Boy Lost In Thoughts

The December 2025 Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) for New Zealand surged to a four-year high of 56.1, significantly above its long-term average. BNZ economists find this "compelling" evidence of a genuine underlying improvement in the sector, driven by strong new orders, broad-based gains across all components, and supportive economic drivers like residential building and primary exports. This strong result suggests positive momentum for Q4 GDP and outperforms major international peers, though a persistent soft spot remains among the smallest manufacturing firms.
Major Bullet Points
📈 Record Performance: The PMI jumped to 56.1 in December, up from 51.7 in November. This is the best monthly result of 2025 and the strongest in four years.✅ Signs of a Real Trend: The improvement is seen as credible and not a one-off, supported by four key factors:A preceding buildup in promising new orders.Broad-based gains across production, employment, and new orders (which hit 59.8).Confirmation from other business surveys.Fundamental economic drivers like rising construction activity and strong primary sector exports.🌍 Global Outperformer: New Zealand's PMI (56.1) is outperforming the global average (50.4) and key comparators like Australia (51.6).📊 Positive Economic Signal: The strength suggests upside risk to GDP forecasts for Q4 2025 and good momentum heading into 2026, reinforcing the previous quarter's GDP growth.⚠️ Notable Soft Spot: Despite the overall strength, micro manufacturing firms (1-10 employees) remain a persistent area of weakness, with a sub-50 reading for a third consecutive year.
$XRP
$FRAX

Based on the Treasury International Capital (TIC) data for November 2025, here is a summary of the key financial flows and trends.
The November 2025 data shows a significant overall inflow of foreign capital into the United States, driven primarily by strong purchases of long-term securities.
🚀 Substantial Net Inflow: The total net inflow of foreign capital into U.S. assets was $212.0 billion for the month.🏛️ Sector Breakdown: This total was composed of $167.2 billion from private foreign investors and $44.9 billion from foreign official institutions (like central banks).📈 Strong Demand for Long-Term Securities: Foreign investors increased their holdings of long-term U.S. securities (like Treasury bonds and stocks) by a net $221.8 billion.Private investors accounted for $157.8 billion of these purchases.Official institutions purchased $64.0 billion.🇺🇸 Outbound U.S. Investment: In contrast, U.S. residents made only small net purchases of long-term foreign securities, totaling $1.6 billion.📉 Short-Term & Banking Flows: Holdings of short-term U.S. securities by foreign residents decreased by $6.5 billion, and banks' net dollar liabilities to foreigners fell by $1.7 billion.
⚠️ Important Context on Data Limitations
The report includes a crucial note about how the data is collected and its limitations:
The figures are primarily based on custodial data, which may not always reflect the true ultimate owner of a security (e.g., if held through a financial center in a third country).Therefore, it can be difficult to draw precise conclusions about changes in holdings for individual countries from this data alone.The TIC data also does not capture direct investment flows or all types of U.S. assets held abroad.
$ZEN
$FOGO

Mexico’s Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard has affirmed that the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) remains solid and that the three nations are on track to finalize a 16-year extension by the July 1 deadline. His statement comes days after former U.S. President Donald Trump dismissed the trade pact as “irrelevant” during a public appearance. The USMCA is vital to Mexico’s economy, but negotiations face political headwinds, with Trump potentially linking security issues to trade talks and maintaining aggressive tariffs on Mexican exports regardless of the treaty’s renewal.
Major Points Highlighted:
Confidence from Mexico: Economy Minister Ebrard asserts that the USMCA is “firmly intact” and that good progress is being made toward a 16-year extension ahead of the July 1 review deadline.Trump’s Skepticism: Former President Trump recently called the trade agreement “irrelevant,” casting renewed doubt on its future and signaling potential obstacles.High Stakes: The USMCA is described as a “backbone” of Mexico’s economy, having replaced NAFTA in 2020.Political Complications: Analysts warn that Trump may merge security concerns—like military action against cartels—with trade negotiations, politicizing the renewal process.Tariff Threats Persist: Even if extended, steep U.S. tariffs on Mexican steel, aluminum, and automobiles could undermine the pact’s benefits.Timeline Uncertainty: While July 1 is the official deadline, many expect talks to stretch into late 2026, possibly delayed until after the U.S. midterm elections.
$CHZ
$TRX

