macro

🇺🇸📊 #US Macroeconomic Data:

- GDP (Q4): 3.7% (prior: 4.4%). - PCE Price Index (Dec):

- m/m: 0.4% (forecast: 0.2%. prior: 0.2%)

- y/y: 2.9% (forecast: 2.8%. prior: 2.8%)

- Core PCE (y/y): 3% (forecast: 2.9%. prior: 2.8%) #macro

#crypto

#BREAKING
📊 An analysis found that Kalshi’s implied forecasts for the federal funds target rate had an average absolute error over a 150-day horizon comparable to that of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s professional forecasters.

👀 : $ENSO |$OM |$ALLO

The author argued that macro expectation data from markets like Kalshi, which is backed by real capital and continuously updated, could provide researchers and policymakers with a new real-time benchmark for expectations. #macro #Kalshi

$BTC TARIFF SHOCK: Supreme Court Wipes Out Trump-Era Trade Duties

In a stunning legal reversal, the U.S. Supreme Court has officially struck down the Trump-era tariff framework — sending shockwaves through global trade and financial markets.

The immediate implication? The U.S. government could now face up to $600 billion in potential tariff refunds, a massive fiscal and geopolitical development.

This decision doesn’t just unwind trade policy — it reshapes supply chain costs, corporate margins, and global pricing dynamics overnight. Companies that absorbed higher import costs may now see relief. Consumers could benefit. And markets? They’re recalculating fast.

Lower tariffs mean reduced trade friction — but also a significant budgetary impact if refunds materialize at scale.

This isn’t just politics. It’s macro.

Will this ignite a risk-on rally — or trigger new fiscal concerns?

Follow Wendy for more latest updates

#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #wendy

🚨 $BTC ALERT: Supreme Court Cancels Trump-Era Tariffs 🚨

💥 Huge news — the U.S. Supreme Court has just struck down the Trump-era trade duties, shaking up global markets and trade flows.
Immediate impact? The U.S. could owe up to $600B in tariff refunds — a massive move for both the economy and corporate margins.
Lower tariffs = cheaper imports, potential relief for businesses and consumers, and markets are already reacting. 📉📈
This isn’t just politics — it’s macro in motion. Will this spark a risk-on rally, or bring new fiscal worries?
Stay tuned for the latest updates — things are moving fast.
#BTC #Macro
#GlobalMarkets #Tariffs
Trade & follow for more 🚀

$BTC STAGFLATION WARNING: Is the Fed Officially Trapped?

This is the nightmare scenario policymakers fear.

US GDP just shocked markets, printing at 1.4% — far below the 2.8–3.0% expectations. Growth is slowing sharply, signaling that economic momentum is fading faster than anticipated.

But here’s the twist: inflation is heating up again.

PCE came in at 2.9%, while Core PCE jumped to 3.0% — both above forecasts and well above the Fed’s comfort zone. And remember: PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

That’s the worst mix possible.

Slowing growth + sticky inflation = policy paralysis.

Cut rates? Risk reigniting inflation.
Hold rates high? Risk deeper economic weakness.

This is the kind of setup that historically fuels volatility across equities, bonds, and crypto.

The Fed isn’t fighting one fire anymore.

It’s standing between two.

How do you position when both sides carry risk?

#Macro #Inflation #CryptoMarkets #wendy

🚨 $BTC STAGFLATION ALERT: Is the Fed Cornered?


This is the scenario policymakers dread.

US GDP just shocked markets, coming in at 1.4%, well below the 2.8–3.0% expected. Economic growth is slowing faster than anticipated, signaling fading momentum.

But here’s the kicker: inflation is picking up again.

PCE: 2.9%

Core PCE: 3.0%

Both figures are above forecasts and exceed the Fed’s comfort zone. Remember — PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

The result? The worst of both worlds:

Slowing growth ✅

Sticky inflation ✅

This creates policy paralysis:

Cut rates → risk reigniting inflation

Hold rates → risk deeper economic slowdown

Historically, this mix fuels volatility across equities, bonds, and crypto.

The Fed isn’t fighting a single fire anymore — it’s stuck between two.

How are you positioning when both sides carry significant risk?

