Furqan Ali Khan

Week ahead: Markets to test rebound with earnings, jobs data due

Wall Street is heading into another crowded and potentially volatile week, with investors juggling a heavy earnings calendar, a backlog of delayed US economic data and lingering nerves after a sharp risk-off move that rattled stocks and crypto.

The backdrop is eye-catching: the Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 50,000 for the first time last week. But instead of celebrating, markets are debating whether last Friday’s rebound marked a turning point or just a pause in February’s choppy trading.
Another 78 S&P 500 companies are set to report, including Dow components The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD, XETRA:MDO) and Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ:CSCO, XETRA:CIS). Results are also due from ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), AstraZeneca PLC (LSE:AZN, NASDAQ:AZN) and Applied Materials Inc (NASDAQ:AMAT, XETRA:AP2).
“With Big Tech earnings and spending announcements now behind us, the week ahead may see markets digest the news, reprice expectations and consolidate,” said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote.

Artificial intelligence remains a key source of unease. “February is proving to be a choppy month for financial markets,” said Kathleen Brooks. “There continues to be an existential fear about AI.”
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Dow 50,000 sets table for inflation data, delayed January jobs report: What to watch this week

Wall Street will look to build on a dramatic Friday turnaround that saw the Dow Jones Industrial (^DJI) close above 50,000 for the first time, while a 2% daily rally in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) indexes wiped away some of the pain felt earlier in the week.

When the closing bell rang on Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq still logged its fourth straight losing week, falling nearly 3%, as investor concerns over AI-related disruption across software names, specifically, predominated across most of the trading action.
With a weekly loss, the S&P 500 has also dropped in three out of the last four weeks. Both the Dow and S&P 500 are up for the year; the Nasdaq this week forfeited its year-to-date gains.

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US stocks open lower as software woes continue

US stocks opened lower on Monday, with all three major indexes falling in the opening minutes of trade and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) pacing declines, dropping about 0.5%.

The most notable single-stock move in markets, however, is a reminder of where investors fears still lie — software stocks.

Shares of monday.com (MNDY) fell as much as 23% in early trade on Monday after the company's sales and profit forecasts fell short of estimates, the latest software-exposed name to be judged harshly by investors as questions over how AI-related disruptions will impact future profits remain abundant.
Overall, investors will remain in wait-and-see mode with some of the week's biggest earnings and economic data reports set for release later, notably Wednesday morning's January jobs report.

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Stock market today: US stocks tip higher after Dow tops 50,000 milestone as jobs, inflation reports loom

US stocks turned higher on Monday, after a turbulent week that ended with the Dow closing above 50,000 for the first time as investors face another busy schedule of earnings and economic data.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) hovered above the flat line, keeping above its milestone. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose around 0.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) gained about 0.5%.

Wall Street continues to debate the AI disruption risk to software companies, with a sharp decline in shares of Monday.com to start the week, the latest sign of unease toward the sector. That stock fell as much as 22% after the software maker offered revenue and profit guidance that fell short of Wall Street forecasts.
Gold (GC=F) and bitcoin (BTC-USD) also remained in focus for investors, with gold futures rising back above $5,000 an ounce on Monday while bitcoin fell back below $69,000. Both assets were hit hard last week, with bitcoin suffering its sharpest daily decline since 2022 on Thursday.

On the economic data side, investors will remain in wait-and-see mode until Wednesday, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the delayed January jobs report. The focus will be on whether further signs of cracks in the labor market emerge after ADP's private-sector payrolls update last week fell short. Consumer inflation data from the BLS is also set for release Friday morning.
On the earnings front, ON Semiconductor (ON) will release results after the close on Monday, with key results later this week expected from Coca-Cola (KO), McDonald's (MCD), and Cisco (CSCO).