Sydney, January 15, 2026 – In a significant move for Australian retail traders, OANDA, a leading global provider of online multi-asset CFD trading services, has announced a major expansion of its investment instruments. The company has introduced Contracts for Difference (CFDs) on US and European listed company shares, dramatically widening the scope of accessible global markets for its Australian client base.
Major Highlights of the Announcement
1. Expansion into Global Equity Markets
OANDA Australia’s CFD offering now includes individual company shares from major global economies. Traders can speculate on the price movements of blue-chip giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla, and Amazon, alongside a broad selection of stocks from key European nations.
2. Broad Geographic Coverage
The new share CFDs provide exposure to companies listed in:
The United StatesKey European Markets: United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, Sweden, Portugal, the Netherlands, Finland, and Denmark.
This allows Australian traders to diversify their portfolios geographically and sectorally without needing direct access to foreign stock exchanges.
3. Completion of a Multi-Asset Ecosystem
This introduction rounds out OANDA’s multi-asset CFD offering. Australian retail traders now have a single platform to access a comprehensive range of asset classes as CFDs, including:
IndicesForeign Exchange (Forex)CommoditiesMetalsBondsNow: Global Individual Shares
4. Launch on the Advanced MT5 Platform
The new share CFD offering is tied to a larger platform update. It is being introduced via a new OANDA One sub-account, which grants eligible clients access to the latest version of the MetaTrader platform, MT5. This integration provides traders with advanced charting tools, analytical resources, and automated trading capabilities on a globally recognized platform.
5. Strategic Focus on Client Choice and Experience
In statements, OANDA Australia’s leadership underscored a client-centric rationale for the expansion:
Meeting Trader Demand: Rafal Slon, Managing Director of OANDA Australia, noted the "growing demand for CFDs" as tools to capitalize on price movements without owning the underlying assets.Enhancing Diversification: The move is explicitly designed to give clients "greater choice and valuable diversification opportunities."Commitment to User Experience: Slon emphasized the focus on delivering a "simple-to-use and high-quality trading experience" through OANDA’s highly rated platforms and intuitive mobile app.
What This Means for Australian Traders
This strategic expansion by OANDA significantly lowers the barrier to entry for Australian retail investors seeking exposure to the world’s largest and most influential companies. By using CFDs, traders can:
Take both long and short positions on global shares.Utilize leverage (with its associated risks).Manage a diversified, multi-asset portfolio from a single integrated account.Access these opportunities through the sophisticated MT5 trading environment.
The announcement positions OANDA Australia as a more competitive and full-service provider in the region’s online trading landscape, responding directly to the sophisticated needs of modern retail traders looking beyond domestic markets.
Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
$ZEC
$SUI

A Fed official, Paulson, has expressed support for Chair Powell and indicated that interest rate cuts are not urgent. He believes the risks from the labor market slightly outweigh concerns about persistent inflation and suggests the neutral interest rate is just below current levels, signaling confidence in holding rates steady at the upcoming meeting.
$DASH
$BCH

Crude oil's recent bullish reversal is facing its first major test. After a volatile breakout past key technical levels, prices have pulled back and are now probing critical support zones. The sustainability of the uptrend hinges on whether prices can hold above the $58.00-$59.00 area, with the upcoming weekly close set to provide important confirmation for the next directional move.
Major Points :
Volatility Spikes Following Reversal: Crude oil saw a surge in volatility after signals of a bullish trend reversal, including a double-bottom breakout and a close above the 50-day moving average.Rally Meets Resistance, Pullback Begins: The sharp rally peaked at $62.39 before sellers took control, driving prices down to a three-day low of $58.91.Critical Support Test Underway: The current pullback is testing whether former resistance levels—specifically the double-bottom breakout near $59.00 and the 50-day MA at $58.67—can now act as support.Near-Term Risk Defined: The immediate bullish structure depends on holding above Thursday’s low. A break below the 20-day MA ($58.17) risks invalidating the recent reversal signals.Weekly Close is Key: Friday's weekly close will be crucial. A finish above last week’s high ($59.83) is needed to confirm the bullish move on a larger timeframe.
$BREV
$SOL

