十二 帮助大家版

If you can't make money, it's not that Alpha has changed; it's that you haven't changed.

Surprisingly, I really got involved in a new project tonight. To be honest, I originally thought it was just another old project blind box for survival. The moment the airdrop arrived, I checked the price immediately, and it was almost exactly the same as my judgment yesterday—Binance is now likely “fixing” the value of a single airdrop at around $30. #币安

Many people will criticize this, saying it exploits user profits. But I actually think this is a form of selection. The platform no longer gives you the space to dream; instead, it gives you a stable but unexciting answer.
Calculating is the most honest. Selling everything from yesterday and today, after deducting fees, the net profit for this period is $34. With the money, I went downstairs and bought two boxes of durian to eat with my family. Is it a windfall? No. But it’s real. Last month I could make a profit of 1000 bucks, and now it’s almost halved. The question is, in a bear market, do you want to fantasize about doubling your money, or do you want a stable cash flow? #ALPHA

Less than five minutes of time cost each day, controlling the position well, not being greedy, a few hundred bucks a month. For many, it’s not worth mentioning, but for me, a student in a third-tier city, that’s an entire month’s worth of food expenses. Some people look down on this kind of money, but the market is telling you the reality: the era of high returns has ended.

Let me talk about my selling logic. The moment the money arrives, I first check the selling pressure. If it’s a straight dump, I sell directly without hesitation. Many people always fantasize, “Will it bounce back?” but the longer you wait, the lower it gets. The dealer has only one purpose when going public—making money. You must think from the dealer's perspective, rather than from the hopes of retail investors. #币安Alpha上新

Tonight, this coin has a circulation of 350 million, but the initial offering is only 1 million, with the chips mainly still in the hands of the project party. Plus, there was strong buying support in the early stages, so I took a small position of $100, betting on the first day's sentiment. Once it rises and consolidates, I’ll leave. I don’t believe in long-term stories; I only gamble on sentiment with new coins, taking profits when I can.

Here’s something that might be harsh: Alpha is not for dreamers anymore; it’s for those who can do the math. Not making money is not because the rules have changed, but because you are still living in a bull market mentality.

If you have questions, reach out to Twelve; follow Twelve to avoid getting lost. I will always do one thing, trying my best to help ordinary people and break the information gap. #Vanar $VANRY @Vanar

Today's Alpha Preview: Another round will start tonight at 21:00, with a threshold of 240 points.

If you, like me, participated with full marks yesterday and just returned to 240 points today, you should be able to smoothly take part in the second round. This rhythm is essentially screening those who are willing to continuously run through the entire cycle. #ALPHA

First, let me address a few questions that everyone is most concerned about.
The first is wear and tear. I am currently at 32,000 points, with an average daily wear of 2.5 USD. Many people think this is high, but this result comes from my not deliberately compressing losses and prioritizing efficiency. If strictly following the rhythm of 'one red and two greens', the wear would be much lower.
The second is being squeezed. My logic is that if the first two positions in the market are stable, only fluctuating the third position, I will actively buy 1 and sell 1, approaching market price mode, prioritizing liquidity. Even if there is an instant drop, I can exit before a deep plunge. I usually operate at a scale of 1000 USD, and in extreme cases, I might get squeezed by about one point. I share this method with everyone; feel free to use it.
The third is whether the returns are sustainable. I usually judge based on a complete cycle. Binance has a cycle of 15 days, theoretically allowing for two airdrops. Tonight, I will continue to participate and decide whether to continue after the two airdrops deduct all costs. As long as the net profit is positive, I will continue; if there are no profits, I will stop. #币安

Additionally, after I wrote the article about ESP the day before yesterday, its similar token ZRO saw a 20% increase the next day due to receiving financing and the project's own capabilities, which shows that my analysis was correct. The value of such cross-chain infrastructure projects depends on the rhythm of ecological adoption; there is significant short-term volatility, but the long-term logic looks at technological implementation and institutional participation. I personally lean towards low-cost participation and rational holding rather than heavy bets.

In summary: Alpha is clearing out purely speculative players. In the future, it will lean more towards high scores and patience. Small users need to downgrade their points and control costs, steadily earning profits in a bear market. If profits cannot be made, stop loss in a timely manner. #币安Alpha上新

If you have questions, reach out to Twelve, and follow Twelve to avoid getting lost. I will always do one thing, try my best to help ordinary people, break the information gap, and everyone is welcome to leave comments for discussion in the comment section. #Vanar $VANRY @Vanar

Has Hong Kong and the mainland split again?

Just now, Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee reassured the global crypto community at the conference, stating in his opening speech that he will not only reaffirm the goal of making Hong Kong a global digital asset hub, but also dropped a bombshell: the first batch of stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong will be issued as early as next month. #币安

This matter is huge. In the past, everyone played with USDT, which was all gray area. In the future, Hong Kong will have compliant stablecoins backed by government regulation and bank endorsement. This is a breakthrough for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), effectively opening up the channels for development.

