🚨 THE SYSTEM IS BREAKING DOWN
Gold: FALLING
Silver: FALLING
S&P 500: FALLING
Bitcoin: FALLING
And things could seriously worsen before they improve...
We are witnessing live the explosion of the 'everything' bubble.
The S&P 500 is trading at the highest valuation multiples in history.
👉 Higher than in 1929 and 2000.
A return to the mean under these conditions is terrifying but logical.
But the real story is the metals.
👉 Gold and silver are not falling because they have no value.
👉 They are falling because the system is starving for liquidity.
In a real margin call event, funds do not sell what they want to sell.
👉 They sell what they can sell.
Gold and silver are:
liquid
profitable for many players
👉 They thus become the first piggy bank we break when margin calls come in.
THIS IS A LIQUIDITY CRISIS.
History shows us that during a deflationary crash (like in 2008 or March 2020),
👉 metals are first dragged down with stocks.
📌 The real bottom signal is when:
the selling of metals stops,
but stocks continue to fall.
👉 That’s when the bottom forms.
Until then:
cash is king,
deleveraging will be BRUTAL.
As I have always said, ~7 000 points is probably the peak of the S&P 500,
and I anticipate a drop of 10 to 15% from here, or even more.