#Macro #Inflation #CryptoMarkets #BTC

🚨 TRUMP CALLS FOR LOWER RATES 🇺🇸📉

President Donald Trump just posted:

“LOWER INTEREST RATES — ‘Too Late’ Powell is the WORST.”

The comment targets Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and increases pressure on the Fed amid ongoing rate policy debates.

📊 Why this matters:
• Political pressure on the Fed could raise policy uncertainty
• Markets may price in higher odds of future rate cuts
• Dollar, yields, stocks, and crypto could react quickly

Lower rate expectations = higher liquidity outlook = potential support for risk assets.

All eyes now on upcoming Fed commentary.

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #TRUMP #crypto #Macro

$BTC $ETH $SOL

🚨 JUST IN: 🇺🇸 U.S. Jobless Claims Beat Expectations
Initial jobless claims in the United States came in at 206K, lower than market expectations — signaling continued strength in the labor market.
A lower-than-expected reading suggests fewer layoffs and ongoing employment stability, which could influence Federal Reserve rate expectations and broader market sentiment.
Markets will now watch upcoming labor and inflation data for confirmation of trend direction.
#US #Economy #Macro

$BTC SHOCKING: Japan Inflation Crashes to 46-Month Low — BoJ Under Pressure

Japan’s latest CPI just stunned markets. Inflation printed at 1.5% YoY, far below the 2.1% forecast — and officially under the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target.

This marks the lowest inflation reading in nearly four years.

For months, traders have been watching Japan closely as a potential liquidity pivot. A cooling CPI strengthens the case for a more dovish stance from the BoJ — and that could have ripple effects across global markets, from bond yields to FX to crypto.

When inflation drops below target, policy expectations shift fast. And Japan isn’t a small player — it’s a key liquidity engine in the global system.

Is this the beginning of a policy turn that fuels risk assets?

Watch the yen. Watch global liquidity. Watch Bitcoin.

#Macro #Inflation #CryptoMarkets #wendy

$BTC VOLATILITY WARNING: Growth, Inflation & Trade Collide This Friday

Markets are heading into a macro minefield.

Q4 GDP. Core PCE inflation. Manufacturing PMI. New Home Sales. And a potential Supreme Court tariff ruling. That’s growth, price pressure, housing demand, and trade policy — all hitting within hours.

GDP will reveal whether economic momentum is holding up. Core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — could shift rate expectations instantly. PMI data will show if manufacturing is expanding or cracking. Housing numbers will test consumer resilience. And any tariff decision could shake global trade sentiment.

This isn’t just data — it’s narrative fuel.

When growth and inflation prints collide on the same day, liquidity moves fast and positioning unwinds even faster.

Expect sharp reactions across equities, bonds, the dollar — and yes, crypto.

Are you positioned for the swing? Follow Wendy for more latest updates

#Macro #Inflation #CryptoMarkets

🚨 $BTC – TARIFF SHOCKWAVE
⚖️ U.S. Supreme Court just scrapped the tariff system from the Donald Trump era — and markets are reacting fast.

💣 Key Impact:
💰 Up to $600B in potential tariff refunds
📉 Lower import costs = margin relief for companies
🛒 Consumers may see cheaper goods
🌍 Supply chains get a reset
🏛 Massive hit to U.S. fiscal balance if refunds roll out

📊 Macro Effect:
• Reduced trade friction
• Possible risk-on sentiment
• But rising budget pressure = new uncertainty

⚠️ This isn’t politics — it’s macro economics in motion
Will this fuel a rally… or spark fiscal stress? $BNB

#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #Bitcoin

👉 Follow me for more real-time market updates & breaking macro news 🚀 $ETH

🇺🇸 JUST IN: Traders on Kalshi are pricing a ~70% probability of a U.S. court ordering a tariff refund before 2027. This could reshape trade flows and corporate earnings. 📊

Markets aren’t just whispering — they’re betting. A ~70% implied probability suggests participants see legal reversal as more likely than not. That’s a big shift from uncertain odds just weeks ago.

➡️ Refunds could boost corporate cash flows for import-heavy firms.
➡️ Could pressure yields if sentiment turns risk-on.
➡️ FX markets might react to trade balance expectations.

📈 Exporters vs. importers: which wins?
📉 Tariff-sensitive sectors to watch: autos, tech supply chains, retail.
Traders could use options to express views around refund timing.

