灯塔说

Last night, in a few minutes, I made an A8?
No exaggeration, it really happened.
In the early hours, the market makers of ETH might have encountered anomalies,
with prices locked in a high-frequency oscillation between 2060 and 2030,
trading volumes surged dramatically, yet there was no directional movement.
Under normal circumstances, a surge in volume must lead to a direction, and this state of volume and price stagnation likely indicates a problem with the market maker mechanism (not elaborating here).

Experienced and sensitive traders seized this window,
went all in, and made a fortune.
One can only say: those who are brave and wise will find opportunities prepared for them.

But don't be envious.
Such opportunities are essentially extreme tests of experience and judgment.
If you don't have enough trading experience,
when faced with such a market,
could you dare to rush in with heavy positions?
Can you withstand the risk of liquidation?

Stay calm.
There are mountains beyond mountains, and there are people beyond people.
Be brave enough to acknowledge the excellence of others!
#ETH

Are the brothers starting to buy the dip? Is this the bottom?

This morning, it accelerated its decline to 60,000 (some spot prices seen in the 50s)
I've noticed many brothers starting to buy the dip
For the spot market, it's reasonable to gradually invest below 60,000
Only 30,000 points away from 30,000, but 60,000 points away from a new high
Thinking about it, it's all a good deal, and more importantly, it's about faith.

However, for trading, based on the market's performance, an objective evaluation is:
Currently, it belongs to a natural rebound after a sharp drop, and there are no bottoming signals or reversal of the bearish trend; it is still moving in a deleveraging liquidation trend, this is a rebound repair.
Day trading is still mainly focused on shorting the rebound; today, pay attention to shorting around 66-67K, and for strong rebound points, focus on shorting around 68.8-70
If it stabilizes in the 68.8-70 area, then continue to look up to 72K, and only if Ethereum stabilizes above 2000 should we consider a bottom structure turning bullish signal.

If the subsequent second test stops at 60K, then it may walk through a period of bottom range fluctuations; initially, pay attention to where the natural rebound high point is to define the range.

In summary, starting to buy the dip in the spot market for regular investments is reasonable, but I cannot chase high for contracts.

#BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH

Now, every time the market drops a point, there is a group of people facing liquidation. Those who have not been liquidated yet are on edge! This is the bullish mindset developed over the past year. A mindset formed in a year is very rigid, and it is difficult to reverse without experiencing significant setbacks. In a bull market, profits are in the bulls, and in a bear market, the bulls are also numb. Profits and losses have the same origin! As expected, institutions have entered the market; it's not that opportunities have come, but that retail investors' opportunities are gone! Survive! Finding a way to survive is crucial!! #BTC #ETH

Where does the first round of rebound after the big drop end?

The first wave of short covering and rebound squeezing after the big drop has begun
Next, we will see where strong supply appears to lead to another decline
The trend is still bearish, and the short-term rebound after the big drop should not be underestimated

I sincerely hope that right after the long positions are cleared, there won't be an immediate short squeeze
Playing with the market mentality!

Here's a short-term plan:
Follow the trend and go long with the rebound repair, provided that it does not break below 78K-77.5K, and it may touch two strong supply zones later, 80.6-82.0K, 84K-85K
Ethereum should also retrace to 2335-2320 without breaking and follow the trend to go long, with upper supply zones at 2450-2520 and 2650-2700 to look for short positions.

Currently holding a grid in the range of 65-85K starting from 77K, using grid accumulation profits during the range fluctuations is a good choice.
#BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH

Is the decline just beginning?
The EMA weekly death cross has arrived:
The last time it happened was in April 22
At that time, it dropped from 40K to 15K, a decline of 61%, with a downward space of 25K points.

This time, it happened this week, starting at 92K.
According to the space calculation, the low point range is at 65K (within everyone's expectations, acceptable).
In terms of the decline, I'm hesitant to calculate (afraid of being criticized), and I don't believe that BTC institutions will do this; it's foolish to calculate like that.

Objectively speaking, the cycle's death cross indicates that this is just the beginning.
Hold onto USDT to wait for opportunities!
For example, the emotional freezing point.
Starting dollar-cost averaging now is also fine!
#BTC $BTC

Ether: I am the Shanzhai Leader!
Have you noticed:
Every round of plummeting is mostly caused by Ether's liquidation and clearance.

There’s no way around it; back in 2020, I recognized Ether's 'Shanzhai nature'.
In every extreme market situation, Ether behaves just like a meme coin.

But because it’s also the second brother, its unique charm and price advantage attract many whales and loyal enthusiasts.

Love and hate for Ether!! #ETH $ETH

Short position taken after going down
Thank you for the mercy of Ethereum!

#暴力2月1日 #暴跌21
Minor rebound before sleep, feeling weak
See below for a larger liquidation zone
Small peak around 2540 set a stop loss and took a short position
Prepared to take profit at 2350
Worried it won't hit, so brought a bit more to 2410

Take the position at 2330, make a decisive move
Just a few points away from breaking 2200 stop loss

Thank you for the mercy!

