🇺🇸 TRUMP HAS JUST ANNOUNCED THAT HE ORDERS THE RELEASE OF ALL GOVERNMENT FILES ON ALIENS, UFOs, AND UNIDENTIFIED AERIAL PHENOMENA$GUN
"I will direct the Secretary of War, and other relevant Departments and Agencies, to initiate the process of identifying and releasing government files related to alien and extraterrestrial life, unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), and unidentified flying objects (UFO)."$BANANAS31
🚨 WELLS FARGO: Recorte de tasas de la Fed poco probable antes de junio $GUN
El banco Wells Fargo estima que la Federal Reserve no reduciría tasas antes de junio, tras datos laborales más sólidos de lo esperado y una inflación que continúa moderándose.
📊 Datos clave mencionados: Nóminas de enero: +130,000 Tasa de desempleo: 4.3% Inflación: enfriándose gradualmente
¿Por qué esto retrasa los recortes? La Fed necesita dos cosas para recortar con confianza: 1️⃣ Inflación acercándose de forma sostenible al objetivo 2️⃣ Señales claras de debilitamiento económico Si el empleo sigue mostrando resiliencia, el banco central puede permitirse esperar más tiempo antes de flexibilizar.$TAO
📈 Impacto en mercados 🔹 Bonos: rendimientos podrían mantenerse elevados 🔹 Dólar: apoyo a corto plazo 🔹 Acciones y cripto: podrían enfrentar presión si el mercado esperaba recortes antes El mercado no solo mira la tasa actual — mira la trayectoria esperada.$BANK
Clave ahora • Próximos datos de inflación (PCE/CPI) • Tendencia del desempleo • Comentarios de miembros del FOMC Si los datos se mantienen firmes, junio se convierte en la primera ventana realista. Si la economía se enfría más rápido, el calendario podría adelantarse.
• 2,563 Bitcoin (BTC) ($172.9M) • 49,852 Ethereum (ETH) ($97.2M) to Coinbase, the logical question is: imminent sale?
🧠 Not necessarily. A deposit in an exchange can mean: 1️⃣ Preparation for sale 2️⃣ Internal rebalancing 3️⃣ ETF creation/redemption 4️⃣ Custody or operational movement$ETH
In the case of BlackRock, a large part of the flows are usually related to: • ETF creations/redemptions • Inventory adjustments • Liquidity management It is not always directional selling pressure.
📊 Is the movement significant? In absolute terms: yes, it is striking. In market terms: • BTC moves tens of billions daily • ETH also has high liquidity The impact depends on whether: • It is executed as a market sale • Or is part of neutral ETF flow (creation/redemption)
What would be bearish • Multiple consecutive deposits • Simultaneous increase in exchange reserves • Negative funding accelerating • Drops accompanied by high volume$BNB
🎯 Conclusion A deposit ≠ confirmed sale. But it does increase the probability of liquidity on the selling side if the market weakens.
🇺🇸 The United States Department of the Treasury repurchased $1.56B of its own debt.
🏦 What does a debt buyback mean? Treasury buybacks usually: • Improve liquidity in less traded bonds • Smooth distortions in the curve • Manage maturities more efficiently • Optimize the financing profile
They do not necessarily imply monetary stimulus (that corresponds to the Federal Reserve).$GUN
📉 Does it restrict supply in the secondary market? Yes, it technically reduces the available float of certain bonds.
But the impact depends on: • Relative size compared to the total market (which is in the tens of trillions) • Which maturities were repurchased • Whether it is financed with new issuance $1.56B is tactically relevant but small compared to the total size of the Treasury market.
What to observe now$BANK 🔎 Yields at 2 and 10 years 🔎 Curve slope 🔎 Liquidity spreads 🔎 Dollar reaction If yields fall after the buyback, it may indicate relief in supply. If they do not move, it was probably a technical operation.
🔥🚨🇺🇸 About bond purchases and the narrative surrounding Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve: First, let's put it in context.$BTC
📊 What do those numbers mean? When it is said that the Fed "buys $40B in Treasuries" or later "$70B", it can refer to: • Automatic reinvestments of maturities • Technical adjustments in the balance • Operations within a monthly range • Response to liquidity conditions It does not always imply a hidden change in policy.$GUN
🏦 Who really makes the decisions? The decisions do not depend solely on the Fed chairman. Monetary policy is defined by the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), a committee composed of:$CYBER
• Members of the Board of Governors • Presidents of regional banks Decisions are voted on and officially communicated after scheduled meetings. 🤔 Is $70B in January = hidden signal? Not necessarily.
