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The Fed Just Released the FOMC Minutes. Bitcoin Is at $68K in Extreme Fear
Right now, at this exact moment, the crypto market is holding its breath.
The Federal Reserve is releasing the minutes from its January meeting today, February 18, 2026. These minutes will tell us exactly what Fed officials were thinking when they decided to keep interest rates frozen at 3.5% to 3.75%. They'll reveal whether policymakers are leaning toward cutting rates later this year or whether they plan to keep squeezing the economy with high rates for longer.
And that matters because Bitcoin is sitting at $68,000 right now. Down 46% from its all-time high of $126,300 just four months ago. The Fear and Greed Index is at 10. That's Extreme Fear. The lowest reading since the 2022 bear market bottom. Whales have deposited 12,000 additional BTC to exchanges in the past week, which historically means they're preparing to sell.
This is one of those days where the market picks a direction. Let me walk you through everything you need to know.
How Did We Get Here?
To understand why today matters, you need to understand how we got from $126K to $68K in just four months.
In October 2025, Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $126,300. ETF flows were massive. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust was pulling in hundreds of millions per day. Institutional money was pouring in. The narrative was simple: Bitcoin is going to $200K by year end. Everyone was euphoric.
Then November happened. BTC failed to hold the psychological $100K level. By November 18, it had crashed to $83,000. That was the first real crack. A lot of leveraged long positions got wiped out. The total crypto market cap started bleeding.
December brought a dead cat bounce back to $90,000. But the Federal Reserve killed the mood. In their December meeting, they delivered a 25 basis point cut, yes, but the language was brutal. They basically said don't expect more cuts anytime soon. The dot plot showed only 33 basis points of cuts projected for all of 2026. Markets were pricing in much more. The sell-the-news dynamic kicked in hard.
On top of that, President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. Powell's term ends May 15, 2026. Warsh is generally seen as more hawkish, which spooked risk-asset traders.
January 2026 made things worse. The Fed held rates at 3.5-3.75% as expected. BTC dropped to $82,400. Then the broader crash accelerated into February. Leveraged positions got liquidated. $49 million in longs were wiped in a single 24-hour period. BTC fell through multiple support levels and is now sitting at $68,000, right at the lower boundary of its consolidation range.
Here's the stat that should make you pay attention: Bitcoin only rallied after 1 out of 8 FOMC meetings in 2025. That's a 12.5% success rate. 75% of the time, crypto dropped after FOMC events. The pattern has been overwhelmingly sell-the-news.
What Are the FOMC Minutes and Why Do They Matter?
For those who are newer to this, let me explain what's actually happening today.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets eight times per year to decide interest rates. When they met on January 28, they announced their decision: hold rates at 3.5-3.75%. That announcement was already priced in. Nobody expected a cut.
But the minutes are different. The minutes come out three weeks after the meeting and contain the detailed discussion. Who said what. What concerns were raised. Whether officials disagreed. How they view inflation going forward. Whether they're leaning toward cuts or holding firm.
This is where the real information lives. The announcement tells you what they did. The minutes tell you what they're thinking about doing next.
Specifically, traders are looking for three things. First, how many officials pushed for rate cuts versus how many want to wait. Second, how concerned they are about inflation staying sticky versus the economy slowing down. Third, any language about the timeline for the next cut, whether that's March, April, or later.
Two Scenarios: What Could Happen Today
There are really only two outcomes that matter. Either the minutes lean dovish (good for crypto) or hawkish (bad for crypto). Let me break down both.
Scenario A: Dovish. If the minutes show that several Fed officials expressed comfort with cutting rates in the near future, or if they highlighted falling inflation (CPI just came in at 2.4%, below the expected 2.5%, the lowest in over four years) or weakness in the labor market, the market will interpret this as rate cuts coming sooner. The dollar would likely weaken. Money flows from bonds into riskier assets. Bitcoin could rally toward the $72-75K range. Altcoins would pop 10-15%. The Fear and Greed Index would start climbing out of extreme territory.
I'd put the probability of this scenario at roughly 35%. The CPI data supports it. Inflation is genuinely falling. Employment data is softening. Multiple analysts, including Liz Thomas, have noted that markets are now pricing in about 2.5% in total cuts for 2026, the most since December. There's a real case that the Fed is closer to cutting than people think.
Scenario B: Hawkish. If the minutes emphasize patience, highlight that inflation risks remain elevated (especially from tariffs, which the Fed flagged in their December minutes as a driver of goods inflation), or suggest that the recent pause should be extended well into 2026, this is the bearish outcome. The dollar strengthens. Risk appetite disappears. Bitcoin could test the critical $65,000 support level. If $65K breaks, the next significant support is $60,000. Liquidation cascades become a real risk with the current amount of leveraged longs in the market.
I'd put this at roughly 65% probability. The Fed's own dot plot from December projected only 33 basis points of cuts for 2026. Multiple officials have been on record saying patience is warranted. The Warsh nomination signals a more hawkish direction for the Fed going forward. And the last eight FOMC events have been bearish for crypto 75% of the time.
The Numbers You Need to Watch Right Now
Let me give you the exact levels and data points that are going to determine what happens next.
