Itz_t_crypto
Exploring the world of Web3 and digital assets. Sharing what I learn as the market evolves. Let’s grow together. 🚀
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Harvard Endowment goes big on ETH - What you should know
Latest SEC filings reveal:
🔹 New Position: $86.8M in Ethereum ETF (ETHA)
🔹 BTC Trim: Sold 1.48M shares of IBIT (-21%)
🔹 Total Exposure: Over $352M in crypto ETFs
Even after selling some, Bitcoin remains Harvard's #1 largest public equity holding.
Most analysts agree this wasn't Harvard "dumping" Bitcoin. Since BTC hit all-time highs over $120k in October, they likely sold to lock in profits and diversified that "house money" into Ethereum while it was in a drawdown. #HarvardAddsETHExposure
Latest SEC filings reveal:
🔹 New Position: $86.8M in Ethereum ETF (ETHA)
🔹 BTC Trim: Sold 1.48M shares of IBIT (-21%)
🔹 Total Exposure: Over $352M in crypto ETFs
Even after selling some, Bitcoin remains Harvard's #1 largest public equity holding.
Most analysts agree this wasn't Harvard "dumping" Bitcoin. Since BTC hit all-time highs over $120k in October, they likely sold to lock in profits and diversified that "house money" into Ethereum while it was in a drawdown. #HarvardAddsETHExposure
FOMC Minutes coming out at 2:00 PM ET today!
The Federal Reserve is releasing the FOMC Minutes. These are the detailed notes from their last meeting about interest rates.
How it affects crypto:
📈 Good News: If the notes show they plan to lower interest rates soon, crypto prices usually go UP.
📉 Bad News: If they want to keep interest rates high, crypto prices usually go DOWN.
Expect volatility when the news drops. #fomc
The Federal Reserve is releasing the FOMC Minutes. These are the detailed notes from their last meeting about interest rates.
How it affects crypto:
📈 Good News: If the notes show they plan to lower interest rates soon, crypto prices usually go UP.
📉 Bad News: If they want to keep interest rates high, crypto prices usually go DOWN.
Expect volatility when the news drops. #fomc
Standard Chartered slashes Bitcoin & Ethereum targets - again.
The bank released its second major forecast cut in 3 months, warning that a "final capitulation" phase is coming before any real recovery.
Timeline of the shift:
- 1st Forecast (Dec 2025): They lowered their end-of-2026 BTC target from an ambitious $300K down to $150,000.
- 2nd Forecast (Feb 2026): Citing "brutal" market conditions and heavy ETF outflows, they slashed the 2026 target further to $100,000.
They warn that before we see green, we could see the following drop:
BTC: $50,000
ETH: $1,400
Let's see how it will all play out. #redpacket
The bank released its second major forecast cut in 3 months, warning that a "final capitulation" phase is coming before any real recovery.
Timeline of the shift:
- 1st Forecast (Dec 2025): They lowered their end-of-2026 BTC target from an ambitious $300K down to $150,000.
- 2nd Forecast (Feb 2026): Citing "brutal" market conditions and heavy ETF outflows, they slashed the 2026 target further to $100,000.
They warn that before we see green, we could see the following drop:
BTC: $50,000
ETH: $1,400
Let's see how it will all play out. #redpacket
On February 13, 2026, Tomasz Stańczak announced he is stepping down from his co-Executive Director role at the Ethereum Foundation, effective at the end of the month.
After nearly a year of pushing for internal reforms, Tomasz is passing the baton to Bastian Aue, who will serve as interim co-ED alongside Hsiao-Wei Wang.
While his time in the role was brief and saw some friction over outside ties, his exit is being framed as a move back to his roots as a builder. He plans to focus on new technical projects starting in March, wonder what he will come up with.
After nearly a year of pushing for internal reforms, Tomasz is passing the baton to Bastian Aue, who will serve as interim co-ED alongside Hsiao-Wei Wang.
While his time in the role was brief and saw some friction over outside ties, his exit is being framed as a move back to his roots as a builder. He plans to focus on new technical projects starting in March, wonder what he will come up with.
Data wise, it came in good (2.4% YoY) for everything not dollar, including BTC, thus the green in every pair/usd. hope this is not another fake news pump.
What to watch:
If BTC breaks $68,500, next target is $70,000
Key support remains at $66,000 #CPIWatch
What to watch:
If BTC breaks $68,500, next target is $70,000
Key support remains at $66,000 #CPIWatch
US CPI data today 13:30 UTC (aka in a few minutes).
Expected: 2.5% YoY. Could trigger volatility in BTC and market as a whole.
Hopefully this time it pushes us up for good #CPIWatch
Expected: 2.5% YoY. Could trigger volatility in BTC and market as a whole.
