$SOL SOL is at a critical juncture — and the whales are screaming a warning 🐋
Price: $82.72 (+0.94%)
Looks calm on surface… but under the hood? Chaos.
📊 WHALE SNAPSHOT:
- 1,070 total whales → 671 SHORT vs 399 LONG
- Shorts: +$108M profit (64% profitable) ✅
- Longs: -$21.8M loss (only 18% profitable) ❌
- Avg Short Entry: $101 | Avg Long Entry: $92.37
- Net Sell Vol (30m): 2.98M > Buy Vol 2.56M → distribution still active
BUT — RSI(6) = 48.98, StochRSI = 10.10 → EXTREMELY oversold on 15m. Price holding above $81.60 support. This is a “pain trade” setup — whales are short into exhaustion.
🔴 SCENARIO A: DEAD CAT BOUNCE / SHORT SQUEEZE (LONG)
If price holds $81.60 and breaks $83.30, trapped shorts cover → fueling rally toward $85–$87.
✅ Trigger: 15m close > $83.30
🎯 TP1: $85.00 | TP2: $87.00 | TP3: $90.00
🛑 Stop: Below $81.50 (breaks swing low & psychological support)
Why? Oversold + whale pain = high-probability reversal zone. Macro tailwinds (Solana ecosystem growth, ETF rumors) could ignite squeeze.
🔵 SCENARIO B: BEAR CONTINUATION (SHORT)
If price breaks $81.60 with volume, next stop is $79.50–$78.00. Whales are still net short and winning — don’t fight the trend until structure shifts.
✅ Trigger: 15m close < $81.60
🎯 TP1: $79.50 | TP2: $78.00 | TP3: $75.00
🛑 Stop: Above $83.30
Why? Trend is down. If buyers fail to hold $81.60, panic selling accelerates. Whale shorts will add pressure.
⚠️ TRADER’S NOTE:
This is NOT a “buy the dip” yet — it’s a “wait for confirmation.” SOL is at a make-or-break level. Either we get a violent bounce or a breakdown to new lows.
✔️ Conservative Play: Wait for breakout above $83.30 OR breakdown below $81.60 with volume.
✔️ Aggressive Play: Scalp long near $82.50 with tight stop under $81.50, targeting $83.50 quick.
📌 Final Verdict: NO TRADE until clear direction. But if you must pick — lean LONG on breakout. Whale pain + extreme oversold = recipe for squeeze. Discipline > FOMO.
#Crypto
#TechnicalAnalysis #SOL #SmartMoney