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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points. According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%. Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%. 🔺 Stagflation risk Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows. The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases. Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries. A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision. $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Federico Brauchla AuOg:
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🚨 Bitcoin's $40K "put" is now the second largest options bet ahead of the Feb 27 expiry, ~$490M in notional open interest. That's serious crash protection demand with $BTC around $66K after a 50% pullback. Max pain sits at $75K (~$566M), while calls still outnumber puts (PCR 0.72). Traders are positioned for a rebound but clearly hedging for another leg down. #analises #btc #bitcoin
🚨 Bitcoin's $40K "put" is now the second largest options bet ahead of the Feb 27 expiry, ~$490M in notional open interest.
That's serious crash protection demand with
$BTC around $66K after a 50% pullback.
Max pain sits at $75K (~$566M), while calls still outnumber puts (PCR 0.72).
Traders are positioned for a rebound but clearly hedging for another leg down.
#analises #btc #bitcoin
لارا الزهراني:
مكافأة مني لك تجدها مثبت في اول منشور ❤️
🚨 Bitcoin Déjà Vu? The 30-Month Truth No One Wants to Hear. 🚨 It took ~30 months for $BTC to break into a new ATH after 2021. If history rhymes… $120K might not come until 2027–2028. Let that sink in. 🔁 The Cycle Blueprint (It’s Happening Again) 1️⃣ First Top → Shock • 2021: Overheated. Retail euphoric. RSI stretched. • 2024: Same vertical expansion. Same reset. Markets cool after going parabolic. That hasn’t changed. 2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution • Oct 2021: Strong push. But weaker momentum. • Oct 2025: Same divergence. Same rejection. Looks bullish. Feels bullish. But momentum says otherwise. Then come the slow red weeks. Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion. 3️⃣ The Boring Base (Where Real Money Is Made) After 2021’s second top, BTC didn’t instantly explode. It compressed. RSI reset. Sentiment died. Only THEN came macro expansion. 2026 feels similar: • RSI near exhaustion zones • Price hovering near prior ATH • No excitement This is the phase that tests conviction. ⏳ The 30-Month Reality 2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months Mirror that from Oct 2025… Expansion window points to 2027–2028. Not hopium. Not fear. Just historical rhythm. Every BTC cycle has: ✔️ Euphoria ✔️ Double-top distribution ✔️ Weeks of red ✔️ Momentum reset ✔️ Boring base ✔️ Delayed expansion We are between “weeks of red” and “base building.” The real move might not be behind us. It might just not be scheduled for tomorrow. 📌 Patience is the hardest trade. 📊 Structure > Emotion. If this cycle isn’t different… Time is the catalyst again. Agree or disagree? 👇 Let’s discuss. #StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #btc #BTC走势分析 $XRP $ADA {future}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(XRPUSDT) {spot}(ADAUSDT)
🚨 Bitcoin Déjà Vu? The 30-Month Truth No One Wants to Hear. 🚨

It took ~30 months for $BTC to break into a new ATH after 2021.

If history rhymes…

$120K might not come until 2027–2028.

Let that sink in.

🔁 The Cycle Blueprint (It’s Happening Again)

1️⃣ First Top → Shock

• 2021: Overheated. Retail euphoric. RSI stretched.
• 2024: Same vertical expansion. Same reset.
Markets cool after going parabolic.
That hasn’t changed.

2️⃣ Second Top → Distribution

• Oct 2021: Strong push. But weaker momentum.
• Oct 2025: Same divergence. Same rejection.
Looks bullish.
Feels bullish.
But momentum says otherwise.
Then come the slow red weeks.
Lower highs. Emotional exhaustion.

3️⃣ The Boring Base (Where Real Money Is Made)
After 2021’s second top, BTC didn’t instantly explode.

It compressed.
RSI reset.
Sentiment died.
Only THEN came macro expansion.
2026 feels similar:

• RSI near exhaustion zones
• Price hovering near prior ATH
• No excitement

This is the phase that tests conviction.