The Fear and Greed Index is at 10. This is Extreme Fear. For context, this is the same level we saw during the worst of the 2022 bear market. Historically, extreme fear readings have marked local bottoms about 60% of the time. But 40% of the time, they preceded even more downside. Extreme fear doesn't automatically mean buy. It means the market is scared, and scared markets can get more scared.
Bitcoin's critical support is at $65,000. This is the level that absolutely must hold. If BTC closes a daily candle below $65K, the next stop is likely $60,000, which coincides with historical support from early 2025. Below that, there isn't major support until the $55-58K range. Conversely, $69,500 is the resistance that BTC needs to break above to confirm any kind of reversal. A daily close above $69,500 would be the first bullish signal we've gotten in weeks.
The Fed rate sits at 3.50-3.75%. Markets don't expect a cut at the next meeting (March 17-18), but the probability of a cut by April is rising. CME FedWatch shows about 52% probability of a March cut, up from lower levels. If today's minutes push that probability higher, it's bullish for crypto.
CPI inflation came in at 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%. This is the lowest reading in over four years and it's getting close to the Fed's 2% target. This data supports the case for rate cuts. But the Fed's preferred measure, PCE inflation, drops on February 20. That's another potential catalyst just two days away.
The whale data is concerning. On-chain analytics show that addresses holding large amounts of BTC have deposited roughly 12,000 additional BTC to exchanges like Binance in the past week. Exchange reserves increasing like this typically means big players are positioning to sell. It doesn't guarantee selling, but it increases supply-side pressure.
What You Should Actually Do Today
I'm going to be specific here because I think vague advice is useless in moments like this.
If you're already holding BTC or altcoins, do not make any moves before the FOMC minutes are released. Seriously. Wait for the reaction. If the minutes are dovish and the market rallies, you're holding through a recovery. If the minutes are hawkish and we drop, you'll have better information to decide whether to hold, add a stop-loss, or reduce your position. Panic selling at $68K when the Fear index is at 10 is exactly how people lose money. They sell the bottom and buy the top. Set a stop-loss at $64K if you need a safety net, but don't sell into panic.
If you want to buy the dip, patience is everything today. Do not rush in before the minutes drop. If the minutes are dovish, buy in the $67-68K range with a plan to add more if we push lower. If the minutes are hawkish, wait for $65K or below for a better entry. In either case, don't go all in. Use a DCA approach. Put 20-30% of your intended capital in now, and save the rest for after we get clarity from both the FOMC minutes and the PCE data on February 20.
If you're on the sidelines with cash, remember that cash is a position. You are not missing out. You are positioned to buy when the risk-reward is best. Watch for a daily close above $69,500 as a confirmed bullish signal. Watch for a break below $65K as a warning of more pain to come. Set alerts on your phone and let the market come to you. Staring at 1-minute candles all day will not help you make better decisions.
The Bigger Calendar: What's Coming After Today
Today isn't the only event that matters. There's a loaded calendar over the next few months that will determine whether crypto recovers or digs deeper into bear territory.
Right after today's FOMC minutes, we have the PCE inflation data dropping on February 20. This is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure. If PCE comes in soft, it massively strengthens the case for rate cuts and could trigger a relief rally even if today's minutes are hawkish. Mark this date.
ETHDenver runs from February 18 to 25. While it's focused on Ethereum, the speakers this year include SEC Chair Paul Atkins, Commissioner Hester Peirce, and Bo Hines from the White House crypto advisory team. Any positive regulatory signals from these officials could act as a catalyst for the entire market. Crypto regulation clarity has been one of the most anticipated themes of 2026.
The next FOMC meeting is March 17-18. This is the big one. It comes with updated economic projections and a new dot plot showing where officials think rates are heading. If the dot plot shifts toward more cuts than the current projection of 33 basis points, the market will front-run the easing with a significant rally.
And then there's the wildcard: May 15, when Jerome Powell's term officially ends and Kevin Warsh is expected to take over as Fed Chair. Warsh is considered more hawkish than Powell, which could create headwinds for risk assets. But there's also a scenario where Warsh, wanting to establish himself, starts his tenure with a cut to show he's not just a hawk. The market will be gaming this transition for months.
My Take: What I'm Doing Personally
I'm not going to pretend I have a crystal ball. But I'll tell you exactly what I'm doing with my own positions.
I'm holding my existing BTC position. I didn't sell at $100K and I'm not selling at $68K. My cost basis is lower than current prices and my time horizon is measured in years, not days. But I did set a stop-loss at $63,500 just in case we get a cascading liquidation event.
I'm keeping 50% of my trading capital in stablecoins. If today's minutes are dovish and we get a pop toward $72K, I'm not chasing. If the minutes are hawkish and we test $65K, I'm putting 25% of that cash to work. If we hit $60K, I'm deploying the remaining 25%. I'd rather buy lower and be patient than try to catch a falling knife at the first sign of green.
On altcoins, I'm doing nothing until Bitcoin shows a clear direction. Alts follow BTC in moments like this, and they follow it harder. A 5% BTC move translates to 10-20% on most alts. There's no reason to have heavy alt exposure until BTC reclaims $70K.
The one thing I'm watching more than price right now is the PCE data on February 20. If PCE inflation comes in below expectations, that's the real catalyst that could end this correction. The FOMC minutes set the stage, but PCE data is the trigger.
