📉 Top 5 Bear Run "Call-Out" Indicators: Is It Time to Exit? 🚪
Many investors are asking the same question: Has the bear run officially begun? 🐻 After the $126k peaks of late 2025, the market is at a crossroads. Here are 5 key indicators and where they stand right now in January 2026:
1️⃣ MVRV Z-Score (The Valuation Check) ⚖️ This on-chain metric tracks if Bitcoin is "overvalued" or "undervalued" relative to its fair value. The Signal: When the Z-Score enters the Red Zone (7–9), the top is usually in. 🚨 Current Status: NEUTRAL. 🟡 We are sitting around 1.12. This suggests we aren't at a cycle top yet, but the "overheated" euphoria of late 2025 has definitely cooled off. 2️⃣ The 1-Year Moving Average (MA) 📈 Analysts use the 1-year MA as the ultimate "line in the sand" for long-term trends. The Signal: A decisive daily close below the 1-year MA often confirms a multi-month bear phase. 📉 Current Status: CAUTION. ⚠️ Bitcoin is currently testing critical support near $80k–$83k. A break below this range could trigger a bearish confirmation.
3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) ⚡ The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. The Signal: On the weekly timeframe, an RSI dropping below 50 signals lost momentum. Current Status: OVERSOLD. 📉 Daily RSI is hovering near 33–35. While it looks bearish, it often precedes a "relief bounce." The real test is whether we can break back into bullish territory. 4️⃣ ETF Net Flows (The Institutional Giant) 🏦 In 2026, institutional money via Spot ETFs is the biggest driver of price. The Signal: Consecutive weeks of Net Outflows signal that "Smart Money" is de-risking. 💸 Current Status: BEARISH. 🔴 We recently saw a massive weekly outflow of $1.1B+. If the big players continue to exit, the retail crowd usually follows.
5️⃣ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) 💵 When stablecoin supply on exchanges drops, there is less "dry powder" to buy the dips. The Signal: A declining stablecoin market cap often leads to price exhaustion. 🥀 Current Status: FLAT. 🔵 Buying power is stagnant. Without a fresh injection of liquidity, the market lacks the fuel for a new leg up. 💡 The Bottom Line We are in a "Narrowing Bottom" or a transition phase. While the $126k peak is behind us, many experts see 2026 as a year of sideways consolidation between $75k and $100k rather than a total collapse. 🏛️ DYOR : Indicators are tools, not crystal balls. 🔮 Always manage your risk and never trade more than you can afford to lose. Which indicator do you trust the most? #Bitcoin #bearmarket $BTC
After US 🇺🇸 Government Shutdown Crypto Market Faces Sharp Flush On Weekend‼️
🚨 But Why Government Shutdown? And When It Will Open Again 🚨
The shutdown was caused by a delay in the funding bill, with an expected reopening on Tuesday, February 3, 2026. House Speaker Mike Johnson stated he is 'convinced' the standoff will be resolved by then.
The legislative timeline is as follows:
Monday: The House Rules Committee meets to review the bill.
Monday Evening: Procedural votes may begin, though a final vote isn't expected until Tuesday morning.
Tuesday: If the bill passes, the government should begin reopening immediately.
My question: If the shutdown causes a market dump, do you think the reopening will trigger a pump??
As seen on weekly chart $BNB running in a pattern called "Ascending Broadening Wedge" which is a bearish pattern and currently price approaching the support level.
Failure to hold this support zone—or a breakdown below it—could lead to a 20% to 30% drop.
Keep an eye on it! Let's see what happens next. What are your thoughts?
If you believe it will hold and bounce from here, hit like or if not then share your thoughts below!
If you didn't know, the 'whales' 🐳 want liquidity. This is the monthly chart of Ethereum. See how whales trap 90% of traders with this monthly fakeout.
Ethereum faced crucial resistance between $3,800 and $4,100 in 2024. After being rejected twice from this level, we finally saw a breakout and a monthly close above it in 2025. When everyone thinks it's a real breakout, long positions get crowded. That’s when the whales hunt the liquidity with sharp monthly red candles. Positive Thing That Can Be Good For Bulls.
One thing looks good on this monthly chart: the structure of higher lows and higher highs is still intact, which is good signal for long-term investors. Many are asking: when is the final bottom?
Key Horizontal Support Zone ($1,900 – $2,250) I am watching the $1,900 to $2,250 range on the weekly chart, as it is a critical horizontal support zone. Why is this zone key? This zone acted as support in 2021. This zone acted as resistance in 2022. This zone acted as resistance in 2023. This zone acted as support in 2024. This zone acted as support in 2025. And now 2026! Overall, this is the key zone for Ethereum, and price is currently approaching it as support. There is a high probability that this level holds, leading to a bounce and the formation of another higher low. One more thing: Ethereum is currently trading within an ascending channel pattern on the monthly chart.
