Now we really get to what brought us here!! DAILY ANALYSIS: Stay tuned for daily alerts. Every day we will come with daily analysis looking ahead to the next 24 hours.
These are not investment recommendations, it is about staying alert to the movements, each person is responsible for how they use this information. #AnรกlisisDeMercado
$BTC forgive me for getting you short, but it's that they put "on their chest" yesterday and today the same story... ignore my 30x, that shouldn't happen ๐ซฃ it was only during the opening of London and it was quick. Alive then๐คจ
๐ญ $BTC smileโฆ and the market falls in love quickly
Green candles, renewed enthusiasm, and timelines full of โnow yesโ. Classic. As my grandmother used to say: when everyone feels readyโฆ the bill usually arrives.
๐ The complete picture (not the pretty cut) In daily, BTC remains below its key moving averages. That's not bearish, it's honest. What's happening now is a well-dressed bounce, not a trend change with signed papers.
In 4H, the market reached exactly the area where: โ The averages cross โ The volume concentrates โ The previous highs remind us of old wounds Here the price doesnโt runโฆ here it justifies.
โฑ The short-term deception In 1H everything looks orderly, almost educational. But many traps look like this: clean, logical, and convincing.
EMAs 10 / 55 / 100 / 200 (key what they do): EMA10 > EMA55 โ short-term bullish momentum. Butโฆ EMA100 and EMA200 4H are above, acting as a dynamic ceiling. ๐ This creates a classic squeeze: Longs enter late. Shorts wait for confirmation.
The liquidation map doesnโt lie, it just makes you uncomfortable: there are more people poorly positioned below than above. Between 87k and 86k there is liquidity waiting its turn. Above there is noise. Below there is incentive.
As long as the price doesnโt show real acceptance above: โ The rises are opportunities to distribute โ FOMO is the gasoline for others โ The low liquidity remains the most obvious target
News that captures FOMO is coming, and you need to be clear about what the targets are. Be careful not to get into something strange. Best regards.
I preferred not to lose rather than to gain a lot: While many investors obsess over big profits, Munger insisted that the secret was: "Avoid stupid mistakes" For him, not losing money and not doing silly things was more important than seeking spectacular returns.
Buffett used to buy cheap but mediocre companies. Munger convinced him to change the focus to: "Wonderful companies at reasonable prices" Without Munger, Berkshire Hathaway probably wouldn't be what it is today.
๐จ ATTENTION | $BTC - Where?, when and why? We share again the analysis and projection that we published a few weeks ago. As always: this is not a crystal ball, it is a map of scenarios. For this scenario to remain valid, the price should turn down in the 96,000 โ 104,000 USD zone. ๐ Can it go up a little more in the short term? Yes. But if that extension stretches too much, this scenario is invalidated and the reading changes completely. At that point, talking about new immediate highs stops making sense and a deeper correction scenario is enabled.
Now, the context that many prefer to ignore ๐ ๐ The largest liquidity provider is not strong, it is sustained. Record fiscal deficit, debt that is refinanced without pause, artificial consumption, and a monetary policy with no real margin. You know who we are talking about ๐ In this environment, liquidity is not used to grow, but to buy time โณ And forcing liquidity generates movement, not value. Bitcoin, as a highly liquidity-sensitive asset, reacts first: quick impulses, volatility, and optimismโฆ while the structure begins to show fatigue โ ๏ธ
Extending the rebound makes sense for institutions. Removing the adjustment, does not. When financial conditions tighten (and they always do), risk assets adjust. And those most sensitive to liquidity feel it first.
Institutions understand this better than anyone. They raise the price to sell in high zones, generate liquidity, and unload riskโฆ and then buy back strongly below, where the market offers value again. If that process does not occur and the current rebound is artificially stretched, the risk does not disappear: it accumulates. And when the adjustment comes, it is usually deeper than expected.
โ๏ธ๐ $BTC | HAS WAVE 5 ALREADY PASSEDโฆ OR HAS IT NOT STARTED YET? ๐ BTC Projection for 2026๐ โ ๏ธ Warning: The following analysis is technical and educational in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell.
