RK-update
Άνοιγμα συναλλαγής
Περιστασιακός επενδυτής
1.9 χρόνια
4 Ακολούθηση
34 Ακόλουθοι
31 Μου αρέσει
0 Κοινοποιήσεις
Δημοσιεύσεις
Χαρτοφυλάκιο
Hawkish Shock & ETF Outflows Trigger Crypto Sell-Off — Will PCE Data Decide the Next Move?
The crypto market is down 0.97% to $2.31T in 24h, primarily driven by a hawkish macro shock and institutional outflows. It shows a strong negative correlation (-60%) with Gold, indicating a rates-sensitive, macro-driven move.
Primary reason: Hawkish FOMC minutes and escalating US-Iran war fears spooked investors, triggering broad risk-off sentiment and capital flight from crypto ETFs.
Secondary reasons: Extreme fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 11) and a wave of long liquidations ($57M in BTC alone) amplified the selling pressure.
Near-term market outlook: The market could stabilize if today's PCE inflation data cools, but a break below the $2.17T support risks a retest of February lows.
Deep Dive
1. Hawkish Macro Shock & ETF Outflows
Overview: The market dropped following the release of January FOMC minutes, which signaled uncertainty over future rate cuts and dampened hopes for imminent easing Coindesk. Concurrently, fears of a US-Iran war escalated, compounding the risk-off mood. This directly triggered institutional selling, with spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing $133.3M in net outflows and Ethereum ETFs losing $41.8M on February 18 Coindesk.
What it means: The move was fundamentally driven by a reassessment of monetary policy and geopolitical risk, not crypto-specific factors.
Watch for: The December PCE inflation report today (Feb 20). A cooler print could ease hawkish pressure, while a hot reading may extend the downturn.
2. Extreme Fear & Leverage Unwind
Overview: Market sentiment is entrenched in "Extreme Fear" (Index: 11), reflecting a lack of buying conviction. This pessimistic backdrop fueled a derivatives unwind, with $74.78M in BTC liquidations in 24h, predominantly from long positions ($57.39M).
What it means: The decline was exacerbated by forced selling from over-leveraged traders, a typical symptom of fear-driven markets.
Watch for: A sustained shift in the Fear & Greed Index and a stabilization in funding rates (currently negative) to signal sentiment recovery.
3. Near-term Market Outlook
Overview: Immediate direction hinges on today's PCE data and subsequent ETF flow data. Technically, the total market cap is testing its pivot point at $2.31T, with critical support at the February 6 swing low of $2.17T.
What it means: Holding above $2.17T is key to preventing a deeper correction. A dovish macro surprise could catalyze a relief rally, but continued outflows would maintain downward pressure.
Conclusion
Market Outlook: Bearish Pressure The market's decline is a direct reaction to deteriorating macro conditions and institutional capital flight. A durable recovery likely hinges on a pivot toward monetary easing and a return of positive ETF inflows. Will today's PCE data provide the catalyst for a sentiment shift, or confirm the hawkish path?
Primary reason: Hawkish FOMC minutes and escalating US-Iran war fears spooked investors, triggering broad risk-off sentiment and capital flight from crypto ETFs.
Secondary reasons: Extreme fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 11) and a wave of long liquidations ($57M in BTC alone) amplified the selling pressure.
Near-term market outlook: The market could stabilize if today's PCE inflation data cools, but a break below the $2.17T support risks a retest of February lows.
Deep Dive
1. Hawkish Macro Shock & ETF Outflows
Overview: The market dropped following the release of January FOMC minutes, which signaled uncertainty over future rate cuts and dampened hopes for imminent easing Coindesk. Concurrently, fears of a US-Iran war escalated, compounding the risk-off mood. This directly triggered institutional selling, with spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing $133.3M in net outflows and Ethereum ETFs losing $41.8M on February 18 Coindesk.
What it means: The move was fundamentally driven by a reassessment of monetary policy and geopolitical risk, not crypto-specific factors.
Watch for: The December PCE inflation report today (Feb 20). A cooler print could ease hawkish pressure, while a hot reading may extend the downturn.
2. Extreme Fear & Leverage Unwind
Overview: Market sentiment is entrenched in "Extreme Fear" (Index: 11), reflecting a lack of buying conviction. This pessimistic backdrop fueled a derivatives unwind, with $74.78M in BTC liquidations in 24h, predominantly from long positions ($57.39M).
What it means: The decline was exacerbated by forced selling from over-leveraged traders, a typical symptom of fear-driven markets.
Watch for: A sustained shift in the Fear & Greed Index and a stabilization in funding rates (currently negative) to signal sentiment recovery.
3. Near-term Market Outlook
Overview: Immediate direction hinges on today's PCE data and subsequent ETF flow data. Technically, the total market cap is testing its pivot point at $2.31T, with critical support at the February 6 swing low of $2.17T.
What it means: Holding above $2.17T is key to preventing a deeper correction. A dovish macro surprise could catalyze a relief rally, but continued outflows would maintain downward pressure.
