0x桐灿
2019年入圈，现货整仓盈利70X. 记录自我，分享交易。推特：@0xtongcan 最高返佣30%邀请码：148469536，进群联系助理TG：tongcanzhuli
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It wasn't until the end of 2025 that I first vaguely felt I had 'achieved enlightenment.'
It wasn't until the end of 2025 that I first vaguely felt I had 'achieved enlightenment.'
In this post, I mainly want to share the transformation in my 'state of mind.' More concretely, it's about how my approach to 【trading psychology】 and managing the negative aspects of human nature has undergone a complete transformation.
Like every dedicated trader, what continued to torment and trouble me throughout the early, middle, and even late stages wasn't improving my technical skills, but repeatedly losing to my own emotions—losing to the 【arrogance, greed, impatience, and anxiety】 inherent in human nature.
In this post, I mainly want to share the transformation in my 'state of mind.' More concretely, it's about how my approach to 【trading psychology】 and managing the negative aspects of human nature has undergone a complete transformation.
Like every dedicated trader, what continued to torment and trouble me throughout the early, middle, and even late stages wasn't improving my technical skills, but repeatedly losing to my own emotions—losing to the 【arrogance, greed, impatience, and anxiety】 inherent in human nature.
See original
Short position has been entered. $BTC $ETH
6 hours ago, the previous content about a pullback was simultaneously posted in the small group and on Twitter. Only my short position and subsequent entries were omitted.
I try my best to document my trades and thoughts on Twitter, but certain details about trading operations are content I believe should be reserved for members of the small group.
Not to attract people into the group—everyone is free to join or not—just for record-keeping.
Starting this year, the group size will be controlled, and my main focus will be on my own live trading.
—For reference, above.
6 hours ago, the previous content about a pullback was simultaneously posted in the small group and on Twitter. Only my short position and subsequent entries were omitted.
I try my best to document my trades and thoughts on Twitter, but certain details about trading operations are content I believe should be reserved for members of the small group.
Not to attract people into the group—everyone is free to join or not—just for record-keeping.
Starting this year, the group size will be controlled, and my main focus will be on my own live trading.
—For reference, above.
Let's discuss the current market situation:
From the 3-day line to weekly level, the rebound's amplitude and duration of $BTC $ETH $SOL should not have finished yet.
However, this morning, some strong mainstream altcoins showed clear daily-level divergence. Also, you can check the mainstream altcoins; after BES reached a new high these two days, many altcoins failed to reach new highs, only achieving second-highest points. The overall performance has been weak, diverging significantly from BES's trend.
From my personal perspective, BES has risen too quickly these past two days, with the candlestick pattern being too steep. If it had climbed gradually in small, steady steps, the trend would have been healthier.
Therefore, my intuitive feeling is that there might be another 4-hour to daily-level downward correction structure. This is why I reduced my long positions early this morning.
————For reference only.
From the 3-day line to weekly level, the rebound's amplitude and duration of $BTC $ETH $SOL should not have finished yet.
However, this morning, some strong mainstream altcoins showed clear daily-level divergence. Also, you can check the mainstream altcoins; after BES reached a new high these two days, many altcoins failed to reach new highs, only achieving second-highest points. The overall performance has been weak, diverging significantly from BES's trend.
From my personal perspective, BES has risen too quickly these past two days, with the candlestick pattern being too steep. If it had climbed gradually in small, steady steps, the trend would have been healthier.
Therefore, my intuitive feeling is that there might be another 4-hour to daily-level downward correction structure. This is why I reduced my long positions early this morning.
————For reference only.
See original
Let's discuss the current market situation:
From the 3-day line to weekly level, the rebound's amplitude and duration of $BTC $ETH $SOL should not have finished yet.
However, this morning, some strong mainstream altcoins showed clear daily-level divergence. Also, you can check the mainstream altcoins; after BES reached a new high these two days, many altcoins failed to reach new highs, only achieving second-highest points. The overall performance has been weak, diverging significantly from BES's trend.
From my personal perspective, BES has risen too quickly these past two days, with the candlestick pattern being too steep. If it had climbed gradually in small, steady steps, the trend would have been healthier.
Therefore, my intuitive feeling is that there might be another 4-hour to daily-level downward correction structure. This is why I reduced my long positions early this morning.
————For reference only.
From the 3-day line to weekly level, the rebound's amplitude and duration of $BTC $ETH $SOL should not have finished yet.
However, this morning, some strong mainstream altcoins showed clear daily-level divergence. Also, you can check the mainstream altcoins; after BES reached a new high these two days, many altcoins failed to reach new highs, only achieving second-highest points. The overall performance has been weak, diverging significantly from BES's trend.
