DOGE/USDT — Supply & Demand + MACD Confluence Trade Plan
Asset Overview
$DOGE (Dogecoin) remains one of the most liquid and actively traded altcoins in the market. While originally a meme-driven asset, DOGE has evolved into a legitimate trading vehicle due to its deep liquidity, strong derivatives participation, and tendency to produce clean technical structures suitable for momentum and mean-reversion strategies.
Market Structure & Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1️⃣ Daily Timeframe (1D) — Macro Bias
Structure: Following the rejection from the 0.16853 high, DOGE completed a deep corrective leg and found acceptance within a higher-timeframe demand zone. Recovery Pattern: Price has printed a V-shaped recovery, signaling aggressive dip absorption. Momentum Shift: A decisive bullish MACD crossover (MACD ≈ 0.00171) confirms a structural transition from bearish to bullish momentum. Context: Price is now trading near a prior breakdown region — a key inflection area where continuation or rejection is decided. Bias: Bullish continuation unless demand fails.
2️⃣ 4H Timeframe — Trend Continuation Setup
Structure: Strong impulsive move followed by controlled consolidation. Volatility: Price is respecting the Bollinger Bands (20,2), currently hovering near the basis (~0.10086). Pattern: Ascending channel / bullish flag formation. Liquidity Event: A downside sweep at 0.09840 followed by immediate rejection suggests sell-side liquidity was absorbed.
Interpretation: Healthy consolidation after impulse — continuation favored.
Price Action: Micro-range (“coil”) with long wicks → indecision but support holding. Key Observation: Price remains above short-term support, indicating passive buying beneath the market.
Expectation: Volatility expansion pending.
Trendline & Structure Alignment
Higher Timeframe: Series of higher highs and higher lows since December lows. Resistance: Descending trendline from 0.16853 has been broken. Lower Timeframe Support: Rising trendline from 0.09840 remains intact.
As long as 0.09840 holds, bullish bias remains valid.
Zone + Momentum Fusion Strategy
Capital Allocation
Account Size: $1,600
Strategy: Buy reaction from unmitigated demand aligned with bullish momentum.
Trade Plan — Bullish Order Block Entry
📍 Primary Demand Zone (15m)
$0.09980 – $0.10040
Why this zone matters:
Sharp sell-off into 0.09840 showed sell-side exhaustion Immediate impulsive rally created an unmitigated bullish order block Psychological 0.10000 level adds confluence Likely accumulation area by informed participants
MACD Confirmation:
HTF MACD: Bullish LTF Trigger: MACD curling upward from below the zero line
Execution Options
✅ Option 1: Limit Entry (Preferred)
Entry: $0.10015 Logic: Mid-zone entry for optimal R:R
⚡ Option 2: Aggressive Confirmation Entry
Trigger: Bullish engulfing / hammer on 5m–15m with rising volume Expected Price: ~$0.10030
TargetLevelRationaleTP1$0.10150Prior high + upper Bollinger BandTP2$0.1036024h high sweep / range expansionTP3$0.10550Channel breakout & trend extension
Professional Edge
“This market is compressing like a spring. The impulsive volume off the lows confirms buyer presence. We are not buying price — we are buying a reaction from a proven imbalance zone. If 0.10015 holds, continuation toward 0.10360 is favored. If it fails, risk is predefined and capital is preserved. Discipline is the edge.”
Strong V-shaped recovery from the 150 demand zone shows aggressive dip-buying and a clear momentum shift. Price is now compressing just below the key 200 resistance, which is exactly where decisions get made.
Trade Plan
Entry: 188–192
Targets:
🎯 205
🎯 220
Stop: 182
Bias
✅ Bullish continuation if 200 breaks with volume expansion → momentum traders pile in.
⚠️ Rejection at 200 without volume likely means range rotation back toward the high-180s before another attempt.
Extra Notes
Watch volume + candle closes around 198–202 — wicks vs body tell the story.
A clean H1/H4 close above 200 flips it from “setup” to “go-time”.
