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🇺🇸In 1985, the U.S. dollar had become too strong. U.S. factories were losing business, exports were collapsing, and trade deficits were exploding. Congress was close to putting heavy tariffs on Japan and Europe.
So the U.S., Japan, Germany, France, and the U.K. met in New York at the Plaza Hotel and made a deal. They agreed to deliberately weaken the dollar. By directly selling dollars and buying other currencies together. That was the Plaza Accord and it worked.
Over the next 3 years:
- The dollar index fell almost 50%.
- USD/JPY moved from 260 to 120.
- The yen doubled in value.
This was one of the biggest currency resets in modern history. Because when governments coordinate in FX, markets don’t fight them. They follow. That decision changed everything.
A weaker dollar pushed:
- Gold higher
- Commodities higher
- Non-U.S. markets higher
- Asset prices higher in dollar terms
Now look at today.
The U.S. still runs large trade deficits. Currency imbalances are at the highest. Japan is again at the center of stress. And the yen is again extremely weak. That is why Plaza Accord 2.0 is even being discussed.
Last week, the NY Fed did rate checks on USD/JPY, which is the exact step taken before FX intervention. It signals willingness to sell dollars and buy yen, just like 1985.
No intervention happened yet. But markets moved anyway. Because they remember what Plaza means.
If that starts again, every asset priced in dollars will skyrocket.

Retail traders watch funding rate and thinks they understand the market sentiment. You see +0.08% funding and assume bullish. You see -0.02% and assume bearish sentiment. But in reality, you’re reading half the data.
Funding rate shows what leverage side is paying. Open Interest shows if new positions are actually being opened. When you see a divergence between two, it tells you exactly who’s in control.
Here are four different scenarios:
OI Rising + Funding Rising = Retail FOMO
Everyone piling into longs with leverage. This tops within 3-7 days 78% of the time. The higher the funding, the closer the liquidation cascade.
OI Rising + Funding Falling = Institutional Accumulation
Big money opening positions but not enough retail on the other side to push funding positive. This results in a major move. When OI climbs 15%+ while funding stays neutral or negative, breakouts follow within 2 weeks 71% of the time.
OI Falling + Funding Rising = Retail Trap
Funding rate climbing but total positions decreasing means small accounts opening new longs while smart money exits. This is distribution phase most likely. Price usually dumps within 5 days.
OI Falling + Funding Falling = Dead Market
No conviction either direction. Skip it.
The cleanest signal is OI rising with funding falling or neutral. It means positions are being built without aggressive leverage. Retail is not in yet. When funding finally turns positive after OI has already climbed 20%+, that’s your confirmation that the move is starting.
I backtested this on 2020-2024 data. When funding exceeds +0.10% while OI drops, price dumps within 7 days 82% of the time. When OI rises 15%+ while funding stays below +0.03%, price pumps within 14 days 76% of the time. This is your signal.

🚨Most people are distracted by daily candles, but the 99% are about to lose it all.
This isn't FUD—it's a structural macro shift that happens once in a generation.​The signals are quiet, but the math is loud. Here is the professional breakdown of the "Slow-Motion Collapse" unfolding right now:
​1️⃣ The Debt Death Spiral 💸​The U.S. National Debt isn't just a number anymore; it’s a trap. Debt is growing faster than GDP. We aren't in a "Growth Cycle"—we are in a Refinancing Cycle. We are printing money just to pay the interest on the money we already printed.​
2️⃣ Liquidity is Suffocating 🏦​Don't be fooled by "injections." The Fed is pumping cash because the pipes are leaking.​Repo facilities are spiking.​Banks are desperate for cash.​The Reality: Central banks act quietly when they are scared.​
3️⃣ The "Safe Haven" Signal 🟡​Why are Gold and Silver hitting record highs? It’s not a coincidence. Smart money is fleeing "paper assets" and seeking Hard Assets. When confidence in the system erodes, capital rotates to where it can’t be deleted.​
4️⃣ How the Crash Actually Happens:​History shows us the exact sequence every single time:​
5️⃣Funding Tightens (We are here 📍)​Bond Stress Appears 3. Equities Ignore It (The "Trap" Phase)​Volatility Explodes
💥​Risk Assets Reprice (The Great Reset)​⚠️ THE BOTTOM LINE:​By the time the news headlines scream "CRASH," it will be too late. The market whispers before it screams. This is a phase for positioning, not panic. Leverage will be unforgiving in 2026. Risk management is no longer optional—it is your only survival tool.​
Are you prepared for a 2026 market repricing, or are you hoping the music never stops? 👇

Also, für den Fall, dass du es verpasst hast…

Der Pate der globalen Liquidität, Michael Howell, erwartet, dass die Liquidität (auch bekannt als die Menge an Geld, die im globalen Finanzmarkt zirkuliert) im ersten Quartal dieses Jahres ihren Höhepunkt erreichen wird.

Mit diesem Gedanken im Hinterkopf stellte einer unserer PRO All Access Mitglieder diese Frage:

„Angesichts der Tatsache, dass Bitcoin historisch eng mit der globalen Liquidität verbunden ist und oft in einen Bärenmarkt eintritt, bevor die Liquidität tatsächlich ihren Höhepunkt erreicht, mache ich mir Sorgen, dass wir selbst wenn sich der breitere Geschäftszusammenhang im Jahr 2026 verbessert, wie Tomas in seinen Newslettern vorgeschlagen hat, möglicherweise bereits in einem langfristigen Bärenmarkt sein könnten.“

And yet, almost no one is paying attention.