⚠️ Court timelines are unpredictable — 2027 is still years out.
⚠️ Political and legislative responses could complicate execution.
#BreakingNews #Macro #Markets #TradeWar #Tariffs

⚖️ Trump Tariff Saga Returns — and markets barely blinked

Last year, the “Trump Tariff” narrative showed up during $BTC ’s drop from 110k → 74k.
Now it’s back in play.

⚖️ U.S. Supreme Court has challenged how tariffs were imposed, calling out legal inconsistencies.
In response, Donald Trump says he’ll sign an order for an extra 10% tariff on ALL countries.

💰 The court mentions lawsuits…
But still no timeline on refunding the ~$150B already collected.

📊 Market reaction:
• Almost none
• BTC sitting near 68k
• Traders clearly waiting for real impact, not headlines

🧠 Macro takeaway:
• Trade policy risk is back on the table
• Fiscal pressure remains unresolved
• Crypto is staying calm… for now

Is this a delayed reaction setup? $XRP

#Macro #BTC #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets

👉 Follow me for more real-time macro & crypto updates 🚀 $ETH

🚨 BREAKING: Tariff Shock $AZTEC

⚖️ U.S. Supreme Court has struck down Trump’s global tariffs, ruling that IEEPA does NOT give the president that power.

💬 Targeted at policies from the Donald Trump era.

💰 What changes now:
• U.S. may be forced to refund collected tariffs
• Trade costs could fall
• Corporate margins may rise
• Consumer prices could ease
• Markets may reprice global trade risk

📊 Not politics — this is macro impact in motion. $ETH

#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalTrade #BTC

👉 Follow me for more breaking market & crypto updates 🚀 $BTC

$BTC TRADE POLICY SHOCKER: Supreme Court Overturns Trump-Era Tariff System

In a groundbreaking ruling, the United States Supreme Court has invalidated the tariff system established under Donald Trump's presidency. This development is creating waves throughout international trade and financial sectors.

What’s the implication? The federal government could face liability for up to $600 billion in tariff refunds, signifying a significant shift in both financial and geopolitical landscapes.

This decision impacts more than just trade politics. It has the potential to quickly influence supply chain finances, input prices, and corporate profitability. Companies that once faced high import costs may find some relief, and shoppers may notice price changes. At the same time, financial markets are shifting in response.

Lowered trade restrictions could alleviate global conflicts and encourage economic growth; however, extensive refunds could introduce fresh fiscal and deficit challenges.

This situation is of a macroeconomic nature.

Will this create a renewed appetite for risk — or could it lead to new financial instability?

Keep an eye out for further updates.
#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets

$BTC

$BTC TARIFF SHOCK: Supreme Court Wipes Out Trump-Era Trade Duties

💥👀In a stunning legal reversal, the U.S. Supreme Court has officially struck down the Trump-era tariff framework — sending shockwaves through global trade and financial markets.

The immediate implication? The U.S. government could now face up to $600 billion in potential tariff refunds, a massive fiscal and geopolitical development.

This decision doesn’t just unwind trade policy — it reshapes supply chain costs, corporate margins, and global pricing dynamics overnight. Companies that absorbed higher import costs may now see relief. Consumers could benefit. And markets? They’re recalculating fast.

Lower tariffs mean reduced trade friction — but also a significant budgetary impact if refunds materialize at scale.

This isn’t just politics. It’s macro.

Will this ignite a risk-on rally — or trigger new fiscal concerns?

Follow Wendy for more latest updates

#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets

Trade here👇👇 to support me...@TZX_Crypto

$BTC TARIFF SHOCK: Supreme Court Wipes Out Trump-Era Trade Duties
In a stunning legal reversal, the U.S. Supreme Court has officially struck down the Trump-era tariff framework — sending shockwaves through global trade and financial markets.
The immediate implication? The U.S. government could now face up to $600 billion in potential tariff refunds, a massive fiscal and geopolitical development.
This decision doesn’t just unwind trade policy — it reshapes supply chain costs, corporate margins, and global pricing dynamics overnight. Companies that absorbed higher import costs may now see relief. Consumers could benefit. And markets? They’re recalculating fast.
Lower tariffs mean reduced trade friction — but also a significant budgetary impact if refunds materialize at scale.
This isn’t just politics. It’s macro.
Will this ignite a risk-on rally — or trigger new fiscal concerns?
Follow Wendy for more latest updates
#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #wendy #TrumpNewTariffs
$BTC

🚨 $BTC TARIFF EARTHQUAKE: Supreme Court kills the Trump-era tariff framework.

