Tradewarrior

Token on a Strong Rise Now

One of the tokens that is rising the most today is I love puppies #puppies

PUPPIES is a memecoin on the Ethereum network, focused only on narrative and community.

In the last 24 hours, it has risen around +1,501.13%, and in 7 days close to +2,330.44%.

It is extremely speculative, with a daily volume of about $273,337.75 and no security audits.

How Far Could It Continue Rising

With this type of memecoins, the range of movement is huge but completely unpredictable.

After rises of +1,000% in 24 h, it is equally likely to see another upward move as it is to experience a drop of 50–90% in a short time.

The history of PUPPIES shows extreme spikes and strong falls, typical of "pump and dump."

In practice, the "how far" is usually limited by:

How much real liquidity there is to enter and exit without moving the price too much.

How long the interest lasts on social networks and the meme narrative.

The size already reached by the token compared to other similar memecoins.

#fogo $FOGO
Manifesto: The Essence of @Fogo Official Fogo
​The Fogo Project is not just an initiative; it is the spark that challenges inertia. It represents that exact moment when an idea stops being smoke to become a constant and transformative flame.
​Fundamental Pillars:
​Creative Ignition: We do not wait for inspiration; we provoke it through movement.
​Human Warmth: Technology and strategy at the service of real connections.
​Thermal Resilience: The ability to adapt and strengthen under pressure, like tempered steel.
​"At the heart of Fogo, what was ash yesterday is today the fuel for change."
#fogo $FOGO

#fogo $FOGO
The revolution of efficiency has arrived! 🔥
I am closely following the progress of @fogo, a project that is demonstrating how innovation and real utility can transform the crypto ecosystem. If you are looking for a solid proposal with a vibrant community, you can't lose sight of the performance of $FOGO. 🚀
Consistency is key in this market, and this project seems to have the necessary fuel to go far. #fogo $FOGO

More ETFs mean more doors for traditional capital, although the ETF market is already competitive.

It reinforces the narrative that U.S. policy and crypto are increasingly intertwined.

Mirae Asset buys Korbit in Korea

Mirae Asset (the largest broker in South Korea) agreed to purchase more than 90% of the regulated exchange Korbit.

A signal that large traditional firms want direct exposure to crypto businesses.

For the market, it is a point in favor of the long-term adoption thesis, especially in Asia.

If you want, in the next message I can summarize only what is most relevant for the short term (the next 24–72 hours) for BTC, ETH, and any alt you follow.

Confidence: Medium. The relevance of each news item depends on how the market reacts in the coming days.

Updated on Feb 15 at 12:15pm UTC-3 using crypto and financial regulation news from the last 24 hours.$BTC

Right now there are several news items that could affect the crypto market, especially regarding regulation in the U.S., large flows of ETH, ETFs, and institutional adoption.

Key News

Strong debate in the U.S. about the CLARITY Act and the yields of stablecoins.
Report from J.P. Morgan with a very bullish target for Bitcoin and focus on future regulation.
Large influx of over 260,000 ETH into Binance from a historic whale.
New crypto ETFs from Trump Media (BTC, ETH, and CRO) in process before the SEC.
Mirae Asset, the largest broker in Korea, buys the majority of the Korbit exchange.

Why It Matters

CLARITY Act and stablecoins
In the U.S., the CLARITY Act is being discussed, including whether or not yields are allowed for holding stablecoins in DeFi.

If “yields” are restricted, it could hit DeFi protocols and the demand for regulated stablecoins.
If a clear and flexible framework is approved, it facilitates the entry of more banks and large investors.
J.P. Morgan and Bitcoin outlook
A recent analysis from J.P. Morgan presents a scenario in which BTC could reach $266,000 by 2026, linked to more regulatory clarity and institutional adoption.

It is not a price guarantee, but it helps long-term sentiment.
They highlight that the market remains volatile and that regulation (like CLARITY) is key for “trillions” of institutional capital to enter.
Massive ETH movement to Binance
Over 260,000 ETH (hundreds of millions of dollars) entered Binance from wallets associated with an old market “OG.”

Such a flow is often interpreted as a possible sale.
In the short term, it could increase bearish pressure on ETH if it is confirmed that it is being distributed in the spot or derivatives market.
New ETFs from Trump Media
Trump Media presented two ETFs: one tracking BTC and ETH, and another focused on the CRO token with a yield strategy.