⏳ The 30-Month Reality

2021 peak → 2024 breakout = ~30 months
Mirror that from Oct 2025…
Expansion window points to 2027–2028.
Not hopium.
Not fear.
Just historical rhythm.
Every BTC cycle has:

✔️ Euphoria
✔️ Double-top distribution
✔️ Weeks of red
✔️ Momentum reset
✔️ Boring base
✔️ Delayed expansion

We are between “weeks of red” and “base building.”
The real move might not be behind us.
It might just not be scheduled for tomorrow.

📌 Patience is the hardest trade.

📊 Structure > Emotion.

If this cycle isn’t different…
Time is the catalyst again.
Agree or disagree? 👇
Let’s discuss.

#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #VVVSurged55.1%in24Hours #btc #BTC走势分析 $XRP $ADA


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Baisse (björn)
BTC is looking a bit shaky right now 👀 It’s hovering around $66K–$68K, and the short-term trend is bearish: MACD still weak, no bullish crossover yet EMAs above price, acting as resistance RSI low but not deeply oversold — so room to drop more 💥 Key support zones to watch: Immediate: $65,600 Critical: $60K Bear scenario: $55K or lower if selling pressure continues 💭 Where would you buy if BTC drops further? Drop your thoughts below 👇🔥 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #btc
BTC is looking a bit shaky right now 👀

It’s hovering around $66K–$68K, and the short-term trend is bearish:

MACD still weak, no bullish crossover yet

EMAs above price, acting as resistance

RSI low but not deeply oversold — so room to drop more

💥 Key support zones to watch:

Immediate: $65,600

Critical: $60K

Bear scenario: $55K or lower if selling pressure continues

💭 Where would you buy if BTC drops further?

Drop your thoughts below 👇🔥
$BTC
#btc
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Baisse (björn)
#bitcoin short-term Sharpe ratio just hit an extreme low of -38.38. 📊 If we look at the chart, every time this metric dropped into this zone (2015, 2019, and 2022), it marked a major market bottom. Each of those dips was followed by a massive rally to new all-time highs. While the data suggests we are in a generational buying zone, my analysis shows that we might see a bit more downside before the final reversal. I’m keeping a close eye on the $30,000 USDT level later this year. 📉 We might be looking at a rare generational buying opportunity right now. Are you buying the dip? 👇 #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC100kNext? #btc #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
#bitcoin short-term Sharpe ratio just hit an extreme low of -38.38. 📊

If we look at the chart, every time this metric dropped into this zone (2015, 2019, and 2022), it marked a major market bottom. Each of those dips was followed by a massive rally to new all-time highs.

While the data suggests we are in a generational buying zone, my analysis shows that we might see a bit more downside before the final reversal. I’m keeping a close eye on the $30,000 USDT level later this year. 📉

We might be looking at a rare generational buying opportunity right now. Are you buying the dip? 👇
#StrategyBTCPurchase #BTC100kNext? #btc #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC
📊 Crypto Market Snapshot🚨 Market = Neutral / Consolidation • Total Market Cap: $2.32T • BTC Dominance: 57.67% → High (risk-off) • Bitcoin: $66,983 (−0.95%) — Holding strong • Ethereum: $1,972 (−1.36%) — Weak vs BTC • BNB: $607 (−1.72%) — Slight weakness • Solana: $81 (−4.11%) — High-beta drop • Injective: $3.41 (+9.71%) — Isolated strength ⸻ 🧠 What It Means 🔹 Money is concentrated in BTC (safe play) 🔹 Alts underperform → No altseason yet 🔹 Select coins pumping on narratives 🔹 Market waiting for a catalyst 👉 Typical late correction / early accumulation phase ⸻ 🔮 Key Signals to Watch Bullish: BTC dominance falls, ETH & alts outperform Bearish: BTC loses major support (~$60K) ⸻ Bottom line: Not bearish, not bullish — market is coiling for the next big move. #StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $SOL
📊 Crypto Market Snapshot🚨

