Yasir-123

On the 4H timeframe of $VANRY , the technical structure is clearly bearish. Price is trading around 0.0059 after a recent −3.7% decline, and all major moving averages (EMA 10/20/30/50/100 and SMA equivalents) are signaling sell, with the overall moving average gauge showing a strong sell (14 sell vs 0 buy). Price is positioned below short- and mid-term averages, confirming sustained downward momentum and a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Oscillators, however, are mostly neutral: RSI (14) sits near 36, approaching oversold but not extreme; Stochastic and CCI are neutral; ADX around 22 suggests a developing but not very strong trend. MACD shows a minor buy signal, hinting at possible short-term relief, yet momentum remains slightly negative. Immediate resistance appears around 0.0066–0.0068, while support lies near 0.0058 and deeper toward 0.0049. Overall bias remains bearish unless price reclaims key moving averages with strong volume.
On the broader 1D summary, $VANRY continues to reflect structural weakness despite some oscillator stabilization. The daily summary leans sell (15 sell, 10 neutral, 1 buy), indicating that the dominant market sentiment is still bearish. Moving averages remain the primary driver of this negative outlook: price trading below the 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100 period averages signals that short-term momentum, swing momentum, and even medium-term positioning are aligned to the downside. When multiple EMAs and SMAs cluster above price, they create a dynamic resistance zone. Any upward retracement is likely to face selling pressure as price approaches these averages, especially near the 0.0066–0.0075 region where several moving averages converge. The 100 EMA around 0.0100 is significantly higher, highlighting how far price has declined from prior levels and emphasizing the broader downtrend context.
The oscillator landscape presents a more nuanced picture. RSI at approximately 36 indicates weakening selling pressure compared to extreme oversold conditions (<30), but it still reflects bearish territory. This suggests that while the market is under pressure, it is not yet at a capitulation level that typically sparks aggressive rebounds. Stochastic readings in the mid-60s and Stochastic RSI near 74 imply that short-term micro bounces are possible, particularly if sellers temporarily exhaust. However, these readings are not strong buy signals; they simply show that momentum oscillations are stabilizing within a broader bearish trend. The Commodity Channel Index around −94 also reflects negative momentum but not an extreme oversold spike (below −100), meaning downside continuation remains technically viable.
ADX near 22 indicates that the trend exists but is not extremely strong. In practical terms, this means the market may grind lower rather than collapse sharply, unless a catalyst increases volatility. The Awesome Oscillator and Momentum readings remain slightly negative, confirming that bullish impulse has not yet taken control. Although MACD shows a minor buy signal, it is currently against the prevailing moving average trend. In trending markets, counter-trend MACD signals often produce short-lived relief rallies rather than full reversals unless accompanied by volume expansion and structural breakout.
Structurally, price action on the 4H chart shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish market structure. The current price near 0.0059 is hovering just above short-term support around 0.0058. A confirmed breakdown below this level could open the path toward deeper support around 0.0049, as marked on the chart. Conversely, for bulls to regain control, price must first reclaim 0.0066–0.0068, break above clustered EMAs, and then sustain closes above 0.0070+. Only then would the bearish bias begin to weaken.
Risk-wise, this setup favors short-on-retest strategies rather than aggressive bottom-fishing, unless clear bullish divergence forms on RSI or MACD. Traders should monitor volume carefully: declining volume during drops may signal seller exhaustion, while expanding volume on breakdown would confirm continuation. In summary, remains technically bearish across key timeframes, with moving averages strongly aligned downward. Oscillators suggest mild stabilization but not confirmed reversal. Until price reclaims major dynamic resistance levels, rallies are likely corrective within a prevailing downtrend.