In the future, if China's highways or new energy power stations want to go abroad for financing, they can issue coins directly in Hong Kong and settle using compliant stablecoins. The efficiency of capital flow will soar. John Lee specifically emphasized Hong Kong’s unique advantages, where 'One Country, Two Systems' gathers both Chinese and global strengths. #香港

This is very straightforward. The mainland strictly controls Hong Kong, and opening up Hong Kong is the golden door the country leaves for Web3. At the same time, the Securities and Futures Commission is also taking major actions to enhance market liquidity, which means more money, more institutions, and more products will soon flood into Hong Kong. Hong Kong in 2026 will not only be a financial center but also the Wall Street of digital assets. Keep an eye on those stablecoin licenses next month; they are the tickets to the future.

However, on the other hand, the mainland is suppressing cryptocurrency with strict legal regulations. What’s going on here? Everyone is welcome to leave comments and discuss in the comment section. #香港稳定币条例

If you have questions, find Twelve. Follow Twelve to avoid getting lost. I will continue to do one thing: try my best to help ordinary people and bridge the information gap. @Vanarchain $VANRY #Vanar

The harder you brush, the more stable you earn? Alpha's new logic has arrived

Today, Alpha's random airdrop officially launched.
Let me share my personal experience.
I participated immediately. The amount I received was indeed more than expected; it took me over a minute to succeed in claiming, but after claiming, it took a long time for the reward pool to be fully distributed. Behind this are actually two signals: first, the number of high-point users has clearly decreased; second, the platform intentionally enlarged the shares to ensure smooth distribution of the project.

The key still lies in the earnings. The actual value I sold this time was 37 USD. After selling, I immediately checked the prices of the other two tokens being distributed and found that everyone's actual received value was basically similar. #ALPHA

My personal judgment is that Alpha is moving towards a path of 'fixed earnings'. Future airdrops are likely to be controlled within a relatively stable range, such as an average profit of around 30 USD.

Taking my current level of 32,000 as an example, the average daily loss is 2.5 USD, resulting in about 75 USD cost per month. If I can receive similar airdrops 4 times a month, each calculated at 30 USD, the total earnings would be 120 USD, with a net profit of about 45 to 60 USD. #币安Alpha上新

Compared to other trading platforms, at this stage, Alpha can actually be considered quite sincere. Although it is far from the hundreds of dollars during the peak of the bull market, being able to provide a relatively stable 'basic model' in a bear market is already a rare achievement.

This also indicates one thing: the platform is actively compressing volatility, shifting Alpha from 'explosive betting' to 'stable earnings'.

Of course, there is also a point here that makes me a bit uncomfortable. For someone like me, who enjoys taking risks in new projects and pursuing high returns with uncertainty, if everything turns into a mean distribution in the future, the stimulating feeling of 'doubling by betting correctly once' may become less and less.

So this change is essentially a trade-off.
As for which Alpha you prefer, everyone is welcome to discuss and leave comments in the comment section.

If you have questions, find Twelve; follow Twelve so you won't get lost. I will always do one thing, and that is to help ordinary people as much as possible, breaking the information gap. Of course, I can't forget to check in on xpl either. #Plasma $XPL @Plasma

Today's Alpha Preview: Pre-TGE is still playable, Binance opens the era of everyone getting blind boxes

Pre-TGE is back, with the average earnings from the first five sessions basically breaking 100 USD, provided that 3 BNB is needed to meet the conditions. This round is no exception; although it's still difficult to accurately estimate specific earnings, overall it is still worth actively participating. If you want to see a complete project analysis, go to the homepage and let Brother Sun analyze whether this project is worth investing in. #币安钱包TGE

A major change is coming to Alpha, as Binance Wallet officially launches a brand new Alpha blind box airdrop mechanism. The first Alpha blind box event will officially start on February 11, 2026, and will no longer be a single project airdrop, but will package the tokens of multiple projects into the same blind box. Users participating with Alpha points will randomly receive one of the selected projects, with equivalent token rewards. #ALPHA

It is important to note that the blind boxes not only include new projects but may also feature older projects that have appeared in Alpha before, essentially giving users a chance to “revisit early projects.” The event adopts a first-come-first-served mechanism, and the prize pool will stop once it is exhausted. At the same time, the points threshold will automatically decrease by 5 points every 5 minutes until all rewards are claimed. #币安Alpha上新

Overall, the launch of the Alpha blind box reduces the certainty of earnings expectations for single projects, but increases the coverage and sustainability of participation.

For users, this is a shift from “betting on single projects” to “diversifying to increase odds.” In the future, Alpha’s rhythm may gradually lean towards high-frequency, small amounts, and multiple projects. Whether it is worth long-term participation ultimately depends on individual point levels and acceptance of uncertain earnings.

If you have questions, find Twelve, and follow Twelve so you won’t get lost. I will continue to do one thing, trying to help ordinary people break the information gap.

What do you think of this change? Feel free to leave a message.