We need to distinguish between: 1️⃣ Net purchases (real expansion of the balance) 2️⃣ Reinvestments of maturing bonds 3️⃣ Temporary open market operations Often, headlines mix these concepts.
🎯 What really matters More than a specific month, the market observes: • Trend of the total balance • Pace of QT or QE • Interest rate expectations • General financial conditions An isolated month does not redefine policy. A sustained trajectory does. #PowellSpeech #StrategyBTCPurchase
Tomorrow key data will be released: 📊 GDP Inflation 📊 PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) 📊 PMI (with possible expected declines)
🏦 Why does it matter? • GDP + inflation → Measures growth + price pressure • PCE → Preferred inflation indicator by the Federal Reserve • PMI → Early signal of economic activity (expansion or contraction)
⚡ What could happen $OM 🔺 If inflation comes out high → Pressure on rates → Downside risk in stocks and crypto 🔻 If inflation cools + weak PMI → Dovish narrative → Possible relief in risk assets
📉 If PMI drops sharply → Fear of economic slowdown
🎯 Key for traders$ENSO It's not just the data. It's the difference against expectations. Volatility usually increases in the first hour after the release. Spreads widen. Liquidations accelerate. Prepare for quick movements.
Even parents with substantial wealth are concerned about their children's job prospects in the current economy, according to a new CNBC report.
📉 What is happening? The fear is not just about getting a job — it's about keeping it in an environment marked by: • Automation and AI • Corporate restructuring • More competitive job markets • Changes in demanded skills Even families with resources acknowledge that financial capital no longer guarantees professional security.
🧠 Generational change Before: 💼 College degree → stable job → linear career Now:$TAO 🔄 Constant adaptability 📚 Continuous learning 💻 Digital and technological skills 🌍 Global competition The job market has become more dynamic, less predictable, and more demanding.
💬 The interesting part When even the most affluent households show concern, it usually reflects: • Macroeconomic uncertainty • Structural transformation of work • Greater perception of systemic risk It is not just an economic cycle. $BANK It is a structural transition.
$BTC The on-chain indicators most sensitive to market lows are starting to give signals of generational buying. $BTC
Why are these signals coming out so early in the year? Because Bitcoin never had a parabolic movement post-halving, therefore the indicators cooled down faster than usual.
🚨 A whale has just placed a massive bet against the market
🔻 $33M short on Ethereum ($ETH ) 🔻 $28M short on Solana ($SOL ) ⚡ 20x leverage
More than $60 million positioned against — multiplied by twenty. This doesn't seem like a simple hedge. It's an aggressive stance.
📊 Why is it so attention-grabbing? • In the last 4 months, this wallet would have generated ~$23M • Accuracy rate close to 80% • Solid recent history When a trader with that performance takes such a large position, the market pays attention.
With 20x leverage… The margin for error is minimal. A move of just ~5% against could trigger liquidations. That turns the trade into a potential point of: • Violent short squeeze • Or a downward cascade if the price breaks supports Here, direction is not the only thing that matters. The liquidity structure around key levels matters.
🧠 The real dynamics Now the focus is not on headlines. It's on: • Liquidation zones • Order book depth • Funding rates • Volume in derivatives
The question is not whether there will be movement. It's who forces the movement first. Does the market squeeze the whale? Or do other traders follow their signal?$BTC #ETH #sol #solana
⚡️The government of Israel 🇮🇱 has just ordered the Home Front Command, which is responsible for civil defense and preparing the civilian population for a conflict, to prepare for war with Iran 🇮🇷.—Channel 12 $BANK
At the same time, a high-level defensive alert has been declared throughout the country.$BTC
📊 93% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in March, according to traders on Kalshi.
