The bounce from 0.098 was just a breath after the dump.
The price has bounced but not far, just a slight move and it gets pushed down.
There is volume but the price is not moving → money is coming in to exit, not to fly.
The range 0.105–0.11 is a trap, touching it leads to a dump. Talking about whales going long is just for fun, if they really accumulated, the chart would be different.
Losing 0.098 means sliding back to 0.09. Limit longs at this time.
The crash last night was not a black swan. It was a slap for those who are stubborn. I have done my best. Those who are destined to hear what I say may now face it calmly. And for those who lost everything last night, please try to get through this phase. I know it’s hard to accept. But this game is that cruel. Honestly, I hope you all get through it soon. For a long time before that, I had warned again and again countless times. I said not to play that way. I kept saying it during the nightly live sessions. Every night I reminded. Looking back. The ETF withdrew nearly half a billion $ in just a few days, sharks didn't buy more, the price held up thanks to leverage. But most still chose to believe in the familiar self-soothing phrases: about 80 there is support RSI low means buy organizations won’t let it fall.
When BTC lost support, things happened very quickly. Pulling the entire market down. There was no bounce, no time to think. Long orders were swept away like grass. Stop loss set just for show, slippage, no matching. Over 2 billion $ vanished in a few hours. It’s not that the market is cruel, but because we think too similarly.
The old advice revolves around one point: don’t try to guess the bottom when big money is withdrawing. The ETF withdrawal is an organization saying directly: these guys don’t want to play anymore. But retail still enters, fearing to miss the boat. That is not investing, it is gambling with faith.
First of all The price holding is not as important as who is holding the price. An oversold RSI won’t save you if big money doesn’t come in. Taking large orders in an unclear trend zone is self-burial.
Those who cannot learn this lesson, the next crash will be even more brutal.
1. The price has fallen too far from the EMA200 line, creating a vast gap. The tighter the squeeze, the stronger the rebound.
2. RSI is oversold, 2,600 is a strong psychological barrier, and the rejection candle has denied further declines.
3. Bad news is everywhere, ETF dumping, everyone is predicting a drop to 2000-2200. But take a close look: The Short orders are three times the Long orders. This is a goldmine for MM. Just a slight push, a series of chasing Short orders will get cut off, creating momentum to push the price back up to 2,900.
4. Trading the rebound. quick entry and exit * Entry: limit range 2,550 – 2,620.
When the whole market wants to sell, MM will accumulate. Follow the market maker, take this rebound and then reassess.
1. The H4 trend is still declining (deep below EMA200), but the drop has been halted at around 81k. The long wick confirms this is a temporary bottom. The RSI is deeply oversold, and shorts taking profits will push the price back up a bit.
2. Bad news (ETF liquidating $1.3 billion, U.S. government shutdown) has all been released, yet the price hasn't broken below 80k, proving that market makers are quietly placing support orders below. From personal experience, market makers will not push the price up immediately but will press the price within the box of 81k – 86k to torment psychology and shake out positions.
3. Don't expect the price to rise immediately; if you want to enter a position, you should only play guerrilla tactics within this box and limit the volume. #btc
$PAXG is falling and the structure is broken, not due to temporary panic.
1. Price has broken EMA 99. This is the line that has always bounced back when touched. This time it broke straight through, proving that the buyers have let go. When the support breaks, the market won't recover immediately; it still needs to find a new bottom.
2. Overbought RSI does not mean it will rise soon. In a downtrend, the lower the RSI, the more it shows no one dares to enter large orders. If there really was price support, it wouldn't have dropped so quickly.
3. A sharp decrease in OI is a sign that longs have been wiped out. After the sweep, the market often goes a bit further to pressure those who still have last hopes.
Big players are increasing short positions, with prices around 5.05x. They are not entering to make a few dozen dollars and then run. They trade according to the trend.
Do you still want to catch the bottom? You can, but you should only enter small to test.
For those who are short, hold on. The capital flow is still pushing down. Just follow it #paxg
This drop $BTC is not a technical shake-up, but a real condition.
The price has broken through the long-term EMA, liquidating nearly 2 billion USD in a short time, which means the long leverage has been broken rather than supported.
The RSI at 16 is not a signal to catch the dip; it is a sign that the market is panicking and has not found a bottom yet.
More importantly: OI is rising sharply while the price is falling, the L/S ratio has dropped to 0.46 => smart money is intentionally pushing down, not fleeing blindly.
ETFs are consistently withdrawing funds, big players are suffering heavy losses on long positions, and the selling pressure shows no signs of stopping.
If you stubbornly try to catch the bottom now, you should only enter small sizes, consider it a probe.
Follow the flow of money. They are not catching the bottom – they are waiting to unload when the price bounces. Every bounce at this moment is just an opportunity to short more.
For those who are currently short and making a profit, the trend + money flow + structure are all on the side of selling. Holding is not a gamble, but rather going with the strong side. #MarketCorrection