Today's Alpha Information Gap: The Last Week Before the Spring Festival

I originally thought it would be another "hairless" day, but at 9 PM, an invisible hair suddenly appeared. According to past patterns, it's likely that the old coins have been released again, which generally hovers around 30 dollars, falling into the medium level range.

Personally, I don't really recommend everyone to rush in; my thought is that rather than spending points on such low-cost performance old projects, it’s better to save them for the new projects coming up, where there’s still a chance to make a profit.

Next, let’s focus on tomorrow's TGE. To be honest, TGE has gradually become the main force of Alpha. Like the last TGE, those who hedged could earn around 100 dollars net profit, which is indeed quite attractive. Later, I will release a complete introduction to tomorrow's TGE coin types, and those interested can focus on it more.

My personal wealth freedom revolution plan has already begun, and I have completed about 30% of the positioning, with 90% allocated to BNB and Bitcoin, and the remaining 10% planned to buy XPL.

Why pay attention to the XPL project? Although there are certainly profit-making factors in promotion, I have indeed re-studied this project in the process. I found that its logic and core align very well with the concepts mentioned by Sun Ge in the "Path to Wealth Freedom Revolution"; its long-term value is clearly higher than the current price. This is also the reason I chose to rebuild my position in it. Of course, its current high volatility does deter many investors, so here I’m just sharing my personal plan with everyone.

In terms of score manipulation, WMTX's trading volume is currently far ahead. When manipulating scores, it’s essential to keep a close eye; the order book is best if both buy one and sell two have large order volumes in the hundreds of K before proceeding. If the depth is too shallow, the wear and tear will be significant. Once caught in a squeeze, it’s better to switch to U rather than waiting in vain to break even; the risk is too high, and those who have learned from continuous declines understand this.

If you have questions, look for Twelve; follow Twelve and you won’t get lost. I will continue to do one thing, striving to help ordinary people break the information gap.

Finally, I hope we can welcome a real airdrop this week, allowing everyone to have a peaceful and happy New Year. #Plasma $XPL @Plasma

Breaking the Information Gap · Alpha Edition

Recently, the state of Alpha has likely made it hard for many to keep going; the pressure is really high.

Market fluctuations, wild ups and downs, and scoring feels increasingly competitive. Often, it's not that you're not working hard enough, but that this phase itself isn't suitable for pushing hard. So, there's no need to push too hard on scoring; when it feels particularly difficult, lowering your position is actually a mature choice.

The short list for shorts this weekend is still completely empty, and everyone has slowly gotten used to it. The overall market is quite sluggish now, with project parties clearly pulling back, not rushing to push new things, and not daring to increase volume easily. To put it bluntly, the opportunity to make money in Alpha in the short term is most likely just like this; changes won’t be significant.

Last month, I scored at a level of 32,000, with a daily loss of about 2U, and in the end, my net profit was only around 150 USD. It's not particularly good, but I can say it's still acceptable.

Since I started playing Alpha, I have actively lowered my position every time the market was poor. It’s not about quitting but controlling losses to ensure that I can continue to play. Because as long as you don’t leave the table, there’s always a chance.

So, take the opportunity to rest more this weekend. When you can't keep scoring, taking a break doesn't mean giving up. Money can always be earned, but once your state is dragged down, it's hard to regain it.

Those who have time can participate in the #plasma mouth-lifting project. Plasma is a Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for stablecoin settlement, combining complete compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (Reth) and sub-second finality (PlasmaBFT), and introduces stablecoin-centered features such as gas-free USDT transfers and a gas mechanism prioritizing stablecoins. The security anchored by Bitcoin aims to enhance neutrality and censorship resistance. The target users include retail investors in high-adoption markets as well as institutional users in the payment/finance sector.

If you have questions, find Twelve. Follow Twelve to not get lost. I will always do one thing, try my best to help ordinary people break the information gap.

#plasma $XPL @Plasma

Alright! Let's skip the fancy academic jargon, and I'll give you the lowdown on what this recently popular Plasma (XPL) is all about.

Plasma is like a **“highway exclusively for stablecoins”** for the blockchain.

There's a really annoying aspect of public chains: if you want to make a transfer (like sending USDT), either the fees are painfully high (like Ethereum), or you have to buy some of its native tokens as a 'toll fee' (for example, to transfer on TRON, you need to have TRX first). Plasma is specifically designed to solve this awkward situation. It's a Layer 1 public chain, and its biggest selling point is **“no fees for transferring stablecoins”** (achieved through a technology called Paymaster).

You can think of it this way: transferring on this chain is like using Alipay—it's fast and doesn't come with all those messy Gas fee thresholds. Plus, it's backed by the security of Bitcoin, and the transfer speed is instantaneous; it really has something to offer.

My opinion:
This project currently looks like it has “money, power, and ideas.” It addresses the most annoying issue of “transaction fees” and aims to take the people's route. However, the future challenge lies in whether it can truly open up that bank card and make it user-friendly for the general public. #Plasma $XPL @Plasma $XPL

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Great sharing