term narratives.
NEXT 24 HOURS: THE MOST DANGEROUS MOMENT OF 2026!!
The U.S. Supreme Court will declare Trump’s tariffs ILLEGAL.
Many people are calling this bullish.
But that’s a massive mistake.
Because the real damage doesn’t come from the ruling itself, it comes from what happens immediately after.
Here's the part no one wants to talk about:
Trump has already stated that the financial payback is 600 BILLIONS of dollars.
Once you factor in secondary effects - lost investment, broken contracts, supply chain disruptions, and lawsuits, that figure quickly balloons into the TRILLIONS.
If the court wipes out the tariffs, the government instantly punches a gigantic hole in Treasury revenues.
No phase-in. No adjustment period. Just an immediate shortfall.
That is a textbook FISCAL SHOCK EVENT.
And markets are not pricing in: → The chaos of retroactive refunds → Emergency debt issuance to plug the gap → Counter-measures and retaliation risk from trade partners → Sudden tightening of financial conditions across the system
When that reality sets in, liquidity doesn’t “rotate.”
It vanishes.
Capital will be pulled from everywhere at the same time.
Stocks. Bonds. Crypto. All of it becomes exit liquidity.
I’ve publicly called market tops and bottoms before and I’ll be soon sharing my next move again.
And if you’re not following me yet, you’ll wish you were.
CHINA TO FACE AN ADDITIONAL 25% U.S. CUSTOMS TARIFF
China purchases 90% of Iran's oil. Trump has threatened every country trading with Iran with a +25% customs tariff.
Read it again.
If Iranian oil is actually going to just one place, this 'every country' rule is essentially targeting just one nation:
CHINA.
That's why it matters.
This move forces China into a difficult choice: • Keep cheap Iranian oil • Or maintain smooth trade with the U.S.
And what markets hate most is:
UNCERTAINTY.
We've seen what happens when Trump hits headlines about tariffs on China: • BTC dropped by 25%+ • ETH fell as low as $1,400
Now connect the dots.
If oil flows come under scrutiny, a risk premium is immediately added to oil prices. • High oil → fear of inflation • Fear of inflation → bond yields rise • High yields → tighter liquidity
And when liquidity tightens, the first and hardest-hit asset is cryptocurrency.
👉 Watch oil 👉 Watch interest rates 👉 Watch the next headline
I've studied macro for 10 years and have nearly caught every major market peak, including BTC's all-time high in October.
Follow me and turn on notifications. I'll share the warning BEFORE the headline breaks.
The People’s Bank of China released new macro data today, and it’s far worse than expected.
Their economy is collapsing, and it'll drag global markets with it.
We’re not talking billions.
We’re talking TRILLIONS being pumped into the system to delay the collapse.
This is the kind of liquidity shock that breaks markets.
And it could spark the largest commodity squeeze the world has ever seen.
Here’s the real story no one is connecting yet:
China has officially launched the largest money-printing and credit expansion event in its history.
Their M2 money supply has gone vertical - now over $48 TRILLION (USD equivalent).
Pause and think about that.
That’s more than DOUBLE the entire U.S. M2 supply.
And unlike the West, China doesn’t print money just to levitate stocks.
Historically, when China expands money supply at this scale, it leaks straight into the real economy.
Hard assets. Strategic resources. Commodities.
China is exchanging freshly printed paper for REAL, limited-supply stuff: → Gold → Silver → Copper → Energy → Industrial metals
China is stockpiling metals, ramping domestic production, importing aggressively, and quietly reducing reliance on the Western financial system.
They’re also sitting on massive foreign assets: treasuries, equities, reserves - assets they can dump or weaponize if geopolitical tensions escalate.
This isn’t just economics. This is financial warfare.
China, the world’s largest commodity buyer, is flooding the system with liquidity and hoarding hard assets. Western banks are doing the exact opposite. They’re reportedly sitting on enormous gold and silver short positions.
Roughly 4.4 BILLION ounces short.
Let that sink in.
Annual global silver mine supply? ~800 million ounces.
That means these institutions are short ~550% of the world’s yearly silver production.
Yes. Five. Hundred. Fifty. Percent.
This isn’t “risky.”
It’s mathematically impossible to cover.
You cannot buy what doesn’t exist.
So here’s the collision course:
→ China debases its currency through relentless money printing → Liquidity spills into commodities and hard assets → Industrial demand surges (solar, EVs, infrastructure, defense) → China keeps pumping metals and reducing Western exposure → Western banks are trapped in shorts they can’t exit
This is a macro imbalance finally breaking.
If silver or gold starts moving even slightly - margin calls hit.
And they've just started.
In a market this tight, a short squeeze doesn’t mean “prices go up.” It means prices RESET.