El gerviño
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The reason I stated that Bitcoin could reach the zone of 59,000 $ before a rebound is primarily based on the analysis of USDT dominance.
USDT Dominance is an extremely powerful indicator, still too underestimated, but essential in any serious technical analysis. It allows for reading liquidity flows and anticipating phases of stress or breathing in the crypto market.
According to what this indicator currently shows me, in the absence of a major macroeconomic or geopolitical event, the next few days could offer a slight respite, with a temporary return of green in the crypto market.
In this scenario, Bitcoin could rise towards the zone of $81,000, before considering a new phase of correction.
This does not mean a market reversal, but rather a technical rebound in a still fragile structure.
Therefore, reading liquidity remains crucial: the market never lies, only the emotions of the participants change.
USDT Dominance is an extremely powerful indicator, still too underestimated, but essential in any serious technical analysis. It allows for reading liquidity flows and anticipating phases of stress or breathing in the crypto market.
According to what this indicator currently shows me, in the absence of a major macroeconomic or geopolitical event, the next few days could offer a slight respite, with a temporary return of green in the crypto market.
In this scenario, Bitcoin could rise towards the zone of $81,000, before considering a new phase of correction.
This does not mean a market reversal, but rather a technical rebound in a still fragile structure.
Therefore, reading liquidity remains crucial: the market never lies, only the emotions of the participants change.
🔻 Short Setup (intraday)
📉 Entry Condition:
Clear rejection of price towards $4,910 – $4,930
RSI < 50
Confirmation on M5/M15
📍 Stop Loss (SL)
➡️ Above $4,950 (above the nearby resistance zone)
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
TP1: $4,600 (intermediate support)
TP2: $4,500 – $4,450 (strong support zone)
TP3: $4,300 (major support)
👉 Optimal RR if the price rebounds at the current resistance.
📉 Entry Condition:
Clear rejection of price towards $4,910 – $4,930
RSI < 50
Confirmation on M5/M15
📍 Stop Loss (SL)
➡️ Above $4,950 (above the nearby resistance zone)
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
TP1: $4,600 (intermediate support)
TP2: $4,500 – $4,450 (strong support zone)
TP3: $4,300 (major support)
👉 Optimal RR if the price rebounds at the current resistance.
Bitcoin ' crucial zone
This should NOT be happening.
Bond yields are becoming totally uncontrollable.
We are witnessing a synchronized and global explosion of rates:
United States 30 years: close to 4.9%
Australia 5 years: up more than 2%
Japan 10 years: bullish breakout
👉 This never happens in a stable economy.
In finance, we analyze correlations.
Generally, idiosyncratic risks remain local.
But that is not at all what is happening today.
Why are we observing extreme statistical events across all major sovereign bond markets at the same time?
👉 Because it concerns the very mechanics of the system.
Long rates say something fundamental:
👉 the credibility of states,
that is to say, their ability to honor their future debts without massively resorting to inflation.
Such a coordinated adjustment means one clear thing:
👉 the market no longer adheres to the dominant macroeconomic thesis.
This signals internal tensions in the collateral system.
📢 The bond market is telling you, very explicitly, that something major is about to happen.
Bond yields are becoming totally uncontrollable.
We are witnessing a synchronized and global explosion of rates:
United States 30 years: close to 4.9%
Australia 5 years: up more than 2%
Japan 10 years: bullish breakout
👉 This never happens in a stable economy.
In finance, we analyze correlations.
Generally, idiosyncratic risks remain local.
But that is not at all what is happening today.
Why are we observing extreme statistical events across all major sovereign bond markets at the same time?
👉 Because it concerns the very mechanics of the system.
Long rates say something fundamental:
👉 the credibility of states,
that is to say, their ability to honor their future debts without massively resorting to inflation.
Such a coordinated adjustment means one clear thing:
👉 the market no longer adheres to the dominant macroeconomic thesis.
This signals internal tensions in the collateral system.
📢 The bond market is telling you, very explicitly, that something major is about to happen.
Analysis of #GOLD for the next business 🤫
if you like this kind of post feel free to write "MORE" so I can start sending more and more of this kind of post
this is not investment advice always DYOR yourself
if you like this kind of post feel free to write "MORE" so I can start sending more and more of this kind of post
this is not investment advice always DYOR yourself
Bitcoin is in a good zone for DCA for a target price of 84k always set the stop loss
🚨 THE SYSTEM IS BREAKING DOWN
Gold: FALLING
Silver: FALLING
S&P 500: FALLING
Bitcoin: FALLING
And things could seriously worsen before they improve...
We are witnessing live the explosion of the 'everything' bubble.
The S&P 500 is trading at the highest valuation multiples in history.
👉 Higher than in 1929 and 2000.
A return to the mean under these conditions is terrifying but logical.
But the real story is the metals.
👉 Gold and silver are not falling because they have no value.
👉 They are falling because the system is starving for liquidity.
In a real margin call event, funds do not sell what they want to sell.
👉 They sell what they can sell.
Gold and silver are:
liquid
profitable for many players
👉 They thus become the first piggy bank we break when margin calls come in.
THIS IS A LIQUIDITY CRISIS.
History shows us that during a deflationary crash (like in 2008 or March 2020),
👉 metals are first dragged down with stocks.
📌 The real bottom signal is when:
the selling of metals stops,
but stocks continue to fall.
👉 That’s when the bottom forms.
Until then:
cash is king,
deleveraging will be BRUTAL.
As I have always said, ~7 000 points is probably the peak of the S&P 500,
and I anticipate a drop of 10 to 15% from here, or even more.
Gold: FALLING
Silver: FALLING
S&P 500: FALLING
Bitcoin: FALLING
And things could seriously worsen before they improve...
We are witnessing live the explosion of the 'everything' bubble.
The S&P 500 is trading at the highest valuation multiples in history.
👉 Higher than in 1929 and 2000.
A return to the mean under these conditions is terrifying but logical.
But the real story is the metals.
👉 Gold and silver are not falling because they have no value.
👉 They are falling because the system is starving for liquidity.
In a real margin call event, funds do not sell what they want to sell.
👉 They sell what they can sell.
Gold and silver are:
liquid
profitable for many players
👉 They thus become the first piggy bank we break when margin calls come in.
THIS IS A LIQUIDITY CRISIS.
History shows us that during a deflationary crash (like in 2008 or March 2020),
👉 metals are first dragged down with stocks.
📌 The real bottom signal is when:
the selling of metals stops,
but stocks continue to fall.
👉 That’s when the bottom forms.
Until then:
cash is king,
deleveraging will be BRUTAL.
As I have always said, ~7 000 points is probably the peak of the S&P 500,
and I anticipate a drop of 10 to 15% from here, or even more.
BTC/USD – Weekly Update (1W)
We are currently positioned on the 100 EMA on a weekly basis, exactly at the same level that capped the price in 2022, just before a massive dump.
👉 If the pattern repeats and the price fails to move above the 100 EMA, then the preferred scenario remains:
→ continuation of the decline on Bitcoin.
The structure remains fragile, selling pressure dominates, and the risk is clearly oriented downwards.
📉 We are going lower.
We are currently positioned on the 100 EMA on a weekly basis, exactly at the same level that capped the price in 2022, just before a massive dump.
👉 If the pattern repeats and the price fails to move above the 100 EMA, then the preferred scenario remains:
→ continuation of the decline on Bitcoin.
The structure remains fragile, selling pressure dominates, and the risk is clearly oriented downwards.
📉 We are going lower.
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