đšđš THE GAUNTLET WEEK â MARKETS ENTER THE STRESS TEST đȘïžđ
The 2026 market honeymoon is over. This week decides the Q1 narrative.
Hereâs the pressure map đ
MONDAY â TARIFF REALITY HITS
Wall Street closed, but fear isnât.
đ S&P 500 futures -0.7%
đ Nasdaq futures -1.0%
Markets are pricing in Trumpâs 10â25% Greenland tariffs. Risk-off vibes are real.
THURSDAY â THE DATA THAT MOVES EVERYTHING
đ Q3 2025 GDP (final): ~4.3% expected
đ„ PCE Inflation (Fedâs favorite): 2.7â2.8% expected
Any upside surprise could kill rate-cut hopes and threaten the $600B liquidity narrative.
FRIDAY â BUSINESS CONFIDENCE CHECK
đ January PMI Flash
Below 50 = contraction
Thatâs when âSell Americaâ trades show up fast.
EARNINGS STORM đ©ïž
~10% of S&P 500 reports
Eyes on Netflix (Jan 22), J&J, Visa, Intel, P&G
A Netflix miss â especially tied to the $83B WBD chatter â could drag tech lower.
BIG PICTURE:
Weâve shifted from vibes â variables.
The âGreenland Premiumâ is injecting geopolitical risk markets havenât priced in for years.
Cryptoâs already reacting đ
đ FRAX: 1.0856 (+1.5%)
đ DUSK: 0.3017 (+151.2%)
So whatâs the move?
Buy the fear earlyâŠ
or wait for Thursdayâs PCE to see if the Fed still has our back?
This is one of those weeks positioning matters more than predictions đ„đđ

