BTC rejected the 95.5–96k resistance as expected Jan 15 BTC Update and is now likely to retest the 94–93k demand band (Daily FVG) before the next continuation attempt.
The key is the reaction: a strong bounce and structure shift from 93–94k would support a move back toward 96k, and acceptance above 96k would reopen the upside targets at 100–104k.
A sustained loss of 92–90k would invalidate the bullish retest thesis and increase probability of a deeper pullback toward 88–86k.
BTCUSDT is currently reacting at a key weekly bearish FVG / supply pocket. The first rejection from this area supports a cautious bias while we are inside/under that zone. On the daily chart, there is a bullish FVG below, which can act as a magnet for a pullback and a potential “liquidity grab” (taking nearby equal lows / short-term swing lows) before a continuation higher.
My preferred path: reject from the weekly supply → pull back into the daily bullish FVG for mitigation → look for bullish displacement / structure shift on 4H–1H → continuation toward the supply zone again and higher.
Invalidation for the pullback-long idea would be a clean daily breakdown and acceptance below the daily bullish FVG. If price instead closes and holds above the weekly supply, then continuation up can happen without a deep pullback.
Not financial advice — always manage risk and wait for confirmation.
BTC swept the all-time high area (~126K) and got rejected strongly, which usually signals short-term distribution and a corrective move.
On the weekly chart, price is currently pulling back toward the nearest higher-timeframe imbalance (Quarterly FVG). The closest and most important zone is the top Quarterly FVG around ~80K down to ~74K. This area is the first major “reaction zone” where a strong bounce or consolidation can start.
Key levels to watch:
Bearish pressure stays active while BTC is below ~100K–110K.
Strong recovery / bullish shift requires reclaiming ~110K and especially ~114K+ with acceptance.
If BTC reaches ~80K–74K and shows strong weekly rejection (close off the lows + follow-through), it can form a higher-timeframe bottom.
If BTC breaks and holds below ~74K with weak reaction, then deeper Quarterly FVG zones (~52K and ~36K) become possible later.
My expectation: highest probability is a move into ~80K–74K first, then watch the reaction for the next major direction.
$BTC Update, the market continues to consolidate within the range of 87.7K to 88.5K, showing no clear directional bias at this stage. It is advisable to remain calm, avoid over-trading, and allow the market to establish a clearer trend. Wishing you a pleasant and restful weekend. 💰
$BTC is consolidating between 87,6K and 89,5K. If a 4-hour candle closes above 89,500, followed by a successful retest and hold of this zone as support, the next upside targets are 90,000, then 91,000 and 92,000.
1. Trend Overview ETH recently broke a major support at ~$1610 and dropped sharply to ~$1420. Currently in a short-term downtrend, but showing signs of technical rebound. 2. Key Technical Zones Resistance: $1510–$1560 (EMA cluster, prior breakdown area) Support: $1415 (recent bottom), $1350 (previous accumulation zone) 3. Volume Analysis Large volume spike during sell-off → indicates panic selling. Followed by a high-volume reversal candle → possible short squeeze setup. 4. Indicators RSI: Hit oversold (~18), now recovering to ~23 → suggesting rebound potential. MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is shrinking → downward momentum is slowing. Bollinger Bands: Price pierced lower band then bounced → possible short-term recovery. Bands are widening = volatility still high.
Rationale: Technicals show a potential double bottom reversal at 1,759.16, with whale buying activity and a bounce from support. Fundamentals support a cautiously bullish outlook due to Ethereum’s strong network usage, staking, and potential crypto bull market sentiment (Bitcoin correlation), though macro risks (e.g., interest rates, regulations) remain.
Entry Point
Enter long at 1,820 on a confirmed breakout above the double bottom neckline and descending channel, with strong volume and a bullish candle.
Stop Loss
Set stop loss at 1,759.16 (below recent support). This limits downside risk if the pattern fails.
Take Profit
Primary target: 1,880 (major resistance, reward-to-risk ratio ~1:1). Secondary target: 1,950 (if momentum breaks 1,880, reward-to-risk ratio ~2.1:1).
Risk Management
Risk 1–2% of capital (e.g., $100–$200 on a $10,000 account). Adjust position size based on the 60.84-point stop loss.
Alternative: Short (Bearish)
If the price fails to break 1,820 and drops below 1,759.16, enter short. Stop loss at 1,820, take profit at 1,740 (reward-to-risk ratio ~0.3:1, so only take with strong bearish confirmation).
