cryptocycles

The market is bleeding, portfolios are red, and the "Crypto is Dead" headlines are back. With Bitcoin oscillating around the $60K–$67K zone and altcoins facing brutal 30–50% drawdowns, the atmosphere is heavy with fear. But if you zoom out, you’ll see this isn't a collapse—it's structure.

The Three-Cycle Blueprint
Looking at the long-term chart, Bitcoin’s journey has never been a straight line. It moves in massive, rhythmic waves:
* The $21K Cycle: Panic felt terminal, yet it was the floor for the next leg.
* The $69K Cycle: Euphoria turned to "crypto winter," shaking out everyone but the believers.
* The $126K Cycle: We recently touched new heights before this heavy correction began.
Each cycle follows the same script: Expansion ➔ Euphoria ➔ Correction ➔ Accumulation. Right now, we are grinding through the "Pain Phase"—the transition between correction and the next accumulation.
Why the Bleeding is "Normal"
Altcoins are currently suffering because, in times of uncertainty, liquidity flees back to "safety" or exits the market entirely. This happened in 2018 and 2022. Yet, every single time, the base trendline has moved higher. We aren't just seeing price action; we are seeing a global adoption curve backed by institutions, ETFs, and strategic reserves.
2026: The Next Expansion?
History suggests that those who survive the 50% drawdowns are the ones who reap the 500% gains. The "Weak Hands" are being liquidated, and the "Smart Money" is studying.
Bitcoin at $60K feels scary today because it dropped from $126K. But remember: just a few years ago, $60K was the "impossible" dream. Perspective is your greatest asset.
The Bottom Line: The question isn’t whether Bitcoin will survive—it’s whether you will have the discipline to still be here when the next expansion begins in 2026.
What’s your move? Are you accumulating the dip or waiting for more clarity? Let me know in the comments! 👇
$BTC

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#bitcoin #CryptoCycles #BullRun2026 #HODL

Since 2013, XRP has consistently moved through recurring structural patterns that repeat across market cycles. While many participants react emotionally to short-term volatility, disciplined chart readers have often treated these formations as signals rather than noise.
In recent months, the broader crypto market has lost significant value, and XRP has declined alongside other major assets. Yet beneath the surface, a familiar structure continues to take shape.
Between 2013 and 2016, XRP established a behavioral precedent: extended periods of compression tend to precede explosive upside moves. During that cycle, price consolidated tightly around $0.03 before forming a multi-year descending triangle, eventually trading near $0.005 by March 2017. That prolonged squeeze was not structural weakness — it was preparation.
When the breakout arrived in 2017, XRP surged from roughly $0.005 to $0.45 within weeks. Large, decisive monthly candles reflected strong momentum and aggressive repricing. It wasn’t a gradual climb; it was a rapid expansion phase following deep compression.
After peaking near $3.50 in January 2018, XRP entered a prolonged corrective structure. Instead of collapsing in a single capitulation event, it declined within a controlled falling channel over nearly two years, bottoming around $0.17 by mid-2020. A similar structural reset occurred between 2021 and 2023, when price retraced from approximately $1.96 to $0.37.
This repeated behavior is significant. Historically, XRP has corrected over time rather than through disorderly crashes, preserving macro support levels while gradually removing speculative excess from the market.
Following a breakout toward $3.40 in November 2024 and subsequent consolidation, XRP formed a descending flag beginning in October 2025, retracing from $2.84 to around $1.41. The pullback has been measured and technically structured, resembling prior cycle resets. Overlapping candles, reduced volatility, and steady higher-timeframe support suggest consolidation rather than breakdown, at least within the broader context.
XRP’s long-term rhythm can be viewed as a sequence of compression, ignition, release, and expansion. Recognizing which phase is unfolding may offer perspective on positioning and expectations. While no pattern guarantees future performance, history shows that XRP’s largest moves have tended to emerge from periods of sustained compression rather than visible strength.
$XRP
#XRP #CryptoCycles

Bitcoin has always followed its own rhythm—and the latest cycle is no exception. Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening and what history tells us:
1️⃣ Phase One – First Top & Shock
March 2021: Bitcoin hit a major top. Momentum overheated, retail was euphoric, RSI stretched → sharp correction followed.

December 2024: The first top of this cycle mirrored 2021. Overheated conditions, stretched RSI, sharp reset. History repeats.
2️⃣ Phase Two – Second Top & Distribution
October 2021: Second top arrived. Momentum weaker, slow bleed, emotional exhaustion.
October 2025: Same pattern. Momentum divergence, RSI weaker than the first peak, price rejection. Distribution phase confirmed.

3️⃣ Phase Three – The Boring Base
After the 2021 second top, BTC didn’t crash immediately—it compressed. RSI reset into bear-market zones, setting the stage for macro reversal.

2026: We are in the same compression phase. Weekly RSI shows exhaustion. Price is near prior ATH instead of collapsing. Boring, but structurally crucial.

4️⃣ The 30-Month Reality
2021 peak → 2024 ATH = ~30 months.

If the same timeline plays out from October 2025, major expansion won’t arrive until 2027–2028, lining up with projected $120K levels.
⚠️ Key Takeaway
Cycles have always followed this rhythm:

Euphoria → Double top distribution → Weeks of red → Momentum reset → Boring base → Delayed expansion.

Bitcoin may just be doing what it has always done. Patience now could mean massive gains later.

#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #HODL #CryptoCycles