Market Analysis 2026.02.25
The viewpoint from the video on February 22 has never changed—if BTC is going to push up again, then February 24 and 25 are the last times. All the tweets updated this week also follow the ideas mentioned in the video: insiders know the tricks, outsiders just watch the excitement, and retail investors only look at the arrows.
Last night BTC reached the blue range mentioned in yesterday's tweet and reversed. This morning it rose to a high of 66310, and it is currently in a correction. Today's market for BTC is very crucial, and the possible subsequent trends are shown in the following diagram:
Blue Route: The last wave of rebound that everyone has been waiting for has arrived as expected. If it goes quickly, this week will close the weekly line; if slowly, it is very likely that it will end the last wave of rebound by next week at the latest, after which BTC will continue to decline (as shown in the 2-day chart, BTC is still in a major downtrend).
Red Route: The rise from 62500 has no sustainability, it is merely a small-level rebound, and BTC is already in a downtrend. Pay attention to the 64700 line below; if the four-hour K entity breaks this line, it will increase the probability of the red route. A break below 62500 significantly increases the likelihood of this trend.
Last night I mentioned that the only question here is whether there will be another wave of rebound. On a broader level, it is undoubted that BTC is still in a downtrend. I see many brothers doubting this statement, even cursing and attacking me. I can actually understand it; it has dropped all the way down from 126000, and everyone hopes the decline has ended and a V-reversal has started, but in trading, one must respect objective facts and not indulge in fantasies.