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Iran insists on right to enrichment, ready for confidence-building

DUBAI, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Recognition of Iran's right to enrich uranium is key for nuclear talks with the U.S. to succeed, Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said on Sunday.
American and Iranian diplomats held indirect talks in Oman on Friday, aimed at reviving diplomacy amid a U.S. naval buildup near Iran and Tehran's vows of a harsh response if attacked.
"Zero enrichment can never be accepted by us. Hence, we need to focus on discussions that accept enrichment inside Iran while building trust that enrichment is and will stay for peaceful purposes," Araqchi said.
IRAN and the U.S held five rounds of nuclear talks last year, which stalled mainly due to disagreements over uranium enrichment inside Iran. In June, the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear facilities at the end of a 12-day Israeli bombing campaign.
Tehran has since said it has halted enrichment activity, which the U.S. views as a possible pathway to nuclear bombs. Iran says its nuclear programme is solely for peaceful purposes.
A diplomat in the region briefed by Iran told Reuters on Friday that Tehran was open to discussing the "level and purity" of enrichment as well as other arrangements, as long as it was allowed to enrich uranium on its soil and would be granted sanctions relief in addition to military de-escalation.
"Iran's insistence on enrichment is not merely technical or economic (...) it is rooted in a desire for independence and dignity," Araqchi said. "No one has the right to tell the Iranian nation what it should or should not have."
The minister also said that Iran's missile programme, which the U.S. would like to include in negotiations, had never been part of the agenda.
President Masoud Pezeshkian said in a post on Sunday that talks with the U.S. were a "step forward" and that Tehran wanted its rights under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty to be respected.
The date and venue of the next round of talks will be determined in consultation with Oman and might not be Muscat, Araqchi said.

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Is U.S.tariff revenue starting to decline?

U.S. tariff revenue has fallen over the past few months, prompting questions about whether import demand is finally adjusting to higher trade barriers.
Since October, customs duties collected by the Treasury have dropped by roughly 11%, based on both monthly Treasury data and daily deposit figures from the Department of Homeland Security, which closely track the official numbers.

At the peak in October, the U.S. was collecting about $376 billion in tariff revenue on an annualized basis, UBS economist Arend Kapteyn said in a note. By the end of January, that pace had slowed to roughly $335 billion.

However, Kapteyn cautioned against reading the decline as a clear signal of weakening trade activity.
Seasonal patterns are likely playing an important role, the economist points out. Imports in December and January tend to be lower, as retailers typically complete most holiday inventory restocking earlier in the year. To adjust for this, Kapteyn looked at duties as a share of estimated imports — an effective tariff rate — which shows a far less pronounced decline than the headline revenue numbers.

Recent U.S. trade data have also been volatile rather than pointing to a sustained slowdown, with sharp swings in the trade deficit as import volumes rebounded in some months, particularly in capital goods, after earlier narrowing.

Changes in tariff policy have also weighed on collections, Kapteyn noted. In November, China’s fentanyl-related IEEPA tariff rate was cut by 10 percentage points, from 20% to 10%.

Kapteyn said this move alone “could be worth about 1pp on the effective tariff rate,” with additional minor exemptions granted to other countries contributing further.
At the same time, port activity has shown noticeable softening in late 2025, with cargo volumes at major U.S. hubs declining and logistics executives pointing to tariff effects and timing issues around seasonal shipping patterns.

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US stock index futures cut losses after Trump nominates Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair

Jan 30 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures cut some losses on Friday, after U.S. President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve ‌chair.

"I am nominating Kevin Warsh to be chairman of board of governors of ‌Federal Reserve system," Trump said, announcing his latest move to put his stamp on a Fed that he has lambasted for not lowering interest rates. The position requires confirmation by ⁠the U.S. Senate.
At ‌06:51 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 162 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 E-minis were down ‍29.25 points, or 0.42% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 146 points, or 0.56%

Warsh is seen as a comparatively moderate figure, as one of the less radical choices and notably more ‌cautious about deploying heavy monetary stimulus despite his preference for lower rates.