Conclusion
Market Outlook: Bearish Pressure The market's decline is a direct reaction to deteriorating macro conditions and institutional capital flight. A durable recovery likely hinges on a pivot toward monetary easing and a return of positive ETF inflows. Will today's PCE data provide the catalyst for a sentiment shift, or confirm the hawkish path?
🚀 The Next Crypto Explosion Is Closer Than You Think
The market may look calm on the surface… but beneath it, momentum is building.
From institutional giants accumulating Bitcoin to developers expanding the ecosystem of $ETH
, the foundation for the next major rally is being laid brick by brick. Smart money isn’t chasing hype — it’s positioning early.
High-performance networks like Solana are pushing speed and scalability to new levels. Meanwhile, tokens like $XRP continue gaining attention as regulatory clarity improves. And yes — even community-driven coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu remind us how powerful market psychology can be.
But this cycle feels different.
Institutional adoption is stronger. Infrastructure is more mature. Global demand is expanding — especially in emerging markets where crypto isn’t speculation, it’s financial freedom.
History shows that major bull runs don’t start when everyone is watching. They begin quietly… during doubt.
The real question isn’t if the next explosion will happen.
It’s whether you’ll be ready when momentum shifts.
The countdown has already begun. ⏳🔥
#crypto #Bitcoin❗ #Ethereum✅ #altcoins #CryptoBullRun
The market may look calm on the surface… but beneath it, momentum is building.
From institutional giants accumulating Bitcoin to developers expanding the ecosystem of $ETH
, the foundation for the next major rally is being laid brick by brick. Smart money isn’t chasing hype — it’s positioning early.
High-performance networks like Solana are pushing speed and scalability to new levels. Meanwhile, tokens like $XRP continue gaining attention as regulatory clarity improves. And yes — even community-driven coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu remind us how powerful market psychology can be.
But this cycle feels different.
Institutional adoption is stronger. Infrastructure is more mature. Global demand is expanding — especially in emerging markets where crypto isn’t speculation, it’s financial freedom.
History shows that major bull runs don’t start when everyone is watching. They begin quietly… during doubt.
The real question isn’t if the next explosion will happen.
It’s whether you’ll be ready when momentum shifts.
The countdown has already begun. ⏳🔥
#crypto #Bitcoin❗ #Ethereum✅ #altcoins #CryptoBullRun
The Next Crypto Explosion: Why 2026 Could Be Bigger Than Ever
The crypto market has always moved in cycles — silence, doubt, accumulation… and then explosion. And right now, beneath the surface, powerful forces are aligning again.
Institutional money is no longer asking if crypto is legitimate — it’s asking how much exposure is enough? Giants like BlackRock have entered the space with Bitcoin products, signaling a major shift in perception. Crypto is no longer just retail-driven hype. It’s becoming part of traditional finance.
At the center of it all remains Bitcoin — still considered digital gold by many investors. But this cycle isn’t only about Bitcoin. It’s about the entire ecosystem evolving.
$ETH Ethereum and the Infrastructure Revolution
Ethereum continues to dominate smart contracts and decentralized applications. From DeFi platforms to NFT marketplaces, Ethereum is the backbone of Web3 innovation. With Layer 2 scaling solutions improving speed and reducing fees, its ecosystem keeps expanding.
Meanwhile, faster and cheaper networks like Solana are regaining momentum with improved stability and strong developer activity. Solana has positioned itself as a serious competitor in high-speed decentralized applications.
The $BNB BNB and Exchange Ecosystem
BNB, backed by the world’s largest exchange Binance, remains a major force in trading, DeFi, and token launches. Despite regulatory pressure in past years, Binance continues to operate globally and influence market liquidity.
and the Legal Narrative
XRP has been one of the most watched tokens due to regulatory battles involving Ripple Labs. Legal clarity around XRP has strengthened confidence among supporters, especially in cross-border payment solutions.
If regulatory frameworks continue improving globally, $XRP could benefit significantly from renewed institutional adoption.
The Rise of New-Age Utility Coins
Beyond the giants, innovation is expanding:
Chainlink powers decentralized oracles, connecting smart contracts to real-world data.
Polygon focuses on Ethereum scaling and enterprise adoption.
Avalanche offers customizable blockchain networks for institutions and developers.
These projects are not just speculative tokens — they are infrastructure layers aiming to solve real problems.
Meme Coins Still Have Power
No crypto cycle is complete without speculative mania. Coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have proven that community-driven tokens can surge unexpectedly.
While high risk, they remind us that crypto markets are deeply psychological. Narrative and attention can move prices just as much as technology.
Institutional FOMO and ETFs
Spot Bitcoin ETFs opened doors for pension funds, hedge funds, and traditional investors who previously avoided crypto due to technical complexity. Instead of managing private keys, they can now gain exposure through regulated financial products.
When institutions accumulate, supply tightens. When supply tightens and demand increases — price pressure builds.
Add Bitcoin halving cycles to that equation, and you create a potential supply shock scenario.
Global Adoption Is Accelerating
In emerging markets, crypto isn’t speculation — it’s survival. Stablecoins are used for remittances. Bitcoin acts as a hedge against inflation. Mobile-first economies are onboarding millions of users.
