Solana turned early conviction into massive upside — but only for those who handled extreme volatility.

If someone deployed $100k around ~$2 in 2020, that’s ~50,000 SOL.

At ~$260, that position crossed $13M.

But here’s the part people ignore:

2021 → euphoric highs

2022 → collapsed near ~$8 (over -95%)

Multiple network outages

Exchange contagion exposure

Holding through that wasn’t easy. Most retail investors would’ve sold either during euphoria or panic.

Now about your plan:

You’re targeting $300–$500 and planning:

Accumulate 300 SOL

Open a $30k futures long

Let’s challenge the assumptions:

$300–$500 is not extreme. That’s only ~15–70% upside from $295. In crypto terms, that’s moderate, not parabolic.

Futures adds liquidation risk. A 20–30% drawdown (which is normal in crypto) can wipe leveraged positions.

Past cycle ≠ future cycle. 2020–2021 was fueled by stimulus liquidity and first-wave retail mania. 2025–2026 conditions are different: more institutional presence, more competition (L2s, modular chains), tighter liquidity cycles.

What actually matters now:

Ecosystem growth (dev activity, real users, fees)

Network stability

ETF / regulatory developments

Macro liquidity conditions

If your conviction is long-term, spot accumulation with risk sizing makes more sense than heavy futures exposure.

Hard question for you: If SOL drops to $180 before going to $400, are you adding… or panicking?

Conviction is easy at $295.

Real conviction shows during a 40% drawdown.

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