So, do we have it clear or not yet? ๐งจ ๐ง Let's get down to business. Starting the year, I want to put two readings that coexist in the market today on the table.๐ Not to disqualify any, but to understand which one is being validated by the structure. ๐น THE COMMON POSITION There are those who argue that Wave 5 has already completed, and that the recent peak marked the end of the bullish cycle. This view is supported by: The previous rally The deceleration of momentum The appearance of volatility and corrections It is a valid reading if the market were breaking major structure. ๐น MY POSITION From a weekly analysis, what we are seeing does not fit with an end of cycle. When a Wave 5 ends, the market usually shows: Clear break of structural supports Impulsive drops, not corrective Invalidation of the primary trend ๐ Today, that is not happening. What we do see is: A complex correction, like a minor Wave 4 Momentum discharge without price collapse Respect for key support areas This suggests structural pause, not macro distribution. ๐น THE LEVEL THAT DEFINES EVERYTHING All this discussion boils down to a very clear point: ๐ 72k on the weekly chart โ If that level is lost ๐ the continuation scenario is invalidated. ๐ข As long as it is respected ๐ the long-term bullish structure remains in force. There is no need to debate opinions. The price takes care of validating or invalidating.
๐น EXPECTED TRAJECTORY (IF THIS SCENARIO IS CORRECT) If the correction ends in the 72kโ75k zone, the map projects: โข Progressive recovery of momentum โข Attack on previous highs โข Expansion towards extension zones 130k โ140k Not in a straight line, but in segments, with pauses and intermediate volatility.
So now tell me, do you have it clear or not yet? ๐ Regards. #BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
๐จ ATTENTION | $BTC ๐งจ To the moon? Is it a real movementโฆ or is the price testing patience? ๐โณ
โ ๏ธ Educational and speculative content. It is NOT financial advice. Manage your risk, your capital, and your emotions.
There is a very clear phrase for this moment in the market: "The higher the height, the stronger the blow."
And what does this have to do with it? ๐ค Watch here ๐ because this is key. Structurally, we are still in a correction of a larger downtrend. What we see is a bounce. Strong, orderlyโฆ but a bounce.
Understanding that is not being bearish, it's understanding the risk โ ๏ธ. Yes, the price can continue to rise ๐ and based on behavior, it's the most likely outcome. But rising without context is where many get it wrong.
๐ The S/D/4H charts, what do they say? โข Weekly: major pressure intact, pause and digestion. โข Daily: momentum cools down, does not collapse. It asks for time.โณ โข 4H: clean range, defended zones, base under construction.
Drops are fast and rejected โก Bounces are controlled ๐งฒ NY uses liquidity, does not break structure.
That is not distribution. That is preparation ๐ฅ.
๐งฒ Liquidity... The blessed Liquidity... Above is the real incentive: 96k โ 97k Natural extension: 99k โ 100k+ Below, 93.8k, has already been worked.
๐ Monday โ the most likely Asia compresses โณ London is uncomfortable ๐ NY decides ๐งจ
๐งน Quick sweep to the 93.8k zone โ immediate rejection โ reversal โ attack on 96k โ 97k ๐
If there is a drop, it is not weakness. It is cleaning. The risk is not that it rises. The risk is forgetting that it is still a bounce, until the structure and the price say otherwise.
Here, we do not guess ๐ฎโ we read behavior ๐ง ๐
$BTC gentlemen, it's simple. the last week there wasn't much to discuss, but it's getting interesting... current price $BTC / $USDT 95,300 Before we analyze the market and leave the landscape ready for next week, I would like to know the feeling you have about the price FOR UP or FOR DOWN. What does the public say? #BTC #StrategyBTCPurchase
Mortero10
ยท
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๐จ ATTENTION | $BTC ๐งจ Down or up? ๐๐คท
โ ๏ธ Warning (read without drama): Educational and speculative content. NOT financial advice. Manage your risk, your capital, and your emotions. Here we don't predictโฆ we read the market. ๐ง ๐
๐ฅ BTC is at an uncomfortable point And when the market is uncomfortableโฆ that's when the most money moves.
