Numan kashif

Bitcoin’s history doesn’t change.
Only the numbers get bigger.
In 2017, Bitcoin$BTC peaked near $21,000 and then crashed more than 80%.
In 2021, it topped around $69,000 and dropped roughly 77%.
In the most recent cycle, after reaching around $126,000, price has already corrected more than 70%.
Every time feels different.
Every time the narrative sounds new.
And every time people say, “This cycle is different.”
But when I zoom out, the structure looks the same:
Parabolic rise.
Euphoria.
Overconfidence.
Then a brutal reset.
The percentages stay consistent.
The emotional pain stays consistent.
Only the dollar amounts expand.
This isn’t coincidence.
It’s structural behavior.
Bitcoin$BTC is a fixed-supply asset trading inside a liquidity-driven global system. When liquidity expands and optimism spreads, capital flows in aggressively. Demand accelerates faster than supply can respond. Price overshoots.
When liquidity tightens, leverage unwinds, and sentiment shifts, the same reflexive loop works in reverse.
FOMO turns into forced selling.
Risk appetite contracts.
And the decline feels endless.
This is where real education begins.
Volatility is not a flaw in Bitcoin.
It’s a feature of an emerging, scarce, high-beta asset.
People don’t lose money because Bitcoin crashes.
They lose money because they behave incorrectly during the crash.
What Every Major Drawdown Has Taught Me
First — 70–80% drawdowns are historically normal.
They’re not easy. But they’re expected.
If I enter a volatile asset without preparing mentally and financially for extreme corrections, I’m not investing — I’m gambling on a straight line.
Second — peaks are built on emotion.
At cycle tops, narratives replace logic.
Price targets stretch infinitely higher.
Risk management disappears.
Leverage increases.
Exposure concentrates.
That’s when vulnerability quietly builds.
By the time the crash begins, most participants are already overexposed.
Preparation must happen before the downturn — not during it.
My Survival Framework
• Reduce leverage early.
• Size positions so I can survive a 70% drawdown.
• Separate long-term conviction from short-term trading.
• Keep liquidity reserves — cash creates optionality.
• Avoid emotional averaging down. Hope is not a strategy.
• Study macro liquidity — rates, monetary policy, global risk appetite.
One of the biggest psychological traps during downturns is believing, “This time it’s over.”
In 2018, people said Bitcoin was dead.
In 2022, they said institutions were done.
At every bottom, fear dominates the narrative.
The human brain struggles with extreme volatility.
Loss aversion magnifies pain.
That’s why studying past cycles matters.
Historical perspective reduces emotional distortion.
But here’s the nuance:
Just because history has repeated doesn’t guarantee identical outcomes in the future.
Markets evolve.
Participants change.
Regulation shifts.
Institutional involvement grows.
Blind faith is dangerous.
Blind fear is equally dangerous.
I try to ask rational questions instead of reacting emotionally:
Is this liquidity contraction — or structural collapse?
Has the network fundamentally weakened?
Has adoption reversed?
Or is this cyclical deleveraging?
Price can fall 70% without the system failing.
Bull Markets vs Bear Markets
In bull markets, people focus on maximizing gains.
In bear markets, survival becomes the priority.
Survival means:
• Reducing correlated exposure
• Diversifying across assets
• Lowering risk per trade
• Protecting mental health
• Re-evaluating financial goals realistically
Mental capital matters as much as financial capital.
The repeated 70–80% drawdowns are not a warning against Bitcoin.
They’re a warning against emotional overexposure.
Every cycle rewards those who survive it.
But survival is engineered through discipline.
My Pre-Commitment Rule
Before entering any position, I define:
• What is my thesis?
• What invalidates it?
• What drawdown can I tolerate?
• When will I reduce exposure?
When volatility hits, I follow the plan — not my fear.
Markets transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient.
But patience only works when backed by risk control.
Holding blindly isn’t patience.
Strategic patience means:
• Correct sizing
• Active risk management
• Adapting to new information
• Avoiding emotional extremes
$21K once felt unimaginable.
$69K felt historic.
$126K felt inevitable.
Each crash felt terminal.
And yet, the structure repeats.
The real lesson isn’t that Bitcoin crashes.
The real lesson is that cycles amplify human behavior.
Euphoria creates overconfidence.
Overconfidence creates fragility.
Fragility creates collapse.
Collapse resets the structure.
When I recognize this pattern, volatility stops looking like chaos — and starts looking like rhythm.
The question isn’t whether downturns will happen again.
They will.
The real question is whether I’ll be financially, emotionally, and strategically prepared when they do.
History may not change.
But my behavior inside history determines whether I grow with it — or get wiped out by it.
$BTC

