Key Support / Resistance (with exact prices where visible)
Resistance (sell zones / supply) 0.53741 immediate pivot high (1H/4H). Break + hold above = continuation trigger. 0.53457 daily high marker (near-term overhead supply). 0.55000 (round level, exact) psychological + likely supply. 0.60000 0.62000 (approx zone; also aligns with exchange 24h high ~0.61997) major reclaim area before any trend continuation.
Support (buy zones / demand) 0.53199 – 0.53042 current acceptance area (4H close / daily close). 0.50381 1H swing low (key structure invalidation for the bounce). 0.44555 4H low (major demand). 0.43565 daily wick low / 24h low (last line of defense before deeper pullback).
Plan A (LONG) Breakout + Retest (higher-probability continuation)
Entry trigger 1H closes above 0.53741, and price retests 0.537–0.540 and holds (15m shows higher-low + bullish close).
Entry: 0.5410 Stop-Loss: 0.5190 (below the reclaim zone; if it loses this, breakout failed) TP1: 0.5800 TP2: 0.6300 TP3: 0.7000 (approx if liquidity runs; use as runner target)
Plan B (SHORT) Rejection at Supply (mean reversion after relief bounce)
Entry trigger Price wicks into 0.545–0.555, then prints a bearish 15m close back below 0.5335, and breaks the 15m higher-low (momentum failure).
Entry: 0.5480 Stop-Loss: 0.5670 (above the rejection high / supply buffer) TP1: 0.5200 TP2: 0.5038 TP3: 0.4456
Plan A (LONG) — Breakout + Retest (objective trigger-based) | Idea: Don’t long the middle. Long only if the range top flips to support. Entry trigger (must meet all): 1H candle closes above 296.5 Price retests 296.0–296.5 and holds (15m prints higher-low / rejection wick) No immediate 15m close back below 295 after the retest Entry: 296.8 (approx.) Stop-Loss: 291.8 (approx., below retest structure) TP1: 305.0 TP2: 320.0 TP3: 332.0
Plan B (SHORT) — Rejection at Supply (plus a breakdown alternative) Option 1: Rejection short (preferred if we sweep liquidity above ~300) Entry trigger (objective): Price trades into 300–305 Prints a 15m/1H rejection wick, and 15m closes back below 295.0 (range failure) Entry: 294.8 Stop-Loss: 301.8 (approx., above rejection/sweep) TP1: 286.5 TP2: 280.0 TP3: 270.0
Option 2: Breakdown short (only if support snaps cleanly) Entry trigger: 1H close below 283.0 + retest fails (15m lower-high under 283) Entry: 282.6 Stop-Loss: 287.6 TP1: 275.0 TP2: 268.0 TP3: 260.0
Support (Demand) 68,060 – 68,150 (intraday base / last defended area) 67,550 – 67,750 (range floor / rotation support) 66,800 – 67,000 (next demand pocket) 65,200, then ~60,000 (capitulation low area)
My “next move” expectation (highest-probability path)
Because price is still stuck under 70K and market sentiment has been choppy around macro data, the most common path here is Sweep / test above 68.4K → attempt 69.2K, then either reject and rotate back to ~67.7K, or (if reclaimed) continue toward 70K.
Also, on the derivatives side, Binance shows BTC perp context (mark/funding snapshot) that supports “range + volatility” behavior rather than a clean trend day.
Plan A (LONG) Breakout + Retest (preferred, safer)
Trigger: 15m/1H close above 68,420 and a retest that holds (no immediate flush back into the range).
Entry: 68,450 – 68,550 (or retest entry 68,250 – 68,350 if it pulls back first) Stop-Loss: 67,950 (below 68,060 and below the breakout base) TP1: 69,200 TP2: 70,000 TP3: 70,800
Management: After TP1, consider moving SL to breakeven or just under 68,200 (structure-dependent).
Plan B (SHORT) Rejection at Supply (aggressive but valid)
Trigger: Strong rejection (15m bearish engulf / long upper wick) at 68,420 – 69,200, OR breakdown back below 67,550.
