krypton_bit
О криптовалюте - простыми словами! Трейдер, инвестор 24/7 в CRYPTO. Стримы и аналитика .Графики, метрики, мысли о рынке.
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🚨 Whales are already in the red but continue to buy — is the market preparing a trap or forming a bottom?
#whalebtc #bitcoin #metrics $BTC
An extremely interesting situation is forming in the market: large players are realizing billion-dollar losses, but at the same time are increasing positions.
— Recent large purchases were made in the region of $96K, after which the decline began:
• February 3 — -$944M
• February 4 — -$431M
• February 5 — -$1.46B
An extremely interesting situation is forming in the market: large players are realizing billion-dollar losses, but at the same time are increasing positions.
— Recent large purchases were made in the region of $96K, after which the decline began:
• February 3 — -$944M
• February 4 — -$431M
• February 5 — -$1.46B
🚨 The market is on the brink of a phase change: BTC maintains control, but altseason may be approaching
#bitcoin #metrics
Several strong metrics indicate a turning point in the cycle — such periods often determine the market direction for months ahead.
— The Bitcoin Vector indicator previously accurately marked the altcoin rally and subsequent reversal in January. The market is currently in a BTC cycle, but the indicators are gradually shifting towards altcoins.
Several strong metrics indicate a turning point in the cycle — such periods often determine the market direction for months ahead.
— The Bitcoin Vector indicator previously accurately marked the altcoin rally and subsequent reversal in January. The market is currently in a BTC cycle, but the indicators are gradually shifting towards altcoins.
🚨 BTC at the extremes of metrics: is the market close to a resolution?
— The Sharpe ratio of BTC has fallen to -10 — the lowest since March 2023 (the risk/return ratio has sharply deteriorated).
— The correlation of altcoins with BTC over 20 days is 0.86. Historically, such values have often formed near market lows.
— z-score of the liquidity oscillator: -1.39σ — a zone close to major accumulation phases.
Interestingly, the macroeconomics currently look stronger: the ISM index is rising, and the manufacturing sector is showing the best momentum in years.
However, BTC has decreased by about 23% year-on-year during this time, temporarily falling out of the logic of “following macro”. Such divergences usually do not last long — the market either catches up with the economy, or the macro environment starts to deteriorate.
— A negative Sharpe indicates increased volatility and a nervous market
— High correlation of altcoins strengthens systemic sell-offs
— Negative liquidity increases the chance of a final liquidation before a reversal.
Extreme indicator values are not a signal to “buy urgently,” but rather a sign that the market is entering a phase of heightened uncertainty. In such moments, strategy and risk control are more important.
This is not financial advice
#BTC $BTC
— The Sharpe ratio of BTC has fallen to -10 — the lowest since March 2023 (the risk/return ratio has sharply deteriorated).
— The correlation of altcoins with BTC over 20 days is 0.86. Historically, such values have often formed near market lows.
— z-score of the liquidity oscillator: -1.39σ — a zone close to major accumulation phases.
Interestingly, the macroeconomics currently look stronger: the ISM index is rising, and the manufacturing sector is showing the best momentum in years.
However, BTC has decreased by about 23% year-on-year during this time, temporarily falling out of the logic of “following macro”. Such divergences usually do not last long — the market either catches up with the economy, or the macro environment starts to deteriorate.
— A negative Sharpe indicates increased volatility and a nervous market
— High correlation of altcoins strengthens systemic sell-offs
— Negative liquidity increases the chance of a final liquidation before a reversal.
Extreme indicator values are not a signal to “buy urgently,” but rather a sign that the market is entering a phase of heightened uncertainty. In such moments, strategy and risk control are more important.
This is not financial advice
#BTC $BTC
🤖 The next big trend may not just be AI — but AI + crypto.
• AI will be able to pay for services on its own and operate without banks.
• Programs will be able to make deals with each other.
• Blockchain will become the "cash register" for the new digital economy.
When new technologies emerge — the infrastructure grows first.
The main struggle of the future is for control over AI. Decentralization versus corporations.
This is not a story about quick gains. This could be the foundation of the next technological cycle.
This is not financial advice.
#trading #Ethereum #ai $ETH
• AI will be able to pay for services on its own and operate without banks.
• Programs will be able to make deals with each other.
• Blockchain will become the "cash register" for the new digital economy.
When new technologies emerge — the infrastructure grows first.
The main struggle of the future is for control over AI. Decentralization versus corporations.
This is not a story about quick gains. This could be the foundation of the next technological cycle.
This is not financial advice.
#trading #Ethereum #ai $ETH
📉 Euphoria is fading — the crypto market is returning to reality.