From my personal perspective, BES has risen too quickly these past two days, with the candlestick pattern being too steep. If it had climbed gradually in small, steady steps, the trend would have been healthier.
Therefore, my intuitive feeling is that there might be another 4-hour to daily-level downward correction structure. This is why I reduced my long positions early this morning.
————For reference only.
#TOTAL Multiple orders have been reduced, with the base position retained and the protection level pushed upward.
For reference.
For reference.
See original
#TOTAL Multiple orders have been reduced, with the base position retained and the protection level pushed upward.
For reference.
For reference.
Entered too much.
Once the breakout of the major and minor levels is completed here, it is most likely to see a short bullish trend rebound lasting 10 to 15 days. $BTC #OTHERS
For reference.
Once the breakout of the major and minor levels is completed here, it is most likely to see a short bullish trend rebound lasting 10 to 15 days. $BTC #OTHERS
For reference.
See original
The long positions entered on Monday are still being held. Today, both $BTC and $SOL successfully broke through.
The video is a partial live recording from last Monday night in a small group chat, explaining my perspective on the K-line chart movements here.
At that time, I clearly stated that no matter how the K-lines form patterns on the lower timeframes afterward, as long as they don't reach my stop-loss level, I won't exit.
The more chaotic the patterns appear, the more thorough the consolidation seems to me. The stronger and more likely the subsequent upward breakout will be.
—For reference.
The video is a partial live recording from last Monday night in a small group chat, explaining my perspective on the K-line chart movements here.
At that time, I clearly stated that no matter how the K-lines form patterns on the lower timeframes afterward, as long as they don't reach my stop-loss level, I won't exit.
The more chaotic the patterns appear, the more thorough the consolidation seems to me. The stronger and more likely the subsequent upward breakout will be.
—For reference.
See original
Entered too much.
Once the breakout of the major and minor levels is completed here, it is most likely to see a short bullish trend rebound lasting 10 to 15 days. $BTC #OTHERS
For reference.
Once the breakout of the major and minor levels is completed here, it is most likely to see a short bullish trend rebound lasting 10 to 15 days. $BTC #OTHERS
For reference.
$SOL is currently the strongest in BES, keep an eye on it.
See original
$SOL is currently the strongest in BES, keep an eye on it.
See original
The ultimate of individual traders is 【bare K】. Believe me.
I've studied more seriously than 95% of people, but before that, you must systematically learn and 【practice】 Dow Theory, price action, basic order flow, Wyckoff, understand harmonics, research your own indicator system, etc. These are definitely 【necessary and useful】.
（I personally don't know anything about Gann or Chan Theory, so I didn't mention them, which doesn't mean I don't value them.）
But no matter which school of trading, their ultimate goal is always 【bare K】.
What's that feeling like? It's like 【all paths lead to one】.
Although everyone comes from different schools, we ultimately reach the same destination. On the journey to the summit, we all eventually view 【bare K】 from our own 【perspective】.
All technical schools and indicator approaches are meant to help you sketch and identify "valleys and peaks" in the early and middle stages.
Later, if you ever manage to simplify complexity, you'll realize that it's clearly written right before your eyes: "valley or peak".
I've studied more seriously than 95% of people, but before that, you must systematically learn and 【practice】 Dow Theory, price action, basic order flow, Wyckoff, understand harmonics, research your own indicator system, etc. These are definitely 【necessary and useful】.
（I personally don't know anything about Gann or Chan Theory, so I didn't mention them, which doesn't mean I don't value them.）
But no matter which school of trading, their ultimate goal is always 【bare K】.
What's that feeling like? It's like 【all paths lead to one】.
Although everyone comes from different schools, we ultimately reach the same destination. On the journey to the summit, we all eventually view 【bare K】 from our own 【perspective】.
All technical schools and indicator approaches are meant to help you sketch and identify "valleys and peaks" in the early and middle stages.
Later, if you ever manage to simplify complexity, you'll realize that it's clearly written right before your eyes: "valley or peak".
See original
Empty full set $BTC $ETH $SOL , starting batch profit-taking.
For reference.
Long positions entered at the end of December and early January, both entry and exit were satisfactory. The switch to short positions at the beginning of January was also good. The road is long, keep going!
For reference.
Long positions entered at the end of December and early January, both entry and exit were satisfactory. The switch to short positions at the beginning of January was also good. The road is long, keep going!
#TOTAL has entered short position, for reference.
See original
$BTC 94000 The pressure level is about to be reached, and the remaining long positions are also ready to be closed for profit.