Hopefully this time it pushes us up for good #CPIWatch
US CPI data today 13:30 UTC (aka in a few minutes).
Expected: 2.5% YoY. Could trigger volatility in BTC and market as a whole.
Hopefully this time it pushes us up for good #CPIWatch
Expected: 2.5% YoY. Could trigger volatility in BTC and market as a whole.
Hopefully this time it pushes us up for good #CPIWatch
US Jobs data came in better than expected which means BTC might see itself back at 65k.
Though $BTC pumped at the news, usually such news reaction is a sign of short term relief and whati call ke let me give some greens and take it back with more reds.
Plan your trades accordingly #WhenWillBTCRebound
Though $BTC pumped at the news, usually such news reaction is a sign of short term relief and whati call ke let me give some greens and take it back with more reds.
Plan your trades accordingly #WhenWillBTCRebound
🚨 US JOBS DATA ALERT 🚨
Time: 13:30 UTC
Forecasts:
NFP: +70k (Prev: +50k)
Unemployment: 4.4% (Prev: 4.4%)
Wages (m/m): 0.3% (Prev: 0.3%)
Possible Price Impact (especially BTC):
Bullish Case: Jobs < 50k. Weak data signals a cooling economy, raising hopes for a Fed rate cut. This could push BTC back above $70,000.
Bearish Case: Jobs > 100k. Strong data boosts the USD, likely sending BTC toward the $65,000 support level or even lower.
Either way expect heavy volatility at the release!
Time: 13:30 UTC
Forecasts:
NFP: +70k (Prev: +50k)
Unemployment: 4.4% (Prev: 4.4%)
Wages (m/m): 0.3% (Prev: 0.3%)
Possible Price Impact (especially BTC):
Bullish Case: Jobs < 50k. Weak data signals a cooling economy, raising hopes for a Fed rate cut. This could push BTC back above $70,000.
Bearish Case: Jobs > 100k. Strong data boosts the USD, likely sending BTC toward the $65,000 support level or even lower.
Either way expect heavy volatility at the release!
🚨 US JOBS DATA ALERT 🚨
Time: 13:30 UTC
Forecasts:
NFP: +70k (Prev: +50k)
Unemployment: 4.4% (Prev: 4.4%)
Wages (m/m): 0.3% (Prev: 0.3%)
Possible Price Impact (especially BTC):
Bullish Case: Jobs < 50k. Weak data signals a cooling economy, raising hopes for a Fed rate cut. This could push BTC back above $70,000.
Bearish Case: Jobs > 100k. Strong data boosts the USD, likely sending BTC toward the $65,000 support level or even lower.
Either way expect heavy volatility at the release!
Time: 13:30 UTC
Forecasts:
NFP: +70k (Prev: +50k)
Unemployment: 4.4% (Prev: 4.4%)
Wages (m/m): 0.3% (Prev: 0.3%)
Possible Price Impact (especially BTC):
Bullish Case: Jobs < 50k. Weak data signals a cooling economy, raising hopes for a Fed rate cut. This could push BTC back above $70,000.
Bearish Case: Jobs > 100k. Strong data boosts the USD, likely sending BTC toward the $65,000 support level or even lower.
Either way expect heavy volatility at the release!
Brief #analysis for all the $SOL traders, If this 80ish zone breaks down, we might see it continue it's nosedive to 50ies level, however if it can hold, we can expect it to use it as a base to push back to favourable prices.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) drops its earnings report tonight at 22:00 UTC. Currently, its 713,500 BTC bag is in the negative (average cost: $76,052). What they do or say they will do might be highly impactful on the Market. High stakes for $BTC tonight.
If you're a $BNB fan, this 700ish to 800ish zone is what you'll want to reclaim, if it loses this zone, you might find yourself taking a trip back to the 500ish area. #CZ
In a report released Feb 3, 2026, Standard Chartered reviewed it's SOL price targets following a market drop to $100.
2026 Target: Cut to $250 (from $310)
2030 Target: $2,000
The bank argues that Solana’s ultra-low fees will eventually dominate AI-driven micropayments and stablecoin transfers, which currently move 3x faster than ETH.
I've always noted that you should separate your trading capital from investing capital. Depending on market movement, they can always cut or raise the target, do the same when trading or investing.
2026 Target: Cut to $250 (from $310)
2030 Target: $2,000
The bank argues that Solana’s ultra-low fees will eventually dominate AI-driven micropayments and stablecoin transfers, which currently move 3x faster than ETH.
I've always noted that you should separate your trading capital from investing capital. Depending on market movement, they can always cut or raise the target, do the same when trading or investing.
Spot fake #crypto influencers and #trading gurus - 4th Signal
I have posted 3 ways to spot fake crypto influencers and trading gurus and today I will add a fourth.