The next billion users may not come from Wall Street. They may come from developing nations where blockchain offers financial access traditional banks failed to provide.
The Risk Factor
Crypto remains volatile. Regulatory delays, macroeconomic instability, or exchange failures can shake markets hard. Not every coin will survive. Many projects will disappear.
But innovation doesn’t move in straight lines.
The internet crashed in 2000 — yet it reshaped the world. Similarly, crypto has faced collapses and scandals, yet development never stopped.
Developers are still building. Institutions are still investing. Adoption is still growing.
So What’s Next?
The ingredients for a major rally are forming:
Institutional infrastructure
Regulatory progress
Technological maturity
Growing global adoption
Reduced Bitcoin supply
Whether it’s Bitcoin leading the charge, Ethereum expanding DeFi, Solana capturing speed-focused developers, or XRP benefiting from regulatory clarity — momentum is building.
The market won’t send a clear invitation when it moves. It never does.
The real opportunity often appears when doubt is highest and attention is lowest.
And if history repeats itself, the next crypto explosion won’t start with a warning.
It will simply begin.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #Xrp🔥🔥
Institutional money is no longer asking if crypto is legitimate — it’s asking how much exposure is enough? Giants like BlackRock have entered the space with Bitcoin products, signaling a major shift in perception. Crypto is no longer just retail-driven hype. It’s becoming part of traditional finance.
At the center of it all remains Bitcoin — still considered digital gold by many investors. But this cycle isn’t only about Bitcoin. It’s about the entire ecosystem evolving.
$ETH Ethereum and the Infrastructure Revolution
Ethereum continues to dominate smart contracts and decentralized applications. From DeFi platforms to NFT marketplaces, Ethereum is the backbone of Web3 innovation. With Layer 2 scaling solutions improving speed and reducing fees, its ecosystem keeps expanding.
Meanwhile, faster and cheaper networks like Solana are regaining momentum with improved stability and strong developer activity. Solana has positioned itself as a serious competitor in high-speed decentralized applications.
The $BNB BNB and Exchange Ecosystem
BNB, backed by the world’s largest exchange Binance, remains a major force in trading, DeFi, and token launches. Despite regulatory pressure in past years, Binance continues to operate globally and influence market liquidity.
and the Legal Narrative
XRP has been one of the most watched tokens due to regulatory battles involving Ripple Labs. Legal clarity around XRP has strengthened confidence among supporters, especially in cross-border payment solutions.
If regulatory frameworks continue improving globally, $XRP could benefit significantly from renewed institutional adoption.
The Rise of New-Age Utility Coins
Beyond the giants, innovation is expanding:
Chainlink powers decentralized oracles, connecting smart contracts to real-world data.
Polygon focuses on Ethereum scaling and enterprise adoption.
Avalanche offers customizable blockchain networks for institutions and developers.
These projects are not just speculative tokens — they are infrastructure layers aiming to solve real problems.
Meme Coins Still Have Power
No crypto cycle is complete without speculative mania. Coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have proven that community-driven tokens can surge unexpectedly.
While high risk, they remind us that crypto markets are deeply psychological. Narrative and attention can move prices just as much as technology.
Institutional FOMO and ETFs
Spot Bitcoin ETFs opened doors for pension funds, hedge funds, and traditional investors who previously avoided crypto due to technical complexity. Instead of managing private keys, they can now gain exposure through regulated financial products.
When institutions accumulate, supply tightens. When supply tightens and demand increases — price pressure builds.
Add Bitcoin halving cycles to that equation, and you create a potential supply shock scenario.
Global Adoption Is Accelerating
In emerging markets, crypto isn’t speculation — it’s survival. Stablecoins are used for remittances. Bitcoin acts as a hedge against inflation. Mobile-first economies are onboarding millions of users.
The next billion users may not come from Wall Street. They may come from developing nations where blockchain offers financial access traditional banks failed to provide.
The Risk Factor
Crypto remains volatile. Regulatory delays, macroeconomic instability, or exchange failures can shake markets hard. Not every coin will survive. Many projects will disappear.
But innovation doesn’t move in straight lines.
The internet crashed in 2000 — yet it reshaped the world. Similarly, crypto has faced collapses and scandals, yet development never stopped.
Developers are still building. Institutions are still investing. Adoption is still growing.
So What’s Next?
The ingredients for a major rally are forming:
Institutional infrastructure
Regulatory progress
Technological maturity
Growing global adoption
Reduced Bitcoin supply
Whether it’s Bitcoin leading the charge, Ethereum expanding DeFi, Solana capturing speed-focused developers, or XRP benefiting from regulatory clarity — momentum is building.
The market won’t send a clear invitation when it moves. It never does.
The real opportunity often appears when doubt is highest and attention is lowest.
And if history repeats itself, the next crypto explosion won’t start with a warning.
It will simply begin.
#StrategyBTCPurchase #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking #Xrp🔥🔥
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass The future of crypto innovation in the United States hangs in the balance. The CLARITY Act isn’t just another bill — it represents hope for transparent regulations, fair compliance standards, and a defined path forward for blockchain builders and digital asset investors.