๐ Current Reading
๐งญ Daily โข Bullish structure remains alive โข Rejection after expansion = pause, not weakness โข SQZMOM green but flat โ momentum is breathing, not dead
๐งญ 4H โข Clean correction at EMA 55 โข Support defended with intent โข Bearish momentum exhausting โข A Higher Low is being printed
๐ This is not a dump. ๐ This is preparation.
๐ข MAIN SCENARIO ๐ค๐ป Continued bullish move ๐ Still alive, because this is where regular traders like you and me can get wrong.
Conditions (no excuses): โข SQZMOM remains green โข Price respects 90kโ91k โข No daily close below EMA 55
What to expect: โข Uncomfortable consolidation (1โ3 days) โข Market boring impatient traders โข Thenโฆ expansion toward 94k โ 96k (zone where FOMO becomes expensive)
๐ This scenario is not confirmed by giant candles, it is confirmed by patience and emotional control.
๐ฏ Key Levels โข Up: 94kโ96k โ liquidity waiting to be swept โข Down: 90kโ89.5k โ last line of defense
๐ชค The real danger It's not the market... It's the trader who mistakes pause for signal and enters late, large, and emotional.
๐ด Alert ONLY if: โข the last HL is broken โข daily close below EMA 55 โข SQZMOM accelerates into red
The market is simple. Complex is staying calm. Do we have it clear?๐ง or still not? ๐ฅฒ
โ ๏ธ Warning (read without drama): Educational and speculative content. NOT financial advice. Manage your risk, your capital, and your emotions. Here we don't predictโฆ we read the market. ๐ง ๐
๐ฅ BTC is at an uncomfortable point And when the market is uncomfortableโฆ that's when the most money moves.
๐ Current Reading
๐งญ Daily โข Bullish structure remains alive โข Rejection after expansion = pause, not weakness โข SQZMOM green but flat โ momentum is breathing, not dead
๐งญ 4H โข Clean correction at EMA 55 โข Support defended with intent โข Bearish momentum exhausting โข A Higher Low is being printed
๐ This is not a dump. ๐ This is preparation.
๐ข MAIN SCENARIO ๐ค๐ป Continued bullish move ๐ Still alive, because this is where regular traders like you and me can get wrong.
Conditions (no excuses): โข SQZMOM remains green โข Price respects 90kโ91k โข No daily close below EMA 55
What to expect: โข Uncomfortable consolidation (1โ3 days) โข Market boring impatient traders โข Thenโฆ expansion toward 94k โ 96k (zone where FOMO becomes expensive)
๐ This scenario is not confirmed by giant candles, it is confirmed by patience and emotional control.
๐ฏ Key Levels โข Up: 94kโ96k โ liquidity waiting to be swept โข Down: 90kโ89.5k โ last line of defense
๐ชค The real danger It's not the market... It's the trader who mistakes pause for signal and enters late, large, and emotional.
๐ด Alert ONLY if: โข the last HL is broken โข daily close below EMA 55 โข SQZMOM accelerates into red
The market is simple. Complex is staying calm. Do we have it clear?๐ง or still not? ๐ฅฒ
Attention๐ฅ๐ $BTC Let's simulate the opening of NY with the current scenario
NY is the session that confirms or invalidates what Asia and London prepare. โข If NY opens above 93k it means that the drop was absorption, not distribution. โ Likely technical rebound โ The market may attempt 94โ95k as a continuation test. โข If NY opens below 92.4k It indicates that London managed to extend the correction. โ Possible sweep to 91.5k โ Typical entry zone for large buyers, not panic.
This is pure speculation, do not buy on sentimental impulse.
โ ๏ธ Warning (read without crying): This is educational and speculative content. It is NOT advice for buying or selling. Manage your risk, your capital, and your emotions. Here we analyze, we do not guess. ๐ง ๐
Bullish breakout with live structure ๐ Visible liquidity above (95kโ96k) ๐ฏ โ ideal zone to catch FOMO
๐ชค Possible trap: Final push towards highs to liquidate shorts + attract late longs, followed by a quick rejection.
