altsrally

BTC Reality Check — What Price Action & the 4-Year Cycle Are Saying

Ignore the noise.
Zoom out to the monthly chart — Bitcoin has already completed its cycle expansion phase.

Every 4-year cycle follows the same rhythm: ➡️ Accumulation
➡️ Expansion
➡️ Distribution
➡️ Reset

Right now, price action confirms we are past expansion.

📉 What the chart is telling us

Price topped near the upper boundary of the long-term channel

Momentum has weakened on higher timeframes

Monthly candles are showing rejection, not continuation

Structure is no longer impulsive — it’s corrective

This is not how new bull cycles start.

🧭 4-Year Cycle Reality Historically:

BTC always retraces 70–85% from cycle highs

Previous high becomes future resistance

Price revisits deep value zones before the next accumulation phase

📌 High-probability downside zone:
$28K – $32K
This aligns with:

Macro demand

Long-term trend support

Prior cycle breakout base

🚫 What this is NOT

Not a “crash prediction”

Not bearish emotion

Not FUD

It’s simply how Bitcoin has moved every single cycle.

💡 Final thought Bull markets are born in disbelief,
not during post-ATH euphoria.

Let price complete its cycle — opportunity is created in patience.

Not financial advice. Just price action & cycle data.
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