A lawyer and a distinguished visiting fellow in economics at Stanford University's Hoover Institution, Warsh has said he believes the president is right to press the central bank for ⁠steep interest-rate reductions, and has criticized the Fed for underestimating the inflation-busting potential of productivity growth supercharged by artificial intelligence.
He has also called for a broad overhaul of ‍the central ⁠bank that would slim its balance sheet and ease bank regulations.

Trump's nomination of Powell's successor, who must be ⁠confirmed by the Senate, comes amid unprecedented presidential efforts to exert control ‌over the Fed.
#USPPIJump #WhoIsNextFedChair #MarketCorrection

Trump Picks a Reinvented Warsh to Lead the Federal Reserve

President Donald Trump said he intends to nominate Kevin Warsh to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve, according to a post on his Truth Social platform.

“I have known Kevin for a long period of time, and have no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best,” Trump wrote. “On top of everything else, he is ‘central casting,’ and he will never let you down.
Warsh, who served on the US central bank’s Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 and has previously advised Trump on economic policy, would succeed Jerome Powell when his term at the helm ends in May. It marks a comeback for Warsh, 55, whom the president passed over for the top job in 2017 when he selected Powell.

If confirmed by the Senate, the former Fed governor will take charge of US monetary policy at a time when many economists and investors see its traditional insulation from elected officials as being under threat from the White House. Warsh aligned himself with the president in 2025 by arguing publicly for lower interest rates, going against his longstanding reputation as an inflation hawk.
The dollar held gains and US stock futures remained lower after Trump confirmed he would pick Warsh. While Warsh has echoed Trump’s calls for lower borrowing costs and revamping the central bank, traders see him as ultimately more inclined to guard against rising price pressures given how much he worried about rising inflation when at the Fed.
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Trump names former Federal Reserve official Warsh as the next Fed chair to replace Powell

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said Friday that he will nominate former Federal Reserve official Kevin Warsh to be the next chair of the Fed, a decision likely to result in sharp changes to the powerful agency that could bring it closer to the White House.

Warsh would replace current chair Jerome Powell when his term expires in May. Trump chose Powell to lead the Fed in 2017 but this year has relentlessly assailed him for not cutting interest rates quickly enough.
"I have known Kevin for a long period of time, and have no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best,” Trump posted on social media. “On top of everything else, he is ‘central casting,’ and he will never let you down.”

The appointment, which requires Senate confirmation, amounts to a return trip for Warsh, 55, who was a member of the Fed's board from 2006 to 2011. He was the youngest governor in history when he was appointed at age 35. He is currently a fellow at the right-leaning Hoover Institution and a lecturer at the Stanford Graduate School of Business.
In some ways, Warsh is an unlikely choice for the Republican president because he has long been a hawk in Fed parlance, or someone who typically supports higher interest rates to control inflation. Trump, by contrast, has said the Fed’s key rate should be as low as 1%, a level few economists endorse, and far below its current level of about 3.6%.
During his time as governor, Warsh objected to some of the low-interest rate policies that the Fed pursued during and after the 2008-09 Great Recession. He also often expressed concern at that time that inflation would soon accelerate, even though it remained at rock-bottom levels for many years after that recession ended.
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Trump to announce his Fed chief pick on Friday

Jan 30 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump said on Thursday he intends to announce his pick to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, with speculation intensifying that the nod will go to former Fed governor Kevin Warsh.

Bloomberg News later reported that the White House is preparing for Trump to nominate Warsh as the next Fed chair, citing people familiar ‌with the matter.
Warsh, on the short list of candidates to lead the central bank when Powell's leadership term ends in May, went to the White House for a meeting ‌with Trump on Thursday, according to one source familiar with the matter.
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Trump threatens to decertify, levy tariff on Canadian planes

President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on aircraft from Canada sold in the US and decertify all new planes made in that country until Ottawa agreed to approve certain jets made by Gulfstream, a unit of General Dynamics Corp.

Trump said Canada had “wrongfully, illegally, and steadfastly refused to certify the Gulfstream 500, 600, 700, and 800 Jets,” in a social media post Thursday. In response, he said the US would decertify “Bombardier Global Expresses, and all Aircraft made in Canada, until such time as Gulfstream, a Great American Company, is fully certified.”

