China BNB

Look to this chart, $BTC will dump to $35,000 in 10 days.

Are you actually prepared for that scenario?

From my theory, I’ve identified the timing of the next cycle.

I track BTC on two axes.

TIME + PRICE.

Most people only watch price.
That's why they every time MISS the best entries.

First, the TIME axis.

Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:

- 2012: 406 days
- 2016: 363 days
- 2020: 376 days
- 2024: still pending

These numbers are close.

So if this cycle lines up, the highest probability window for the next real bottom is Oct to Nov 2026.

That is my time target.

And when that window hits, I buy no matter what price looks like.

Because time is how you don't get front run.

Now the PRICE axis.

I've already started buying since we entered the $60,000 zone.

Even if the time window hasn't hit yet.

Why?

Because waiting for the perfect level is how you miss the whole move.

Retail says "I'll only buy at X price".
But if price never hits it, you're left behind.

So my approach is simple.

If price gives value, I start buying.
If time hits the historical window, I buy regardless.

That one framework explains everything.

Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I'd be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.

People laughed.
They said BTC would never see $60K again.

I don't argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.

Now we've hit that zone, and the price call played out.

But the risk of a lower low is still real.

That's why the TIME axis matters.

My plan:

1) TIME axis
Oct to Nov 2026 is a strong BUY, regardless of price.

2) PRICE axis
Below $60,000 is a strong BUY, regardless of time.

If either one hits, I execute daily buys of $500,000.

And there's one more thing I watch.

NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit/Loss.

The onchain indicator that historically flags the real cycle bottom.
- 2018
- COVID crash
- 2022

It caught all of them.

Right now, we're not in that blue zone yet.
We're still far from it.

So I wouldn't be surprised to see BTC in the $45K to $50K zone by end of 2026.

That's my ultimate bottom target, where I'd feel good going heavy.

The market is messy right now, but this phase will pass.

I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

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I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
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