IS THE HALVING CYCLE STILL WORKING STRONGLY? DON'T HURRY TO THINK THE PEAK HAS COME! 🚀🚀🚀 On the historical Bitcoin chart combining the Halving cycle model + Fibonacci, over the past 10 years, major ups/downs have matched almost exactly with this "time frame". This is not a coincidence! According to the model:
🔶 Next cycle bottom: November 2026 – January 2027 (could be a strong reset after the adjustment phase) 🔶 Two early peaks: Small peak in June–July 2027, stronger peak in April–August 2028 🔶 Largest cycle peak: End of 2029 (the most sustainable growth phase) Currently (January 2026), Bitcoin is in the middle of the cycle after the 2024 Halving. Many experts still believe this model will continue, because: 🔶 Large organizations (ETF, corporate treasury) are accumulating strongly, reducing selling pressure. 🔶 History shows that Halving has never been completely "wrong" – only differing in amplitude and timing due to macro factors. If history repeats itself, the current market is not at the peak, but just an accumulation phase before the reset at the end of 2026. After that is a long journey to a new ATH in 2028–2029. Is the Halving cycle still "working" or will 2026–2029 be the first time Bitcoin breaks the familiar model? DYOR & NFA – The crypto market is always highly volatile, only invest money you can afford to lose. #bitcoin #Crypto2026to2030 #BinanceSquare $BTC $LINK
Super large fluctuations before the interest rate announcement tonight, Gold $XAU continues to break the threshold of 5310, continuously creating new peaks. What about BTC and crypto…? $BTC $XAU
Currently (28/01/2026), BTC is hovering around $89,000, after a strong dip back to $86-87K. Looking at the order book and whale activity, the 89K area is truly becoming a “death zone”!
🔶 Why is 89K dangerous? • A huge SELL WALL volume blocks just above 89K – sharks are setting a liquidity trap, waiting for retail FOMO to chase the price to unload. • The strong BUY side protects the 86K-87K area (accumulation support), prices here often bounce back quickly – this is a sideways range, not a real breakout.
🔶 The harsh macro reasons: • US 10Y Treasury Yield remains high ~4.23-4.24% (Trading Economics, CNBC) → global liquidity is tightening, risk assets like BTC take the first hit. High bond yields make money flow into safe havens, crypto struggles to go “to the moon” in the short term.
🔶 The battle plan for you: • Retail FOMO: Seeing green means go long chasing 89K → easily becomes liquidity for whales to escape. • ARC (Be careful): I choose to stay out, do not trade between 87K-89K. • Strategy: Only enter orders when retesting the lower boundary below 86K-87K (safe buy dip), or wait for a true breakout through 89K with huge volume + confirmation. Better to “salivate” standing outside than to “bleed” from being caught by shark tails.
DYOR & NFA – Crypto is highly risky, manage your capital tightly! #bitcoin #BinanceSquare $BTC $LINK $SOL
BRIGHT RED CRYPTO 26/01: BTC $87.7K (-0.83%), MOST ALTCOINS DROP 1-5%
🔶 Main reasons:
• Rising tensions between the US and Iran → risk-off, gold reaches ATH. • Large liquidations (~$700-800M), overleveraged longs flushed out. • Yen carry-trade unwind + bond yields increase.
🔶 Next week (27-31/01) short-term:
• Bearish bias: FOMC hawkish (holding at 3.75%, Powell is hawkish) + shutdown threat → BTC testing $85-88K. • Potential rebound: If support holds, it may bounce back to $92-95K mid-week. DYOR & NFA #bitcoin #fomc #BinanceSquare $BTC $LINK $RIVER
THIS WEEK'S HOT MACRO: FOMC + GEOPOLITICS + SHUTDOWN THREAT
From 26-30/01/2026, the main events: • US-Iran tensions: The US dispatches an aircraft carrier, Iran threatens retaliation → risk-off, BTC may dip in the short term. • FOMC 28-29/01: 99% holding interest rates at 3.75%, Powell hawkish → pressure on risk assets, BTC may test strong support. • US Shutdown: Deadline at the end of the week, if it happens → liquidity tightens, crypto sell-off.
