#BTC走势分析

【The market's sharp decline is not frightening; what is frightening is the lack of position control and the chaotic rhythm】

Affected by the simultaneous pullback of US stocks and gold last night, risk assets have overall experienced a significant pullback, leading to a synchronous decline in the cryptocurrency market, requiring adjustments to the short-term operational rhythm.

From the current structure, there are two possible paths:
1️⃣ If a strong rebound occurs at the current position, the rebound space can be viewed somewhat higher;
2️⃣ If the rebound momentum is insufficient, one needs to be cautious as there is still the possibility of further downward movement.

From a strategic perspective:
For positions with a relatively high initial entry cost, one can use the rebound process to perform T operations, gradually reducing the holding cost.

It is particularly important to note:
If the trend follows the blue segment's projection, when the price rebounds to around 86000 USD, the risk needs to be reassessed. Specific operations will be judged based on the small-scale structure at that time, and related ideas will be continuously updated in subsequent posts.

In terms of position management:
Despite the market experiencing a rapid pullback, overall position control remains relatively restrained, maintained at around 40-50%.
Just recently added about 20% at ETH 2742, currently controlling overall positions at 60-70%, and future adjustments will still be based on structural confirmations.

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