For reference.
For reference.
Before New Year's Day, it has been said that $BTC and mainstream counterfeit will start to rise. Currently, $BTC has broken through 91000, and the next resistance level is 94000.
If it wants to continue rising, it is best to stabilize near the first yellow line after a pullback, and then continue to rise.
I personally will take profits on half of my position here, and protect the remaining position with a profit push.
This position did not have many buyers before, so I do not recommend chasing it now. The weekend is about to pass, let's see the market situation on Monday and Tuesday.
——For reference.
If it wants to continue rising, it is best to stabilize near the first yellow line after a pullback, and then continue to rise.
I personally will take profits on half of my position here, and protect the remaining position with a profit push.
This position did not have many buyers before, so I do not recommend chasing it now. The weekend is about to pass, let's see the market situation on Monday and Tuesday.
——For reference.
See original
Before New Year's Day, it has been said that $BTC and mainstream counterfeit will start to rise. Currently, $BTC has broken through 91000, and the next resistance level is 94000.
If it wants to continue rising, it is best to stabilize near the first yellow line after a pullback, and then continue to rise.
I personally will take profits on half of my position here, and protect the remaining position with a profit push.
This position did not have many buyers before, so I do not recommend chasing it now. The weekend is about to pass, let's see the market situation on Monday and Tuesday.
——For reference.
If it wants to continue rising, it is best to stabilize near the first yellow line after a pullback, and then continue to rise.
I personally will take profits on half of my position here, and protect the remaining position with a profit push.
This position did not have many buyers before, so I do not recommend chasing it now. The weekend is about to pass, let's see the market situation on Monday and Tuesday.
——For reference.
See original
Last night, many mainstream counterfeit small levels broke through, and the 3-day moving average golden cross is also starting to form. The moving average of $BTC is also continuously converging, and the 3-day line is also turning.
Here we continue to watch with a positive outlook first.
Happy New Year.
Here we continue to watch with a positive outlook first.
Happy New Year.
Went long at low leverage $BTC , treating it as spot. This time I set the stop loss a bit wider.
My subjective view will be posted here first.
For reference.
My subjective view will be posted here first.
For reference.
See original
Went long at low leverage $BTC , treating it as spot. This time I set the stop loss a bit wider.
My subjective view will be posted here first.
For reference.
My subjective view will be posted here first.
For reference.
See original
I've cut my losses; this painting is truly disgusting.
Long position on $ETH for reference
See original
Long position on $ETH for reference
See original
$BTC In three days, the annual line will be collected, and a big fluctuation is coming.
Be patient and wait for the market change.
Be patient and wait for the market change.
See original
I would like to share my personal trading thoughts on these two images with everyone.
For me personally, $BTC does not present good trading opportunities in the current intermediate area of the 4-hour to 1-hour level. Last night in the small group live session, I also mentioned that it is not advisable to chase long positions at the smaller levels here. After the rebound to 90600 last night, it indeed came down again today, and those who can't control their hands will be repeatedly rubbed in this area.
This area can go up first and then down, or it can go straight up from here. If it comes down, just wait to go long in the blue area, and if it goes straight up, wait to short at the yellow line and red area. There are trading opportunities at both ends with higher win rates and risk-reward ratios, so it’s better to wait patiently.
The blue area is a bullish OB zone on the daily level, and if it breaks below the previous low of 80600 in this area, while also closing above the Fibonacci 1.272, which is above 76804, it will also form a 2B false breakdown structure.
In the first image, you can see that the first two Fibonacci levels I marked all exhibited standard 2B false breakdowns, which were actually liquidity sweeps. Meanwhile, once the false breakdown is completed, it will also form a larger level of divergence on the 3-day line.
In these two images, I did not display it, but you can switch to the 3-day line level to review the bottoms of the first two segments, where a 3-day line level divergence occurred.
In the case of these multiple resonances, making a rebound long after stabilizing in the blue area, regardless of strength, volatility, or risk-reward ratio, will be a better entry point for going long.
If it does not reach the blue area and directly exits a larger level rebound, there is no need to feel regret; just patiently wait for the reaction at the yellow line resistance and the red bearish OB zone, then build a short position on the right side. This is also a high win rate and high risk-reward ratio entry point for shorts.
In trading, there is a triangle of impossibility: high frequency, high win rate, high risk-reward ratio; it is impossible to have trading opportunities that possess all three points. Therefore, I personally choose to give up the first point and prefer, and am more skilled at, trading at the medium line level, relatively low frequency, high win rate, high risk-reward ratio.
———— The above is for reference.