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊
1. Technical Analysis: Trend Analysis: Ethereum (ETH) has been in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, recent price action suggests a potential reversal or at least a relief bounce. Support and Resistance: Support: ~$1,700 (recent weak low level marked on the chart). Resistance: ~$2,100 (previous supply zone). Chart Patterns: Breakdown from a descending channel, suggesting continued bearish sentiment. BOS (Break of Structure) confirms trend shifts at key points. Recent double bottom pattern near $1,700 suggests a potential short-term rebound. Candlestick Patterns: The recent green candles with wicks indicate buyers defending the lower levels. Volume Analysis: Increasing volume on bullish candles suggests potential buyer interest. Oscillators: RSI (Relative Strength Index) may be near the oversold zone, signaling a possible bounce. MACD might be flattening out, indicating potential bullish divergence.
2. Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Long Position (If Bullish Confirmation) Entry: $1,720 - $1,750 (near support) Take Profit (TP1): $1,950 Take Profit (TP2): $2,100 (major resistance) Stop Loss: $1,650 (below weak low)
Scenario 2: Short Position (If Price Rejection at Resistance) Entry: $1,950 - $2,000 Take Profit (TP1): $1,800 Take Profit (TP2): $1,650 (strong support) Stop Loss: $2,100 (above resistance)
3. Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ensure at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Position Sizing: Use a maximum of 2-3% of total capital per trade. Monitor: Keep an eye on market news and ETH price behavior.
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊
Trend: Bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. The price is below all major moving averages, confirming the downtrend. Support/Resistance: Key support at $1865 (tested multiple times) and resistance at $2367 (200-day MA). The next support below $1865 is around $1500. Candlestick Patterns: No bullish reversal patterns; recent candles show strong selling pressure. Volume: High volume during the downtrend, but low volume during recent consolidation near $1865, indicating weak buying interest. Oscillators: RSI at 40 (neutral-to-oversold, no reversal signal); MACD is bearish with no bullish crossover. Chart Pattern: A descending triangle (bearish continuation) is forming, with a potential breakdown below $1865 targeting $1500 or lower.
(Short Position):
Position: Short ETHUSDT. Entry: $1850 (after a confirmed breakdown below $1865 support). Stop-Loss: $2120 (above recent swing high and 50-day MA). Take-Profit: $1600 (conservative) or $1500 (pattern target).
Likelihood of ETH Dropping Below $1500: High probability due to the bearish trend, descending triangle target, lack of strong support until $1200-$1300, and weak buying volume. A breakdown below $1865 could easily push ETH below $1500.
Alternative (Long Position): Only if a bullish reversal occurs (e.g., price holds $1865, bullish candlestick pattern, RSI above 50). Entry above $1900, stop-loss at $1840, and take-profit at $2100-$2367.
Conclusion: The technical setup strongly favors a short position, with ETH likely to drop below $1500 if $1865 support breaks. Monitor for reversal signals and broader market conditions (e.g., Bitcoin’s price action) due to crypto market volatility.
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊
Trend: EOSUSDT is in a strong uptrend, breaking above key moving averages.
Indicators: - EMA (5, 10, 30, 60): Bullish crossover confirms momentum. - Ichimoku Cloud: Future cloud is bullish, suggesting continued upward movement. - RSI (14): At 83.83, indicating overbought conditions (potential retracement). - Stochastic RSI: Above 90, confirming overbought levels but still bullish. - Bollinger Bands: Price is at the upper band, which signals either trend continuation or a pullback.
2. Trading Plan - Long Position 🔹 Entry Zone:
Entry Price: $0.75 - $0.76 (After minor pullback, retesting support)
1. Trend Analysis The price is in a downtrend but appears to be forming a potential base for reversal. The Ichimoku Cloud is red and above the price, signaling bearish conditions. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Short-term EMAs (5, 10, 30) are converging near 127.34, indicating consolidation. EMA 60 (130.17) serves as a key resistance.
3. Volume Analysis SMA 9 Volume: 67.496M, showing steady participation. Volume appears to be slightly declining, which is common in a consolidation phase.
4. Candlestick & Chart Patterns Recent candles show lower wicks, suggesting buying pressure at support levels. Bollinger Bands are contracting, indicating a potential breakout is imminent. Price is below the Ichimoku cloud, meaning a strong uptrend confirmation is required before a long position.
5. Oscillator Analysis RSI (14): 48.47 (Neutral, but rebounding from oversold). Stochastic RSI (14, 3, 3): 98.80/95.60 (Overbought, possible short-term pullback before continuation).
6. Trade Plan
Long (Buy) Entry Entry Zone: 126.5 – 127.5 (Near EMA support & Bollinger Band support). Stop Loss: Below 123.5 (Slightly under the lower Bollinger Band). Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: 128.5 (EMA 30) TP2: 130.5 (EMA 60) TP3: 134.5 (Major resistance level)
Short (Sell) Entry Entry Zone: 128.5 – 130.5 (EMA 30 & EMA 60 resistance). Stop Loss: Above 135 (Beyond key resistance). Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: 126.5 (Current support). TP2: 124.0 (Lower Bollinger Band). TP3: 120.5 (Next major support).
Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Conduct your own research and trade responsibly. 🚀📊