Signal - They Tell You to Sign Up on a Different Exchange
This one is ridiculous because in hindsight, why should I move from Binance to xyz exchange when all the tokens you "trade" are already on Binance (especially if they claim to use charts to trade). The guru tells you something like "for the best execution of my signals, or to trade more tokens, you need to use this specific exchange. Here's my referral link to get started."
Sounds innocent, but here’s the truth: they’re making money off you before you even take your first trade. Most exchanges pay big referral commissions—sometimes 50% of your trading fees for life. So whether you win or lose, they get paid every time you trade.
Some of these “recommended” exchanges are even worse—poor liquidity, higher fees, shady security. They push them because the commissions are better, not because it helps you.
If they’re such great traders, why are they so desperate for you to sign up with their referral code?
These guys are most likely to make you lose money than make money. Watch out.
I have posted 3 ways to spot fake crypto influencers and trading gurus and today I will add a fourth.
Signal - They Tell You to Sign Up on a Different Exchange
This one is ridiculous because in hindsight, why should I move from Binance to xyz exchange when all the tokens you "trade" are already on Binance (especially if they claim to use charts to trade). The guru tells you something like "for the best execution of my signals, or to trade more tokens, you need to use this specific exchange. Here's my referral link to get started."
Sounds innocent, but here’s the truth: they’re making money off you before you even take your first trade. Most exchanges pay big referral commissions—sometimes 50% of your trading fees for life. So whether you win or lose, they get paid every time you trade.
Some of these “recommended” exchanges are even worse—poor liquidity, higher fees, shady security. They push them because the commissions are better, not because it helps you.
If they’re such great traders, why are they so desperate for you to sign up with their referral code?
These guys are most likely to make you lose money than make money. Watch out.
Why is BTC so weak, every other major instruments that were affected by the dollar move are strongly recovering or close to full recovery, but just look at BTC 👀
Once a coin is in it's price discovery phase, don't stress yourself in trying to predict where it will "top", you're better of guessing when a meteor will land on the earth.
At that point just follow the trend, so many people lost money trying to guess the top and shorted coins like BTC, Gold, RIVER, MYX, even Silver when they were (XAU and XAG are still in this phase) in their discovery phase, they got liquidated before the coin decided that they were going to cool down and stop/pause discovering.
In short, when a coin is in this phase, just ride the wave till it stops by itself, you're not big enough to stop the wave so just ride it.
At that point just follow the trend, so many people lost money trying to guess the top and shorted coins like BTC, Gold, RIVER, MYX, even Silver when they were (XAU and XAG are still in this phase) in their discovery phase, they got liquidated before the coin decided that they were going to cool down and stop/pause discovering.
In short, when a coin is in this phase, just ride the wave till it stops by itself, you're not big enough to stop the wave so just ride it.
The Fed meeting is today:
Expectations are that rates are likely staying the same, but the real drama starts when Powell speaks at 2:30 PM ET.
📉 Hawkish (tough) talk: Bitcoin might dip to $86k
📈 Dovish (chill) talk: We could see a pump to $92k+
One thing is for sure, volatility will have a field day today #FedWatch
Expectations are that rates are likely staying the same, but the real drama starts when Powell speaks at 2:30 PM ET.
📉 Hawkish (tough) talk: Bitcoin might dip to $86k
📈 Dovish (chill) talk: We could see a pump to $92k+
One thing is for sure, volatility will have a field day today #FedWatch
New PayPal/NCA report shows crypto adoption is increasing in normal everyday life:
The Numbers:
39% of U.S. merchants now accept crypto
84% think crypto payments will be normal by 2030
50% of big companies ($500M+) already taking it
88% of merchants say customers keep asking to pay with crypto.
What it means:
Crypto is increasingly becoming actual money you can spend, not just an investment or trading. PayPal and others are making it simple for stores to accept.
Bottom line: Mass adoption isn't coming—it's here.
The Numbers:
39% of U.S. merchants now accept crypto
84% think crypto payments will be normal by 2030
50% of big companies ($500M+) already taking it
88% of merchants say customers keep asking to pay with crypto.
What it means:
Crypto is increasingly becoming actual money you can spend, not just an investment or trading. PayPal and others are making it simple for stores to accept.
Bottom line: Mass adoption isn't coming—it's here.
$RIVER I recommend you pay attention to RIVER, but not just as trading but as a lesson on how to trade coins that you don't understand how it keeps going up.