This week's bias: Short-term bearish/neutral for BTC. Opportunity to buy the dip if macro noise pushes prices down. I’ve attached a detailed calendar image here for everyone to follow! What do you predict BTC will be at the end of the week? Comment below! 🔥 DYOR & NFA #bitcoin #fomc #CryptoMacro #BinanceSquare $BTC $LINK $BNB
Exactly one year ago, right before the inauguration day, Trump launched the TRUMP token. As of now: Decreased ~93%, almost no recovery momentum, liquidity and expectations are both weakened.
What's noteworthy is that this was once promoted as a symbol of "the crypto-friendly president."
After one year: BTC: −18% ETH: −14% XRP: −45% SOL: −55% Large-cap: −50% to −70% Mid-cap: −70% to −80% Small-cap & meme: −90%
A term with many strong statements, but the market results tell a different story. $BTC $ETH $LINK
BTC IS THE CHEAPEST COMPARED TO GOLD IN NEARLY 10 YEARS? DATA SAYS THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY!
Looking at the current BTC/Gold ratio + Z-Score chart (January 2026), a very rare signal is appearing: The Z-Score has just touched the -2σ zone (or lower), the lowest valuation of Bitcoin compared to gold in nearly a decade!
What does this mean? 🔶 The Z-Score measures the standard deviation of the BTC/XAU ratio compared to the historical average. 🔶 The -2σ zone is an extremely undervalued area – Bitcoin is unusually "cheap" compared to gold. 🔶 History shows: Each time the Z-Score drops this deep (e.g., late 2022), BTC tends to outperform gold strongly in the following months to the next year, with outstanding pump phases thanks to new money flowing into risk-on assets. Why is this time special? 🔶 Gold is benefiting from the macro environment (inflation, geopolitical instability, portfolio insurance), pushing prices to record highs. 🔶 Bitcoin has not fully reflected the narrative: post-Halving cycle, institutional adoption (ETF inflows), global liquidity may pivot towards risk assets in 2026. 🔶 Many analysts (from TradingView, BitcoinWorld, K33 Research) are warning: This is a setup for Bitcoin to massively outperform gold in 2026!
It's not always 100% correct, but historical data is very clear: Extreme undervalued areas like this rarely last – they are often a precursor for a significant capital rotation. Will Bitcoin "flip" gold in the coming months? Or will gold continue to lead the store-of-value narrative? Comment below to share your thoughts! 🔥 DYOR & NFA – Crypto is always high risk, only invest money you are willing to lose. #bitcoin #BİNANCESQUARE #Chainlink $BTC $XAU $PAXG
BINANCE IS QUIETLY ACCUMULATING $WBETH – A PRELUDE TO THE SUPER CYCLE OF $ETH ? 🔹 Last week, we mentioned Binance minting $WBETH after four months of silence – and this signal was confirmed as a strong pump of $ETH last week. This is no coincidence! 🔹 Deeper analysis of money flow: - All newly minted WBETH is not located in hot wallets used for retail staking. - Instead, they were directly transferred into Binance's main cold wallet for storage. - This move began in mid-2025 and has noticeably accelerated at the start of 2026. 🔹 Implications: - Binance is quietly building a large-scale "private staking pathway," similar to how major institutions (like Coinbase, Kraken) accumulate staked ETH. - This is a sign of long-term strategic accumulation, not short-term user demand. 🔹 Outlook: If institutional "whales" continue accumulating staked ETH, combined with Binance quietly going all-in on WBETH in cold storage – then CZ's earlier remarks about the Ethereum super cycle may be turning into reality. What do you think? Is Binance preparing for a major bull run, or just hedging against risk? 👀 #BİNANCE #WBETH #Ethereum #ETH
BITCOIN OG WHALE: ORDER LONG STILL "STUBBORN" WITH NEGATIVE PNL DESPITE STRONG MARKET VOLATILITY!