Bitcoin$BTC has lost a key higher-timeframe (HTF) support and failed to reclaim it on the retest. That rejection wasn’t random. It came immediately after a prolonged compression phase — and as expected, expansion followed… unfortunately to the downside.
This breakdown now opens the door for a deeper liquidity sweep.
From a market structure perspective:
• Previous range support has flipped into resistance
• HTF momentum has shifted bearish
• Price is actively moving toward an untested demand zone
Based on structure and inefficiencies, I believe the highest-probability bottom area lies in the lower demand region — around the mid to low $50K zone. This is where strong buying previously stepped in and where unfinished business still remains.
This doesn’t signal the end of the cycle.
It suggests the market may need one more reset before continuation.
Market bottoms are rarely clean.
They’re formed through fear, volatility, and disbelief.
And historically — that’s exactly where opportunity begins.

#Bitcoin❗ #Barish #BinanceSquareTalks #Binance #Cryptocurency

يمر سوق العملات المشفرة حالياً بمرحلة صعبة جداً. لقد انخفضت العملات الرئيسية مثل البيتكوين وغيرها من العملات البديلة بشكل كبير عن مستوياتها السابقة. ثقة المستثمرين ضعيفة، وعدم اليقين يهيمن على السوق.
أحد الأسباب الرئيسية لهذا الانخفاض هو الضغط الاقتصادي العالمي. إن ارتفاع أسعار الفائدة، ومخاوف التضخم، وعدم الاستقرار في الأسواق المالية التقليدية قد أثر بشكل مباشر على العملات المشفرة. كلما واجهت الأسواق العالمية حالة من عدم اليقين، عادةً ما تتفاعل العملات المشفرة بتقلبات عالية.

$BTC | BTCUSDT | Perp
78,291.1 (+0.52%)
This is REAL market news, not rumors 👇
📊 What happened today:
• Bitcoin saw a sharp drop after intense market volatility
• More than $2.5 BILLION in crypto liquidations
• BTC$BTC lost key support zones → forced selling triggered
• Altcoins dumped even harder following BTC
🧨 The REAL reasons (confirmed by data & news):
1️⃣ Massive Liquidations
Market was over-leveraged.
As soon as BTC dipped, long positions got liquidated automatically, accelerating the sell-off.
2️⃣ Macro Pressure & FED Fears
Concerns around US interest rates, monetary policy & a strong dollar hit risk assets.
Crypto reacted first.
3️⃣ Thin Liquidity = Bigger Moves
Low liquidity meant even a ~$5M BTC sell was enough to break structure and trigger stop-loss cascades.
4️⃣ Institutional Slowdown
Bitcoin ETFs showed weaker inflows / some outflows, reducing buy-side support during the drop.
📉 This was NOT retail panic.
📈 This was leverage + structure breakdown.
🧠 Bitcoin$BTC has now pulled back to pre-macro & political shift levels, resetting market positioning.
💡 Historically, dumps like this flush leverage before the next major move.
⚠️ Volatility hurts emotional traders —
✅ but creates opportunity for prepared ones.
📌 This move is about liquidations + macro pressure, NOT the end of Bitcoin.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #Liquidations #MarketCrash #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare

سان فرانسيسكو – أبريل 2025
منذ عام 2012، نفذت Ripple وقيادتها بهدوء واحدة من أكبر وأهم خطط توزيع التوكنات في تاريخ العملات المشفرة. على مدار الـ 13 عامًا الماضية، باعت الشركة توكنات XRP بقيمة تقارب 109 مليار دولار، محولةً XRP تدريجيًا من أصل مركزي بشدة إلى عملة رقمية موزعة على نطاق واسع.
وفقًا للبيانات التي جمعتها CryptoBasic، قامت Ripple ومديروها ببيع حوالي 58.5 مليار توكن XRP منذ الإطلاق. ما يجعل هذا الأمر ملحوظًا هو أن سعر XRP زاد بنحو 31,000% خلال نفس الفترة—مما يثبت أن مبيعات التوكنات على نطاق واسع لا تضر تلقائيًا بالقيمة على المدى الطويل عند إدارتها بشكل مسؤول.