For years, uncertainty has slowed innovation. Startups hesitate. Investors wait. Developers move overseas. The industry doesn’t fear regulation — it fears confusion. What we need is structure, not silence. Guidance, not guesswork.
If passed, the CLARITY Act could finally define who regulates what, how digital assets are classified, and how companies can operate legally without constant fear of enforcement surprises. That means more innovation, more jobs, and stronger global competitiveness.
The question isn’t whether crypto needs rules. It does.
The real question is: When will lawmakers deliver clarity?
Builders are ready. Investors are watching. The world is moving forward.
For years, uncertainty has slowed innovation. Startups hesitate. Investors wait. Developers move overseas. The industry doesn’t fear regulation — it fears confusion. What we need is structure, not silence. Guidance, not guesswork.
If passed, the CLARITY Act could finally define who regulates what, how digital assets are classified, and how companies can operate legally without constant fear of enforcement surprises. That means more innovation, more jobs, and stronger global competitiveness.
The question isn’t whether crypto needs rules. It does.
The real question is: When will lawmakers deliver clarity?
Builders are ready. Investors are watching. The world is moving forward.
Σημερινό PnL συναλλαγών
+$0,03
+0.51%
🚀 Big News for the Crypto Community! $Xpl
🚀 Big News for the Crypto Community! Plasma (XPL), the native token of the Plasma Layer-1 blockchain designed for high-volume, low-cost stablecoin transactions, was officially added to Binance’s HODLer Airdrop program and listed on the exchange on September 25, 2025. Eligible BNB holders received 75 million $XPL XPL tokens via airdrop before trading went live, and XPL now trades against pairs like USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY. This listing puts Plasma in front of one of the largest crypto audiences, expanding liquidity and market access for a project backed by significant ecosystem players. Plasma’s focus on stablecoins and EVM compatibility could make it a notable competitor in the Layer-1 space — but remember that listings don’t guarantee future performance. Always research before trading! �
🚀 Big News for the Crypto Community!
🚀 Big News for the Crypto Community! Plasma (XPL), the native token of the Plasma Layer-1 blockchain designed for high-volume, low-cost stablecoin transactions, was officially added to Binance’s HODLer Airdrop program and listed on the exchange on September 25, 2025. Eligible BNB holders received 75 million XPL tokens via airdrop before trading went live, and XPL now trades against pairs like USDT, USDC, BNB, FDUSD, and TRY. This listing puts Plasma in front of one of the largest crypto audiences, expanding liquidity and market access for a project backed by significant ecosystem players. Plasma’s focus on stablecoins and EVM compatibility could make it a notable competitor in the Layer-1 space — but remember that listings don’t guarantee future performance. Always research before trading! �
#plasma $XPL
Every bull cycle creates new leaders. 🔥 Could Plasma Token be one of them? Community growth + market hype = serious attention. Keep learning, keep researching, and stay ahead. #BinanceSquare #CryptoCommunit #Plasma
Every bull cycle creates new leaders. 🔥 Could Plasma Token be one of them? Community growth + market hype = serious attention. Keep learning, keep researching, and stay ahead. #BinanceSquare #CryptoCommunit #Plasma
#vanar $VANRY
VANRY Token – Powering the Future of Web3 Gaming 🎮🚀
VANRY is a next-generation blockchain token designed to bridge gaming, AI, and the Web3 ecosystem into one powerful platform. Unlike traditional crypto projects that focus only on price movement, VANRY aims to deliver real utility by empowering gamers, developers, and digital creators.
The core vision behind VANRY is to build a decentralized gaming infrastructure where users don’t just play games—they actively participate in and benefit from the ecosystem. With support for Play-to-Earn mechanics, creator monetization, and scalable blockchain solutions, VANRY enables fast transactions, low fees, and a seamless user experience.
Within the ecosystem, the VANRY token is used for staking, governance, rewards, and in-game asset transactions, making it a strong utility-driven token. As Web3 gaming and the metaverse continue to expand globally, projects like VANRY are positioning themselves at the forefront of this digital transformation.
For those interested in the future of blockchain gaming, AI integration, and decentralized platforms, VANRY represents a project with a long-term vision and growing ecosystem. As always, do your own research, but keeping an eye on innovative, utility-focused projects like VANRY could be a smart move in the evolving crypto space.
#USTechFundFlows #VANRYUSDT
VANRY Token – Powering the Future of Web3 Gaming 🎮🚀
VANRY is a next-generation blockchain token designed to bridge gaming, AI, and the Web3 ecosystem into one powerful platform. Unlike traditional crypto projects that focus only on price movement, VANRY aims to deliver real utility by empowering gamers, developers, and digital creators.
The core vision behind VANRY is to build a decentralized gaming infrastructure where users don’t just play games—they actively participate in and benefit from the ecosystem. With support for Play-to-Earn mechanics, creator monetization, and scalable blockchain solutions, VANRY enables fast transactions, low fees, and a seamless user experience.
