BNB is showing resilient demand with downside pressure getting absorbed, market structure stays constructive and sentiment remains supportive as capital prefers safer large-cap rotation over chasing volatile alts.
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RIVER is still trading below key moving averages with weak structure recovery, upside attempts lack follow-through and selling pressure remains dominant, sentiment favors fade-on-strength rather than chasing rebounds.
RIVER is showing steady demand after the recent pullback, downside pressure is being absorbed and short-term sentiment shifts back toward continuation as capital rotates into high-beta names.
$BTC continued dumping exactly as planned and TP1 has been successfully hit. Breakdown momentum stayed strong, sellers kept full control, and price moved straight toward the weekly gap without any meaningful bounce. Clean execution, textbook continuation.
Managing the rest accordingly — patience pays.
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PerpNotes
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🩸 $BTC — Breakdown confirmed, weekly gap still calling
BTC just lost its short-term structure after getting rejected below key EMAs. Momentum is clearly bearish — RSI is deeply oversold but no sign of strong buyer absorption yet. The current move looks like continuation rather than exhaustion. As long as price stays below the broken support, BTC is likely to push lower to fill the weekly gap before any meaningful bounce.
Like and follow to get more updates. {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC just lost its short-term structure after getting rejected below key EMAs. Momentum is clearly bearish — RSI is deeply oversold but no sign of strong buyer absorption yet. The current move looks like continuation rather than exhaustion. As long as price stays below the broken support, BTC is likely to push lower to fill the weekly gap before any meaningful bounce.
Clean execution. Short from the local top and price delivered exactly as planned. Booked profits at key support — momentum cooled down after rejection, perfect spot to lock gains.
Now waiting for a bounce to re-test reaction before considering the next setup. Discipline > greed.
$INIT has broken above the previous range with strong momentum. Price is holding above key EMAs, while RSI remains elevated — confirming bullish strength rather than immediate exhaustion. As long as price holds above the 0.09 support zone, continuation toward higher targets is favored.
📌 Trend-following setup — trail stop after TP1 to protect profits.
$INIT has broken above the previous range with strong momentum. Price is holding above key EMAs, while RSI remains elevated — confirming bullish strength rather than immediate exhaustion. As long as price holds above the 0.09 support zone, continuation toward higher targets is favored.
📌 Trend-following setup — trail stop after TP1 to protect profits.
🩸 $RIVER — rejection at local top, pullback expected
SHORT $RIVER
Entry: 59-60 TP1: 56 TP2: 52 TP3: 48 SL: 63.8
$RIVER shows signs of exhaustion after a strong impulsive move. Price rejected near the 63.5 area and is losing momentum on lower timeframes. RSI cooling down while price fails to hold the highs — a corrective move toward lower demand zones is likely.
📌 Bias: short-term pullback within a higher timeframe uptrend. Manage risk and secure profits step by step.
$RIVER is holding a strong bullish structure after the recent pullback. Price remains above key EMAs, and momentum stays healthy despite RSI being elevated — indicating strong buyer control rather than distribution. Preferred scenario is continuation toward higher liquidity zones.
📌 Update: Previous river long already WIN +102%, this is the next continuation setup following the same bias.
Risk management first, scale out profits at each TP.
The current bias favors a recovery phase, flow shows solid absorption on downside pressure, higher-low structure remains valid, selling pressure fades on each push, and market psychology shifts toward a technical rebound rather than panic continuation. Stay disciplined and let momentum confirm the move.
This auction isn’t about guessing the “right” number.
With a sealed-bid Dutch model, the only price that matters is the final clearing price — everyone who wins pays the same. Bid too low and you’re out. Bid higher and you’re not punished.
So the real game is probability, not precision.
A smarter approach is to spread conviction: • One part of capital is there just to make sure you’re in. • One part targets where you think demand naturally clusters. • One part waits for fear, chaos, or last-minute mispricing.
You’re not predicting the market — you’re positioning for multiple outcomes.
Operational notes: • Bidding is done with shielded USDT (cUSDT) • Expect ETH gas if you interact on mainnet • Full unlock at TGE on Feb 2, 2026
If you’re risk-aware, consider hedging a portion of your future allocation on launch to protect capital.
Personal thoughts only. Do your own homework. #ZAMA
Is anyone still grinding the IR & STABLE volume race? Fees are bleeding hard lately… seriously considering whether it’s still worth pushing or just dropping the race. 😵💫