$BTC

The crypto market rises +2.19% to $2.41T in 24 hours, primarily driven by regulatory optimism. It shows a moderate correlation (36%) with the S&P 500, indicating a shared movement influenced by macroeconomic factors.

Main reason: Expectation that the U.S. Senate will review a bill on the structure of the crypto market, generating bullish sentiment.
Secondary reasons: The steady rise of Bitcoin establishing a floor, combined with aggressive speculative rotation towards high-volatility altcoins and memecoins.
Short-term outlook: The momentum will likely depend on the outcome of the Senate review on Monday; maintaining the Fibonacci level at $2.39T could extend gains towards $2.57T.

Detailed Analysis

1. Regulatory Catalyst

Summary: The noise on social media increased after a post from BitcoinPulseX indicating that the U.S. Senate will review a bill on the structure of the crypto market on Monday, February 16. This news, disseminated on February 14, generated optimism about clearer regulations and potential institutional capital inflows.

What it means: The market reacts to the possibility of reduced regulatory uncertainty, an obstacle that has persisted for a long time.

Attention to: The outcome of the Senate session and details about the bill's provisions.

2. Bitcoin Stability and Altcoin Speculation

Summary: Bitcoin's dominance remained near 58%, providing a stable base. At the same time, the Altcoin Season Index rose 24.14%, signaling a capital rotation. Tokens like PEPE (+27.63%), ZEC (+21.94%), and PENGU (+19.85%) led with explosive volume, reflecting strong retail and speculative interest.

What it means: The rally expanded beyond Bitcoin, driven by traders seeking higher returns in oversold altcoin sectors.

$BTC

3. Technical Analysis and On-Chain Positioning

Summary: The total market capitalization is $2.28T, below its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2.35T and 30-day SMA of $2.79T. The RSI(14) at 25.44 indicates oversold conditions. Meanwhile, assets under management (AUM) in Bitcoin ETFs have fallen to $96.8B from $107.41B last week.

What it means: This is neutral to bearish. The oversold RSI suggests that technically there could be a bounce, but the persistent capitalization below key averages and the drop in AUM of ETFs confirm strong selling pressure and lack of institutional demand.

Conclusion

Market sentiment is currently bearish, dominated by extreme fear driven by news of institutional outflows and a weak technical structure. Although oversold readings suggest a possible short-term bounce, the main trend remains down until ETF flows stabilize or a positive macroeconomic catalyst appears. It is recommended to monitor daily flows of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. over the next 24-48 hours for signs of a return of institutional buying.

Detailed Analysis

1. CMC Fear and Greed Index: Extreme Fear

Summary: The index stands at 8/100 ("Extreme Fear") as of February 12, 2026, down one point from yesterday and three points from last week (See CMC F&G). It has remained close to its annual low of 5 since early February, indicating prolonged negative sentiment.

What it means: This is bearish because it reflects widespread panic and risk aversion, which is often a contrarian indicator suggesting that the market is oversold. However, sustained extreme fear may anticipate a rebound if a positive catalyst emerges.

2. Social Sentiment and News: Bearish Impact

Summary: The net social sentiment is 4.87/10, with a bearish trend. Dominant narratives include institutional outflows and large leveraged short positions.

"🚨 ALERT: Standard Chartered predicts that $BTC will drop to $50,000 and $ETH to $1,400 in the short term due to ETF outflows and macro pressure."

— @Cointelegraph (2.9 M followers)

Read original post

"I just opened a short of $800K on $BTC... Sorry #BITCOIN fans, but this is over 😎"

— @bnbchen (33.5 K followers)

Read original post

What it means: This is bearish because influential accounts are amplifying fears of further declines and institutional withdrawal, which may erode retail confidence and reduce buying pressure.

$BTC

The current sentiment of the market is bearish (CMC Fear and Greed Index: 8/100). Key points: $BTC

Extreme Fear Persists – The index is at 8/100, down from 11 last week, indicating deep pessimism and possible oversold conditions.

Mixed Social Sentiment – The net score of 4.87/10 (according to the CMC Social Sentiment Algorithm) shows a slight bearish bias, with fear driven by news of institutional exits and large short positions.