Whatever happens today, don't let the fear make your decisions. Extreme fear is when the best opportunities are created. But those opportunities require patience, discipline, and a plan. Have a plan before the minutes drop. Stick to it after.
#fomc #FOMCMinutes #Binance #CPIWatch #StrategyBTCPurchase
The Federal Reserve is releasing the minutes from its January meeting today, February 18, 2026. These minutes will tell us exactly what Fed officials were thinking when they decided to keep interest rates frozen at 3.5% to 3.75%. They'll reveal whether policymakers are leaning toward cutting rates later this year or whether they plan to keep squeezing the economy with high rates for longer.
And that matters because Bitcoin is sitting at $68,000 right now. Down 46% from its all-time high of $126,300 just four months ago. The Fear and Greed Index is at 10. That's Extreme Fear. The lowest reading since the 2022 bear market bottom. Whales have deposited 12,000 additional BTC to exchanges in the past week, which historically means they're preparing to sell.
This is one of those days where the market picks a direction. Let me walk you through everything you need to know.
How Did We Get Here?
To understand why today matters, you need to understand how we got from $126K to $68K in just four months.
In October 2025, Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $126,300. ETF flows were massive. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust was pulling in hundreds of millions per day. Institutional money was pouring in. The narrative was simple: Bitcoin is going to $200K by year end. Everyone was euphoric.
Then November happened. BTC failed to hold the psychological $100K level. By November 18, it had crashed to $83,000. That was the first real crack. A lot of leveraged long positions got wiped out. The total crypto market cap started bleeding.
December brought a dead cat bounce back to $90,000. But the Federal Reserve killed the mood. In their December meeting, they delivered a 25 basis point cut, yes, but the language was brutal. They basically said don't expect more cuts anytime soon. The dot plot showed only 33 basis points of cuts projected for all of 2026. Markets were pricing in much more. The sell-the-news dynamic kicked in hard.
On top of that, President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. Powell's term ends May 15, 2026. Warsh is generally seen as more hawkish, which spooked risk-asset traders.
January 2026 made things worse. The Fed held rates at 3.5-3.75% as expected. BTC dropped to $82,400. Then the broader crash accelerated into February. Leveraged positions got liquidated. $49 million in longs were wiped in a single 24-hour period. BTC fell through multiple support levels and is now sitting at $68,000, right at the lower boundary of its consolidation range.
Here's the stat that should make you pay attention: Bitcoin only rallied after 1 out of 8 FOMC meetings in 2025. That's a 12.5% success rate. 75% of the time, crypto dropped after FOMC events. The pattern has been overwhelmingly sell-the-news.
What Are the FOMC Minutes and Why Do They Matter?
For those who are newer to this, let me explain what's actually happening today.
The Federal Open Market Committee meets eight times per year to decide interest rates. When they met on January 28, they announced their decision: hold rates at 3.5-3.75%. That announcement was already priced in. Nobody expected a cut.
But the minutes are different. The minutes come out three weeks after the meeting and contain the detailed discussion. Who said what. What concerns were raised. Whether officials disagreed. How they view inflation going forward. Whether they're leaning toward cuts or holding firm.
This is where the real information lives. The announcement tells you what they did. The minutes tell you what they're thinking about doing next.
Specifically, traders are looking for three things. First, how many officials pushed for rate cuts versus how many want to wait. Second, how concerned they are about inflation staying sticky versus the economy slowing down. Third, any language about the timeline for the next cut, whether that's March, April, or later.
Two Scenarios: What Could Happen Today
There are really only two outcomes that matter. Either the minutes lean dovish (good for crypto) or hawkish (bad for crypto). Let me break down both.
Scenario A: Dovish. If the minutes show that several Fed officials expressed comfort with cutting rates in the near future, or if they highlighted falling inflation (CPI just came in at 2.4%, below the expected 2.5%, the lowest in over four years) or weakness in the labor market, the market will interpret this as rate cuts coming sooner. The dollar would likely weaken. Money flows from bonds into riskier assets. Bitcoin could rally toward the $72-75K range. Altcoins would pop 10-15%. The Fear and Greed Index would start climbing out of extreme territory.
I'd put the probability of this scenario at roughly 35%. The CPI data supports it. Inflation is genuinely falling. Employment data is softening. Multiple analysts, including Liz Thomas, have noted that markets are now pricing in about 2.5% in total cuts for 2026, the most since December. There's a real case that the Fed is closer to cutting than people think.
Scenario B: Hawkish. If the minutes emphasize patience, highlight that inflation risks remain elevated (especially from tariffs, which the Fed flagged in their December minutes as a driver of goods inflation), or suggest that the recent pause should be extended well into 2026, this is the bearish outcome. The dollar strengthens. Risk appetite disappears. Bitcoin could test the critical $65,000 support level. If $65K breaks, the next significant support is $60,000. Liquidation cascades become a real risk with the current amount of leveraged longs in the market.
I'd put this at roughly 65% probability. The Fed's own dot plot from December projected only 33 basis points of cuts for 2026. Multiple officials have been on record saying patience is warranted. The Warsh nomination signals a more hawkish direction for the Fed going forward. And the last eight FOMC events have been bearish for crypto 75% of the time.
The Numbers You Need to Watch Right Now
Let me give you the exact levels and data points that are going to determine what happens next.