Within the ecosystem, the VANRY token is used for staking, governance, rewards, and in-game asset transactions, making it a strong utility-driven token. As Web3 gaming and the metaverse continue to expand globally, projects like VANRY are positioning themselves at the forefront of this digital transformation.
For those interested in the future of blockchain gaming, AI integration, and decentralized platforms, VANRY represents a project with a long-term vision and growing ecosystem. As always, do your own research, but keeping an eye on innovative, utility-focused projects like VANRY could be a smart move in the evolving crypto space.
#USTechFundFlows #VANRYUSDT
Σημερινό PnL συναλλαγών
-$0,08
-1.40%
#TrumpEndsShutdown
Trump & Crypto: Power Shift or Political Play?
Donald Trump’s stance on crypto has taken a sharp turn—and the market is paying attention.
Once a vocal critic of Bitcoin, Trump is now openly embracing crypto innovation, NFTs, and blockchain freedom. This shift isn’t random. With millions of crypto holders in the U.S., digital assets have become a political force, not just a financial one.
Trump’s pro-crypto tone signals three big things:
Regulation may soften – Less aggressive crackdowns, more innovation-friendly policies
Bitcoin as freedom money – Crypto positioned as an alternative to centralized control
Market psychology boost – Political support = confidence = liquidity
Whether this is genuine belief or smart election strategy, one thing is clear:
Crypto is no longer ignoring politics—and politics can’t ignore crypto.
If Trump returns to power with a pro-crypto agenda, the next bull cycle may not just be market-driven… it could be policy-driven.
🚀 Bitcoin doesn’t just react to charts anymore.
It reacts to power.
What do you think—bullish move or political hype?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #Blockchain #BTC #CryptoNews #DigitalAssets $BTC
Trump & Crypto: Power Shift or Political Play?
Donald Trump’s stance on crypto has taken a sharp turn—and the market is paying attention.
Once a vocal critic of Bitcoin, Trump is now openly embracing crypto innovation, NFTs, and blockchain freedom. This shift isn’t random. With millions of crypto holders in the U.S., digital assets have become a political force, not just a financial one.
Trump’s pro-crypto tone signals three big things:
Regulation may soften – Less aggressive crackdowns, more innovation-friendly policies
Bitcoin as freedom money – Crypto positioned as an alternative to centralized control
Market psychology boost – Political support = confidence = liquidity
Whether this is genuine belief or smart election strategy, one thing is clear:
Crypto is no longer ignoring politics—and politics can’t ignore crypto.
If Trump returns to power with a pro-crypto agenda, the next bull cycle may not just be market-driven… it could be policy-driven.
🚀 Bitcoin doesn’t just react to charts anymore.
It reacts to power.
What do you think—bullish move or political hype?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #Blockchain #BTC #CryptoNews #DigitalAssets $BTC
Is a 70% $BTC Crash Really Coming? Here’s What the Data Actually Says
Bitcoin’s recent pullback is increasingly being viewed not as a technical breakdown, but as a liquidity problem. According to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, the previous rally was fueled by a steady stream of new capital — and that stream has now slowed dramatically.
In his view, whether Bitcoin sees a deep, full-cycle crash similar to past 70% drawdowns comes down to one critical factor:
👉 Does Strategy (MSTR) remain a major buyer, or does it turn into a seller?
Why Bitcoin Is Falling Right Now
In a February 1 post, Ki explained that Bitcoin’s weakness is not due to a lack of demand alone, but because selling pressure remains active while new money has stopped entering the market.
He pointed to Realized Cap, which has flattened out. A flat realized cap means no fresh capital is being added. When realized cap stays flat while market cap declines, that structure does not represent a bull market.
According to Ki:
Profit-taking has been happening for a long time
Early holders accumulated large unrealized gains due to ETF inflows and MSTR’s aggressive buying
These holders have been selling gradually since early last year
Strong inflows absorbed that selling and kept Bitcoin near the $100K level
That balance has now changed.
“The inflows that mattered most have dried up.”
What Would Actually Trigger a 70% Crash?
Ki Young Ju does not believe a self-reinforcing crash like previous cycles is likely under current conditions.
Strategy (MSTR) has been one of the most important drivers of demand during this rally. A deep 70%-style collapse, he argues, would likely only occur if Michael Saylor reverses course and aggressively sells Bitcoin.
In other words, a major crash is conditional, not inevitable.
Has Bitcoin Bottomed Yet?
Not necessarily.
Ki made it clear that:
Selling pressure still exists
A definitive market bottom has not been confirmed .$BTC #TrumpProCrypto #GoldSilverRebound
Bitcoin’s recent pullback is increasingly being viewed not as a technical breakdown, but as a liquidity problem. According to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, the previous rally was fueled by a steady stream of new capital — and that stream has now slowed dramatically.
In his view, whether Bitcoin sees a deep, full-cycle crash similar to past 70% drawdowns comes down to one critical factor:
👉 Does Strategy (MSTR) remain a major buyer, or does it turn into a seller?
Why Bitcoin Is Falling Right Now
In a February 1 post, Ki explained that Bitcoin’s weakness is not due to a lack of demand alone, but because selling pressure remains active while new money has stopped entering the market.