Technical Analysis Indicates Potential Bounce from Oversold – The RSI at 25.44 signals oversold territory, but the price remains below all key moving averages, reflecting sustained bearish pressure. $BTC #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop

Bitcoin traded practically unchanged near $67,000 during Thursday's Asian hours, while investors assessed stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data, which reduced expectations for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

The world's largest cryptocurrency was trading 0.4% higher at $67,102.8, remaining below the key level of $70,000, with moderate market activity due to decreased liquidity.

Bitcoin had recently recovered from a sharp drop towards $60,000 earlier this month, but has since struggled to regain upward momentum.

2. Possible partial shutdown of the U.S. government

Summary: If new funding is not approved, a partial shutdown of the U.S. government could begin on February 14, 2026. The prediction market Polymarket assigns a 66% probability to this event. What it means: A shutdown could reduce liquidity in financial markets and generate volatility in cryptocurrencies, similar to the sharp decline observed during the shutdown at the end of January. This would increase macroeconomic uncertainty, which tends to negatively affect speculative assets. (Potential Partial U.S. Government Shutdown)

3. Final SEC deadline for crypto ETF applications

Summary: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) must make a final decision by March 27, 2026, on 91 pending applications for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) related to cryptocurrencies, including 24 different tokens. What it means: Approval, especially for altcoins like Solana (SOL) and XRP, would open an important channel for regulated institutional investment, which could attract large capital flows. Rejections or delays could negatively affect sentiment towards those assets. (SEC Final Deadline for Crypto ETF Requests$BTC

These are the upcoming events in the crypto world that could have the greatest impact:

Release of the U.S. CPI for January (February 13) – Inflation data could change expectations regarding rate cuts by the Fed, directly affecting sentiment in cryptocurrencies.
Possible partial government shutdown in the U.S. (February 14) – Lack of funding could generate volatility in the markets and concerns about liquidity.
Final deadline set by the SEC for crypto ETF applications (March 27) – The decision on 91 pending applications could open the door to institutional capital for altcoins.
Possible signing of the CLARITY Act (April 3) – Regulatory clarity in the U.S. could boost institutional adoption and improve market structure.
Compliance deadline for MiCA in the EU (July 1) – Full enforcement of this regulation will require licenses for crypto companies in Europe, which could transform the regional landscape.

Detailed Analysis

1. Release of the U.S. CPI for January

Summary: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the core CPI for January on February 13, 2026. A year-on-year reading of 2.5% is expected, slightly lower than the previous 2.7%. This data is key for the crypto market. What it means: Lower inflation would support expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which historically improves liquidity for risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, it could push crypto prices down by delaying those cuts. Given the current sentiment of 'Extreme Fear,' the reaction could be more intense. (US Inflation Rate YoY Release)

$BTC

Here are the trending narratives according to CoinMarketCap's evolving narrative algorithm (price, news, social momentum):

Binance Ecosystem (+11.43 %, 7 days) – Driven by Grayscale's application for a BNB ETF and BNB's rise above XRP/USDT to claim third place in market capitalization, indicating significant institutional validation and capital inflow into the ecosystem.
Layer 1 (+14.36 %, 7 days) – Driven by the prominent launch of LayerZero's "Zero" blockchain, backed by Citadel and Google, highlighting a shift towards foundational infrastructure despite the overall challenges in the sector.
US Strategic Crypto Reserve (+13.79 %, 7 days) – Catalyzed by political proposals for a national cryptocurrency reserve, creating a geopolitical narrative that could attract selective flows towards altcoins amid high regulatory uncertainty.

Detailed Analysis

1. Binance Ecosystem – Leader in Momentum

Summary: This narrative revolves around the Binance exchange and the BNB Chain ecosystem. Momentum is strong, with a volume-weighted performance over 7 days of +11.43 % compared to the total cryptocurrency market. The key catalyst is Grayscale's S-1 application for a spot BNB ETF submitted on January 23, 2026. Recently, BNB rose to become the third-largest cryptocurrency. What it means: The ETF application is an important step towards regulated access in the U.S., which could attract significant institutional capital and solidify BNB as a top-tier crypto asset. What to watch: The SEC's response to Grayscale's application and BNB's ability to maintain its gains against key competitors. Explore the Binance Ecosystem narrative on CoinMarketCap.