As we see on the chart, the price gets rejected whenever it touches the pattern's resistance and bounces whenever it hits the base. This base aligns with a horizontal zone, creating a stronger support area. Having multiple layers of support at the same price point makes this a very strong area for a potential hold and bounce. Overall, I expect a bottom to form within this $1,900–$2,250 support range. From there, I'm looking for a bounce and a fresh rally toward the upper channel resistance. This is my current outlook for Ethereum. Hit the like button if you agree, or share your opinion in the comments below! 👇
On 4-Hour Chart $BTC Trading In Descending Broadening Wedge‼️
As seen on chart after touching the Pattern's base price get bounced and currently consolidating above it.
And also that $75,000 to $74,400 area is a key demand zone for $BTC . If it holds above it then a move up toward Pattern's resistance is likely 📈 at : $83,000 to $85,000.
Entry Plan :
Entry right here might be risky because of high Volatility but a 4-hour closing above $80,000 will provide us a better bounce play entry !
With the target's of pattern resistance : $83k to $85k.
Keep an eye on the charts and try not to overreact to this flush. Yes, it’s painful to see billions of dollars liquidated, but it happened and you can't change it. Just watch what comes next and figure out how to utilize it. #BTC
Is it the Banks or Just a "Perfect Storm"? The Truth About This Crypto Crash
Let’s be real—whenever Bitcoin takes a dive, the first thing we do is look for someone to blame. Lately, everyone is pointing at the big banks. But are they actually the ones pulling the rug, or is there something bigger going on? I did some research, and the reality is a lot more complicated than just "banks are bad." Here’s what’s actually happening behind the scenes. 🏦 Are Banks Really the Problem? The short answer? They aren’t the cause, but they are the connection. Unlike 2023 when banks were literally collapsing, this time it’s about liquidity. In early 2026, we’re seeing "funding stress." Basically, traditional banks are tightening their belts and making credit harder to get. When the "cheap money" stops flowing from the banks, investors have less cash to throw into high-risk assets like BTC and Alts. So, they aren't attacking crypto—they're just closing the tap. 📉 The Real "Culprits" (The Perfect Storm) If we’re being honest, several massive things hit us all at once this week: The U.S. Government Shutdown: The partial shutdown that started on February 1st has everyone spooked. When the world’s biggest economy hits a wall, investors panic and sell "risky" stuff (like crypto) to hold cash. The $2.5 Billion Liquidation Flush: This was the "bloodbath" moment. Thousands of traders were betting the price would go up. When it dipped slightly, their positions got forcibly closed (liquidated), which triggered a massive domino effect of more selling. ETF Outflows: We saw nearly $1.5 billion leave spot Bitcoin ETFs in just the last week of January. This shows that the "big money" and institutional players are currently playing it safe and sitting on the sidelines. The AI "Cool Down": Crypto and AI tech stocks are like cousins now. With people getting nervous that the AI boom is slowing down, that negative energy is spilling over into the crypto markets. 💡 My Bottom Line Banks aren't "out to get us." The truth is that crypto isn't an isolated island anymore. It’s now deeply tied to global politics and the traditional financial world. When the global economy sneezes, crypto catches a cold. Don't let the red candles scare you into making emotional trades. This looks like a massive "leverage reset." Watch the support levels, stay calm, and remember that volatility is just the price we pay for these gains. Trade cautiously and only invest what you can afford to lose.
After a sharp flush, Bitcoin is showing a solid reaction from the $75,000 demand zone. However, the market remains incredibly volatile today. We just witnessed over $2.5 billion in total liquidations across the crypto market—a massive deleveraging event.
Is this the bottom, or just a relief bounce before more downside?
🚨🚨 After nine weeks of consolidation, $BTC has finally broken below its November low.
The market failed to hold the primary support zone, and we are now entering the critical $75,000 – $78,000 range. This area must hold; otherwise, it’s time to pack your bags and start looking for a 9-to-5! 💼
The Perfect Example: Don’t Judge a Book by Its Cover! 😅‼️
If you don't recognize him, this is Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder of Ethereum.
Recently, a photo from a podcast went viral because he was spotted wearing socks with holes in them 🧦. It just goes to show that even a crypto billionaire (and one of the most influential people in the world) stays humble and keeps his focus on what really matters.