Market = Neutral / Consolidation
• Total Market Cap: $2.32T
• BTC Dominance: 57.67% → High (risk-off)
• Bitcoin: $66,983 (−0.95%) — Holding strong
• Ethereum: $1,972 (−1.36%) — Weak vs BTC
• BNB: $607 (−1.72%) — Slight weakness
• Solana: $81 (−4.11%) — High-beta drop
• Injective: $3.41 (+9.71%) — Isolated strength



🧠 What It Means

🔹 Money is concentrated in BTC (safe play)
🔹 Alts underperform → No altseason yet
🔹 Select coins pumping on narratives
🔹 Market waiting for a catalyst

👉 Typical late correction / early accumulation phase



🔮 Key Signals to Watch

Bullish: BTC dominance falls, ETH & alts outperform
Bearish: BTC loses major support (~$60K)



Bottom line: Not bearish, not bullish — market is coiling for the next big move.

#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update

$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
On BTC, price is trading below 68600, so short term structure is bearish. We topped near 70900. For me, 67k–67.5k is minor resistance now. If we lose 65.8k–66k support cleanly, I’d expect a move toward 64.8k next. #btc #cryptofirst21 #Market_Update $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
On BTC, price is trading below 68600, so short term structure is bearish.

We topped near 70900. For me, 67k–67.5k is minor resistance now. If we lose 65.8k–66k support cleanly, I’d expect a move toward 64.8k next.
#btc #cryptofirst21 #Market_Update

$BTC
BNB Legacy:
Bitcoin reaching 1 USDT is something that can only happen in a dream, not in reality 😂
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Hausse
According to astrological methods, I believe $BTC will return to the 43,000 USD - 45,000 USD range. This will also be the balancing milestone of the era for $BTC to sustain long-term growth. What goes up must come down; nothing can increase in value forever. Prosperity and decline are two parallel concepts that go hand in hand. #btc #ETH #bnb
According to astrological methods, I believe $BTC will return to the 43,000 USD - 45,000 USD range.
This will also be the balancing milestone of the era for $BTC to sustain long-term growth. What goes up must come down; nothing can increase in value forever.
Prosperity and decline are two parallel concepts that go hand in hand.

#btc #ETH #bnb
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Baisse (björn)
$BTC As of February 19, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $66,941, marking a minor decline from its previous day's value of $67,341. The cryptocurrency is currently undergoing a significant correction phase, having dropped nearly 50% from its record peak of $126,272 achieved in October 2025. Support: A critical support zone exists at $60,000. Analysts warn that a decisive break below this level could trigger a further drawdown toward the $48,000–$50,000 range. Resistance: Immediate hurdles are positioned at $70,000 and $75,000. Reclaiming the $80,000 mark would be necessary to reassert a broader bullish bias. #BTC #btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
$BTC As of February 19, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $66,941, marking a minor decline from its previous day's value of $67,341. The cryptocurrency is currently undergoing a significant correction phase, having dropped nearly 50% from its record peak of $126,272 achieved in October 2025.

Support: A critical support zone exists at $60,000. Analysts warn that a decisive break below this level could trigger a further drawdown toward the $48,000–$50,000 range.

Resistance: Immediate hurdles are positioned at $70,000 and $75,000. Reclaiming the $80,000 mark would be necessary to reassert a broader bullish bias.