These are the upcoming events in the crypto world that could have a greater impact:

Launch of MegaETH Mainnet (February 9) – A new high-speed Layer 2 solution for Ethereum goes live, which could boost activity and sentiment in the ETH ecosystem.
U.S. CPI data for January (February 13) – A key inflation figure that may influence expectations about Federal Reserve policy and create volatility in the crypto market.
Possible partial government shutdown in the U.S. (February 14) – With a 66% probability, a shutdown could reduce liquidity in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, increasing volatility.
White House deadline for consensus on stablecoin performance (February 28) – Deadline for banks and crypto companies to resolve a conflict that will define the regulation of the $6.6 trillion stablecoin market under the CLARITY Act.
MiCA compliance deadline in the EU (July 1) – Full enforcement of this European regulation begins, forcing crypto companies to adapt or lose access to the European market.

Detailed Analysis

1. Launch of MegaETH Mainnet

Summary: On February 9, 2026, the public mainnet of MegaETH goes live, promising up to 100,000 transactions per second with latency under a millisecond. As a Layer 2 solution compatible with Ethereum, its successful launch could attract developers and investments, reduce fees, and improve Ethereum's scalability.
Implications: A successful launch would be positive for the Ethereum ecosystem, demonstrating real advancements in scalability. Conversely, poor performance could negatively affect confidence in Layer 2 solutions.
(Cointribune)

The crypto market is up 0.87% to 2.4 trillion dollars in 24 hours, primarily driven by Bitcoin-led momentum and the accumulation of large investors ("whales"). It shows a strong correlation (89%) with the S&P 500, indicating a common movement influenced by macroeconomic factors.

Main reason: The recovery of Bitcoin, driven by large purchases from "whales" and positive social sentiment, lifted the market overall.
Secondary reasons: A significant drop in liquidations reduced selling pressure, while oversold technical conditions attracted short-term buying.
Short-term outlook: The rebound could continue if BTC holds above 71,000 dollars, but it faces a key test with ETF flow data in the U.S. on Monday; if it does not hold, it could retest the market capitalization low of 2.17 trillion dollars.

Detailed Analysis

1. Bitcoin-led momentum and accumulation of "whales"

Summary: The market increase was led by Bitcoin, with the Bitcoin ecosystem as the sector with the highest gains, rising 1.69%. Significant activity from large investors was highlighted on social media, with lookonchain reporting two new wallets that withdrew 3,500 BTC (249 million dollars) from Binance on February 8.

What it means: Accumulation off exchanges suggests that institutional or high-net-worth investors are positioning themselves, providing fundamental demand that supports prices.

What to watch: To keep Bitcoin's dominance above 58.7% to confirm its ongoing leadership.

2. Reduction of selling pressure and rebound from oversold conditions

Summary: Liquidations across the market fell 34% to 119.76 million dollars in 24 hours, significantly reducing forced selling. This occurred alongside deep oversold readings, with an RSI14 at 31 and a Fear and Greed Index at 8 ("Extreme Fear").$BTC

These are the upcoming events in the crypto world that could have the greatest impact:

Federal Reserve Policy Meeting (January 27–28, 2026) – The first major decision by a central bank in the year, which will set the tone regarding liquidity and risk appetite.
Senate Banking Committee Vote (January 27, 2026) – A key vote on legislation that will define the structure of the crypto market in the U.S. and could clarify regulation.
FOMC Meeting (March 18, 2026) – The next monetary policy decision by the Fed, which will influence expectations regarding interest rates and capital flows.
Full Implementation of MiCA in the EU (July 1, 2026) – The European Union's crypto regulatory framework comes into effect, changing the rules for all crypto entities.
Threat of “Q-Day” Quantum (March 8, 2028) – A potential long-term tipping point where quantum computers could break Bitcoin encryption.

Detailed Analysis

1. Federal Reserve Meeting

Summary: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on January 27 and 28, 2026. Markets are attentive to the decision on interest rates and future signals. According to current data from CME FedWatch, there is an 82.8% probability that rates will remain stable. This meeting is the first major macroeconomic event of the year and will set liquidity expectations for 2026.
What it means: Cryptocurrency prices are very sensitive to expectations regarding interest rates in the U.S. A dovish signal (suggesting future cuts) could boost risk assets like Bitcoin, while a hawkish stance (tighter) could pressure prices. Traders will be watching for any change in the Fed's outlook on inflation.
(XT.com)
stay tuned to these important events