I’m not talking about Trump tariffs.
I’m not talking about Gold and Silver hitting new highs.

For the first time in over a decade, the New York Fed is openly signaling intervention in the Japanese yen.

That is a big deal.

Japanese government bond yields keep pushing to extreme levels.
The Bank of Japan is still in a hawkish mode.
And the yen is falling continuously.

When bond yields rise, the currency usually strengthens.

In Japan, the opposite is happening.

That is a sign something is breaking, and investors are feeling pessimistic about Japan’s economy.

As we know, Japan’s poor economic condition is horrible for the global economy.

And it looks like US policymakers are finally taking this risk seriously.

The New York Fed’s comments suggest a shift. They are now willing to step in and support the yen.

Here is how this usually works.

To support a currency, a central bank uses its own money. They create or use reserves, sell their own currency, and use that money to buy the currency they want to protect.

In simple terms:
The US would sell dollars and buy yen.

That is why markets reacted fast.

The US dollar index just printed one of its weakest weekly candles in months.

Traders are already pricing in a potential dollar devaluation and a stronger yen.

This is not just about helping Japan.

A weaker dollar actually helps the US government.

When the dollar loses value, future US debt becomes easier to deal with. The government still pays the same number of dollars, but those dollars are worth less in real terms.

A weaker dollar also makes US exports cheaper for the rest of the world, which reduces the trade deficit.

So supporting the yen while letting the dollar weaken is not a loss for the US. It is a policy choice that benefits both sides.

But the biggest winners are not governments. They are asset holders.

When a reserve currency like the dollar is devalued, assets priced in that currency usually go up.

Stocks, real estate, metals, and other financial assets rise in nominal terms.

That is already visible.

Most major asset classes are at or near all-time highs.

The only market that is still lagging is crypto.

While stocks and other assets look stretched, crypto is still far below its previous highs.

It has not fully priced in the same level of currency debasement and liquidity.

That is where the opportunity forms.

If the dollar devaluation theme continues, investors will start rotating.

They will look at markets that are trading at a big discount, and crypto will look appealing.

And this is when capital will start rotating out of crowded trades and into the crypto market, setting up one of the best catch-up trades ever.

I've been trading long enough to watch dozens of blue chip alts fade into irrelevancy. Bitcoin is the only asset where I genuinely don't worry about whether or not it will exist in the next 5 or 10 years. So, what is the strategy? How do you accumulate Bitcoin over time to actually build wealth?This is where most people go wrong. They're trying to trade Bitcoin like they do any other altcoins. They're trying to buy and sell, buy every dip, sell every top, get in and out constantly. With Bitcoin, you're much better of accumulate Bitcoin over the long term and allowing it to become part of your long-term portfolio with a multi-year, multi-decade time horizon.This is not a strategy for trading. We're not trying to catch every single pump and dump. What we're trying to do is accumulate Bitcoin over time. So, what's the best way to do that?Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)In my opinion the first one we can consider is dollar cost averaging. Buying regularly regardless of price. This is going to work for the vast majority of people. You're price agnostic and you're buying based on specific time intervals that you stick to.
Bitcoin Bull and Bear CyclesNow, if you want to take it one level further, you can actually analyze the chart and see that Bitcoin moves in relatively predictable bull and bear cycles. Let’s take a look. Basically, every four years in Bitcoin, we have a bull and a bear market. Every bull market, price goes up like crazy. Then we get anywhere from a 70% to 90% plus pullback before the bear market lows.Am I saying you need to wait for Bitcoin to drop 70% plus from all-time high to buy? Of course not. But 30%, 40%, 50% buys on Bitcoin have almost always yielded a very nice entry in the not too distant future. In the bull run, we can see pullbacks from 30% to 40%, sometimes even more, before price continues higher. Generally, once we get past that 50% pullback mark, we’re in a bear market and things can trade significantly lower.The good news is we’re not so worried about timing the bottoms and the tops. We just want to buy when price is at a discount.
Two Ways to Dollar Cost Average
In terms of dollar-cost averaging, there are really two ways to go about it:
1- Buy on predetermined time intervals, completely price agnostic.
2- Buy during massive capitulation events. When you see Bitcoin pull back 40%, 50%, 60%, sometimes more, it almost always and so far every time leads to a very well- discounted buy. You could sell at a much higher price not that long after.If you want a dollar cost average with a little more accuracy, this is how I would do it.
Look at the high timeframe charts only. Wait for those serious pullbacks on Bitcoin, and that’s when you really back up the truck. Otherwise, consistent buys over time are going to outperform almost everyone.This isn’t that complicated, but it can be hard to execute when your emotions are very high. Seeing big red candles, those are difficult to buy.
Remember, when there’s blood in the streets, that’s when we want to be looking for our opportunities. Your goal is to accumulate more Bitcoin over time because, remember, the denominator it’s worthless.
That’s all I got for this article, guys. I hope you enjoyed it.