The Fear and Greed Index is at 10. This is Extreme Fear. For context, this is the same level we saw during the worst of the 2022 bear market. Historically, extreme fear readings have marked local bottoms about 60% of the time. But 40% of the time, they preceded even more downside. Extreme fear doesn't automatically mean buy. It means the market is scared, and scared markets can get more scared.
Bitcoin's critical support is at $65,000. This is the level that absolutely must hold. If BTC closes a daily candle below $65K, the next stop is likely $60,000, which coincides with historical support from early 2025. Below that, there isn't major support until the $55-58K range. Conversely, $69,500 is the resistance that BTC needs to break above to confirm any kind of reversal. A daily close above $69,500 would be the first bullish signal we've gotten in weeks.
The Fed rate sits at 3.50-3.75%. Markets don't expect a cut at the next meeting (March 17-18), but the probability of a cut by April is rising. CME FedWatch shows about 52% probability of a March cut, up from lower levels. If today's minutes push that probability higher, it's bullish for crypto.
CPI inflation came in at 2.4% year-over-year, below the expected 2.5%. This is the lowest reading in over four years and it's getting close to the Fed's 2% target. This data supports the case for rate cuts. But the Fed's preferred measure, PCE inflation, drops on February 20. That's another potential catalyst just two days away.
The whale data is concerning. On-chain analytics show that addresses holding large amounts of BTC have deposited roughly 12,000 additional BTC to exchanges like Binance in the past week. Exchange reserves increasing like this typically means big players are positioning to sell. It doesn't guarantee selling, but it increases supply-side pressure.
What You Should Actually Do Today
I'm going to be specific here because I think vague advice is useless in moments like this.
If you're already holding BTC or altcoins, do not make any moves before the FOMC minutes are released. Seriously. Wait for the reaction. If the minutes are dovish and the market rallies, you're holding through a recovery. If the minutes are hawkish and we drop, you'll have better information to decide whether to hold, add a stop-loss, or reduce your position. Panic selling at $68K when the Fear index is at 10 is exactly how people lose money. They sell the bottom and buy the top. Set a stop-loss at $64K if you need a safety net, but don't sell into panic.
If you want to buy the dip, patience is everything today. Do not rush in before the minutes drop. If the minutes are dovish, buy in the $67-68K range with a plan to add more if we push lower. If the minutes are hawkish, wait for $65K or below for a better entry. In either case, don't go all in. Use a DCA approach. Put 20-30% of your intended capital in now, and save the rest for after we get clarity from both the FOMC minutes and the PCE data on February 20.
If you're on the sidelines with cash, remember that cash is a position. You are not missing out. You are positioned to buy when the risk-reward is best. Watch for a daily close above $69,500 as a confirmed bullish signal. Watch for a break below $65K as a warning of more pain to come. Set alerts on your phone and let the market come to you. Staring at 1-minute candles all day will not help you make better decisions.
The Bigger Calendar: What's Coming After Today
Today isn't the only event that matters. There's a loaded calendar over the next few months that will determine whether crypto recovers or digs deeper into bear territory.
Right after today's FOMC minutes, we have the PCE inflation data dropping on February 20. This is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure. If PCE comes in soft, it massively strengthens the case for rate cuts and could trigger a relief rally even if today's minutes are hawkish. Mark this date.
ETHDenver runs from February 18 to 25. While it's focused on Ethereum, the speakers this year include SEC Chair Paul Atkins, Commissioner Hester Peirce, and Bo Hines from the White House crypto advisory team. Any positive regulatory signals from these officials could act as a catalyst for the entire market. Crypto regulation clarity has been one of the most anticipated themes of 2026.
The next FOMC meeting is March 17-18. This is the big one. It comes with updated economic projections and a new dot plot showing where officials think rates are heading. If the dot plot shifts toward more cuts than the current projection of 33 basis points, the market will front-run the easing with a significant rally.
And then there's the wildcard: May 15, when Jerome Powell's term officially ends and Kevin Warsh is expected to take over as Fed Chair. Warsh is considered more hawkish than Powell, which could create headwinds for risk assets. But there's also a scenario where Warsh, wanting to establish himself, starts his tenure with a cut to show he's not just a hawk. The market will be gaming this transition for months.
My Take: What I'm Doing Personally
I'm not going to pretend I have a crystal ball. But I'll tell you exactly what I'm doing with my own positions.
I'm holding my existing BTC position. I didn't sell at $100K and I'm not selling at $68K. My cost basis is lower than current prices and my time horizon is measured in years, not days. But I did set a stop-loss at $63,500 just in case we get a cascading liquidation event.
I'm keeping 50% of my trading capital in stablecoins. If today's minutes are dovish and we get a pop toward $72K, I'm not chasing. If the minutes are hawkish and we test $65K, I'm putting 25% of that cash to work. If we hit $60K, I'm deploying the remaining 25%. I'd rather buy lower and be patient than try to catch a falling knife at the first sign of green.
On altcoins, I'm doing nothing until Bitcoin shows a clear direction. Alts follow BTC in moments like this, and they follow it harder. A 5% BTC move translates to 10-20% on most alts. There's no reason to have heavy alt exposure until BTC reclaims $70K.
