ETH 1.28 Market Simulation: 3000 Points Gamble and Macroeconomic Choices】

1. Current Situation: ETH has broken through 3000 and is oscillating at a high level, with on-chain whales appearing defensively to reduce their positions. The market is holding its breath waiting for tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Powell's speech.

2. Key Defensive Level: 2950 USDT

• Simulation: As long as the data does not break below 2950 before and after the release, the oscillating upward bullish structure remains solid.

• Risk: If it breaks this level with volume, it may retrace to 2500 - 2100 to find support.

3. Key Breakout Point: 3200 USDT

• Simulation: As long as the daily closing price remains steady around 3200, the breakout will be confirmed.

• Target: In the short term, looking at 3600, and in the medium term aiming for the 4100 level.

4. Summary: Consolidation is to build momentum, and tonight is a key node for directional choice. In terms of operation, hold the support and go with the trend.