Who needs new socks when you're building the future of the internet? 😎
🚀 $BTC CRASH OR BEAR TRAP? My Plan for the Next 48 Hours! 📉🔥
The market just wiped out $1.7 Billion in liquidations 💸, and I know many of you are feeling the heat! My inbox is exploding with "Is it over?" 📉—but if you’ve been following my previous posts, you know we trade levels, not emotions! 🧠 🔍 The Technical Reality 📊 Looking at the chart, $BTC just lost the 2-year average line for the first time since 2022. 🚨 While retail is panicking, the "Smart Money" Fear Index just hit a 2026 high. 🐳 Historically, this is where the big players start their accumulation! 🛒✨ 📍 Key Support: $81,000 - $80,000 (The "Must-Hold" Zone! 🛡️) 🚧 Resistance: $88,500 (We need a daily close above this to flip bullish! 🐂) 💡 My Strategy Right Now 🛠️ I am NOT panic selling. 🚫 Instead, I’m looking at two specific moves: DCA into Quality: 💎 I’m scaling into $ETH and $SOL at these discounted levels. 🛍️ Hedge with Perps: 🛡️ Keeping a small short hedge until we see a confirmed reversal pattern. 📉➡️📈 Pro Tip: In 2026, liquidity is king! 👑 Don't get caught in the "forced deleveraging" crossfire. Keep your stop losses tight and your eyes on the macro headlines! 📰👀 👇 What’s your move? 🗣️ Are you Buying the Dip or Waiting for lower levels? 🐻 Drop a "BULL" or "BEAR" in the comments so I can see where the community stands! 👇💬 #BinanceSquare #CryptoMarket #BTC #TradingStrategy #Write2Earn
🚨 $BTC Alert: Is History Repeating? The 100 WMA "Bear Trap" or Reality Check??
Bitcoin is currently dancing on a very thin line. Looking at the weekly chart, we’ve just dipped below the 100-week Weighted Moving Average (WMA)—currently sitting around $95,800.
For those who weren't around in 2022, let’s take a quick trip down memory lane. Back then, a clean break below this exact line was the "final nail in the coffin" that confirmed the brutal bear market. 📉
Why does this matter?
The 100 WMA isn't just a random line. Think of it as the "mid-term heartbeat" of the market. Above it: The bulls are in control of the macro trend.
Below it: The market enters a "danger zone" where panic selling often takes over.
The Bullish Escape Plan 🐂
It’s not game over yet! To invalidate this "bearish ghost" of 2022, the bulls need to step up and close the weekly candle above $88,000 (ideally reclaiming that $95k level soon after).
What should you watch for?
Weekly Close: A close below $82k could signal a deeper correction toward the $75k support.
Sentiment: The "Fear & Greed Index" is currently hitting extreme lows (around 19-20). Historically, "Extreme Fear" can lead to a relief bounce, but only if the volume supports it.
💡This is important: A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) gives more "weight" to recent prices compared to a Simple Moving Average (SMA). This means the WMA reacts faster to what’s happening right now. When it rolls over, it’s a signal you shouldn't ignore.
The big question: Is this a liquidity hunt or the start of a cold crypto winter? ❄️
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you HODLing or hedging? 👇
🚨 Yes, You Can Win 1 BTC Via Binance Bitcoin Button Game!!
Many of you have seen the "Bitcoin Button" popping up on your Binance app but aren't quite sure how it works. Don't worry—I've got you covered! Here is the simple breakdown of how you can participate and potentially walk away with 1 . 🕹️ How Does It Work? The concept is simple but requires perfect timing and a bit of community "chaos." The Countdown: There is a 60-second timer. The Goal: You want to be the last person to click the button. The Catch: Every time anyone in the world clicks the button, the timer resets back to 60:00. How to Win: To win the 1 BTC grand prize, you must click the button and have the timer reach 00:00 without anyone else clicking it after you. 🏆 What if No One Reaches 00:00? If the game ends and nobody hits the zero mark, Binance doesn't just keep the prize! They reward the users who got closest to 00:00. Your ranking improves the nearer you get to the finish line. ⚡ How to Get More Attempts As you can see from my screenshots, you start with limited attempts. Once you hit 0 attempts, the button turns gray. Here is how to refill your lives: Daily Share: Click [Share] and invite a friend to play = +1 Attempt Spot/Convert $100 Task: Trade $100+ equivalent in BTC pairs = +2 Attempts Spot/Convert $250 Task: Trade $250+ (excluding zero-fee pairs) = +3 Attempts Futures Trading Task: Accumulate $500+ in Futures volume = +3 Attempts Referral Task: Invite a friend who trades at least $50 = +5 Attempts 💡 Pro Tips for Success Patience is Key: Don't waste your attempts when the timer is at 59 seconds. Wait for "quieter" moments when the timer starts dropping lower. Check the Time: Some players find better luck during "off-peak" hours when fewer people are online to reset the clock. Stay Verified: Ensure your account is KYC verified, or you won't be able to claim the prize even if you win! Good luck everyone! Let's see who has the diamond hands to wait for the zero! #win #BTC #clickthebutton #Binance