Option 1: Rejection short Entry: 68,350 – 68,550 (on rejection signal) Stop-Loss: 68,900 (above the rejection swing; widen only if you expect wicks) TP1: 67,750 TP2: 66,800 TP3: 65,200
Next move (most likely path) Price is compressing around ~1,981, which usually precedes a liquidity probe into the nearest magnet: Most probable near-term test: 2,000 – 2,020. The “decision” is simple: Acceptance above 2,020 → continuation toward 2,050–2,080. Rejection at 2,000–2,020 → rotation back to 1,970 → 1,950/1,940. Trade plans (entry, SL, TPs)
Plan A (LONG) — Breakout + Retest (higher probability than “blind long”) Trigger: 1H close above 2,020 (not just a wick), then a pullback that holds 2,000–2,010. Entry: 2,005 – 2,015 (on retest/hold) Stop-Loss: 1,975 (Conservative SL: 1,965 if you want to avoid wick sweeps, but size accordingly.) Take-Profits: TP1: 2,040 TP2: 2,080 TP3: 2,120
Plan A-2 (LONG) — Demand bounce (only with confirmation) Trigger: Sweep into 1,960–1,950 and then a strong 15m/1H reclaim (bullish close back above 1,960). Entry: 1,955 – 1,965 Stop-Loss: 1,928 (below the local swing / sweep zone) Take-Profits: TP1: 1,990 TP2: 2,020 TP3: 2,060 This is countertrend versus the 1D; keep risk tighter or reduce position size.
Plan B (SHORT) — Rejection at supply (preferred in a bearish macro) Trigger: Price taps 2,000–2,020, prints a rejection (upper wick) and closes back below 2,000 on 15m/1H. Entry: 1,998 – 2,012 Stop-Loss: 2,045 Take-Profits: TP1: 1,970 TP2: 1,950 TP3: 1,910
Plan B-2 (SHORT) — Breakdown continuation Trigger: 1H close below 1,940, then a retest that fails (1,940 becomes resistance). Entry: 1,935 – 1,945 (on the failed retest) Stop-Loss: 1,970 Take-Profits: TP1: 1,910 TP2: 1,880 TP3: 1,820 – 1,800 (only if momentum accelerates)
Next move (highest probability path) Given price is mid-range and below the ~69.2k flip, the higher-probability near-term sequence is: A relief bounce into 68.8k–69.2k, followed by: Continuation up only if 1H reclaims and holds above ~69.2k, OR Rejection and another sweep toward ~67.4k, possibly ~66.6k if the sweep fails.
Plan A (LONG) — Breakout + Retest (safer, trend-confirming) Trigger: 1H close above 69,200, then a retest holding 69,000–69,200. Entry: 69,050 – 69,200 Stop-loss: 68,500 (below the reclaimed zone) TP1: 69,900 TP2: 70,800 TP3: 71,800 – 72,200 Management: After TP1, consider moving SL to breakeven and trailing under 1H higher-lows.
Plan B (SHORT) — Rejection at Supply (best alignment with daily bear bias) Trigger: Price wicks into 69,800–70,200 and fails (15m/1H rejection). Entry: 69,800 – 70,050 Stop-loss: 70,650 (above the rejection high) TP1: 69,000 TP2: 68,200 TP3: 67,400 TP4 (stretch): 66,600
Management: Take partials at TP1/TP2 because mid-range often bounces.
Key zones to watch Resistance / supply 295–300 (range ceiling) 300–305 (wick/sweep zone; strongest supply) 318–330 (prior swing zone)
Support / demand 282–285 (range floor; immediate decision area) 275–278 (next demand / common retest zone after an impulse) 268–270 (deeper support if breakdown extends)
Trade plans (entries, SL, TPs) Plan A (LONG) — Support bounce from 282–285 Entry (trigger-based): 284–286 after you see a clear reaction: 15m/1H bullish engulfing, strong rejection wick, or a 1H close back above ~286–287. Stop-loss (SL): 278.8 (below 280 and below the recent sweep area) Take-profits (TPs): TP1: 290.5 (mid-range) TP2: 295.5–297.0 (range high) TP3: 302.5–305.0 (major supply wick zone) TP4 (stretch): 318–322 (only if 300–305 breaks and holds)
Invalidation: Clean acceptance below ~280 (not just a wick).