There’s a silent threat building inside the global financial system.
It’s not hype.
It’s not fear-mongering.
And it’s not something markets can ignore for long.
The United States is sitting on a massive debt rollover problem — one that will mechanically drain liquidity from every major market.
Once you understand this, market moves start to make sense.
If you hold Bitcoin, crypto, stocks, gold, or any risk asset, this matters more than daily headlines or social-media narratives.
THE NUMBER THAT CHANGES THE GAME
Over 25% of total U.S. government debt matures within the next 12 months.
That’s over $10 trillion that must be refinanced — no extensions, no delays.
This is the largest debt rollover wall in modern U.S. history.
It must be rolled. There is no alternative.
WHY THIS WASN’T A PROBLEM IN 2020
Back then, refinancing was easy:
Interest rates were near zero
Liquidity was everywhere
The Fed acted as a full backstop
Borrowing costs were almost irrelevant
At one point, nearly 30% of U.S. debt was short-term, but it didn’t matter — money was free.
Fast-forward to today, and the picture is completely different.
THE CURRENT REALITY
Now we’re dealing with:
Policy rates around 3.5–4%
Much higher real yields
Tight liquidity conditions
Bond buyers demanding compensation
The same debt structure that was harmless in 2020 has now become dangerous.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT — MECHANICALLY
The Treasury has no choice.
To refinance maturing debt, it must:
Issue massive amounts of new Treasuries
Flood the bond market with supply
Compete directly with all other assets for capital
This pulls liquidity out of the system.
That’s not an opinion — that’s how capital markets work.
Every dollar going into Treasuries is a dollar not going into:
Stocks
Crypto
Growth assets
Commodities
Emerging markets
“RATE CUTS WILL SAVE US” — NOT REALLY
Yes, markets expect rate cuts.
But even with cuts:
Borrowing costs stay far above 2020 levels
Debt volume is simply too large
Bond issuance cannot be avoided
Rate cuts may slow the pressure, but they cannot stop the liquidity drain.
THIS IS A LIQUIDITY EVENT, NOT A CRASH CALL
This isn’t about an instant recession.
The real risk is a long, grinding liquidity squeeze.
When liquidity tightens:
Asset valuations compress
Volatility increases
Correlations rise
Speculation dies first
This is how bull markets end — quietly, not explosively.
WHY CRYPTO IS ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE
Crypto thrives on excess liquidity.
When money is cheap:
Leverage expands
Speculation increases
Risk appetite explodes
When liquidity is pulled back:
Leverage unwinds
Weak players are forced out
Volatility spikes
Only high-conviction assets survive
This isn’t anti-crypto sentiment.
It’s basic macro structure.
THE 12–24 MONTH WINDOW
This isn’t a one-day problem.
Over the next 1–2 years, the U.S. must continuously:
Roll debt
Issue bonds
Absorb global liquidity
That creates persistent pressure across all markets.
Slow grind. Not instant collapse.
THE UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH
The U.S. has limited options:
Issue more debt → drains liquidity
Monetize debt → weakens the dollar
Financial repression → distorts markets
Every path comes with pain — somewhere in the system.
WHAT THIS MEANS FOR INVESTORS
This isn’t a panic signal.
It’s a reality check.
We’re entering a market phase where:
Liquidity matters more than stories
Macro outweighs narratives
Risk management beats hype
The next winners won’t be the loudest traders.
They’ll be the ones who understand when liquidity is leaving — and when it returns.
$BTC USDT | $ETH USDT
Short-term price moves don’t matter as much as macro flows now.
Liquidity decides everything.