• Bitcoin has pulled back to lows — overheated expectations are cooling off. • The CLARITY bill is stuck in the Senate — they can't come to an agreement, meaning the rules of the game remain unclear.
The Fed plans to launch special accounts for crypto and fintech companies.
👉 This will simplify access to the U.S. payment system. 👉 But without interest and without emergency liquidity — there is no full integration into the financial system.
Conclusion: The market is transitioning from a hype phase to a maturity phase. Less emotion — more regulation.
Not financial advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews
• Bitcoin has pulled back to lows — overheated expectations are cooling off. • The CLARITY bill is stuck in the Senate — they can't come to an agreement, meaning the rules of the game remain unclear.
The Fed plans to launch special accounts for crypto and fintech companies.
👉 This will simplify access to the U.S. payment system. 👉 But without interest and without emergency liquidity — there is no full integration into the financial system.
Conclusion: The market is transitioning from a hype phase to a maturity phase. Less emotion — more regulation.
Not financial advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews
BTC at critical levels: what does on-chain and macro say?
Bitcoin is approaching a zone where strong decisions by major players have historically formed — and the data currently looks ambiguous.
— Current price: ~$70.8k
— Price 4 years ago: $44k → return of about +61%
— STH MVRV: -0.75 — lows since September 2022 (a sign of being oversold)
— Bull/Bear Index rose to 9.6 — extremely bullish sentiment in traditional markets, which is often interpreted as a counter-signal
Key levels (according to on-chain models):
— ~$102k — 200 DMA (long-term trend strength zone)
— ~$79k — True Mean Price
— ~$55k — Realized Price (global cycle support)
Negative MVRV indicates that short-term holders are realizing unrealized losses — such periods are often accompanied by capitulation and the transfer of coins to more patient investors.
At the same time, excessive optimism in the stock market is a classic environment where risk assets can face increased volatility.
— Loss of the zone around True Mean may accelerate selling pressure
— Overheated sentiment in macro sometimes precedes corrections
— Being oversold does not rule out a final "liquidity washout".
Not financial advice.
#bitcoin $BTC
Bitcoin is approaching a zone where strong decisions by major players have historically formed — and the data currently looks ambiguous.
— Current price: ~$70.8k
— Price 4 years ago: $44k → return of about +61%
— STH MVRV: -0.75 — lows since September 2022 (a sign of being oversold)
— Bull/Bear Index rose to 9.6 — extremely bullish sentiment in traditional markets, which is often interpreted as a counter-signal
Key levels (according to on-chain models):
— ~$102k — 200 DMA (long-term trend strength zone)
— ~$79k — True Mean Price
— ~$55k — Realized Price (global cycle support)
Negative MVRV indicates that short-term holders are realizing unrealized losses — such periods are often accompanied by capitulation and the transfer of coins to more patient investors.
At the same time, excessive optimism in the stock market is a classic environment where risk assets can face increased volatility.
— Loss of the zone around True Mean may accelerate selling pressure
— Overheated sentiment in macro sometimes precedes corrections
— Being oversold does not rule out a final "liquidity washout".
Not financial advice.
#bitcoin $BTC
Are you buying like the funds?
Big capital does not make mistakes?
I congratulate you🤣🤝
‼️In Trend Research, they almost completely sold off their Ethereum holdings.
In total, they bought 792,532 ETH for $2.59b at an average price of $3,267, and have already sold 772,865 ETH for $1.8b at around $2,326.
The company's balance now has only 21,301 ETH ($43.9m).
‼️Total loss ≈ $747m.
#Ethereum $ETH
Big capital does not make mistakes?
I congratulate you🤣🤝
‼️In Trend Research, they almost completely sold off their Ethereum holdings.
In total, they bought 792,532 ETH for $2.59b at an average price of $3,267, and have already sold 772,865 ETH for $1.8b at around $2,326.
The company's balance now has only 21,301 ETH ($43.9m).
‼️Total loss ≈ $747m.
#Ethereum $ETH
🤖 AI leaked the deposit — what does it really mean?
Kevin Xu gave the AI agent full access to the crypto portfolio with one task — to trade $1,000,000 without mistakes.
📉 Result — the deposit was wiped out.
👉 AI can analyze data faster than humans, but it doesn’t feel the market — in conditions of high volatility.
👉 Algorithms often break down where irrational crowd behavior begins: panic, liquidations, news leaks.
👉 Without risk management, even the "smartest" system will quickly lose capital.
This is not financial advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #trading #Aİ #криптовалюта
Kevin Xu gave the AI agent full access to the crypto portfolio with one task — to trade $1,000,000 without mistakes.