#BTC #btc #WhenWillCLARITYActPass
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Baisse (björn)
Guys, ETH and BTC are bearish on the 15-minute timeframe, and sell-side liquidity has also been hunted, so according to my strategy, the market is 100% going down from here.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #btc #ETH
Guys, ETH and BTC are bearish on the 15-minute timeframe, and sell-side liquidity has also been hunted, so according to my strategy, the market is 100% going down from here.$BTC
$ETH
#btc
#ETH
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Baisse (björn)
The current crypto market is in a position where prices are neither clearly moving up nor falling down. This is known as a Sideways Market or Consolidation Phase. 🟠 What’s happening in the market right now? At the moment, there is a noticeable lack of major price movement. Bitcoin is trading within a defined range, and most altcoins are showing similar behavior. In this type of market: Volume decreases Traders feel confused or uncertain Large institutional money waits on the sidelines 📉 Why is this happening? 1️⃣ No major macro news There are no strong positive catalysts to push the market up, and no major negative events causing panic either. 2️⃣ Liquidity is waiting Big players are waiting for a clear trend before making significant moves. 3️⃣ Trader fatigue After multiple meme coin pump-and-dump cycles, the market is experiencing “hype fatigue.” 📊 What do traders do during this phase? Range trading Small scalps Using lower leverage Waiting patiently for a major breakout ⚠️ Most important point A sideways market often comes before a big move. This calm phase is not permanent. When volume suddenly increases and the range breaks — that’s when the market decides its next major direction: either a strong breakout or a sharp breakdown. #btc #Ethereum #bnblauncpool
The current crypto market is in a position where prices are neither clearly moving up nor falling down. This is known as a Sideways Market or Consolidation Phase.
🟠 What’s happening in the market right now?
At the moment, there is a noticeable lack of major price movement.
Bitcoin is trading within a defined range, and most altcoins are showing similar behavior.
In this type of market:
Volume decreases
Traders feel confused or uncertain
Large institutional money waits on the sidelines
📉 Why is this happening?
1️⃣ No major macro news
There are no strong positive catalysts to push the market up, and no major negative events causing panic either.
2️⃣ Liquidity is waiting
Big players are waiting for a clear trend before making significant moves.
3️⃣ Trader fatigue
After multiple meme coin pump-and-dump cycles, the market is experiencing “hype fatigue.”
📊 What do traders do during this phase?
Range trading
Small scalps
Using lower leverage
Waiting patiently for a major breakout
⚠️ Most important point
A sideways market often comes before a big move.
This calm phase is not permanent.
When volume suddenly increases and the range breaks — that’s when the market decides its next major direction:
either a strong breakout or a sharp breakdown.
#btc #Ethereum #bnblauncpool
#btc Bitcoin falls to 67k following the FOMC minutes The Fed is moving further away from cutting rates again Kevin Warsh is due to become Fed Chair in June Geopolitical risks rise, lifting oil, USD and Gold BTC technical analysis Bitcoin has fallen back toward $67k after January’s FOMC minutes revealed a more cautious Federal Reserve than markets had anticipated, raising uncertainty around the timing — and even the necessity — of further
#btc Bitcoin falls to 67k following the FOMC minutes
The Fed is moving further away from cutting rates again
Kevin Warsh is due to become Fed Chair in June
Geopolitical risks rise, lifting oil, USD and Gold
BTC technical analysis
Bitcoin has fallen back toward $67k after January’s FOMC minutes revealed a more cautious Federal Reserve than markets had anticipated, raising uncertainty around the timing — and even the necessity — of further
Ledn raises $188m with first bitcoin backed bond sale in asset backed market Crypto lender packages more than 5,400 bitcoin collateralized loans into first asset backed securities transaction of its kind. Ledn sold $188m of bonds backed by 5,400 bitcoin collateralized consumer loans, with an investment grade tranche priced at +335 basis points. Automated liquidation of bitcoin collateral helped shield asset backed security investors even as the token fell Ledn, a crypto lending company, has completed the first asset-backed securities (ABS) deal backed by bitcoin collateral, raising $188 million for crypto credit markets. Asset-backed securities are bonds backed by pools of underlying loans, with investors receiving payments from the cash flows generated by those loans.#btc #eth
Ledn raises $188m with first bitcoin backed bond sale in asset backed market
Crypto lender packages more than 5,400 bitcoin collateralized loans into first asset backed securities transaction of its kind.

Ledn sold $188m of bonds backed by 5,400 bitcoin collateralized consumer loans, with an investment grade tranche priced at +335 basis points.
Automated liquidation of bitcoin collateral helped shield asset backed security investors even as the token fell

Ledn, a crypto lending company, has completed the first asset-backed securities (ABS) deal backed by bitcoin collateral, raising $188 million for crypto credit markets.

Asset-backed securities are bonds backed by pools of underlying loans, with investors receiving payments from the cash flows generated by those loans.#btc #eth
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