Watch this coin until it cools off, note every candle movement, every funding fee, every liquidity change, this will help you know how to trade coins like this, compare it to how $MYX moved and the likes of $LIGHT , you'll learn something valuable
Watch this coin until it cools off, note every candle movement, every funding fee, every liquidity change, this will help you know how to trade coins like this, compare it to how $MYX moved and the likes of $LIGHT , you'll learn something valuable
Easy Ways to Spot Fake Trading Influencers & Signal "Gods"
Every day, someone online promises to 2x, 5x, or 10x your money with “secret strategies” and flashy screenshots. Most of them aren’t great traders, they’re great marketers.
Here are 3 major red flags to watch out for 👇
They Only Show Percentage Gains (No Dollar Amounts)
“+200% today!” sounds impressive… until you realize it was made on a $1 trade. Anyone can turn tiny money into huge percentages using high leverage or demo accounts.
Real traders don’t hide dollar PnL forever — and they don’t flex percentages nonstop. Percentages without context = smoke and mirrors.
See the pics to show you just how easy it is to do this, I had to do it with my account so the % is lower than what they usually post
Hype Post:
Real Result:
They Use Extreme Leverage Compared to Their Signals
They post insane gains using 50x–75x leverage, but tell their followers to use 5x–10x “for safety.”
That means:
They take massive risks for screenshotsYou’ll never get the same results, even if you follow perfectly
It's a clever mind game. They look like trading experts while you're confused about why your results are so different. The reason is simple: you're playing a completely different game than they are. They're showing you Ferrari-level results but selling you something that barely runs.
Multiple Take Profits, One Stop Loss
This one is a mathematical trick. Their signals always have multiple targets (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4) and one stop-loss. Sounds professional, right?
Here's the scam: TP1 is super close to entry—maybe 0.5% away. It hits almost every time. Sometimes TP2 hits too. Then the trade reverses and stops out. But they still call it a "win" because two targets got hit.
They'll brag about an 80% win rate because most trades hit at least one target. But you're losing money because the losses are bigger than the wins. You need four winning trades just to recover from one loss.
A decent strategy should have at least a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. This is nowhere close. And that final target that would actually give you 1:1? You'll almost never hit it.
Bottom Line
Most trading influencers aren’t successful traders — they’re selling hope, not results. They've figured out how to sell hope to people who want quick money. Their real skill isn't reading charts, it's reading people.
Before you waste your time and money on these fakes, watch for the red flags, ask hard questions, and most of all, just learn trading yourself.
Here are 3 major red flags to watch out for 👇
They Only Show Percentage Gains (No Dollar Amounts)
“+200% today!” sounds impressive… until you realize it was made on a $1 trade. Anyone can turn tiny money into huge percentages using high leverage or demo accounts.
Real traders don’t hide dollar PnL forever — and they don’t flex percentages nonstop. Percentages without context = smoke and mirrors.
See the pics to show you just how easy it is to do this, I had to do it with my account so the % is lower than what they usually post
Hype Post:
Real Result:
They Use Extreme Leverage Compared to Their Signals
They post insane gains using 50x–75x leverage, but tell their followers to use 5x–10x “for safety.”
That means:
They take massive risks for screenshotsYou’ll never get the same results, even if you follow perfectly
It's a clever mind game. They look like trading experts while you're confused about why your results are so different. The reason is simple: you're playing a completely different game than they are. They're showing you Ferrari-level results but selling you something that barely runs.
Multiple Take Profits, One Stop Loss
This one is a mathematical trick. Their signals always have multiple targets (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4) and one stop-loss. Sounds professional, right?
Here's the scam: TP1 is super close to entry—maybe 0.5% away. It hits almost every time. Sometimes TP2 hits too. Then the trade reverses and stops out. But they still call it a "win" because two targets got hit.
They'll brag about an 80% win rate because most trades hit at least one target. But you're losing money because the losses are bigger than the wins. You need four winning trades just to recover from one loss.
A decent strategy should have at least a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. This is nowhere close. And that final target that would actually give you 1:1? You'll almost never hit it.
Bottom Line
Most trading influencers aren’t successful traders — they’re selling hope, not results. They've figured out how to sell hope to people who want quick money. Their real skill isn't reading charts, it's reading people.
Before you waste your time and money on these fakes, watch for the red flags, ask hard questions, and most of all, just learn trading yourself.
Volatility Again? Flash US PMI Data Incoming @14:45 UTC
Forecast:
Manufacturing PMI: 51.9 (Previous: 51.8)
Services PMI: 52.9 (Previous: 52.5)
Why it Matters: The 50.0 mark separates expansion from contraction. Current forecasts suggest a slight acceleration in US economic activity. So as long as things stay within range, it's all good.
Forecast:
Manufacturing PMI: 51.9 (Previous: 51.8)
Services PMI: 52.9 (Previous: 52.5)
Why it Matters: The 50.0 mark separates expansion from contraction. Current forecasts suggest a slight acceleration in US economic activity. So as long as things stay within range, it's all good.
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