He claimed that Canada was effectively prohibiting the sale of Gulfstream products through the same certification process. “If, for any reason, this situation is not immediately corrected, I am going to charge Canada a 50% Tariff on any and all Aircraft sold into the United States of America,” he said.

A White House official said Trump’s decertification announcement would only affect new planes — sparing jets already in operation. Still, it’s unclear how the US would decertify the aircraft, as such a measure typically relates to safety issues. Gulfstream didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

“I don’t know what this is or where it’s coming from, but it’s beyond a bad idea for the president to get in the way of safety and certification,” said Richard Aboulafia, an aviation analyst and managing director at AeroDynamic Advisory. “And does he have any authority to do this?”

Trump has taken particular aim at Bombardier Inc.’s Global Express, but it’s the CRJ family of regional jets introduced by the manufacturer that’s widely used by US carriers. American Airlines Group Inc. counts about 200 of the aircraft in its regional fleet last year and Delta Air Lines Inc.’s regional partners had almost 180 CRJs in fleet last year.

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Trump threats continue with new shots at Canada, Mexico

President Trump leveled new tariff threats at Canada and Mexico, part of a recent blitz aimed at allies that rivals his bluster from early in his second term.

Trump threatened to hit Canada aircraft imports with a 50% tariff and said the US would also decertify all new jets from the likes of Bombardier (BDRBF), claiming Canada has used certification hurdles to effectively ban the sale of US Gulfstream jets. Meanwhile, Mexico is facing the potential of levies after Trump promised to impose new tariffs on countries providing oil to Cuba.
Trump's latest tariff salvo at a US ally came days after he threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Canada over that nation's trade deal with China. Canada has negotiated a deal to lower tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, in return for lower import taxes on Canadian farm products.

But the Trump administration claims the agreement may run afoul the United States-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) that is scheduled to be renegotiated this summer.
Meanwhile, Trump on Monday said he was increasing tariffs on goods from South Korea, accusing the country of "not living up to its Deal" with the US. Tariffs on goods from South Korea would jump back to 25%, from 15%.
Other US trade partners are clinching long-negotiated deals in a rebuke to the Trump tariff regime. India and the EU announced a trade deal on Tuesday aimed at boosting economic ties. The deal from New Delhi and Brussels comes at a time when the US is still trying to establish a trade agreement with India — and shortly after the EU-US agreement almost stalled due to Trump's pursuit of Greenland.
The actions continue a string of renewed tariff-based threats from the president. Last week, Trump called off planned tariffs on European nations that he said were getting in the way of his pursuit of the island. Trump cited the "framework of a future deal" reached with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
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Trump threatens tariffs on any nation supplying Cuba with oil

WASHINGTON/HAVANA, Jan 29 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on Thursday on countries supplying oil to Cuba, escalating a pressure campaign against the Communist-run island ‌and long-time foe of the United States.

The move, authorized by an executive order under a ‌national emergency declaration, stopped short of specifying tariff rates or singling out any countries whose products could face U.S. tariffs.
Cuba's state-run media shot back shortly after Trump's announcement, warning that the order threatened to paralyze electricity generation, agricultural production, ⁠water supply and health ‌services on an island already suffering a crippling economic crisis.

"What is the goal? A genocide of the Cuban people," Cuba's ‍government said in a statement on the nightly TV newscast. "All spheres of life will be suffocated by the U.S. government."
Emboldened by the U.S. military's seizure of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in a deadly raid earlier this month, Trump ‌has repeatedly talked of acting against Cuba and pressuring its leadership.

Trump said this week that "Cuba will be failing pretty soon," adding that Venezuela, once the island's top oil supplier, has not recently sent oil or money to Cuba.
Reuters exclusively reported last week that Mexico - Cuba's top supplier after Venezuela ⁠cut off shipments in December - was also reviewing whether to continue sending oil amid growing fears it could face reprisals from the United States over the policy.

