1️⃣ Current Situation (Daily Chart Analysis) $BTC

Price: ~64,500

Recent low: ~59,800

RSI(6): 25 → Oversold zone

OBV: Downtrend → Strong selling pressure🔴

🔮 What Could Happen $BTC Next?

I will explain 3 realistic scenarios:

🟥 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability Right Now)

If:

59.8k support breaks

Daily candle closes below 59k

Then possible next targets:

55k - 52k✅

Extreme case: 48k⚡

Estimated probability: 60–65%

(Based on current market structure)

🟨 Short-Term Bounce Scenario

RSI is oversold (25), so a short-term relief bounce is possible.

If bounce happens:

68k – 72k resistance zone⚡

But trend will not change unless:

75k–78k breaks with strong volume✅

Estimated probability: 30%

🟩 Bullish Reversal Scenario

For a full bullish reversal:

Price must break above 75k

Create a higher high

Volume must increase

Right now, this looks less likely.

Estimated probability: 10%

🎯 Long-Term View (1–2 Years)

Historically:

Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle

After big corrections, it makes strong bull runs

If this is a normal cycle correction,

we could see a new all-time high again in 2026–2027.

Long-term outlook: Bullish🟢

Short-term outlook: Bearish🔴

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