$BTC Bitcoin’s weekly RSI indicator has dropped to levels reminiscent of the mid-2022 bear market, suggesting a deep pullback phase.
The market recently experienced liquidity squeezes — with both long and short positions taken out — due to thin trading volume (e.g., around the U.S. bank holiday).
Analysts point out similarities between the current RSI pattern and past cycle bottoms, where oversold RSI preceded longer consolidation before bottoming.
Weekly RSI readings dipping below ~30–28 are traditionally seen as oversold signals and can signal that selling pressure is exhausting — though they do not guarantee an immediate rally.
📊 What Analysts Are Saying About the Current RSI
RSI nearing deep oversold levels has been noted across multiple analyses, tying current momentum conditions to past cycle lows. Some traders interpret this as a sign of potential bottoming, while others warn momentum indicators can remain low as prices continue downward pressure.
📌 Liquidity and Market Structure
Broader technical analysis suggests $BTC price action still shows heightened risk and volatility, with some analysts pointing to tight liquidity and macro conditions as factors that could prolong market weakness.
📉 Other Indicators Weighing In
Some sources discuss fear and liquidity stress in the market (e.g., “Extreme Fear” sentiment, rising exchange inflows) that align with RSI weakness — indicating selling pressure and risk-off behavior.
🧩 What This Means (Not Investment Advice)
1. RSI, by itself, is a momentum indicator:
RSI shows how fast price changes, not a guarantee of reversal. RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, especially in strong downtrends.
2. Similar patterns happened before:
In 2022, weekly oversold RSI did not immediately trigger a price rebound; instead consolidated at lower levels for months before bottoming.
3. Combining multiple indicators is important:
Traders often look at liquidity metrics, macro sentiment, on-chain data, and broader trend signals alongside RSI to gauge real downside vs rebound risk.
📌 Summary
Bitcoin’s weekly RSI is at a deeply oversold reading similar to mid-2022 bear conditions — suggesting sellers may be exhausted, but not guaranteeing a turnaround.
Low liquidity and volatility spikes have led to sharp moves that shake out short- and long-term positions.
Historically, oversold weekly RSI can precede a bottom, but markets can remain weak or trade sideways for months before a sustained trend change.
Let me know if you want a short take on what current $BTC RSI levels mean for possible price targets or how traders use these signals to plan entries/exits.

$FOGO is currently trading under sustained bearish pressure on the daily timeframe, following a decisive breakdown below the previously established horizontal support zone in the 0.030–0.032 range. This area had acted as a key demand region for multiple sessions, and the clean break beneath it signals a significant shift in market structure from consolidation to continuation of the broader downtrend. Technically, the chart reflects a confirmed breakdown from a descending channel or larger corrective pattern, with price action now forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows — a classic indication of trend continuation. Attempts to reclaim the broken support have resulted in weak retests and clear rejection candles, confirming that the prior support has flipped into resistance. This structural behavior reinforces bearish control and reduces the probability of an immediate bullish reversal without strong evidence of accumulation.
Momentum remains firmly to the downside, as illustrated by the dominance of red daily candles and the absence of meaningful bullish engulfing patterns or sustained recovery attempts. Importantly, volume behavior supports the bearish narrative: while sell-side expansion accompanied the breakdown, minor upward bounces have lacked convincing buying absorption or volume spikes. In trending markets, weak relief rallies combined with declining recovery volume typically indicate continuation rather than exhaustion. The inability of buyers to generate strong counter-trend momentum suggests that larger participants are not aggressively defending current levels.
At the current price near 0.02547, $FOGO is trading well below the former support and is approaching the lower boundary marked around 0.024–0.023. This region represents short-term support; however, given the prevailing structure, it appears vulnerable. A decisive daily close below this zone, particularly if accompanied by expanding bearish volume, would likely trigger an acceleration phase. In such a scenario, the next significant liquidity pocket is projected between 0.018 and 0.015, which aligns with the measured move target derived from the channel breakdown. This projection corresponds to an approximate -34% extension from the breakdown point, reflecting the typical magnitude of continuation moves following prolonged compression structures.
From a professional trading perspective, risk management remains critical in such conditions. Counter-trend longs carry elevated risk unless strong reversal signals emerge, such as bullish divergence, high-volume absorption candles, or structural reclamation above 0.030. Until proven otherwise, the path of least resistance remains downward. Traders may monitor for breakdown confirmations, continuation patterns, or consolidation under resistance for potential short setups, while remaining cautious of short-term volatility spikes. Overall, the technical landscape favors bearish continuation unless the market invalidates the breakdown with a decisive reclaim and sustained buying pressure.