Pause for a moment and absorb this figure: $40,360,000.
That’s how much XRP$XRP value was wiped out in just a few hours. This wasn’t a normal pullback or a healthy correction—this was a full-scale liquidation event.
The Damage Was Relentless
More than 96% of the liquidations were long positions. Thousands of traders who believed in upside momentum were forcefully removed from the market within minutes. This wasn’t panic selling—it was a calculated long squeeze that crushed leveraged traders with precision.
While social media keeps shouting “HODL,” the reality is brutal: over $40 million worth of conviction was deleted instantly.
Look at the Bigger Picture
Across the crypto market, nearly $874 MILLION was liquidated in a single day. XRP$XRP traders absorbed a significant share of that blow. When numbers like this disappear, one question becomes unavoidable:
Who benefited?
Retail traders lost positions. Exchanges collected fees. Whales picked up assets at discounted prices. This wasn’t random—it was a systematic flush of leverage.
The Question No One Wants to Answer
If breaking one support level can trigger $40M in liquidations, is this market really controlled by the community?
Or is it structured as a massive liquidation machine designed to trap overleveraged retail traders?
This isn’t just about price movement anymore.
It’s a real-time wealth transfer, happening right in front of us. 🛑
💬 Your Turn:
Did you survive the $40M XRP$XRP flush, or were you caught in it?
How much longer can leverage dominate the market before it destroys momentum entirely?

👇 Drop your thoughts.
#XRP #XRPArmy #CryptoLiquidation #WealthTransfer #Ripple #CryptoNews #MarketAlert

Alert big crash is coming 🤯🚨

The latest macro data from the Federal Reserve is deeply concerning — far worse than markets were prepared for.
We are moving toward a global financial breakdown, and the majority of people don’t even realize it yet.
This environment is extremely bearish.
If you’re holding risk assets right now, what’s coming next may shock you.
What’s happening behind the scenes is not normal.
A serious funding stress is quietly building in the system, and almost no one is positioned for it.
The Fed already knows this — and they’re reacting.
Their balance sheet just expanded by roughly $105 billion.
The Standing Repo Facility absorbed $74.6B.
Mortgage-Backed Securities jumped $43.1B.
Meanwhile, Treasuries only increased by $31.5B.
This is NOT bullish QE.
This is emergency liquidity.
Banks needed cash — fast — because funding conditions tightened.
Here’s the real warning sign:
When the Fed starts absorbing more MBS than Treasuries, collateral quality is deteriorating.
That only happens during financial stress.
Now step back and look at the real problem no one wants to talk about.
U.S. national debt is at record levels — not temporarily, but structurally.
Over $34 trillion, growing faster than GDP.
Interest payments are exploding and becoming one of the largest expenses in the federal budget.
The U.S. is now issuing new debt just to service old debt.
That’s not sustainability.
That’s a debt spiral.
At this stage, U.S. Treasuries are no longer truly “risk-free.”
They are a confidence trade.
And that confidence is cracking.
Foreign buyers are pulling back.
Domestic demand is extremely price-sensitive.
So quietly, the Fed becomes the buyer of last resort — whether they admit it or not.
That’s why funding stress right now is critical.
You cannot sustain record debt levels when funding markets tighten.
You cannot run trillion-dollar deficits while collateral quality weakens.
And you definitely cannot pretend this is business as usual.
And this is NOT just a U.S. issue.
China is doing the same thing — at the same time.
The PBoC injected 1.02 trillion yuan in a single week through reverse repos.
Different country.
Same disease.
Too much debt.
Too little trust.
A global system built on endlessly rolling liabilities that fewer and fewer participants actually want to hold.
When both the U.S. and China are forced to inject massive liquidity simultaneously, that’s not stimulus.
That’s the global financial plumbing starting to clog.
Markets always misinterpret this phase.
They see liquidity injections and scream “bullish.”
They’re wrong.
This isn’t about pumping asset prices.
It’s about keeping the funding system alive.
And once funding breaks — everything else becomes a trap.
The order is always the same:
• Bonds move first
• Funding markets show stress
• Equities ignore it — until they can’t
• Crypto gets hit the hardest
Now look at the real signal.
Gold at all-time highs.
Silver at all-time highs.
This is not growth optimism.
This is not inflation hype.
This is capital rejecting sovereign debt.
Money is moving out of paper promises and into hard collateral.
That does NOT happen in healthy systems.
We’ve seen this setup before:
• 2000 — before the dot-com crash
• 2008 — before the Global Financial Crisis
• 2020 — before the repo market froze
Each time, recession followed shortly after.
The Fed is trapped.
Print aggressively — and metals explode, signaling loss of control.
Don’t print — and funding markets seize while debt becomes impossible to service.
Risk assets can ignore reality for a while.
But never forever.
This is not a normal cycle.
This is a silent balance-sheet, collateral, and sovereign-debt crisis forming in real time.
By the time it becomes obvious, most people will already be positioned wrong.
Position yourself wisely if you want to survive 2026 and beyond.
I’ve been identifying major market tops and bottoms for over a decade.
When I make my next move, I’ll share it here first.
If you’re not paying attention yet — you probably should.
Before it’s too late.