He pointed to Realized Cap, which has flattened out. A flat realized cap means no fresh capital is being added. When realized cap stays flat while market cap declines, that structure does not represent a bull market.
According to Ki:
Profit-taking has been happening for a long time
Early holders accumulated large unrealized gains due to ETF inflows and MSTR’s aggressive buying
These holders have been selling gradually since early last year
Strong inflows absorbed that selling and kept Bitcoin near the $100K level
That balance has now changed.
“The inflows that mattered most have dried up.”
What Would Actually Trigger a 70% Crash?
Ki Young Ju does not believe a self-reinforcing crash like previous cycles is likely under current conditions.
Strategy (MSTR) has been one of the most important drivers of demand during this rally. A deep 70%-style collapse, he argues, would likely only occur if Michael Saylor reverses course and aggressively sells Bitcoin.
In other words, a major crash is conditional, not inevitable.
Has Bitcoin Bottomed Yet?
Not necessarily.
Ki made it clear that:
Selling pressure still exists
A definitive market bottom has not been confirmed .$BTC #TrumpProCrypto #GoldSilverRebound
Σημερινό PnL συναλλαγών
-$0,09
-1.29%
Polkadot ($DOT ) is currently trading at $3.16, with a 2.25% decrease in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency has shown a 21.69% increase over the past 7 days. DOT's market cap stands at $5.32 billion, with a circulating supply of 1.634 billion tokens ¹ ².
*Key Levels:*
- _Support_: $3.10-$3.125
- _Resistance_: $3.25-$3.441
*Technical Analysis:*
The $DOT
pair has broken down from a key resistance level at $3.25, indicating a developing downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce ³.
*Recent News:*
- Bitget announced support for Polkadot's network migration to Asset Hub
- Bybit added DOT to its On-Chain Earn platform
- Analysts compare DOT's chart formation to ZCash's pre-rally setup ⁴ ²
Keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and this analysis should not be considered investment advice.
*Key Levels:*
- _Support_: $3.10-$3.125
- _Resistance_: $3.25-$3.441
*Technical Analysis:*
The $DOT
pair has broken down from a key resistance level at $3.25, indicating a developing downtrend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce ³.
*Recent News:*
- Bitget announced support for Polkadot's network migration to Asset Hub
- Bybit added DOT to its On-Chain Earn platform
- Analysts compare DOT's chart formation to ZCash's pre-rally setup ⁴ ²
Keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and this analysis should not be considered investment advice.
✅ Key Current Facts
$BTC is trading around ~$106,000 and holding above this level.
The Economic Times
+1
A notable futures “gap” in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) exists between about $104,160 and $110,370, which traders are watching as a potential magnet for price movement.
CryptoSlate
Technical support in the ~$106,000 region is critical. If it fails, the next support zone may drop toward ~$100,000 or lower.
Cointribune
+1
🔍 Technical Outlook
On the upside, if Bitcoin can break above resistance in the ~$110,500-$112,000 zone, we could see momentum toward ~$120,000.
Analytics Insight
On the downside, a break below ~$106,000 may open the door to a deeper correction, possibly retesting ~$100,000 or ~$92,000.
Cointribune
Short-term, price action looks like consolidation: the RSI is not over-extended, which suggests there’s room for either direction.
Analytics Insight
+1
🎯 Fundamental & Sentiment Drivers
Institutional interest remains strong, albeit with some caution due to macro headwinds (e.g., government policy, interest rates).
Investopedia
+1
The larger macro environment—such as regulatory developments and large‐scale capital flows—will likely determine whether this consolidation turns into a breakout or breakdown.
📌 My Short Summary
Bitcoin is at a crossroads: holding close to key support and in a “take-your-pick” scenario. If it holds the ~$106,000 level and breaks higher, we could be seeing the next leg up. If support fails, some downside risk remains.
Given the data, a slightly bullish bias can be adopted—but with caution.$BTC
#USGovShutdownEnd? #StablecoinLaw
$BTC is trading around ~$106,000 and holding above this level.
The Economic Times
+1
A notable futures “gap” in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) exists between about $104,160 and $110,370, which traders are watching as a potential magnet for price movement.
CryptoSlate
Technical support in the ~$106,000 region is critical. If it fails, the next support zone may drop toward ~$100,000 or lower.
Cointribune
+1
🔍 Technical Outlook
On the upside, if Bitcoin can break above resistance in the ~$110,500-$112,000 zone, we could see momentum toward ~$120,000.
Analytics Insight
On the downside, a break below ~$106,000 may open the door to a deeper correction, possibly retesting ~$100,000 or ~$92,000.
Cointribune
Short-term, price action looks like consolidation: the RSI is not over-extended, which suggests there’s room for either direction.
Analytics Insight
+1
🎯 Fundamental & Sentiment Drivers
Institutional interest remains strong, albeit with some caution due to macro headwinds (e.g., government policy, interest rates).
Investopedia
+1
The larger macro environment—such as regulatory developments and large‐scale capital flows—will likely determine whether this consolidation turns into a breakout or breakdown.