For me personally, $BTC does not present good trading opportunities in the current intermediate area of the 4-hour to 1-hour level. Last night in the small group live session, I also mentioned that it is not advisable to chase long positions at the smaller levels here. After the rebound to 90600 last night, it indeed came down again today, and those who can't control their hands will be repeatedly rubbed in this area.
This area can go up first and then down, or it can go straight up from here. If it comes down, just wait to go long in the blue area, and if it goes straight up, wait to short at the yellow line and red area. There are trading opportunities at both ends with higher win rates and risk-reward ratios, so it’s better to wait patiently.
The blue area is a bullish OB zone on the daily level, and if it breaks below the previous low of 80600 in this area, while also closing above the Fibonacci 1.272, which is above 76804, it will also form a 2B false breakdown structure.
In the first image, you can see that the first two Fibonacci levels I marked all exhibited standard 2B false breakdowns, which were actually liquidity sweeps. Meanwhile, once the false breakdown is completed, it will also form a larger level of divergence on the 3-day line.
In these two images, I did not display it, but you can switch to the 3-day line level to review the bottoms of the first two segments, where a 3-day line level divergence occurred.
In the case of these multiple resonances, making a rebound long after stabilizing in the blue area, regardless of strength, volatility, or risk-reward ratio, will be a better entry point for going long.
If it does not reach the blue area and directly exits a larger level rebound, there is no need to feel regret; just patiently wait for the reaction at the yellow line resistance and the red bearish OB zone, then build a short position on the right side. This is also a high win rate and high risk-reward ratio entry point for shorts.
In trading, there is a triangle of impossibility: high frequency, high win rate, high risk-reward ratio; it is impossible to have trading opportunities that possess all three points. Therefore, I personally choose to give up the first point and prefer, and am more skilled at, trading at the medium line level, relatively low frequency, high win rate, high risk-reward ratio.
———— The above is for reference.
$BTC this range should not be acted upon, wait patiently.
See original
$BTC this range should not be acted upon, wait patiently.
See original
I originally wanted to write a long post to share my personal understanding of the "bear market" in detail, as well as my trading thoughts on how to approach the bear market.
But halfway through, I thought it would be better to directly share: on November 14th, I sent this long voice message in a small group.
I believe this voice message can help most retail investors, as it detailed my trading operations, thoughts, and the reasons behind them at that time.
On October 26th, I continuously posted on Twitter: the rebound at the end of October $BTC was just a daily level rebound, and a larger level decline would begin afterwards. I also continued to share my short trading records on Twitter.
On November 14th, I clearly reminded everyone in my post that $BTC "is entering a bear phase." In the following month, I occasionally engaged in short-term trades to buy the rebound, but mostly I was focusing on short positions at highs in line with the trend.
In mid-November, when $BTC had just fallen below 100,000, many people were trying to bottom-fish with large positions, or buying spot at the bottom. Many of my brothers in my small group repeatedly asked me: Can we bottom-fish and buy spot here?
I know everyone hates the term "bear market," and at the beginning of a bear market, most retail investors are reluctant to accept reality and resist vigorously. So I repeatedly emphasized in my small group not to try to bottom-fish anymore.
But at that time, many friends still didn’t understand, so I sent this long voice message to elaborate on my personal thoughts.
【Entering a bear market is not scary at all; on the contrary, you should feel excited. What’s scary is how you deal with the bear market】
But halfway through, I thought it would be better to directly share: on November 14th, I sent this long voice message in a small group.
I believe this voice message can help most retail investors, as it detailed my trading operations, thoughts, and the reasons behind them at that time.
On October 26th, I continuously posted on Twitter: the rebound at the end of October $BTC was just a daily level rebound, and a larger level decline would begin afterwards. I also continued to share my short trading records on Twitter.
On November 14th, I clearly reminded everyone in my post that $BTC "is entering a bear phase." In the following month, I occasionally engaged in short-term trades to buy the rebound, but mostly I was focusing on short positions at highs in line with the trend.
In mid-November, when $BTC had just fallen below 100,000, many people were trying to bottom-fish with large positions, or buying spot at the bottom. Many of my brothers in my small group repeatedly asked me: Can we bottom-fish and buy spot here?
I know everyone hates the term "bear market," and at the beginning of a bear market, most retail investors are reluctant to accept reality and resist vigorously. So I repeatedly emphasized in my small group not to try to bottom-fish anymore.
But at that time, many friends still didn’t understand, so I sent this long voice message to elaborate on my personal thoughts.
【Entering a bear market is not scary at all; on the contrary, you should feel excited. What’s scary is how you deal with the bear market】
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