Cysic (CYS) – Technical & On-Chain Breakdown
Current Price: $0.38026
24h Change: -8.09%
Market Cap: $61.15M
FDV: $380.26M (⚠️ ~6.2x MC → large unlock risk)
Liquidity: $1.43M (low relative to MC)
Holders: 8,244
Volume: 19.48M
MA(5): 16.42M
MA(10): 76.30M
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📊 Price Structure Analysis
🔴 Major Resistance Zones
$0.491 – $0.589 → Heavy distribution zone
$0.393 → Immediate resistance (just above current price)
Price rejected from higher resistance and is now sitting right above breakdown level.
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🟢 Support Zones
$0.295 → Strong support (previous base)
$0.196 → Major demand zone
Sub $0.20 → Panic / capitulation area
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📉 Momentum & Volume Insight
Volume (19.4M) is above MA(5) but far below MA(10)
This shows:
Short-term selling pressure active
But overall momentum cooling compared to earlier spike
-8% drop suggests continuation after rejection
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⚠️ Risk Factors
1. FDV 6x higher than MC → Significant token unlock overhang
2. Liquidity only $1.43M → Price can move aggressively
3. Still below key resistance at $0.393 → Weak structure
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📌 Scenario Outlook
🐻 Bearish Case (Higher Probability Currently)
If $0.38 loses: → Quick move to $0.295
→ Below that = $0G .20 zone
🐂 Bullish Recovery Case
Must reclaim: → $BTC 0.393
→ Then break $0G .49 with volume
Without that, rallies likely sold.
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🎯 Short-Term Bias: Bearish to Neutral
Trend is corrective unless price reclaims $0.39–0.40 strongly.
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