The one thing I'm watching more than price right now is the PCE data on February 20. If PCE inflation comes in below expectations, that's the real catalyst that could end this correction. The FOMC minutes set the stage, but PCE data is the trigger.
Whatever happens today, don't let the fear make your decisions. Extreme fear is when the best opportunities are created. But those opportunities require patience, discipline, and a plan. Have a plan before the minutes drop. Stick to it after.
#fomc #FOMCMinutes #Binance #CPIWatch #StrategyBTCPurchase
Zayed Alvi:
60000 next for $BTC seriously
🚨 BREAKING: FED Emergency FOMC Meeting
🇺🇸 The Fed will hold an “emergency” FOMC meeting at 2:00 PM to discuss upcoming rate cuts and the recent market crash.
⚠️ Market Implications:
• Expect high volatility across equities, crypto, and forex
• Key short-term price swings likely — especially in $BTC , $ETH , and other major assets
• Traders should tighten risk management and watch for liquidity spikes
This is a catalyst event — prepare for fast moves and sudden trend shifts.
#FED #fomc #cryptotrading #BTC走势分析 #ETH
🇺🇸 The Fed will hold an “emergency” FOMC meeting at 2:00 PM to discuss upcoming rate cuts and the recent market crash.
⚠️ Market Implications:
• Expect high volatility across equities, crypto, and forex
• Key short-term price swings likely — especially in $BTC , $ETH , and other major assets
• Traders should tighten risk management and watch for liquidity spikes
This is a catalyst event — prepare for fast moves and sudden trend shifts.
#FED #fomc #cryptotrading #BTC走势分析 #ETH
FOMC Minutes coming out at 2:00 PM ET today!
The Federal Reserve is releasing the FOMC Minutes. These are the detailed notes from their last meeting about interest rates.
How it affects crypto:
📈 Good News: If the notes show they plan to lower interest rates soon, crypto prices usually go UP.
📉 Bad News: If they want to keep interest rates high, crypto prices usually go DOWN.
Expect volatility when the news drops. #fomc
The Federal Reserve is releasing the FOMC Minutes. These are the detailed notes from their last meeting about interest rates.
How it affects crypto:
📈 Good News: If the notes show they plan to lower interest rates soon, crypto prices usually go UP.
📉 Bad News: If they want to keep interest rates high, crypto prices usually go DOWN.
Expect volatility when the news drops. #fomc
Extreme Fear or Extreme Opportunity? 📉
The Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 10/100, entering the "Extreme Fear" zone today. While Bitcoin is battling to hold the $67,000 support, the broader market is feeling the weight of four consecutive weeks of ETF outflows totaling over $3.8 Billion.
Investors are eyeing two major events today:
FOMC Minutes: Will the Fed signal a dovish shift or keep rates higher for longer?
AI Skepticism: Traditional markets are wobbling over AI's near-term ROI, and crypto is currently mirroring that "risk-off" sentiment.
Pro Tip: Historically, "Extreme Fear" has been a precursor to local bottoms, but with the U.S. Supreme Court tariff ruling due Friday, volatility is just getting started.
#bitcoin #CryptoMarket #fomc #fearandgreed
Investors are eyeing two major events today:
FOMC Minutes: Will the Fed signal a dovish shift or keep rates higher for longer?
AI Skepticism: Traditional markets are wobbling over AI's near-term ROI, and crypto is currently mirroring that "risk-off" sentiment.
Pro Tip: Historically, "Extreme Fear" has been a precursor to local bottoms, but with the U.S. Supreme Court tariff ruling due Friday, volatility is just getting started.
#bitcoin #CryptoMarket #fomc #fearandgreed
Gold Near ₹1.53 Lakh & Silver Jumps ~4% Ahead of FOMC Minutes
Precious metals rallied in early India trade as traders positioned ahead of key U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes, seeking safe-haven and rate-sensitivity cues.
• MCX Gold (April): ~₹1,53,000+ per 10 g — gains on strong demand
• MCX Silver: +~4% surge as traders hedge ahead of FOMC release
• Rally driven by anticipation of softer U.S. rate signals and haven flows
• Bulls watch global yields, dollar strength & inflation data for next leg
Expert Insight:
Metals often outperform ahead of major monetary policy updates; a dovish tone in Fed minutes could further fuel bullion momentum, while hawkish surprises may cap gains.
#MCX #fomc #MarketUpdate #HavenDemand #BullionTrends $XAG $PAXG $XAU
Precious metals rallied in early India trade as traders positioned ahead of key U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes, seeking safe-haven and rate-sensitivity cues.
• MCX Gold (April): ~₹1,53,000+ per 10 g — gains on strong demand
• MCX Silver: +~4% surge as traders hedge ahead of FOMC release
• Rally driven by anticipation of softer U.S. rate signals and haven flows
• Bulls watch global yields, dollar strength & inflation data for next leg
Expert Insight:
Metals often outperform ahead of major monetary policy updates; a dovish tone in Fed minutes could further fuel bullion momentum, while hawkish surprises may cap gains.
#MCX #fomc #MarketUpdate #HavenDemand #BullionTrends $XAG $PAXG $XAU
📌 FOMC MINUTES TOMORROW — THIS COULD MOVE EVERYTHING
The Federal Reserve releases minutes from its January meeting tomorrow at 2:00 PM ET.
