🚨 ATTENTION | $BTC - Where?, when and why?
We share again the analysis and projection that we published a few weeks ago.
As always: this is not a crystal ball, it is a map of scenarios.
For this scenario to remain valid, the price should turn down in the 96,000 – 104,000 USD zone.
👉 Can it go up a little more in the short term?
Yes.
But if that extension stretches too much, this scenario is invalidated and the reading changes completely. At that point, talking about new immediate highs stops making sense and a deeper correction scenario is enabled.
Now, the context that many prefer to ignore 👇
🌍 The largest liquidity provider is not strong, it is sustained.
Record fiscal deficit, debt that is refinanced without pause, artificial consumption, and a monetary policy with no real margin. You know who we are talking about 😏
In this environment, liquidity is not used to grow, but to buy time ⏳
And forcing liquidity generates movement, not value.
Bitcoin, as a highly liquidity-sensitive asset, reacts first:
quick impulses, volatility, and optimism… while the structure begins to show fatigue ⚠️
Extending the rebound makes sense for institutions.
Removing the adjustment, does not.
When financial conditions tighten (and they always do), risk assets adjust.
And those most sensitive to liquidity feel it first.
Institutions understand this better than anyone.
They raise the price to sell in high zones, generate liquidity, and unload risk…
and then buy back strongly below, where the market offers value again.
If that process does not occur and the current rebound is artificially stretched, the risk does not disappear: it accumulates.
And when the adjustment comes, it is usually deeper than expected.
Regards