📌 My Short Summary
Bitcoin is at a crossroads: holding close to key support and in a “take-your-pick” scenario. If it holds the ~$106,000 level and breaks higher, we could be seeing the next leg up. If support fails, some downside risk remains.
Given the data, a slightly bullish bias can be adopted—but with caution.$BTC
#USGovShutdownEnd? #StablecoinLaw
📊 Current Snapshot
$ETH ETH is trading at approximately $3,538.79.
Ethereum ($ETH
)
$3,538.79
+$13.45
(+0.38%)
Today
1D
5D
1M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
max
Technical indicators show key resistance near $3,600–$3,607 and strong support around $3,287–$3,489.
BeInCrypto
+2
Brave New Coin
+2
On‐chain data and institutional involvement are showing mixed signs: accumulation is modest, but holding patterns are improving.
BeInCrypto
+1
🔍 Key Observations
Strengths
The network fundamentals remain healthy: more ETH is being staked and there is growing institutional interest, which limits circulating supply.
Analytics Insight
+2
Brave New Coin
+2
Analysts believe a breakout is possible if ETH can surpass the resistance zone around $3,500–$3,600.
Brave New Coin
+1
Challenges
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, signalling that buying momentum is still weak.
BeInCrypto
With resistance holding and accumulation shallow, ETH may stay in a sideways range unless there’s a catalyst.
BeInCrypto
+1
🎯 What to Watch
A close above $3,600 could open the door for a move upward toward ~$4,000.
If ETH fails to break resistance, the support zone at $3,300–$3,400 becomes critical; a breakdown might steer ETH lower.
External drivers: large‐scale institutional flows, macroeconomic data (e.g., interest‐rate moves), and ecosystem developments (layer-2 adoption, etc.).
Blockchain News
+1
✅ Conclusion
ETH currently sits at a pivot point: while its long-term fundamentals look solid (staking, institutional interest, network growth), in the short term it faces resistance and weak momentum. If it breaks above the $3,600+ zone, a push toward $4,000 becomes plausible. Conversely, failure to break could see consolidation or a pullback.
Let me know if you’d like a detailed chart breakdown (support/resistance lines + indicators) or a comparison with another crypto like Bitcoin!
#USGovShutdownEnd? #US-EUTradeAgreement #GENIUSAct
$ETH ETH is trading at approximately $3,538.79.
Ethereum ($ETH
)
$3,538.79
+$13.45
(+0.38%)
Today
1D
5D
1M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
max
Technical indicators show key resistance near $3,600–$3,607 and strong support around $3,287–$3,489.
BeInCrypto
+2
Brave New Coin
+2
On‐chain data and institutional involvement are showing mixed signs: accumulation is modest, but holding patterns are improving.
BeInCrypto
+1
🔍 Key Observations
Strengths
The network fundamentals remain healthy: more ETH is being staked and there is growing institutional interest, which limits circulating supply.
Analytics Insight
+2
Brave New Coin
+2
Analysts believe a breakout is possible if ETH can surpass the resistance zone around $3,500–$3,600.
Brave New Coin
+1
Challenges
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, signalling that buying momentum is still weak.
BeInCrypto
With resistance holding and accumulation shallow, ETH may stay in a sideways range unless there’s a catalyst.
BeInCrypto
+1
🎯 What to Watch
A close above $3,600 could open the door for a move upward toward ~$4,000.
If ETH fails to break resistance, the support zone at $3,300–$3,400 becomes critical; a breakdown might steer ETH lower.
External drivers: large‐scale institutional flows, macroeconomic data (e.g., interest‐rate moves), and ecosystem developments (layer-2 adoption, etc.).
Blockchain News
+1
✅ Conclusion
ETH currently sits at a pivot point: while its long-term fundamentals look solid (staking, institutional interest, network growth), in the short term it faces resistance and weak momentum. If it breaks above the $3,600+ zone, a push toward $4,000 becomes plausible. Conversely, failure to break could see consolidation or a pullback.
Let me know if you’d like a detailed chart breakdown (support/resistance lines + indicators) or a comparison with another crypto like Bitcoin!
#USGovShutdownEnd? #US-EUTradeAgreement #GENIUSAct
✅ What’s working
$BTC is trading in the ~$100,000-$110,000 range, which keeps it well above many earlier support zones.
Aurpay
+2
CoinCodex
+2
On-chain data show accumulation by long-term holders and a reduction in exchange reserves, suggesting less selling pressure from “weak hands”.
Unocoin Blog
+1
Historical patterns point to November being one of Bitcoin’s stronger months: average returns in past Novembers since 2013 have been ~+30-40%.
AInvest
+1
Macro tailwinds: easing monetary policy, improved liquidity, and institutional interest (e.g., ETFs, corporate treasuries) are cited as upside catalysts.
The Currency Analytics
+1
⚠️ What’s risky
Technicals are blinking caution: BTC is trading below its 200-day moving average, a key long-term trend line—this often signals risk of further downside.
CoinCodex
+1
October ended red (for the first time since 2018): BTC lost ~3-4% which breaks its “Uptober” streak and has raised some caution among investors.