๐ข Momentum still active โ the trap is NOT confirmed โ ๏ธ It is only confirmed with: โข strong rejection candle โข loss of the last HL โข aggressive selling volume
Here is where the boys are separated from the men. ๐ฉธ๐ง
โ๏ธ๐ $BTC | HAS WAVE 5 ALREADY PASSEDโฆ OR HAS IT NOT STARTED YET? ๐ BTC Projection for 2026๐ โ ๏ธ Warning: The following analysis is technical and educational in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell.
So, do we have it clear or not yet? ๐งจ ๐ง Let's get down to business. Starting the year, I want to put two readings that coexist in the market today on the table.๐ Not to disqualify any, but to understand which one is being validated by the structure. ๐น THE COMMON POSITION There are those who argue that Wave 5 has already completed, and that the recent peak marked the end of the bullish cycle. This view is supported by: The previous rally The deceleration of momentum The appearance of volatility and corrections It is a valid reading if the market were breaking major structure. ๐น MY POSITION From a weekly analysis, what we are seeing does not fit with an end of cycle. When a Wave 5 ends, the market usually shows: Clear break of structural supports Impulsive drops, not corrective Invalidation of the primary trend ๐ Today, that is not happening. What we do see is: A complex correction, like a minor Wave 4 Momentum discharge without price collapse Respect for key support areas This suggests structural pause, not macro distribution. ๐น THE LEVEL THAT DEFINES EVERYTHING All this discussion boils down to a very clear point: ๐ 72k on the weekly chart โ If that level is lost ๐ the continuation scenario is invalidated. ๐ข As long as it is respected ๐ the long-term bullish structure remains in force. There is no need to debate opinions. The price takes care of validating or invalidating.
๐น EXPECTED TRAJECTORY (IF THIS SCENARIO IS CORRECT) If the correction ends in the 72kโ75k zone, the map projects: โข Progressive recovery of momentum โข Attack on previous highs โข Expansion towards extension zones 130k โ140k Not in a straight line, but in segments, with pauses and intermediate volatility.
So now tell me, do you have it clear or not yet? ๐ Regards. #BTC
๐ฅ๐ฅ ATTENTION ๐ | ๐ง DAILY ANALYSIS ๐ฅ First of all ๐คจ๐ค๐ผ โ ๏ธ Warning: Educational content. Not buying or selling advice. Manage your risk and capital. ! You can do it! ๐๐ BTC remains around 88,000 USDT and the technical reading along with derivatives points to a bearish cleanup before any real recovery. On the daily, the price remains below the EMA 55, with EMA 10 aligned downwards and SQZMOM negative without squeeze, confirming that the dominant momentum continues to be corrective and that the rebound lacks structural strength ๐. On the 4H, the structure of lower highs since 92k remains intact and the rebound from 86k failed to change the bias. The SQZMOM shows weak green momentum, typical of a technical pause. In smaller time frames, BTC is compressed between 87.8k and 88.8k, with the EMA 55 as active resistance and muted momentum, signaling aggressive movement ahead โ ๏ธ. The derivatives support this reading. In the 12h and 24h heatmaps, the highest liquidity is concentrated below the price, with longs exposed between 87.2k and 85.5k ๐ฃ. The open interest remains high but falling, indicating deleveraging and cleaning before the next leg. ๐ง The market is not seeking a trend; it seeks balance. โณ First, clean, then decide. ๐ช A warned soldier does not die.
$ETH is dangerous, not pretty โ ๏ธ โ ๏ธ Warning: The following content is for informational purposes only and is used at your own risk. It does not constitute buying or selling advice. Manage your own risk and capital, and conduct your own analysis. ๐๐คจ๐ซต That saidโฆ Do we have it clear or not yet? Watch out ๐ then! ๐๐ค๐ผ When the market gets like thisโฆ someone pays. ๐คง Today I come direct, without sugar and with edge.โ๐ฅ ๐ Daily chart โ CONTEXT ๐ Below EMA 55 โ major trend NOT bullish ๐ EMA 10 attempting to turn, no crossover ๐งจ SQZMOM red losing strength โ compression ๐ฆ POC 2,950โ3,000 ๐ผ Empty above: 3,150โ3,200 ๐ฝ Empty below: 2,800โ2,750 ๐ Daily: does not stay sideways for long.