This is a full-blown macro shockwave — and markets are already repricing it.

What it means immediately:

The U.S. could be on the hook for up to $600B in tariff refunds 💥

Supply chain costs may drop fast

Corporate margins get breathing room

Consumer prices could ease

But if refunds hit at scale… the fiscal impact is massive 👀

Lower tariffs = less trade friction…
…but also a potential budget hole big enough to move sentiment.

Risk-on rally incoming — or fiscal panic next? ⚖️📈

Follow David john for more latest updates.
#Macro #Tariffs #GlobalMarkets #Davidjohn #BTC

🚨 BREAKING: Supreme Court of the United States strikes down Trump-era tariffs in 6–3 ruling
In a landmark decision, the Supreme Court has ruled that the tariff framework imposed under Donald Trump was illegal, delivering a major blow to the executive trade strategy used during his administration.
Here’s what this means:
🟡 The Court determined that the legal authority used to justify broad import tariffs exceeded presidential powers.
🟡 The ruling opens the door to over $150+ billion in potential tariff refunds.
🟡 U.S. importers who paid elevated duties could now seek reimbursement.
🟡 This creates serious fiscal and political implications heading into an already fragile macro environment.
Market Impact Angle 👇
• Refund liabilities could pressure the U.S. Treasury.
• Trade partners may reassess negotiations.
• Dollar volatility risk increases.
• Equities tied to global supply chains may reprice.
However — Trump responded, stating:
🗣️ “I have a plan for it.”
This suggests a potential legal workaround, emergency trade authority pivot, or a revised tariff structure under different statutory grounds.
AMC TAKE 🎯
This isn’t just a legal story — it’s a macro shockwave.
If refunds materialize at scale, liquidity dynamics shift.
If a new trade mechanism emerges, markets reprice geopolitical risk again.
Trade policy just re-entered the volatility cycle.
Stay alert.
This is bigger than headlines.
#Macro #Tariffs #SupremeCourt #Trump #markets $BONK
$PHB
$POL

🚀 Trump Defies Supreme Court: The Trade War Just Went Nuclear
The gloves are off. Despite a disappointing Supreme Court ruling regarding IEEPA, Donald Trump is pivoting to a "tougher direction" that could reshape global markets in the next 72 hours.
The Strategic Shift & Legal War:
* ⚖️ Court Disappointment: Trump expressed deep frustration with the Supreme Court, claiming foreign interests influenced the decision.
* 🛡️ National Security: The tariff debate is no longer just about trade; it’s officially a matter of National Economic Security.
* 🛠️ New Tools: Trump claims he has "more effective tools" than IEEPA to bypass the ruling and increase revenue.
* 🚫 Trade Embargoes: While the court blocked specific fees, it confirmed his power to completely stop trade or ban specific companies from the U.S.
* 📦 Import Bans: The President retains the authority to block various goods and issue licenses (even if he can’t charge for them).
Immediate Economic Escalation:
* 🌎 10% Global Tariff: A new baseline tariff will likely be implemented within three days on top of existing duties.
* 🇨🇳 China Crackdown: A specialized 20% tariff is being considered for Chinese goods due to fentanyl trafficking.
* 🚗 Auto Industry Hit: New investigations are launching, with potential auto tariffs ranging from 15% to 30%.
* 📉 Fed Pressure: Trump blasted the "incompetent" Fed Chair for maintaining high interest rates during this transition.
The administration expects tariff revenues to climb as they move toward this more aggressive, unilateral trade stance. For the crypto markets, this macro volatility often drives whales toward $BTC as a hedge, while $ETH and $SOL traders should brace for high-impact swings.
Are you bullish on "Digital Gold" as the trade war heats up, or are you sitting in cash? 👇
#TradeWar #TRUMP #Macro
NFA. DYOR.