These are the upcoming events in the crypto world that could have the greatest impact:

Release of the U.S. CPI for January (February 13) – Inflation data could change expectations regarding rate cuts by the Fed, directly affecting sentiment in cryptocurrencies.

Possible partial government shutdown in the U.S. (February 14) – Lack of funding could generate volatility in the markets and concerns about liquidity.

Final deadline set by the SEC for crypto ETF applications (March 27) – The decision on 91 pending applications could open the door to institutional capital for altcoins.

Possible signing of the CLARITY Act (April 3) – Regulatory clarity in the U.S. could boost institutional adoption and improve market structure.

Compliance deadline for MiCA in the EU (July 1) – Full enforcement of this regulation will require licenses for crypto companies in Europe, which could transform the regional landscape.

Detailed Analysis

1. Release of the U.S. CPI for January

Summary: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the core CPI for January on February 13, 2026. A year-on-year reading of 2.5% is expected, slightly lower than the previous 2.7%. This data is key for the crypto market. What it means: Lower inflation would support expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which historically improves liquidity for risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, it could push crypto prices down by delaying those cuts. Given the current sentiment of 'Extreme Fear,' the reaction could be more intense. (US Inflation Rate YoY Release)

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