Mek
Trader Institutional @Binance KOL | 7y experience. Building in Web3 & VibeCoding. Not financial advice.
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Don't divert your attention now.
Usually after periods of decline in Bitcoin, many people end up distancing themselves from the market.
Especially newbies, tourists.
I believe it should be exactly the OPPOSITE.
It's at this moment that planting begins and investors should be even more attentive to what's happening.
Don't wait to return only when the hype has already set in.
It's at this moment that you will be flooded with FOMO and whales will dump on your head.
Take an interest when everyone thinks it's over.
Be cautious when everyone thinks they are a genius.
Usually after periods of decline in Bitcoin, many people end up distancing themselves from the market.
Especially newbies, tourists.
I believe it should be exactly the OPPOSITE.
It's at this moment that planting begins and investors should be even more attentive to what's happening.
Don't wait to return only when the hype has already set in.
It's at this moment that you will be flooded with FOMO and whales will dump on your head.
Take an interest when everyone thinks it's over.
Be cautious when everyone thinks they are a genius.
🚨BREAKING: Russia is considering returning to using the US dollar as part of a broad economic partnership with President Trump, according to Bloomberg.
The partnership would include:
1. The US and Russia working together on fossil fuels
2. Joint investments in natural gas
3. Partnerships for offshore oil exploration and essential raw materials
4. Unexpected profits for American companies
5. Russia's return to the USD settlement system
If realized, this agreement would change the global economy.
The partnership would include:
1. The US and Russia working together on fossil fuels
2. Joint investments in natural gas
3. Partnerships for offshore oil exploration and essential raw materials
4. Unexpected profits for American companies
5. Russia's return to the USD settlement system
If realized, this agreement would change the global economy.
The "Real Yield" has arrived for the BNB Chain
A
ended 2025 with solid fundamentals, real use, and clear traction in DeFi, RWAs, and payments. The Q4 2025 data from
just came out and shows a game changer: the focus now is on real use and institutional capital. 🏦
$BNB ended 2025 with a Market Cap of US$ 118.9 billion, an increase of 17.8% compared to the previous year, becoming the 3rd largest crypto in the market.
BNB Market Cap
I will show you why 2025 was the year of maturity and what that means for 2026. 👇
1. The Giant of RWAs (Tokenized Real Assets)
ended 2025 with solid fundamentals, real use, and clear traction in DeFi, RWAs, and payments. The Q4 2025 data from
just came out and shows a game changer: the focus now is on real use and institutional capital. 🏦
$BNB ended 2025 with a Market Cap of US$ 118.9 billion, an increase of 17.8% compared to the previous year, becoming the 3rd largest crypto in the market.
BNB Market Cap
I will show you why 2025 was the year of maturity and what that means for 2026. 👇
1. The Giant of RWAs (Tokenized Real Assets)
• Bitcoin February 12, 2023 - 22K our ATH was 69K, many said the market was over, hitting imaginary bottoms
• Bitcoin February 12, 2026 - 68K our ATH is now 126K, and there are amateurs saying the market is over, it’s done, it’s the end .. so much unnecessary FUD
In the first scenario, we had a drop of -65% from the ATH of 2021 until February 2023, after that + 440% until the ATH of 2025.
In the current second scenario, we have a drop of approximately ~50% from the ATH in October (4 months ago).
Lower supports may be sought to capture more liquidity, but pay attention .. when they start talking about a drop only after the market has fallen 50%, it's a trap for retail to forget to hold and the big players start accumulating.
This goes beyond $BTC , we can look at a scenario of more significant appreciation in $ETH and altcoins.
• Bitcoin February 12, 2029 - Seeking a bottom at 100K after the rally from the 2028 Halving? Then Bitcoin dies again at this bottom.
• Bitcoin February 12, 2026 - 68K our ATH is now 126K, and there are amateurs saying the market is over, it’s done, it’s the end .. so much unnecessary FUD
In the first scenario, we had a drop of -65% from the ATH of 2021 until February 2023, after that + 440% until the ATH of 2025.