The big coin I've been watching at the 75000 position has also arrived
For now, don’t bring any black swans
Should be able to stabilize around 7xxxx

Maintain a good mindset to welcome the dawn of February!
#BTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC $ETH

Do you think #ETH has reached its peak decline?

The decline today is not as large as yesterday's

After breaking through the liquidation area of 2700

The next large liquidation position is near 2350

I wonder if the death penalty will be executed later tonight!

Closed the account
If you can't see it, just pretend there are no losses

Open wegame and start Delta
Run the knife to save money and come back to buy the dip! (Is there any escort?) @Ziqing
#BTC

Seeing #OKB about to break 90
I wonder how @王短鸟 feels now after crying yesterday for breaking 100!

Not long ago, I was still preparing to buy the dip on OKB at 90, can I still buy as planned now?

Another fresh blood has been cut off 🩸
Another family is going to be torn apart!
This token issuer has caught a big player
Directly sending 80,000 U
Is it the issuer's fault or the buyer's fault?
Or is it the fault of this atmosphere?
What a pity, what a lament, what a hate, what a pity, what a hate!
#TSLA $TSLA

Good news:
Major exchanges are launching perpetual contracts for precious metals and US stocks, increasing the variety of trading products, so there's no need to worry about the small fluctuations in Bitcoin prices anymore.
Bad news:
The cryptocurrency world is heading towards becoming the largest casino globally, where everything can become a "perpetual contract" $BTC $ETH $XAU

Aster's second season competition has ended
Personally finished fifth, with a capital of 10,000 U and a profit of 9,500

The big gambler Liangxi couldn't hold on to the 100,000 USD profit
Otherwise, it would have been a solid first place

The human team lost! Compared to the AI team, it was a negative return
Are humans too weak?

It's just that the time was too short, otherwise I could have taken first place (only the first place has a prize)
#Aster $ASTER

Gold reached a new high today, breaking $5550!
Bitcoin fell below $88000 again in the morning session today.
What is the relationship between gold and Bitcoin?
In fact, gold and Bitcoin have never been "safe-haven assets in the same moment and role."
Gold is usually a "confirmed safe haven."
It rises often when risks have been confirmed by mainstream capital.
For example, inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rate expectations are repeatedly priced in, with capital seeking "stability" and "certainty."
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a repricing asset after risk transfer.
It rarely performs well in the "first moment of panic"; instead, it is often treated as a high-volatility risk asset during true safe-haven situations and is sold off to cover margins or to buy cash/U.S. Treasuries/gold.
This manifests as: a decline instead of a rise, or just stagnation.
For instance, on the day of the Russia-Ukraine war, it fell sharply instead of rising.
The patterns that have repeatedly appeared in history actually have rules, such as:
Phase 1: Risk explodes → Gold rises, BTC remains stable or even falls.
Phase 2: Gold FOMO → Volatility converges or corrects.
Phase 3: Risk sentiment eases + liquidity returns → BTC starts to catch up.
So, if gold corrects, will BTC immediately catch up?
There is no absolute correlation to this question.
If gold's short-term sentiment is overheated and profits are taken.
However, if macro liquidity is not tightened, Bitcoin may catch up or rebound.
But if risks escalate again, the dollar strengthens, and liquidity is withdrawn, Bitcoin may still fall and lead the decline in gold.
Thus, gold does not directly influence Bitcoin's bullish or bearish trends but affects the macro events behind gold, the dollar, and liquidity.
When you see gold stabilizing without FOMO, the market calm, and the world peaceful without panic,
it might be a real signal for Bitcoin to move.
#金价再冲高位 #黄金比特币联动行情能走多远？ $BTC #XAU

Federal Reserve Statement and Key Points from Powell's Press Conference:

FOMC Statement:

1. Interest Rate Decision: The benchmark interest rate is maintained at 3.50%-3.75%, pausing the continuous three rate cuts since September last year.
2. Voting Discrepancy: The interest rate decision was passed with a 10-2 voting ratio, with Governors Mester and Waller supporting a 25 basis point cut.
3. Interest Rate Outlook: The statement did not provide signals regarding the timing of the next rate cut. It reiterated that rates will be assessed based on data, economic outlook, and risks.
4. Economic Outlook: Upgraded the assessment of economic activity, stating it is expanding at a "robust" pace; uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains high.
5. Labor Market: Removed the statement regarding the rising downside risks to employment; the labor market has shown some signs of stabilization.
6. Inflation Situation: Inflation remains slightly elevated.

Powell's Press Conference:

1. Interest Rate Outlook: Rates are at the upper end of the neutral range; there is no preset path for policy, it speaks through data; if tariff-induced inflation recedes after peaking, it will indicate a possibility of easing policy; a rate hike is not a baseline assumption for anyone. Non-voting members also widely support this rate decision.

