🔵 ETH UPDATE | Feb 19, 2026
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BIAS: BEARISH

ETH followed BTC lower and broke through everything in a single session — Daily VWAP, EMA21, EMA50, EMA200, Middle trend line, Fib 0.618, all in one move. All 9 timeframes are bearish with no exceptions. Three Black Crows confirmed on Weekly. Weekly VWAP at $2,002 is now overhead resistance, not support.

There's a short-term bounce happening right now — but read the data, not the candles. On the 1H chart, efficiency is at 1,032%, meaning price is moving while almost nobody is actually buying. On the 15M, sigma hit -2.36 — statistically significant selling pressure that just paused. The Weekly exhaustion is at 1%, which means sellers on that timeframe have almost nothing left — a relief rally is increasingly likely before the next leg down.

The liquidation heatmap is clear: the largest cluster above sits at $1,995–$2,005 (yellow zone, confirmed across all timeframes). That's where the bounce is likely headed — and that's exactly where the best short entry sits. Below price, $1,920–$1,930 and $1,900–$1,910 are loaded with long liquidations — those are the targets.

🎯 TRADE SETUPS:
SHORT (Best) → NEAREST ENTRY
Entry: $1,965.93–$1,982.89 (Previous week close + Daily VWAP + EMA21)
Stop: $1,992
TP1: $1,923.99 — R:R 2.9:1
TP2: $1,905 — R:R 3.9:1

SHORT (Decent)
Entry: $1,987.09–$2,010.81 (Top trend line + Fib 0.618 + EMA50 + Liq $1,995–$2,005)
Stop: $2,020
TP1: $1,923.99 — R:R 3.6:1
TP2: $1,905 — R:R 4.5:1

LONG Bounce (Risk)
Entry: $1,951.42–$1,955.54 (Fib 0.5 + Middle trend line)
Stop: $1,940
TP1: $1,974.41 — R:R 1.6:1
TP2: $1,998.95 — R:R 3.4:1

⚠️ AVOID shorts at current price — support cluster only $8 below. Price is squeezed with no room for a clean entry. Wait for the bounce to reach one of the short zones above.

Invalidation: close above $2,037.93

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