One sentence about rate cuts…
And markets could explode.
👀 What Traders Are Watching
Markets aren’t looking for what they did.
They’re looking for what they’re thinking.
Key clues:
• Are policymakers leaning toward cuts in H1?
• Is inflation cooling “enough”?
• Any concern about economic slowdown?
• Is liquidity about to expand again?
Even subtle wording shifts can reprice billions in seconds.
📈 Why This Matters for $BTC
When rate cuts expectations rise:
✔ Liquidity expectations increase
✔ Dollar weakens
✔ Risk assets rally
And historically, Bitcoin reacts fast to liquidity narratives.
This isn’t about hype.
It’s about capital flows.
🔥 Possible Scenarios
🟢 Dovish tone → BTC breakout attempt
🔴 Hawkish surprise → volatility & shakeout
⚖ Neutral → short-term chop before next move
Tomorrow isn’t just another macro event.
It’s a positioning moment.
Are you expecting:
• Early rate cuts?
• Or higher-for-longer pressure?
Drop your bias below 👇
$BTC
#fomc #FederalReserve #interestrates #mmszcryptominingcommunity #MarketRebound
The Federal Reserve releases minutes from its January meeting tomorrow at 2:00 PM ET.
One sentence about rate cuts…
And markets could explode.
👀 What Traders Are Watching
Markets aren’t looking for what they did.
They’re looking for what they’re thinking.
Key clues:
• Are policymakers leaning toward cuts in H1?
• Is inflation cooling “enough”?
• Any concern about economic slowdown?
• Is liquidity about to expand again?
Even subtle wording shifts can reprice billions in seconds.
📈 Why This Matters for $BTC
When rate cuts expectations rise:
✔ Liquidity expectations increase
✔ Dollar weakens
✔ Risk assets rally
And historically, Bitcoin reacts fast to liquidity narratives.
This isn’t about hype.
It’s about capital flows.
🔥 Possible Scenarios
🟢 Dovish tone → BTC breakout attempt
🔴 Hawkish surprise → volatility & shakeout
⚖ Neutral → short-term chop before next move
Tomorrow isn’t just another macro event.
It’s a positioning moment.
Are you expecting:
• Early rate cuts?
• Or higher-for-longer pressure?
Drop your bias below 👇
$BTC
#fomc #FederalReserve #interestrates #mmszcryptominingcommunity #MarketRebound
18 February – Big Day for the Markets! 📊🚀
Fed commentary expected to move the mood — keep an eye on any statements from the Federal Reserve, especially around ~16:25 UTC / 4:25 PM local US Eastern-time trading zone — that’s when traders are talking about potential volatility. ⚡ (Market chatter suggests possible market-moving remarks around then
When the Fed talks, $BTC and alts listen.
Trade smart, manage risk, and be ready for quick moves today!
#Binance #BTC走势分析 #fomc
When the Fed talks, $BTC and alts listen.
Trade smart, manage risk, and be ready for quick moves today!
#Binance #BTC走势分析 #fomc
📊 Wednesday – 18 February
🔔 FOMC Meeting Minutes – Release of the Fed’s January meeting minutes (time typically 14:00 ET).
This gives insight into the Fed’s thinking on interest rates, inflation, and future cuts.
Can move USD and yield markets, which influence BTC and gold sentiment.
Other smaller U.S. data may include:
Continued releases from trade, employment, or regional surveys later in the session.
📊 Friday – 20 February
This is the big data day for the U.S.:
📍 08:30 ET – Advance GDP (Q4 Annualized)
Forecast shows slower growth vs prior quarter
GDP is a core indicator of economic momentum.
📍 08:30 ET – Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) – Core & Headline
PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge; crucial for rate expectations.
Consensus expects a modest increase, but if unexpectedly soft it could fuel rate-cut bets; if strong it pressures markets.
📍 09:45 ET – Flash PMI (Feb)
Early snapshot of manufacturing & services activity, guiding GDP and labor trends.
📍 Also on Friday
Final Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb)
These help gauge consumer confidence heading into the first quarter.
📌 Summary of Market Drivers This Week
High-impact events:
• 🟦 FOMC Minutes (Wed) – insight into Fed policy bias
• 📊 GDP Advance & PCE (Fri) – core drivers for inflation and growth outlook
• 📈 Flash PMIs (Fri) – early momentum signal
📉 Market context:
Thin liquidity early in the week due to holiday closures and global festivities.
Back-loaded data (Wednesday → Friday) likely leads to higher volatility later in the week.
#ShutdownShowdown #fomc #Market_Update #Inflationrate #CPIWatch
🔔 FOMC Meeting Minutes – Release of the Fed’s January meeting minutes (time typically 14:00 ET).
This gives insight into the Fed’s thinking on interest rates, inflation, and future cuts.
Can move USD and yield markets, which influence BTC and gold sentiment.
Other smaller U.S. data may include:
Continued releases from trade, employment, or regional surveys later in the session.
📊 Friday – 20 February
This is the big data day for the U.S.:
📍 08:30 ET – Advance GDP (Q4 Annualized)
Forecast shows slower growth vs prior quarter
GDP is a core indicator of economic momentum.
📍 08:30 ET – Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) – Core & Headline
PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge; crucial for rate expectations.