🔹 After a brief period of green, the Bitcoin OG whale's long positions turned red again – demonstrating the characteristic resilience "HODL through all volatility" of seasoned traders. 🔹 Despite a deeply negative funding rate $ETH (extreme short pressure), this wallet continues to hold high-leverage long positions without cutting losses: - Long 5x $ETH : 203.340 ETH (~$642M) – Entry $3.147 → PNL: -$6.3M (additional negative funding of -$5M) - Long 5x $BTC: 1.000 BTC (~$92.5M) – Entry $91.500 → PNL: -$1M - Long 10x $SOL : 511K SOL (~$69M) – Entry $130 → PNL: +$4.8M (the only bright spot saving the situation) 🔹 Weekly PNL total: -$12.6M – a figure that could worsen if $SOL does not pump strongly recently. Despite heavy losses, this whale remains "stubborn" and unmoved – a strong sign of confidence in the long-term upward trend of BTC, ETH & SOL. Quick analysis: The Bitcoin OG whale is suffering significant losses but remains unshaken – a bullish psychological signal from a classic "shark." If funding $ETH continues to remain deeply negative, short pressure could trigger a strong reversal. Will the whale cut losses or go all-in further? #BTC #ETH #sol
MICROSTRATEGY & BITMINE CONTINUE "ALL-IN" – STRONG BULLISH SIGNAL FOR $BTC & $ETH 🚀🚀🚀 🔹 MicroStrategy (now Strategy) just announced purchasing an additional 13,627 BTC worth $1.25 billion last week, at an average price of $91,519/BTC. ➤ Total holdings now: 687,410 BTC (~$51.8 billion at an average purchase price of $75,353/BTC). ➤ Michael Saylor continues to accumulate – this is the consecutive large purchase week, reaffirming long-term confidence in Bitcoin!
🔹 Bitmine (@BitMNR) continues its familiar strategy: Purchased an additional 24,266 ETH worth $75.37 million last week. ➤ Total holdings now: 4,167,768 ETH (~$12.9 billion). ➤ Bitmine is becoming one of the largest ETH whales, indicating strong institutional inflows into Ethereum. Quick analysis: - MicroStrategy is increasing BTC exposure as prices test higher levels → strong institutional bullish sentiment despite market volatility. - Bitmine steadily accumulating ETH → supporting the altcoin recovery momentum, especially as ETH/BTC ratio shows signs of reversal. Crypto markets are being led by whales – are you ready for the next rally? 🚀 #BTC #ETH #Altseason #BinanceSquare #CryptoNews $LINK
ECONOMIC EVENT SCHEDULE NEXT WEEK (12-16/01/2026 – ACCORDING TO U.S. TIME) 🔹 This week the market focuses on U.S. inflation data (CPI & PPI), statements from Fed officials, and geopolitical developments (oil, tariffs). Investors are awaiting signs about interest rates, the timing of Trump announcing the next Fed Chair, and the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs. 🗓️ MONDAY – 12/01 - Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks - Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks - New York Fed President John Williams speaks
🗓️ TUESDAY – 13/01 - U.S. CPI (Forecast: 2.7% | Previous: 2.7%) - U.S. core CPI (Forecast: 3.2% | Previous: 3.3%) → The most important event of the week - St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks - Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks
🗓️ WEDNESDAY – 14/01 - PPI & U.S. core PPI (report delayed) - Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks - Fed Governor Stephen Miran speaks - Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari speaks - Fed Beige Book report (economic summary of 12 districts) - New York Fed President John Williams speaks
🗓️ THURSDAY – 15/01 - Initial jobless claims (Forecast: 220K | Previous: 208K) - Fed Governor Michael Barr speaks - Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks - Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid speaks
🗓️ FRIDAY – 16/01 - Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks - Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speaks Quick assessment: CPI on Tuesday is the focal point – if core inflation drops significantly, expectations for a rate cut in March will increase, supporting BTC & crypto. Conversely, high data could exert short-term downward pressure. $BTC $LINK #BTC
SATOSHI ERA WHALE JUST BOUGHT 26,900 $BTC WORTH $2.45 BILLION.
HE BECAME ACTIVE FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2011 AND WENT ALL-IN ON BITCOIN AGAIN.