Trump has used tariff threats as a foreign policy tool ‍throughout his second ⁠term in office.
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as Wall Street digests Warsh as Trump's Fed pick

US stocks fell on Friday as President Trump said he would nominate Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve, against a background of a rising dollar and tumbling gold.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slid 0.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell 0.3%, pointing to another down session for tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dipped below the flat line.
Markets are calculating the potential impact after Trump said he has chosen frontrunner Warsh as the US central bank's next chair, in a post to Truth Social on Friday. Former Fed Governor Warsh has a hawkish record on interest rates but has recently voiced support for cuts — which Trump has aggressively campaigned for.

The dollar (DX-Y.NYB) rose on the prospect of Warsh as the Fed's leader, while the 30-year Treasury (^TYX) led gains in yields, flirting with 4.9%. Gold (GC=F) and silver (SIL=F) tumbled, putting the brakes on runaway rallies, as the dollar's advance made the precious metals more expensive for many buyers.

In addition, the watch is on for the next trade move from Trump, who threatened to hit Canada aircraft imports with a 50% tariff. The US would also decertify all new jets from the likes of Bombardier (BDRBF), Trump said, claiming Canada has used certification hurdles to effectively ban the sale of US Gulfstream jets. Meanwhile, Mexico is facing new levies after Trump promised to impose new tariffs on countries providing oil to Cuba.
On the earnings front, Apple's (AAPL) shares fell 2% after its results closed out a mixed bag of Big Tech reports for the week. While its quarterly profit topped estimates, fueled by record iPhone sales, its CEO Tim Cook warned the global memory shortage will hit future margins.
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Bitcoin price dips fast as crypto market joins Big Tech in market dive

Bitcoin’s price dipped hard on Thursday to a low of $83,757 as the crypto market experienced a sell-off sparked by investor fears around AI spending.

The biggest and oldest cryptocurrency was recently priced slightly higher at $83,788 after dropping over 6% over a 24-hour period, according to CoinGecko. Over the past week, it has dropped by 6% and is down year-to-date.

Ethereum also took a hit and was trading for nearly $2,792 — a 24-hour dip of more than 7%. While other major coins and tokens such as XRP and Solana also experienced similar daily drops.

The crypto sell-off came as big tech stocks dipped on news that Microsoft earnings showed the software giant had reported record spending. Investors are worried that AI expenditure is too big and results are taking too long to bear fruit.

“Regardless of the fact that many in the Bitcoin space see Bitcoin as the world’s hardest money and stack Bitcoin regardless of price, the vast majority of the market still sees Bitcoin as a tech trade,” Timot Lamarre, director of market research at Unchained, said.

Bitcoin and the wider crypto market has in the past moved along with US equities — particularly tech stocks.
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Bitcoin Faces Key Support Test After Fed Meeting—Will Powell Trigger a Breakout?

The Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5% to 3.75% on January 28, 2026, with two dissents from governors who preferred a 25 basis point cut.

Bitcoin tests the 100-week moving average at $87,145 with a break below $86,000 targeting the $80,000-$82,000 zone.

ETF outflows reached $1.33B weekly as institutional demand weakened following the Fed decision.

Rate cut probability sits at 16% for March and 30% for April, removing near-term catalysts for Bitcoin upside.

The Bitcoin Fed meeting verdict is in. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75% on January 28, 2026, and Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) now faces a critical support test. The Bitcoin price is consolidating near key support levels, with volatility compressing in a way that often precedes sharp moves in either direction.

Powell struck a neutral tone, describing the economy as on "firm footing" while noting inflation "remains somewhat elevated." The decision itself offered no immediate catalyst, but the policy stance shapes what comes next. With rate cuts unlikely before June and ETF outflows accelerating, Bitcoin's direction depends on whether support holds and institutional demand returns.