Consensus expects a modest increase, but if unexpectedly soft it could fuel rate-cut bets; if strong it pressures markets.
📍 09:45 ET – Flash PMI (Feb)
Early snapshot of manufacturing & services activity, guiding GDP and labor trends.
📍 Also on Friday
Final Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb)
These help gauge consumer confidence heading into the first quarter.
📌 Summary of Market Drivers This Week
High-impact events:
• 🟦 FOMC Minutes (Wed) – insight into Fed policy bias
• 📊 GDP Advance & PCE (Fri) – core drivers for inflation and growth outlook
• 📈 Flash PMIs (Fri) – early momentum signal
📉 Market context:
Thin liquidity early in the week due to holiday closures and global festivities.
Back-loaded data (Wednesday → Friday) likely leads to higher volatility later in the week.
#ShutdownShowdown #fomc #Market_Update #Inflationrate #CPIWatch
#FOMC minutes are scheduled to drop today and #crypto markets are bracing for impact. Markets are already shaky, with $BTC under pressure and traders watching closely for Fed tone on future rate moves.
A hawkish signal could spark volatility, while dovish hints might fuel relief rallies
A hawkish signal could spark volatility, while dovish hints might fuel relief rallies
Binance BiBi:
Hey there! I see you're asking to confirm the information in the post. My search suggests the market is indeed anticipating the FOMC minutes release today, which can bring volatility. BTC is at $67,532.03 as of 15:05 UTC. It's always a good idea to verify this on official financial news sites yourself
🚨 FED JUST CONFIRMED THE LIQUIDITY WAVE 🚀
The market got its signal.
• Rate cuts aren’t stopping — easing cycle still intact.
• “75 bps to neutral” = policy shifting toward support mode.
• Three additional cuts now viewed as the base case.
That’s not random noise — that’s liquidity re-entering the system.
When monetary conditions loosen, risk assets respond. Crypto thrives on liquidity.
The Fed pivot narrative is strengthening. Ignore it at your own risk.
#Crypto #Altcoins #BullRun #FOMC #Liquidity 🚀
The market got its signal.
• Rate cuts aren’t stopping — easing cycle still intact.
• “75 bps to neutral” = policy shifting toward support mode.
• Three additional cuts now viewed as the base case.
That’s not random noise — that’s liquidity re-entering the system.
When monetary conditions loosen, risk assets respond. Crypto thrives on liquidity.
The Fed pivot narrative is strengthening. Ignore it at your own risk.
#Crypto #Altcoins #BullRun #FOMC #Liquidity 🚀
The Irish:
LiQUidITy GoOd fOr CrYpTo
🚨 FED SIGNALS MORE EASING AHEAD 🚀
The latest Fed messaging keeps the door open for continued rate cuts.
• Policy easing isn’t off the table.
• Markets are increasingly pricing a path toward neutral.
• Additional cuts remain a realistic base case if conditions soften.
That backdrop = improving liquidity conditions and stronger risk appetite.
For crypto and altcoins, macro liquidity still matters. Stay informed, manage risk, and watch the data.
#Crypto #Altcoins #Macro #FOMC #Liquidity
The latest Fed messaging keeps the door open for continued rate cuts.
• Policy easing isn’t off the table.
• Markets are increasingly pricing a path toward neutral.
• Additional cuts remain a realistic base case if conditions soften.
That backdrop = improving liquidity conditions and stronger risk appetite.
For crypto and altcoins, macro liquidity still matters. Stay informed, manage risk, and watch the data.
#Crypto #Altcoins #Macro #FOMC #Liquidity
Silver ($XAG) is pushing toward ~$76.30 ahead of the latest FOMC minutes. Traders are positioning as Fed signals on rates could trigger sharp volatility in metals. Dovish tone may fuel upside, hawkish stance could spark pullbacks. Safe haven demand + macro uncertainty = big moves incoming. Stay alert.
#Silver #XAG #fomc #Fed #PreciousMetals
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#Silver #XAG #fomc #Fed #PreciousMetals
$BTC $ETH $BNB
🔥🚨 BREAKING: Federal Open Market Committee has called an EMERGENCY MEETING today at 2:00 PM ET
Sources say discussions will focus on:
👉 Potential rate cuts
👉 Rising liquidity stress
👉 Possible $50 BILLION cash injection into markets
⚡ This signals serious concern behind the scenes.
📉📈 Expect extreme market volatility.
Traders, stay sharp. Big moves incoming. 💥💰
#FOMC #BreakingNews #RateCuts #Crypto #market_tips
$BTC $ETH $XRP
Sources say discussions will focus on:
👉 Potential rate cuts
👉 Rising liquidity stress
👉 Possible $50 BILLION cash injection into markets
⚡ This signals serious concern behind the scenes.
📉📈 Expect extreme market volatility.
Traders, stay sharp. Big moves incoming. 💥💰
#FOMC #BreakingNews #RateCuts #Crypto #market_tips
$BTC $ETH $XRP
🚨 FED JUST FIRED THE STARTING GUN FOR A CRYPTO PARABOLIC MOVE 🚀
The signal is clear — liquidity is coming back.
💰 Rate cuts are NOT stopping.
👉 “75 BPS to neutral” = money printer warming up again.
