irantension

CoinQuestFamily, shared a small Gold ($XAU ) long recently hit in minutes after my call.... Now full analysis posted, read it properly 👇
Key Points:
Gold trades above $5,000 as rising US-Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand despite uncertainty from strong US data and higher yields.A breakdown in the gold-to-silver ratio below long-term support signals continued upside potential for both gold and silver.Gold consolidates below $5,090 and silver builds a base above $64, keeping the door open for further gains if key resistance levels break.
Gold (XAU) remains strong above $5,000 as demand for safe haven assets is increasing. Tensions between United States and Iran make investors cautious. The gold price is showing signs of uncertainty due to escalating geopolitical risks.
The recent comments of President Trump add to anxiety in the markets. His warning that Iran doesn’t have much time to reach a nuclear deal adds pressure. Reports of more US military flights to bases in the region add to fears of escalation. This form of geopolitical buildup pushes investors into gold to protect capital.
The market is now looking for key US data such as Advance GDP, PCE inflation and PMI numbers. Strong economic numbers will likely support the US dollar and the bond yields. That tends to put a limit on upside in gold. Therefore, gold price might have a hard time rallying if economic data turns out to be strong.
Federal Reserve officials also indicate confidence in labour market and policy position. Their “higher for longer” rate view provides headwind for gold in the medium term. However, persistent geopolitical tensions are effective counterbalance. If conflict risks increase, the demand for safe havens could keep gold above major psychological levels.
Gold-to-Silver Ratio Breakdown Signals Further Upside for Precious Metals
The weekly chart for gold-to-silver ratio shows a strong breakdown in November 2025. This breakdown has led to a surge in gold and Silver (XAG) prices. As the ratio broke from long-term support of 80, silver broke above the long term resistance of $50.
The breakout from $50 has taken silver prices to a record high of $120, at which the ratio dropped toward 45. Currently, the ratio recovered back towards the resistance of 64, which is causing consolidation in gold and silver prices. A drop in the ratio from the 64 level will indicate further upside in both metals.
Gold Technical Outlook: Consolidation Signals Breakout Potential
The bullish price action in the gold market is observed using the daily chart below, which shows strong consolidation below $5,090. These consolidations indicate positive price action, and therefore a break above $5,090 will indicate further upside towards $5,600. The 50- and 200-day SMAs are trending higher, which indicates positive price action in gold.
The 4-hour chart for spot gold shows strong consolidation between $4,770 and $5,100. These consolidations form after the strong rebound from the long-term support of $4,400. Therefore, a break above $5,100 will indicate further upside towards $5,600. However, a break below $4,770 will indicate further downside towards $4,400. The RSI is consolidating above mid-level which indicates further upside during the next few days.
Silver Price Structure: Base Formation Points to Recovery Toward $100
The silver price shows formation of a base pattern after a strong drop from $120 towards the major support of the $50 to $60 level. The formation of a bullish hammer above $64 indicates that silver is showing strength. Therefore, a recovery above $85 will indicate further upside towards $100. Moreover, a breakout above $100 will open the door to challenge the new record highs in silver.
The chart below shows the strong bullish trend in the silver market as highlighted by the ascending trend line. As long as the $64 level holds, the next move in the silver market will likely be higher.
Final Words
Gold holds strong above $5,000 with safe haven demand strong due to rising US-Iran tensions and military buildup fears. This uncertainty keeps investors locked to gold despite the risk of strong US data, higher yields and a strong dollar. The technical structure for gold remains constructive. A break above $5,090 will point to a possible move towards $5,600.

On the other hand, silver is also building a base above key support, as the gold to silver ratio is consolidating below 64. Overall, geopolitical risks are bullish, but macro data and Fed policy will determine whether the bull or bears win in the near term.
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