2. Economic Outlook: The foundation of the U.S. economy is solid; the outlook for economic activity has significantly improved, overall stronger than the December forecast.

3. Employment Outlook: The labor market may be stabilizing after gradually softening; risks regarding both inflation and employment have diminished.

4. Inflation Outlook: Inflation remains slightly above target, with December core PCE inflation possibly rising to 3%; it is expected that tariff-induced inflation will peak mid-year.

5. Political Stance: Tight-lipped on sensitive issues; has not decided on plans after the conclusion of the Fed chair's term; advises the next chair to stay away from politics.

6. Other Aspects: The housing market remains weak; no data indicating that investors are hedging against dollar risks; little macro information derived from the rise in gold prices.

7. Latest Expectations: Overall rate cut expectations are slightly dampened, essentially maintaining pricing for a total reduction of 46 basis points this year, with a 60% possibility of a rate cut in June.

8. Market Reaction: From the announcement of the statement to Powell's speech, spot gold and silver initially fell and then surged, while the dollar moved in the opposite direction, with gold hitting a new historical high, fluctuating over 60 dollars; U.S. Treasury yields and U.S. stocks showed slight volatility.
$BTC $ETH $XAU

BlackRock deposited 1156.87 units of $BTC (103.87 million USD) and 19644 units of $ETH (59.23 million USD) into #coinbase , and may deposit more.
Typically, after such news comes out, the market usually rebounds first
#BTC

After reviewing, I found that #hype has had three consecutive days of big bullish candles, up 57%
I'm a bit surprised. Is it that I've been out of the loop, or has the market's sentiment been dampened by the decline of Bitcoin, with no one sharing or mentioning it?

First, let me clarify: this is not a speculation!

I looked into why there has been such a big increase?
Mainly it's the influence of precious metals, the significant rise in gold and silver has driven a large trading volume.
And 97% of the trading fees generated from this volume have been used to buy back Hype, which is already a huge benefit.

But why, with both silver and gold perpetual contracts on the platform, is it that the rise in platform tokens is specifically driven by Hype?
Decentralization! Hype, as a leading decentralized DEX, has the advantage of being able to trade without KYC.

Currently, the global economy is unstable, those who love to trade gold and silver as a hedge, who also do not want KYC, and who want high leverage, will definitely prioritize high liquidity like $HYPE .
Here, I thought about the counterparty and market maker issues, who will provide the trading pairs for gold and silver perpetual contracts?

Opportunity, it really is an opportunity. Remember Hype's HIP-3 mechanism upgrade released in October? This HIP-3 allows third parties to deploy perpetual contract trading pairs on Hype and operate independently without relying on Hype. In simple terms, it's open-source, attracting quality teams and communities in the market, truly promoting the on-chain trading of RWA (real-world assets). In the future, it's going to be a big casino; you can bet on whatever you want as long as you have the strength to deploy perpetual contracts.
This wave of precious metals rising, major exchanges are launching perpetual contracts one after another, and the third party @tradexyz has deployed silver, directly creating a trading volume of 1.2 billion USD, second only to BTC, recently.

Awesome! @Hype
At least for now, Hype's model is incredible, and if there are long-term buybacks, I'm really excited and want to get on board.
The market hasn't shown a direction yet, so let's pay close attention and keep an eye out. The precious metals market is also in a highly FOMO period, so let's stay calm and wait for a small adjustment. If it doesn't drop below 28-30, then look for an opportunity to get on board.

Gold is a bit FOMO now
Promotional ads for gold foreign exchange have started to appear in the group
Various aunties have started to buy physical gold offline
At this time, one might wonder if gold is going to correct and drop

I do not have a long position in gold, and I don't really care whether gold corrects or not

But what comes to mind is if gold really does correct
Some funds will withdraw

Will Bitcoin see an inflow of funds to catch up, or will it continue to drop with gold?

If it's the same type of digital gold, it should normally show correlated ups and downs
But the fact is, during true risk aversion, Bitcoin stands still, not rising but instead falling

So when gold experiences FOMO and corrects, will Bitcoin catch up or continue to fall into a bear market?
#黄金 #BTC #bitcoin

There are too many brainless people in the square
This is no longer the 10U War God
This has already upgraded to the 1U War God
Holding a 1U position and "firmly bearish"
What the hell is this??
#river

“Tom Lee said today that after a decline this year, there will be a rise. This year has already started with a decline.
A couple of days ago, he mentioned that Bitcoin would reach 180,000 USD before January 31.”
There are 10 days left, I wonder if there will be a miracle?

Anyone can talk big, right?
If you're right, you're awesome; if you're wrong, there's no cost.

Yesterday, MicroStrategy increased its holdings by quite a bit #BTC .
However, there was a continuous decline yesterday, and the market was once again liquidated by over 1 billion.

These are all institutions and whales.
They are looking at the long term or they have other plans.
We see these messages and make trades, which is the real liquidity and speculation.

Wake up, everyone!
$BTC