$ZORA is showing clear accumulation → momentum shift behavior. Price is tightening, sellers are getting absorbed, and buyers are stepping in quietly. This is exactly how breakouts get built before expansion 📈
Trade Setup 👇
🟢 Entry (Buy Zone): 0.0225 – 0.0233
🎯 TP1: 0.026
🎯 TP2: 0.029
🎯 TP3: 0.033
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.0208
Why this setup looks strong:
Accumulation phase completed
Higher lows forming → bullish structure
Momentum indicators curling up
Clean RR with multiple profit targets
This is the kind of move that starts slow… then rips when nobody expects it 👀⚡
$RIVER is currently at $12.670, cooling off after a rally from $12.100 → $15.247. Price is testing the $12.50–$12.70 support zone with lower volume — a healthy correction before the next leg up! 💎
💹 Trade Plan:
🛑 Entry (Long): $12.30–$12.60
🎯 Target 1: $14.00–$14.50
🎯 Target 2: $15.20–$15.50
⛔ Stop Loss: $12.00
💡 My Take:
Momentum is strong, pullback is healthy ✅. The higher probability move? Long on $12.30–$12.60 support for continuation toward $15+. No shorts until price breaks below $12.00 with conviction.
💥 Price is at $0.02695, pulling back after a rally from $0.02536 → $0.03020. Retesting the $0.02680–$0.02700 support zone with lower volume — a healthy correction ready for continuation!
💹 Trade Plan:
🟢 Entry (Long): $0.02600–$0.02680
🎯 Target 1: $0.02900–$0.03000
🎯 Target 2: $0.03050–$0.03100
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.02550
🔥 My View:
Strong bullish momentum with a healthy pullback. High probability LONG on pullback for continuation toward $0.030+. Trend-following play — avoid shorts until $0.02550 breaks with volume.
📈 Green candles incoming! Don’t miss this pullback ride!
⚡ Entry (Short): $0.282 – $0.286 (on retest of broken support → resistance)
🎯 Target 1: $0.277 – $0.275 (24h low retest)
🎯 Target 2: $0.270 – $0.265 (next support zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.290 (above breakdown level)
My View:
$ADA is showing bearish momentum with lower lows and rejection from $0.3017. The high-probability move is SHORT on the retest of $0.282–$0.286. No long until $0.290 is reclaimed with strong volume.
💡 Tip: Watch the retest zone closely — this is where sellers could push ADA lower again!
🔥 $FARTCOIN Surges 13% — Smart Money In, But Structure Still Bearish
The memecoin crowd is locked in on $FARTCOIN today as price unexpectedly rips higher. But zooming out, the green candles may be masking a structure that hasn’t truly flipped bullish yet 👀
📊 What Just Happened?
+13.46% in 24H, trading around $0.2183
Volume up 48.77% to $48.48M → this confirms new capital inflow, not just rotation
On-chain accumulation: ~$155,000 USD bought right at the start of the move — looks like a planned entry, not retail panic buying
This rally clearly wasn’t random.
⚠️ Why the Bearish Structure Still Matters
Despite the momentum, several red flags remain:
Price is still inside a multi-month descending channel
Immediate resistance: $0.22
Major resistance: $0.32 (structure breaker)
RSI at 43 → still below the 50 neutral line, meaning buyers haven’t taken full control
In short: momentum ≠ trend reversal (yet).
🧨 Derivatives & Liquidity Risks
This is where it gets interesting:
Long liquidations: $93.55k
Short liquidations: $45.83k
➡️ More longs getting wiped suggests FOMO entries near local highs.
The liquidation heatmap shows heavy liquidity waiting below:
$0.208 – $0.210
$0.19 – $0.20 (major pool)
Markets love liquidity. Uncollected liquidity often gets swept before a real trend continuation.
🤔 The Big Question
With dense liquidity sitting at $0.19–$0.20, what happens next?
🔁 Scenario 1: Price retests the lower zone, clears liquidity, and builds a healthier base
🚀 Scenario 2: Bulls defend current levels and force a breakout above $0.22, invalidating the downtrend channel
Both are possible — but structurally, a retest would be the cleaner move.
🧠 Bottom line:
This pump is real, capital is real — but the trend flip is not confirmed. Patience here beats FOMO.
News is for reference only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and decide carefully.