Too many rejections lately and not enough clean momentum to convince me we’ve put in a proper long-term bottom. Every push up has been getting sold pretty quickly, and we’re basically stuck under the same area.
To me it makes more sense to at least come back down and test the range lows again. We might sweep them and even print new lows if bulls don’t step in, but that’s the kind of move that can actually set the base for a real bottom.
If bulls defend that retest, then I’d start looking for a stronger bounce and a break of the current range to the upside.
This sweep of highs is still pending as long as its above the green zone. So now we can only wait until this is complete. Will exit shorts there or acceptance below the green.
Most people lose money because they size too big, not because they’re wrong.
I’ve been in this market long enough to see the same story repeat every cycle.
The trade idea is fine. The direction is right. The timing is decent.
And yet the account still gets destroyed.
Why?
Because position size turns a small mistake into a fatal one.
I’ve seen traders catch the right move on BTC but still get liquidated because they went too heavy and couldn’t survive a 2–3% pullback. I’ve seen ETH bounce exactly as expected, just after stopping them out. Not because the market was evil, but because they gave it zero breathing room.
Markets don’t move in straight lines. They never have. If you size like they do, you’re already planning to fail.
Here’s the hard truth most people don’t want to hear.
If a single candle can wipe you out, you were never trading. You were gambling.
Over the years, I’ve learned one simple rule that kept me alive while others disappeared.
If I’m right but still get liquidated, my size was wrong. Not the analysis.
That’s it.
Big size creates fear. Fear forces early exits. Early exits turn winning ideas into losses. And then comes the worst part revenge trading to get it back.
That’s how accounts really die.
The traders who last aren’t the smartest. They’re the ones who can stay in the game long enough for probability to work in their favor.
Small size feels boring. Small size feels slow. But small size keeps you alive.
And staying alive is what lets you compound.
Right now, volatility is high. BTC and ETH are moving fast. This is exactly when bad sizing hurts the most and disciplined sizing pays the most.
You don’t need to be right every time.
You just need to be sized so you can be wrong and still continue.
That’s the difference between traders who survive cycles and traders who keep resetting accounts.
Curious to know how you size your trades in this market.
I will wait to see if it breaks out or breaks down from green zone support. It's either 2.3k or 1.8k now. If it fails I will add from **1,798** instead with the same target of 2.6k