"No matter how much money you invest in these two, Nazish Jahangir and cryptocurrency, they can betray you at any time."

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لقد فقدت كل أموالي في تداول Dogecoin$DOGE على Bybit، والآن أنا في وضع سيء جدًا.”🤣😆😁

الجميع يركز على سؤال واحد:
“أين قاع البيتكوين$BTC ؟”
لكن الخطر الحقيقي ليس على مخطط BTC$BTC .
إنه عميق داخل النظام المالي العالمي - ولا يتحدث عنه أحد تقريبًا.
العمود الفقري الصامت للسيولة العالمية يتحرك.
اليابان.
وعندما تتحرك اليابان، يشعر كل سوق بذلك.
🌏 محرك السيولة لمدة 30 عامًا يتراجع
على مدى عقود، كانت اليابان تدفع الأسواق العالمية من خلال إعداد بسيط واحد:
أسعار الفائدة قريبة من الصفر
ين رخيص
سيولة غير محدودة
كانت الاستراتيجية سهلة: اقترض الين الرخيص → اشترِ أصولًا ذات عائد أعلى في جميع أنحاء العالم

داogecoin$DOGE بدأت كمزحة، ولكن اليوم أصبحت واحدة من أكثر العملات الرقمية حديثًا في العالم. ما يجعل داogecoin مختلفًا ليس فقط تقنيته، ولكن مجتمعه القوي وتأثيره الثقافي.
دعم إيلون ماسك أعطى داogecoin$DOGE اهتمامًا عالميًا. كل تغريدة، وكل ذكر يوجه العناوين نحو هذه العملة الميمية. على عكس العديد من مشاريع العملات الرقمية الجادة، تمثل داogecoin المرح، والحرية، والفكرة القائلة بأن المال ليس دائمًا مملًا.
مع المعاملات السريعة، والرسوم المنخفضة، والشعبية الكبيرة على الإنترنت، أثبت داogecoin$DOGE أن حتى المزحة يمكن أن تتحدى النظام المالي التقليدي. سواء كانت ستسيطر حقًا على العالم أم لا، فقد غيرت داogecoin بالفعل كيف ينظر الناس إلى المال الرقمي.

Solana (SOL)$SOL has shown strong volatility and powerful comebacks across different market cycles. Below are only the actual year-end closing prices — no averages, no ranges, just the price at which SOL$SOL closed each year.
🔹 SOL Year-End Closes (USD)
2020 → ~$1.51
2021 → ~$170.30 🚀
2022 → ~$9.96 📉
2023 → ~$101.51 🔁
2024 → ~$189.26 🔥
2025 → Yet to be decided

Year Year-End Close (≈ $BTC /USD) Annual Return (%)
2025 ~$90,270 (estimated) -3.5%
2024 ~$93,429 +121%
2023 ~$42,265 +155%
2022 ~$16,547 -64%
2021 ~$46,306 +60%
2020 ~$29,001 (approx.) +303%
2019 ~$7,193 (approx.) +92%
2018 ~$3,742 (approx.) -74%
2017 ~$14,156 (approx.) +1,369%
2016 ~$963 (approx.) +124%
2015 ~$431 (approx.) +34%
2014 ~$320 (approx.) -30%
2013 ~$754 (approx.) Massive growth (over 100%)
2012 ~$13–14 (estimated) Extremely high (early adoption phase)
2011 ~$4–5 (estimated) Positive (early growth phase)
2010 ~$0.30 (estimated) N/A (first recorded price)
---
📈 Key Takeaways
2017 was Bitcoin’s$BTC most explosive year, delivering returns of over 1,300%.
2020, 2023, and 2024 saw strong bull-market rallies driven by increased adoption and investor confidence.
2018 and 2022 were major bearish years with heavy losses across the crypto market.
2025 (so far) shows a slightly negative return, as the year has not yet closed.