BTC Price Hits Six-Week Low on Geopolitical and Fed Pressure

Bitcoin price dropped more than 5% on Thursday to $84,564, its lowest close since December 19. The drop followed Bitcoin trading at nearly $90,400, less than a day earlier, highlighting the rapid nature of the reversal. The asset is now well below its all-time high (ATH) of $126,000. Losses extended beyond Bitcoin to the broader crypto market. Ethereum, Cardano, XRP, and Solana all fell by at least 6% or more. Selling pressure increased as prices moved below short-term support levels.

Market stress wascompounded by geopolitical risk. According to a report, the United States was sending a second warship to the Middle East. Iran also declared that it had begun preparations for fresh military exercises in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz. Global markets remained under pressure from such events, with increased buying amid defensive positioning.

The BTC price drop was also a function of macroeconomic conditions. The Fed left interest rates between 3.50% and 3.75%. Federal Reserve officials signaled that they were in no rush to cut interest rates, noting that the labor market was stabilizing and inflation remained somewhat elevated.

BTC Price Crashes Below $85K Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions and Hawkish Fed Pivot

The BTC price declined below $85,000 as the Fed's policy, U.S.-Iran tensions, and heavy...

Bitcoin fell over 5% to $84,564, marking its lowest level since December 19.

Geopolitical tensions and a hawkish Fed stance weakened risk appetite.

Leverage flush triggered $319M liquidations, led by long positions.

The BTC price is facing renewed selling pressure, with prices sliding to a multi-week low amid heightened volatility. The move followed a sharp reversal from recent highs and reflected weaker risk sentiment driven by macroeconomic signals, geopolitical developments, and heavy liquidation activity across crypto markets.
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Bitcoin Hits 2-Month Low as Gold and Stocks Give Up Gains, Crypto Liquidations Top $800M

The price of Bitcoin fell to a two-month low on Thursday, wavering alongside equities and precious metals as Microsoft’s post-earnings tumble deepened.

The leading digital asset by market cap recently changed hands around $84,400, a 5% decrease over the past day, according to CoinGecko. Altcoins including Ethereum and Solana notched steeper declines, falling 6.4% and 6.8% to $2,800 and $117, respectively.

Crypto liquidations surged, with more than $800 million worth of leveraged positions forcibly closed over the past day, according to CoinGlass. Nearly $700 million worth of losses stacked up for long positions. And a $31 million position was wiped out on Hyperliquid.

Following its blistering past $5,600 per ounce on Wednesday, the price of gold decreased 0.6% to $5,300. Silver meanwhile dropped 0.8% to $112 per ounce.

Microsoft shares fell more than 12% to recently change hands around $422, according to Yahoo Finance. Although the tech behemoth’s second-quarter earnings results surpassed Wall Street expectations, a slowdown in cloud sales growth and CapEx spending sparked investor jitters.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite plunged more than 2%, erasing much of its year-to-date gains. The index hit a record high earlier this week alongside the S&P 500, which fell 1.1%.
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Caterpillar stock rises as power equipment sales lift profits

Caterpillar (CAT) stock rose 1.5% in premarket trading after its earnings showed it's still a beneficiary of the AI data center build-out, but also that it expects to take another major hit from tariffs in 2026.
The construction and mining equipment maker reported an adjusted profit of $5.16 per share for the quarter, up from $5.14 ⁠per share a ‌year earlier. Revenue rose to $19.1 billion from $16.2 billion. Those figures were above Wall Street's expectations of $4.71 earnings per share and revenue of $17.7 billion, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The results were boosted by sales of power generation equipment to AI data center developers. Sales in Caterpillar's power and energy segment rose 23% year over year to $9.4 billion.
"I think what often gets overlooked is that AI is really an industrial story," Gabelli Funds portfolio manager Brian Sponheimer told Yahoo Finance. "As this data center rollout has happened, ... it's created structural demand for industrial-grade power solutions, and no company is really as well situated to drive that supply than Caterpillar."

However, Caterpillar is still facing headwinds from higher tariffs. Reuters reported that Caterpillar warned of a $2.6 billion tariff impact in 2026. In the fourth quarter, operating profit fell 9%, largely due to unfavorable manufacturing costs
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