HE DEFINITELY KNOWS WE’RE GOING HIGHER 👀 🚀🚀🚀
SATOSHI ERA "WHALE" JUST BOUGHT 26,900 BTC WORTH $2.45 BILLION! 🔹 A vintage wallet address from Satoshi's time (last active in 2011) suddenly "woke up" after more than 14 years of silence. 🔹 Within the past 2 hours, this wallet received an inflow of 26,916 BTC (approximately $2.44–2.45 billion USD at ~$90,496/BTC). 🔹 All these BTC were transferred from another address, with no signs of selling or swapping – clearly a fresh ALL-IN Bitcoin move. Analysis from screenshot (Arkham Intelligence / on-chain data): • Current portfolio value: $2.435 billion USD (entirely BTC). • Holding amount: 26,916 BTC – equivalent to approximately 0.128% of the total circulating BTC supply. • 24h price fluctuation: -0.94% to -0.95% (BTC price at time of screenshot ~$90,496). • This is one of the largest whales in the world today, and its awakening after over a decade signals extremely strong confidence in the long-term bull cycle. Insight: This whale has been dormant through every bull & bear market since 2011 and chose this moment—when BTC is near $90K (close to its previous ATH)—to go all-in again. This is a very strong signal of sentiment: "we’re going higher" from the most experienced players in the market. 👀 Strong HODL or massive FOMO? Either way, this move is enough to grab the entire crypto community's attention! 🚀 $BTC $LINK #Whale.Alert #BTC
CRYPTO MARKET 2026: STRONG BULLISH OUTLOOK 🔹 Crypto started 2026 positively with BTC surpassing $93K, recovering from the 2025 correction. Institutional indicators show a sustainable bullish trend, although there's a risk of a bull trap if the previous range isn't broken. 🔹 BTC forecast: $75K–$225K, new ATH in the first half of the year driven by institutional accumulation and supportive macro factors (rising US debt, weak USD). Grayscale & Bitwise are optimistic: structural bull market, ETFs attracting large capital inflows. 🔹 Altseason potential Q1: ETH outperforming BTC, SOL targeting $300–$400; standout targets: SUI $5–$10, SEI $2, TAO $700–$1200, LINK $50. 🔹 Main trends: Stablecoin market cap rising to $400–$500B; RWA surpassing $30–$100B TVL; AI-crypto reaching $10B; prediction markets tripling. US regulations becoming more favorable (Trump era) driving financial integration. 🔹 Overview: Bullish momentum driven by institutional leadership (5–10% of portfolio). Short-term risks remain – focus on accumulating high-quality BTC/ETH/SOL for long-term gains; total market cap could exceed $5T. A large number of reputable individuals and institutions in the market share this bullish view. Hold tight, everyone.
🪙 🌕 Binance adds Gold & Silver to Futures for AE Traders $XAU $XAG
Binance just launched a new product called TradFi Perpetual Contracts allowing: - Long/Short Gold (XAUUSDT) and Silver (XAGUSDT) with leverage. - 24/7 trading and in USDT, in the familiar perpetual contract format for crypto traders. - Binance will expand the list of new pairs in this TradFi lineup in the near future.
The product is provided by Nest Exchange Limited - a Binance-licensed entity based in Abu Dhabi.
JAMES WYNN CLOSED FULL $BTC PROFIT $43,790, SWAP TO LONG 25X $ETH AND HOLD LONG 10X $PEPE
🔹 Trader James Wynn just closed his entire Long BTC position with a total profit of $43,790, then immediately swapped capital to open a 25x Long ETH position just minutes ago. 🔹 At the same time, he continues to maintain his 10x Long PEPE position with an unrealized PnL (UPnL) currently around $160,531. ➤ The PEPE position was partially reduced at the same time as closing BTC overnight. 🔹 Current position of James Wynn: ➤ Long 25x ETH – Entry $3,252 – Position value $5.33M – Liquidation level $3,140 ➤ Long 10x PEPE – Entry $0.006084 – Position value $1.76M – Liquidation level $0.01 🔹 This move indicates James Wynn is shifting focus from BTC to ETH with high leverage, while still maintaining confidence in PEPE despite partially taking profits. #BTC #ALPHA #CryptoAnalytics