nuked

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Catching falling knives is expensive. The high‑probability buy comes after a “nuke” into a key level followed by a swift reclaim that traps shorts and resets structure. Here’s the exact checklist.
What counts as a “nuke”
Fast 5–15% dump on BTC/ETH or 10–25% on alts within hours.
Hits a higher‑timeframe level: prior weekly low (WLL), weekly midline (WLM), or 200‑day/weekly demand.
Liquidation flush shows up: spikes in wick length, volume, and funding flipping negative.
The reclaim pattern (must pass all three)
Close back above the lost level on 1h/4h.
Retest the level from above within 24 hours.
Hold: retest candle closes green and sets a higher‑low.
Entry, stop, targets
Entry: After Step 3 closes. No anticipations.
Stop: Below the reclaim retest low (structure stop).
TP1: First supply or measured move equal to the nuke leg’s last base.
Trail: Under each new 4h higher‑low. If price closes back below the reclaimed level, exit—idea invalid.
Context filter
Best when ETF flows just printed red → neutral or neutral → green.
ETH/BTC stable or rising if buying alts; if falling, focus BTC/ETH only.
Funding at or below neutral; avoid chasing if funding spikes positive before confirmation.
Sizing
Risk per trade ≤0.25% of equity (four slots = 1%/day max).
If stop distance is wide, reduce size; never widen the stop.
Avoid these traps
Buying the first big red candle without level context.
Treating a wick above the level as a reclaim without a close and hold.
Adding before a new higher‑low forms after reclaim.
Copy/paste checklist
HTF level (WLL/WLM/200‑day) tagged? Y/N
Close back above level? Y/N
Retest within 24h and hold? Y/N
Entry after hold; stop = retest low
TP1 set; trail rule defined
Funding/flows aligned? Y/N
$BTC
$ETH