โฑ 4H chart โ TRAP ๐งฑ Dump has passed ๐ EMA 55 above ๐ SQZMOM weak green โ technical bounce ๐ They are setting up the play.
๐ 1H chart โ HUNTING ZONE ๐ฆ Range: Support 2,900โ2,920 Resistance 2,980โ3,020 ๐งต EMA 10 + 55 tangled = chop ๐ Entering without confirmation = free stop ๐
โก 15m chart โ COMPRESSION ๐ Higher lows / equal highs ๐ EMA 55 nearby = magnet ๐งจ SQZMOM mini green โ pre-impulse ๐ This explodes, no warning.
๐ฃ LIQUIDITY (12hโ24h) ๐ผ 3,000โ3,050 โ much 25xโ50x = short squeeze ๐ฝ 2,880โ2,850 โ long sweep ๐ฉธ ๐ Price between two pools. ๐ HIGH OI + RANGE ๐ฃ Classic liquidation formula.
๐ฏ SCENARIOS: ๐ข LONG โ 1H close > 3,020 ๐ฏ 3,080 / 3,150 / 3,200
๐ด SHORT โ Loss 2,920 ๐ฏ 2,880 / 2,850 / 2,780
๐ง โ ๏ธ conclusion: โ No emotional spotting โ Yes breakouts / scalps โ ๏ธ The big movement has not yet happened ๐ Those who jump the gunโฆ is liquidity
โ ๏ธA warned soldier does not die in battle. โ ๏ธ
$BTC This is not to instill fear, but one must keep a close eye on the market to manage capital properly. I'm talking about spot Ojoo๐
๐คทWhoever wants to go leave the bill in futures, that's fine. They are grown-ups and know what they're doing.
๐คฉBut those who are just starting out, don't come to the squad looking for signals.โ Nor should you buy just because the influencer said it would go up. Worse yet, paying for a VIP for signals๐คจ
๐๐งฎ๐Do your own analysis, share your ideas, and invest your money in learning, Go, get into the water, and try not to drown. Surely you will fail; there, my dear and esteemed reader, there is your learning!
โStop following the guru, and stop blaming someone else for your losses.
๐Take responsibility for your decisions and consequences (this is taking control of things), Get discipline and every time you fall, remember what you did wrong.
๐ojoooo I'm not saying everything is going to hell tomorrow.๐คฃ. Stay alert!๐
๐ค Ahhh and if the perspectives we see daily are of any use to you, leave your comment๐คง
๐ฅ๐ฅ ATTENTION ๐ | ๐งDAILY ANALYSIS ๐ฅ $BTC hits the impatience.โ Before anything else ๐คจ๐ค๐ผ โ ๏ธ Warning: The following content is for exclusive use at your own risk. It is not advice to buy or sell any asset. Manage your own risk and capital, and build your own analysis.๐๐งฎ๐๐
That saidโฆ Do we have it clear or not yet? Watch out ๐ then!๐๐ค๐ผ
๐ง GENERAL CONTEXT ๐
BTC has already broken structure downwards. We are not in a healthy correction, we are in a markdown phase.
๐ The price continues to seek liquidity below. ๐งฒ Strong liquidity at: 85,000 โ 84,400 โฌ๏ธNext pool: 83,900 โ 83,000
Above โ there is little incentive. Below ๐ there is still work to be done.
๐งญ PROBABLE SCENARIOS FOR BTC ๐ง Technical scenarios, not predictions.
๐ด SCENARIO A โ BEARISH CONTINUATION (most likely) ๐Conditions: ๐ Clear loss of 85,000 ๐ Acceptance below (candles with body, no wicks) Objectives: ๐ฏ 84,400 ๐ฏ 83,900 ๐ฏ Extreme: 83,000 ๐งจThis is where a real reaction can appear.