📉 Result — the deposit was wiped out.
👉 AI can analyze data faster than humans, but it doesn’t feel the market — in conditions of high volatility.
👉 Algorithms often break down where irrational crowd behavior begins: panic, liquidations, news leaks.
👉 Without risk management, even the "smartest" system will quickly lose capital.
This is not financial advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #trading #Aİ #криптовалюта
BTC at cost: rare signal or ordinary noise?
— The last time BTC entered the oversold zone according to Bollinger STH MVRV, the price subsequently increased by approximately +1900%
— On February 6, 66.94 thousand BTC flowed into accumulation addresses — the largest influx in the current cycle
— Estimated cost of mining — about $67k, and historically BTC rarely stays below this level
Cost is important because Bitcoin largely behaves like a commodity: prolonged trading below production costs usually reduces supply — weak miners leave, selling pressure decreases.
At the same time, a media pattern is noticeable: major publications tend to amplify negativity on declines and become more positive on increases. This reflects not so much analysis, but reaction to crowd sentiment.
— Oversold does not guarantee an immediate reversal
— Macro factors and liquidity can still pressure the price
— “Cost” levels are a model, not an exact turning point
It is most important to watch whether BTC is accumulating near key zones. The behavior of large players is often more important than headlines.
Not a financial recommendation
#bitcoin $BTC #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
— The last time BTC entered the oversold zone according to Bollinger STH MVRV, the price subsequently increased by approximately +1900%
— On February 6, 66.94 thousand BTC flowed into accumulation addresses — the largest influx in the current cycle
— Estimated cost of mining — about $67k, and historically BTC rarely stays below this level
Cost is important because Bitcoin largely behaves like a commodity: prolonged trading below production costs usually reduces supply — weak miners leave, selling pressure decreases.
At the same time, a media pattern is noticeable: major publications tend to amplify negativity on declines and become more positive on increases. This reflects not so much analysis, but reaction to crowd sentiment.
— Oversold does not guarantee an immediate reversal
— Macro factors and liquidity can still pressure the price
— “Cost” levels are a model, not an exact turning point
It is most important to watch whether BTC is accumulating near key zones. The behavior of large players is often more important than headlines.
Not a financial recommendation
#bitcoin $BTC #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge
Live broadcast: cryptocurrency market analysis in real time
February 12, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #крипторынок #trading
February 12, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #крипторынок #trading
Live broadcast: cryptocurrency market analysis in real time
February 10, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #крипторынок #trading
February 10, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #крипторынок #trading
📊 The USA will not save Bitcoin — what does this mean for the market?
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen confirmed: the government will keep the confiscated BTC but will not intervene in the market through purchases.
The reason was a question from Congressman Brad Sherman — can the Treasury support the price or require banks to buy cryptoassets? The answer is no.
Bitcoin remains a market asset, not a tool that will be held at any cost.
The less artificial support, the stronger the asset looks in the long run. This is a sign of a mature market, not weakness.
#bitcoin #crypto #криптовалюта
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen confirmed: the government will keep the confiscated BTC but will not intervene in the market through purchases.
The reason was a question from Congressman Brad Sherman — can the Treasury support the price or require banks to buy cryptoassets? The answer is no.
Bitcoin remains a market asset, not a tool that will be held at any cost.
The less artificial support, the stronger the asset looks in the long run. This is a sign of a mature market, not weakness.
#bitcoin #crypto #криптовалюта
There are two pieces of news...
1st They are showing a rebound, selling pressure has eased on Coinbase. They are trying to demonstrate a V-shaped reversal, but I suggest working only with stop losses (any long position at the moment is counter-trend, and there are places to take from and close out shorts).
2nd They have been doing this lately (letting the price go) to sell at a higher price, rather than at the low, and then moving on to the next test and closing out long positions.😄
We observe and do not be greedy.
Metrics will be available soon✅
#bitcoin #Ethereum $BTC $ETH
1st They are showing a rebound, selling pressure has eased on Coinbase. They are trying to demonstrate a V-shaped reversal, but I suggest working only with stop losses (any long position at the moment is counter-trend, and there are places to take from and close out shorts).
2nd They have been doing this lately (letting the price go) to sell at a higher price, rather than at the low, and then moving on to the next test and closing out long positions.😄
We observe and do not be greedy.
Metrics will be available soon✅
#bitcoin #Ethereum $BTC $ETH
‼️The hourly candle closes interestingly on BTC, we observe and wait for as many confirmations as possible, working only with stop-losses☝️‼️
#bitcoin $BTC
#bitcoin $BTC
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