The Economic Times
+1
Key support zones around ~$104,000-$106,000 are under watch. A break below could open a deeper pullback.
Unocoin Blog
+1
Macro & geopolitical risks remain: rate-cut uncertainty, regulatory changes, global liquidity constraints. These could quickly turn sentiment.
🎯 My Outlook
Base case (55-60% chance): Bitcoin stabilises around ~$105K-$110K, consolidates, and then resumes an upward move toward ~$120K-$130K later in Nov/Dec, if November’s seasonality plays out.
Bull case (~25% chance): Strong ETF inflows + positive macro surprise push BTC above ~$130K, perhaps setting a new local high toward ~$140K.
$BTC
#USGovShutdownEnd? #StrategyBTCPurchase #CryptoIn401k #CryptoMarket4T
Short Analysis (Use for Caption / Post)
$GIGGLE
Price has pulled back after the recent pump.
Currently stabilizing around $160–$170 support zone.
If it holds above support, a short bounce to $180+ is possible.
If support breaks, next downside zone is near $150.
Summary:
Support: $160–$170
Resistance: $180–$185
Trend: Volatile pullback
Trade with caution & tight stop-loss.
#USGovShutdownEnd? #PowellWatch #ProjectCrypto #StablecoinLaw $GIGGLE
$GIGGLE
Price has pulled back after the recent pump.
Currently stabilizing around $160–$170 support zone.
If it holds above support, a short bounce to $180+ is possible.
If support breaks, next downside zone is near $150.
Summary:
Support: $160–$170
Resistance: $180–$185
Trend: Volatile pullback
Trade with caution & tight stop-loss.
#USGovShutdownEnd? #PowellWatch #ProjectCrypto #StablecoinLaw $GIGGLE
Latest Crypto & Bitcoin News
Crypto enthusiasts are waiting to see if bitcoin can surpass its record high of $109,135 set earlier this year.
Crypto enthusiasts are waiting to see if bitcoin can surpass its record high of $109,135 set earlier this year.
Bitcoin Rebounds on Trump's EU Tariff Delay, Futures Rise
Bitcoin surged to $109,600 on Sunday after Trump postponed a 50% EU tariff, easing trade tensions. US futures also climbed, with S&P 500 up 0.9%, Dow up 0.8%, and Nasdaq-100 up 1%. The delay, following talks with EU, raised hopes for a trade deal. Trump's initial 20% tariff proposal was reduced to 10% in April. Despite threats of a 50% tariff by June 1, the deadline was extended to July 9. Investors remain optimistic, with Bitcoin seen as a hedge against inflation. Analysts predict Bitcoin hitting $120,000, supported by strong market signals. The EU, pausing retaliatory tariffs, is consulting on additional measures. Ethereum held at $2,550, while Solana and Avalanche saw modest gains. Traders are monitoring geopolitical risks and macroeconomic data, including US core PCE inflation. Despite recent tariff concerns, the crypto market remains bullish due to institutional investments and favorable regulatory environment.
Bitcoin surged to $109,600 on Sunday after Trump postponed a 50% EU tariff, easing trade tensions. US futures also climbed, with S&P 500 up 0.9%, Dow up 0.8%, and Nasdaq-100 up 1%. The delay, following talks with EU, raised hopes for a trade deal. Trump's initial 20% tariff proposal was reduced to 10% in April. Despite threats of a 50% tariff by June 1, the deadline was extended to July 9. Investors remain optimistic, with Bitcoin seen as a hedge against inflation. Analysts predict Bitcoin hitting $120,000, supported by strong market signals. The EU, pausing retaliatory tariffs, is consulting on additional measures. Ethereum held at $2,550, while Solana and Avalanche saw modest gains. Traders are monitoring geopolitical risks and macroeconomic data, including US core PCE inflation. Despite recent tariff concerns, the crypto market remains bullish due to institutional investments and favorable regulatory environment.
#MarketRebound THE PRESIDENT SIGNALS A POTENTIAL BULL RUN AHEAD FOR BOTH STOCKS AND CRYPTO.
REMINDER: U.S. MARKETS WILL BE CLOSED ON MAY 26 FOR MEMORIAL DAY.
AS ALWAYS, THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE—PLEASE DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE.
#TrumpTariffs #MarketRebound #Bitcoin2025
REMINDER: U.S. MARKETS WILL BE CLOSED ON MAY 26 FOR MEMORIAL DAY.
AS ALWAYS, THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE—PLEASE DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE.
#TrumpTariffs #MarketRebound #Bitcoin2025
Federal Reserve's Rate Decisions
According to BlockBeats, Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, has indicated that significant changes in U.S. trade and immigration policies are creating uncertainty for Federal Reserve officials as they consider adjusting interest rates before September. This uncertainty poses challenges for the central bank's decision-making process in the coming months.
According to BlockBeats, Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, has indicated that significant changes in U.S. trade and immigration policies are creating uncertainty for Federal Reserve officials as they consider adjusting interest rates before September. This uncertainty poses challenges for the central bank's decision-making process in the coming months.
Συνδεθείτε για να εξερευνήσετε περισσότερα περιεχόμενα