๐ก SCENARIO B โ TECHNICAL REACTION (bounce, NO reversal) ๐Conditions: ๐ Quick sweep 84kโ85k ๐ Immediate rejection (wick + close above) Bounce objective: โก๏ธ 86,800 โ 87,500 Maximum relief: 88,500 โ ๏ธ As long as it does not break 88,500, any bounce is a pullback.
๐ข SCENARIO C โ CHANGE OF BIAS (less likely now) ๐Clear conditions: ๐ Recover 88,500 ๐ 4H close above ๐ Break last lower high Only then can we speak of: โก๏ธ 90k โ 92k ๐ฃ๏ธToday is NOT the active scenario.โ๐ โโ๏ธ
๐ฏ KEY SUMMARY BTC is in markdown Smart Money has already broken structure Liquidity continues to be below Bounces = distribution
๐ก The key right now is: ๐ The price reaction between 84k and 85k There it is defined: Technical bounce ๐ก Or bearish continuation ๐ด Stay alert!๐
โ ๏ธ Warning: Informational content. Not financial advice. Manage risk and capital.
๐ฟ Quick context๐ฅ
BTC is in a bearish intraday sweep phase, with clear liquidity waiting at 88,000 โ 87,800. As long as that movement is not completed, ETH will not take off.
๐ BTC sets the pace, ETH follows.
๐ Direct impact on ETH
As long as BTC continues to seek liquidity below: โก๏ธ ETH remains pressured โก๏ธ Likely test at 3,050 โ 3,030 โก๏ธ The psychological 3,000 is still in play (stops)
This does not invalidate the bullish scenario for ETH, it only delays the rebound.
๐ Conditional scenarios
๐ข If BTC sweeps 88k and reacts: โก๏ธ ETH defends 3,000 โก๏ธ Final sweep โก๏ธ Expansion towards 3,120 โ 3,155
๐ด If BTC accepts below 87,800: โก๏ธ ETH loses 3,000 โก๏ธ Extends to 2,950 โ 2,900
๐ก If BTC lateralizes: โก๏ธ ETH stays in the range of 3,000 โ 3,100
๐งญ Conclusion
ETH does not move alone now. ๐ BTC clears โ ETH takes off ๐ BTC pressures โ ETH waits
๐๐ฅ Attention | Daily Analysis ๐ฃ๏ธ $ETH โ ๏ธ Warning: The following content is for informational purposes only and is used at your own risk. It does not constitute buying or selling advice. Manage your own risk and capital, and conduct your own analysis.๐๐คจ๐ซต
๐That saidโฆ letโs get straight to the point!
๐ง Current Overview ๐
ETH comes from a healthy correction after the rejection at 3,400+ ๐ There is no structural break: in 4H the price remains within the bullish channel and is supported in the 0.618โ0.65 Fibonacci zone ๐งฉ
The 3,000โ3,100 zone is the battleground โ๏ธ As long as it holds, the bias remains stabilization with a chance of a bounce.
The liquidation map (12h) makes something clear ๐ ๐ฅ Strong liquidity above, especially at 3,120โ3,155 ๐งฒ Below, stops are concentrated at 3,070โ3,030 and the psychological 3,000
๐ The closest and most attractive liquidity is above โฌ๏ธ
In lower timeframes, the price is compressed, with absorption wicks and no bearish continuation ๐ชค This smells more like liquidity hunting than final distribution.
๐ Macro Confluence โ๏ธ BTC stable โ๏ธ ETH in the 0.618โ0.65 Fibo zone โ๏ธ Liquidity concentrated above (3,120โ3,155) โ๏ธ DXY without bullish momentum
๐ Everything aligned: the preferred scenario remains sweeping and bullish expansion.
๐ฏ Conclusion ETH is not weak; it is on pause. As long as there is no clear acceptance below 3,000, the bias remains towards 3,120โ3,200 ๐ ๐ Trade reaction, not anticipation. ๐ The stop loss is not optional.
The price doesnโt warn. Liquidity does. ๐๐ฅ
Do you have it clear nowโฆ or is the market still leading you around? ๐ Over and out ๐ซก๐งจ #ETH #Binance #crypto