In the current second scenario, we have a drop of approximately ~50% from the ATH in October (4 months ago).
Lower supports may be sought to capture more liquidity, but pay attention .. when they start talking about a drop only after the market has fallen 50%, it's a trap for retail to forget to hold and the big players start accumulating.
This goes beyond $BTC , we can look at a scenario of more significant appreciation in $ETH and altcoins.
• Bitcoin February 12, 2029 - Seeking a bottom at 100K after the rally from the 2028 Halving? Then Bitcoin dies again at this bottom.
The drop of $BTC last week caused the largest realization of loss in history.
This means that more coins were sold at a loss than ever before.
Large-scale liquidity capture.
This is what panic looks like.
Weak hands exiting, emotional sales, forced liquidations.
Historically, extreme realized losses tend to occur near exhaustion points, not at the beginning of new cycles.
Funds are usually built in moments like this.
This means that more coins were sold at a loss than ever before.
Large-scale liquidity capture.
This is what panic looks like.
Weak hands exiting, emotional sales, forced liquidations.
Historically, extreme realized losses tend to occur near exhaustion points, not at the beginning of new cycles.
Funds are usually built in moments like this.
BINANCE COMPLETES PURCHASE OF US$ 1 BILLION IN BITCOIN🚨
The SAFU fund now holds 15 thousand BTCs in its possession, totaling $1.05 billion, after a purchase of $300 million this morning.
In total, 5 on-chain transactions were executed.
The SAFU fund now holds 15 thousand BTCs in its possession, totaling $1.05 billion, after a purchase of $300 million this morning.
In total, 5 on-chain transactions were executed.
BLOCKFILLS SUSPENDS WITHDRAWALS AND ALERTS USERS🚨
BlockFills has suspended deposits and withdrawals, citing "market conditions" and the need to restore liquidity.
We are talking about a company that moved ~US$ 60 billion in 2025.
About 2,000 institutional clients.
It's not retail. And that matters.
In 2022, every major collapse started the same way.
First, they suspend withdrawals, then the hole in the balance sheet appears.
Celsius, BlockFi, Genesis, Voyager. The domino effect that only ended at FTX.
Market extremely volatile in the last week.
And volatility is the balance sheet stress test that many will face in the coming weeks.
Could this be the "first body floating" now that the tide has gone out?
BlockFills has suspended deposits and withdrawals, citing "market conditions" and the need to restore liquidity.
We are talking about a company that moved ~US$ 60 billion in 2025.
About 2,000 institutional clients.
It's not retail. And that matters.
In 2022, every major collapse started the same way.
First, they suspend withdrawals, then the hole in the balance sheet appears.
Celsius, BlockFi, Genesis, Voyager. The domino effect that only ended at FTX.
Market extremely volatile in the last week.
And volatility is the balance sheet stress test that many will face in the coming weeks.
Could this be the "first body floating" now that the tide has gone out?
Probabilities of interest rate cuts at the FED in the next FOMC meeting drop from 20% yesterday to 6% today after the employment report signals that the labor market is still sustainable.🚨
FED pause continues
FED pause continues
🚨 Today's Economic Calendar - 11/02/2026
Hello Traders! Stay tuned for the economic news from the USA that will be released today at 10:30 AM (Brasilia time). Payroll usually impacts the markets with volatility, including in crypto!
- Unemployment Rate 🇺🇸
Forecast: 4.4%
Previous: 4.4%
- Non Farm Payrolls 🇺🇸
Forecast: 70K
Previous: 50K
If the numbers come in better than expected, it could give a boost to the dollar and selling pressure on $BTC and $ETH.
Hello Traders! Stay tuned for the economic news from the USA that will be released today at 10:30 AM (Brasilia time). Payroll usually impacts the markets with volatility, including in crypto!
- Unemployment Rate 🇺🇸
Forecast: 4.4%
Previous: 4.4%
- Non Farm Payrolls 🇺🇸
Forecast: 70K
Previous: 50K
If the numbers come in better than expected, it could give a boost to the dollar and selling pressure on $BTC and $ETH.
