Brothers, the recent sharp plunge of #Bitcoin has made the market emotional again â some shout âthe bull market is over,â while others stubbornly hold onto âit will always rise.â â Both are extreme views.
đ Iâve been closely monitoring key indicators like AHR999 and MA200, and my judgment remains unchanged:
đ This large cycle is expected to peak between $128,000 â $150,000 by the end of the year.
Letâs break it down đ
đ Macro Perspective:
1ïžâŁ The Federal Reserveâs rate cuts by the end of the year are basically confirmed â this is strong liquidity support for BTC.
2ïžâŁ After Trumpâs return, political uncertainty has dropped. đ When confidence returns, risk appetite rises.
đ Market Signal:
A âsharp drop with quick recoveryâ is not a bear signal. SOPR turning negative shows panic selling, not high-profit taking.
đ§± The short-term holder cost is around $113,000, forming a strong support zone. Unless this level breaks, itâs more like a washout than the end of the bull.
đ§ But Beware the Peak Trap:
BTC will not rise forever. After the peak, big players and leveraged institutions like MSTR will gradually sell off. Once confidence cracks, ETF investors may follow â triggering a real downturn. đ
â ïž Looking Ahead:
Liquidity today is hot, but next year, inflation risks, tariffs, and geopolitics may return. Once liquidity tightens, BTC will face a long adjustment period.
đĄ Final Thought: The end of this year is the key window. Donât get trapped by greed or fear. Understand the cycle, not just the hype.
đ Follow me @æææŁäșș to stay ahead of the game.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAlertX #bullmarket #BİNANCESQUARE #cryptotrading #MarketCycles đ„đđđ