By Numan Kashif,
Tether (USDT)$USDT , duniya ka sab se bara stablecoin, crypto market ki ongoing volatility ke bawajood apni stability ko barqarar rakhe hue hai. CoinMarketCap ke latest data ke mutabiq, USDT$USDT abhi $0.9998 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 1 US Dollar ke bilkul qareeb hai.
Pichhle 7 dinon mein USDT$USDT ne sirf -0.01% ka minor change show kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein koi unusual pressure ya panic nahi hai. Weekly chart se yeh bhi clear hota hai ke price movement controlled aur stable range mein rahi hai.
Experts ke mutabiq, jab bhi crypto market uncertain hoti hai, investors apna capital protect karne ke liye USDT ka zyada use karte hain. Isi wajah se Tether trading aur liquidity ke liye aik key role play karta hai.
Market Rank #3 ke sath, USDT abhi bhi crypto ecosystem ka aik strong aur reliable pillar mana ja raha hai.

Ethereum$ETH تعاني اليوم لسبب بسيط للغاية، لكن لا أحد تقريبًا يشرح ذلك بشكل صحيح 📢
يأتي ذلك مباشرة من التنظيمات العالمية، وتوقيت الأمر مهم 🤔
هذا صحيح، القوانين الحكومية تؤثر على تعدين Ethereum، مرة أخرى.
إليك ما يحدث 📢📢
بعض المناطق الرئيسية قد شددت مؤخرًا من تنظيمات العملات المشفرة 📢
في مناطق معينة، تم إيقاف العديد من عمليات تعدين Ethereum$ETH في ديسمبر 📢
حوالي عشرات الآلاف من عمال المناجم توقفوا عن العمل في فترة زمنية قصيرة جدًا 🤔

If you need information about any coin or want to know the price of any cryptocurrency, just tell me in the comments of my article. I will answer your question in my next article 🌎🤑💯😉"

بواسطة نعمان كاشف
في سوق العملات المشفرة، لا تتحرك كل عملة بسرعة طوال الوقت. حتى المشاريع القوية والمعروفة يمكن أن تظهر حركة سعر ضعيفة أو جانبية على المدى القصير. فيما يلي ثلاث عملات مشفرة شعبية أسعارها حالياً لا تؤدي بشكل جيد في السوق.
---
📉 1. دوجكوين (DOGE)
على الرغم من كونها عملة ميم شعبية جداً، إلا أن دوجكوين$DOGE تظهر حالياً حركة سعر بطيئة.
لقد كانت الأسعار تتحرك جانبياً لفترة طويلة
لديها مجتمع قوي وضغط شراء منخفض

By Numan kashif
$ETH
The cryptocurrency market is once again showing signs of movement, and investors are now closely watching Ethereum(ETH). After Bitcoin, Ethereum$ETH is one of the largest and strongest blockchain networks in the world, which is why both short-term and long-term investors are carefully following its price movements.

🥇 بتكوين (BTC)

بتكوين$BTC هي العملة المشفرة الأكثر موثوقية وغالبًا ما تُسمى الذهب الرقمي. مع زيادة الاهتمام المؤسسي وإمداد محدود من 21 مليون عملة، عادة ما تقود BTC الاتجاه العام للسوق. إذا استمر الشعور الإيجابي، قد تشهد بتكوين حركة تصاعدية تدريجية في الأيام الـ 30 القادمة.
🥈 إيثيريوم (ETH)
إيثيريوم$ETH هو العمود الفقري للتمويل اللامركزي، NFTs، وWeb3. مدعوم من مؤسسة إيثيريوم ونشاط مطورين قوي، تواصل ETH إظهار القوة على المدى الطويل. مع زيادة حجم الشراء والأخبار الإيجابية، قد تشهد إيثيريوم انتعاشًا صحيًا قريبًا.