The most impressive thing is that there are those who support this even being a crypto investor!
What do you all think about this? 🤔
What do you all think about this? 🤔
🚨 BREAKING:
🇺🇸🇪🇺 Ferrari now accepts $ETH payments in the U.S. & Europe.
Luxury brands follow their customers.
Customers are already on-chain.
Payments are just catching up.
🇺🇸🇪🇺 Ferrari now accepts $ETH payments in the U.S. & Europe.
Luxury brands follow their customers.
Customers are already on-chain.
Payments are just catching up.
EXTREME FEAR IS THE GRAVEYARD OF THE IMPATIENT
👻 Historically, moments of extreme fear in Bitcoin have coincided with phases of panic, capitulation, and discouragement. 2012, 2018, Covid, FTX.
Everyone seemed it was “the end” in real time.
The pattern is always the same:
Novices sell out of pain.
Leverage disappears.
Weak liquidity expels impatient hands.
This is exactly where patient accumulators enter.
Not because they know the exact bottom.
But because they understand that price falls faster than value when fear dominates.
Sentiment measures emotion, not fundamentals.
Everyone seemed it was “the end” in real time.
The pattern is always the same:
Novices sell out of pain.
Leverage disappears.
Weak liquidity expels impatient hands.
This is exactly where patient accumulators enter.
Not because they know the exact bottom.
But because they understand that price falls faster than value when fear dominates.
Sentiment measures emotion, not fundamentals.
💵 Between May 2022 and January 2026, Tether's USDT almost tripled its circulating supply, reaching a record of US$ 187 billion.
Significantly increasing its lead over Circle's USDC, which remained relatively stagnant.
Significantly increasing its lead over Circle's USDC, which remained relatively stagnant.
Binance has carried out another conversion process in the SAFU Fund
ROOKIE WEAK HANDS WHO SOLD BITCOIN 📉
The selloff from last week did not come from old holders. It came from those who just entered.
On-chain data shows that investors from the 2025 and 2026 cohorts realized about $1.5 billion per day in LOSSES, a level comparable to the bottom in June 2022.
This is rookie capitulation.
Those who bought recently were forced to sell during the drop.
Those who have held BTC for a longer time have practically not moved.
This pattern is recurring in bear cycles.
Tops and long sideways movements attract new buyers.
The first strong correction expelled these participants.
On-chain data shows that investors from the 2025 and 2026 cohorts realized about $1.5 billion per day in LOSSES, a level comparable to the bottom in June 2022.
This is rookie capitulation.
Those who bought recently were forced to sell during the drop.
Those who have held BTC for a longer time have practically not moved.
This pattern is recurring in bear cycles.
Tops and long sideways movements attract new buyers.
The first strong correction expelled these participants.
Real inflation has already fallen. The Fed just hasn't admitted it yet. 🚨
Alternative data like that from Truflation shows CPI running well below the official number, with a history of anticipating BLS movements by 45 to 70 days.
This creates a clear mismatch.
Inflation is slowing down in the real world while monetary policy remains restrictive.
It is in this type of delay that the Fed tends to make mistakes.
The market is already beginning to price in that, with the change in leadership at the Federal Reserve and the possible entry of a chair more aligned with growth and financial stability, the next regime is one of interest rate cuts, not tightening.
This creates a clear mismatch.
Inflation is slowing down in the real world while monetary policy remains restrictive.
It is in this type of delay that the Fed tends to make mistakes.
The market is already beginning to price in that, with the change in leadership at the Federal Reserve and the possible entry of a chair more aligned with growth and financial stability, the next regime is one of interest rate cuts, not tightening.
just this for today
Are bitcoin whales in FOMO?
Very strong spot buying volume on Coinbase. It seems that the West is buying heavily.
This is the largest spot buying volume on Coinbase since July 2025. 👀
Very strong spot buying volume on Coinbase. It seems that the West is buying heavily.
This is the largest spot buying volume on Coinbase since July 2025. 👀
$BTC ABOVE US$ 70,000 🔥
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