Plan B (SHORT) — Rejection at 295–305 supply Entry (trigger-based): 297–301 on a bearish rejection (15m/1H wick + bearish close), or more aggressive: 302–305 if price sweeps above 300 and immediately closes back below it. Stop-loss (SL): Conservative: 306.5–308.0 (above the sweep wicks) Tighter (higher risk of stop-out): 303.5–304.0 if you enter near 300–301 Take-profits (TPs): TP1: 291.0–290.0 TP2: 285.0–283.5 TP3: 275.0–278.0 TP4 (extension): 268–270 (only if 275 fails decisively)
Invalidation: 1H acceptance above ~305 (not just a spike).
Optional (high-conviction) breakdown play — Only if 282 fails If you get a 1H close below ~282, then a retest of 282–284 failing: Entry: 281.5–283.0 (retest) SL: 286.5 TPs: 275 → 270 → 260 (staged)
Weekly: Bullish expansion is intact, but price is extended → expect consolidation or a pullback before the next leg.
4H: Uptrend structure holding; price is rotating below a major supply zone. 1H: Short-term demand is trying to defend; breakout confirmation is still required.
Price is currently trading inside/near a key decision area. The cleanest setups come from either (1) a confirmed breakout above 0.7600 with a successful retest, or (2) a controlled pullback into 0.7000–0.7120 followed by a reclaim. Avoid chasing inside the 0.7400–0.7600 supply unless a breakout is confirmed by candle close.
Weekly Bias: Bearish macro structure (LH/LL). Any long is tactical until major supply is reclaimed. 4H Bias: Stabilization after capitulation; base building with a grind higher toward resistance. 1H Bias: Short-term bullish (HLs), but price is pressing into a key supply band (decision zone).
Support Zones (Demand): 70,000 – 70,100 69,200 – 69,500 68,700 – 68,900 67,500 65,000 – 65,500 62,500 – 63,500
Waiting for breakout confirmation…
Price is currently trading around the 70K handle and pushing into nearby supply. The cleaner trade comes from either (1) confirmed acceptance above supply (breakout + retest) or (2) a rejection/sweep from supply back into range. Avoid chasing inside the decision zone.
Plan A (LONG), Breakout + Retest Trigger: 15m/1H close above 70,800, then retest holding as support.
1W (Macro): Price is in a corrective/bearish leg after a strong distribution phase. Until higher levels are reclaimed, rallies can be sold into major supply zones.
4H (Structure): Market is forming a range:
Range High / Supply: 71.2K–72.0K Range Low / Demand: 66.5K–68.5K
Current price is pushing into the upper boundary, which is typically a decision point.
1H (Momentum): Short-term bullish momentum, but near resistance; avoid chasing. Prefer either breakout confirmation or rejection confirmation.
⏳ Waiting for breakout confirmation above 71K (preferably 1H close + retest hold). If breakout fails, I will look for a rejection short from the 71.2K–72K area.
Market Context 1W: Larger trend is still bearish, but price is sitting near a major support zone ~190–210. 4H/1H: Strong impulsive reversal from ~150–160 into ~205–210. This area is now a decision zone.
Primary Setup (Safer): Long on Breakout + Retest Bias: Bullish continuation only if price accepts above 210. Entry: 4H close above 210, then retest holds Buy zone: 212–216 SL: 198 TP1: 235 TP2: 260 TP3: 290–300 Management Take partial at TP1, then move SL to breakeven or trail under the latest 4H higher-low.
Alternative Setup (Better R:R): Long on Pullback into Demand Bias: Buy the dip if demand holds. Entry buy zone: 196–202 SL: 186 TP1: 210–215 TP2: 235 TP3: 260 Invalidation (Long bias): A clean breakdown/acceptance below 186.
Counter-Trend Option: Short if 210–215 Rejects Bias: Weekly is still bearish—short only if the rally fails. Entry (after clear rejection): 204–209 SL: 218 TP1: 190 TP2: 175–180 TP3: 155–160 Invalidation (Short bias): Acceptance and holding above 235.
Decision Rule Hold above 210: Long continuation. Pullback to 196–202 + bullish reaction: Long dip entry. Reject 210–215 + lose 200: Short setup activates.
Trade Management (important): • At TP1 (260), consider taking partial profit and moving SL to breakeven (or 245–246). • If 260 rejects hard (strong upper wicks / bearish engulf), reduce risk and wait for a clean break & hold above 260 before targeting 280.3.
Invalidation: • 1H acceptance back below ~242 = long thesis weakens (expect deeper pullback). • Losing 225 puts 208.8 back in play.
Not financial advice. Always size positions so the SL is acceptable, and keep leverage conservative.