✅ Three more cuts now becoming the base case.
🔥 Markets price liquidity before it arrives — and crypto moves fastest.
This isn’t just another bounce… this is the type of macro shift that starts generational trends.
Smart money is positioning early.
Don’t fade the Fed.
#Crypto #Altcoins #BullRun #FOMC #Liquidity 🚀
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
The signal is clear — liquidity is coming back.
💰 Rate cuts are NOT stopping.
👉 “75 BPS to neutral” = money printer warming up again.
✅ Three more cuts now becoming the base case.
🔥 Markets price liquidity before it arrives — and crypto moves fastest.
This isn’t just another bounce… this is the type of macro shift that starts generational trends.
Smart money is positioning early.
Don’t fade the Fed.
#Crypto #Altcoins #BullRun #FOMC #Liquidity 🚀
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
FED CALLS EMERGENCY MEETING. MARKETS ARE CRASHING.
$BTC $ETH
The Federal Reserve is holding an emergency FOMC meeting today at 2:00 PM. They are discussing critical rate cuts and the recent market collapse. Expect massive volatility. This is not a drill. Prepare for explosive moves. The time to act is NOW. Don't get left behind.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky.
#FOMC #MarketCrash #CryptoTrading 🚀
$BTC $ETH
The Federal Reserve is holding an emergency FOMC meeting today at 2:00 PM. They are discussing critical rate cuts and the recent market collapse. Expect massive volatility. This is not a drill. Prepare for explosive moves. The time to act is NOW. Don't get left behind.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky.
#FOMC #MarketCrash #CryptoTrading 🚀
FOMC Minutes Today: The Catalyst for $70k or $60k? 🏛⚖
The market is holding its breath. As the FOMC minutes drop this afternoon, $BTC is coiled like a spring at $68,150. 📉📈
The "Extreme Fear" (Index: 12) suggests a market that is oversold and waiting for any excuse to rally. If the Fed hints at cooling inflation, we could see a massive short-squeeze toward the $72k resistance. If they remain hawkish, $60k becomes the next logical magnet.
Key Technicals:
🔹 RSI: 43 (Weak momentum, but not yet exhausted).
🔹 Death Cross Risk: We are watching the weekly MAs closely.
🔹 Whale Delta: Large wallet inflows haven't slowed down despite the noise.
Are you positioned for the breakout, or are you sitting in cash?
Follow for the immediate post-FOMC breakdown. 📊
#Bitcoin #BTC #FOMC #MacroEconomics #Crypto2026
The market is holding its breath. As the FOMC minutes drop this afternoon, $BTC is coiled like a spring at $68,150. 📉📈
The "Extreme Fear" (Index: 12) suggests a market that is oversold and waiting for any excuse to rally. If the Fed hints at cooling inflation, we could see a massive short-squeeze toward the $72k resistance. If they remain hawkish, $60k becomes the next logical magnet.
Key Technicals:
🔹 RSI: 43 (Weak momentum, but not yet exhausted).
🔹 Death Cross Risk: We are watching the weekly MAs closely.
🔹 Whale Delta: Large wallet inflows haven't slowed down despite the noise.
Are you positioned for the breakout, or are you sitting in cash?
Follow for the immediate post-FOMC breakdown. 📊
#Bitcoin #BTC #FOMC #MacroEconomics #Crypto2026
🚨 BTC AT $68K: THE TRAP NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT 🚨
Everyone is panicking. 📉 Bitcoin is down ~45% from the $126k ATH. The "Bubble Implosion" narrative is everywhere.
But are you watching the real data?
Today is Feb 18, 2026. The FOMC Minutes drop in a few hours. 🕒 While retail is selling in fear of the $60k breakdown, institutions are quietly looking at two things:
1️⃣ The "Clarity Act": Treasury Sec. Bessent is pushing this for Spring. This is the regulatory green light we've waited 10 years for.
2️⃣ Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh: A policy shift is coming.
The Setup:
We are sitting on critical support. $68,000 isn't just a number; it's the line in the sand before the next leg up. Remember 2024? The fear before the pump is always the loudest.
👇 My Strategy:
I’m NOT selling here. I’m layering bids on $BTC and watching $PEPE (which just broke its downtrend).
Question for you: Are we visiting $58k to flush the leverage, or is this the absolute bottom? Drop your price prediction below! 👇
#BTC #FOMC #ClarityAct #BullRun2026 #Write2Earn
But are you watching the real data?
Today is Feb 18, 2026. The FOMC Minutes drop in a few hours. 🕒 While retail is selling in fear of the $60k breakdown, institutions are quietly looking at two things:
1️⃣ The "Clarity Act": Treasury Sec. Bessent is pushing this for Spring. This is the regulatory green light we've waited 10 years for.
2️⃣ Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh: A policy shift is coming.
The Setup:
We are sitting on critical support. $68,000 isn't just a number; it's the line in the sand before the next leg up. Remember 2024? The fear before the pump is always the loudest.
👇 My Strategy:
I’m NOT selling here. I’m layering bids on $BTC and watching $PEPE (which just broke its downtrend).
Question for you: Are we visiting $58k to flush the leverage, or is this the absolute bottom? Drop your price prediction below! 👇
#BTC #FOMC #ClarityAct #BullRun2026 #Write2Earn
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