🏦 What does this mean? A 93% implies that the market practically discounts a scenario of a pause in rates. When the Fed keeps rates: • Reduces immediate uncertainty • Stabilizes expectations in bonds • Usually favors risk assets if it was already discounted
📈 Potential impact on markets If the pause is already fully “priced in”: ✔️ Moderate reaction ✔️ Focus shifts to the statement and projections
If the tone is more dovish than expected: 🚀 Boost for stocks and crypto If the tone is more hawkish: 📉 Quick correction in risk assets$CYBER
🎯 What really matters It's not just the decision. It's the language about: • Inflation • Labor market • Upcoming cuts • Financial conditions The market does not operate on the current rate. It operates on the future trajectory.$NAORIS
Every day, 1 hour before the opening of the American market, the "happy hour" starts and ends 1 hour later. $BTC
Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum during these hours, since they incorporated the ETFs, is quite intuitive if you follow the trend and use the VWAP well. In the example, there is a successful Bitcoin trade and an ETH trade that didn't execute the order due to a lag. $TAO
Some time ago, I made a video on how to use it, but I think it wasn't clear to many. Would you be interested in us going live on Twitch (more informal) during these two hours, and you can watch me trading?
🇮🇷 Iran is reported to have begun firing missiles towards the Strait of Hormuz.
📍 The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most critical strategic points on the planet: approximately 20% of the world's oil supply transits through this maritime corridor.
🌍 Why is it so important? • Connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea • Key for exports from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, and Iran • Any disruption immediately impacts crude prices$BANK
📈 Potential impact on markets If the situation escalates: • 🔺 Sharp rise in oil prices • 🔺 Global inflationary pressure • 🔻 Stock market declines due to increased geopolitical risk • 🔺 Possible strengthening of the dollar as a safe-haven asset • 🔺 Gold and defensive assets on the rise The energy market tends to react within minutes to headlines related to Hormuz.$BANANAS31
Key now What will be crucial is: • If maritime traffic is interrupted • If there is an international military response • If the event escalates to regional conflict Hormuz is not just a point on the map. It is a critical valve of the global economy.
🚨 BITMINE ACQUIRES 45,000 ETH MORE The company BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) has added 45,000 additional ETH to its treasury.$BTC
With this purchase, its total holdings of Ethereum (ETH) amount to 4.37 million ETH, valued at approximately $8.7B (assuming ~$2,000 per coin).$ETH
The company's total assets would be around $9.6B. 📊 What does this movement mean? 🔹 Aggressive accumulation strategy The company is doubling down its exposure even amidst unrealized losses, indicating long-term conviction.
🔹 High sensitivity to ETH price With 4.37M ETH on the balance sheet, each $100 movement in price implies a change of ~$437M in valuation.
🔹 Risk and volatility Such a concentrated strategy makes the company a highly leveraged proxy of the Ethereum price.$BNB
Strategic reading This type of corporate accumulation can be interpreted as: • Signal of structural confidence in Ethereum • Bet on cycle recovery • Treasury play strategy similar to what other companies have done with BTC But it also increases financial risk if the market continues to move sideways or bearish.
🚨 "Liquidity Bomb"! The Fed injects $16M: What is the real impact on crypto? 💸🚀$BTC
First of all: $16 million is not a large amount in macro terms. To put it in context, the U.S. financial system moves trillions daily. This type of operation is usually technical and routine, not necessarily an extraordinary stimulus.
The entity involved is the Federal Reserve.
1️⃣ Why now? 🏦 When the Fed injects liquidity (typically via repos or open market operations), it usually aims to:$TAO • Stabilize short-term rates • Reduce friction in the interbank market • Maintain the orderly functioning of the system It does not always imply "massive printing" or a change in monetary policy.
2️⃣ Effect on BTC and ETH? 📈 Historically, significant expansions of liquidity have favored risk assets such as: • Bitcoin (BTC) • Ethereum (ETH) But the key is the scale. $16M is small compared to the size of the crypto market and the Fed's balances. What really moves crypto tends to be: ✔️ Changes in rates ✔️ Future guidance (forward guidance) ✔️ Sustained expansion or contraction of the balance
3️⃣ Weak dollar = strong crypto? 💵📉 A large monetary expansion can pressure the dollar (DXY) and favor alternative assets. But isolated daily liquidity movements rarely change the structural trend of the dollar.
4️⃣ Opportunity for bulls? 🐂$BANK More than the amount itself, what matters is: • The general macro context • Market positioning • Key technical levels • Expectations about upcoming decisions from the Fed Volatility may increase… but not every injection equates to a guaranteed rally.