Natural gas prices hit a fresh low near $3.01 but bounced at a key long-term trendline. Technical indicators—Fibonacci levels, ABCD patterns, and momentum—suggest the sharp correction may be almost over, though a final drop toward $2.89 is still possible. For a confirmed bullish reversal, prices need to close above $3.50. Momentum readings show the current selloff matches prior major corrections in depth, reinforcing the view that a bottom is near.
Major Points :
Correction Nearing Exhaustion: After hitting a new low of $3.01, natural gas bounced near a long-term trendline, with multiple technical signals (Fibonacci, ABCD, momentum) suggesting the bearish selloff may be almost finished.Key Support & Downside Risk: Immediate support is the long-term trendline. If broken, key downside targets are:$2.95 (88.6% Fibonacci retracement)$2.89 (100% ABCD pattern & critical monthly low)Reversal Signals to Watch: For a bullish reversal to be confirmed, the price needs to achieve:A daily close above $3.50 (swing high).A break above dynamic resistance (10-Day MA, currently ~$3.36).Momentum Supports a Bottom: The RSI is at levels where prior corrections ended. The current ~45.3% drop from the December peak is very similar in magnitude to the two major pullbacks since 2024, hinting at correction maturity.
$WAL
$ETH

Gold is poised for its next potential leg up, consolidating powerfully near record levels. This tight trading range underscores bullish control, with shallow pullbacks and a cluster of Fibonacci targets setting the stage for a fresh breakout. The key signal will be a decisive close above $4,643, which could propel prices toward the next resistance zone near $4,687. A robust floor of support beneath the current price suggests any near-term dips are likely to be brief, reinforcing the overall strong upward trend.
Major Points:
Bullish Consolidation: Gold is trading just below all-time highs in a tight range, signaling strength and potential for another upward surge.Key Breakout Level: A daily close above the record high of $4,643 is the trigger for the next bullish phase.Immediate Targets: Upon breakout, the next major resistance zone lies between $4,664 and $4,713, with a key Fibonacci target at $4,687.Strong Support Network: Multiple layers of support—including the prior high of $4,550 and key moving averages—should limit any pullbacks, keeping bulls in control.Long-Term Strength: The trend is gaining momentum, evidenced by shallow corrections and confirmed breakouts from longer-term patterns, with a major projection pointing toward $4,766.

$XAU
$XAG
$PAXG

BNB Chain has just executed a massive $1.3 billion token burn, removing around 1% of its circulating supply. This move is seen as a potentially powerful bullish catalyst, especially coming during which appears to be an emerging crypto bull market.
While BNB has underperformed compared to major peers like Ethereum and Solana so far in 2026, breaking above the key $935 resistance level on the daily chart suggests momentum may be shifting. Analysts note that if BNB holds above this level, the next target could be $1,090—a roughly 16% upside.
However, the hourly chart shows consolidation, with BNB forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. A decisive breakout from this pattern will be key in confirming short-term direction.
Major Points :
🚀 Historic Burn: BNB’s 34th token burn removed $1.3B worth of tokens (~1% of supply), echoing a past burn that preceded a sharp rally.🎯 Critical Price Level: Holding above $935 could pave the way toward $1,090 in the near term.📈 Bullish Daily Chart: Price broke resistance, invalidated the bearish structure, and sits above the 200-day EMA.⏸️ Short-Term Uncertainty: The hourly chart shows consolidation—traders are watching for a breakout from a symmetrical triangle.⚡ Burn as Catalyst: Token burns often trigger retail FOMO and can act as buy signals in bull markets.📊 Relative Underperformance: BNB is up only 9% in 2026, vs. Ethereum (12%) and Solana (15%), but recently hit a new all-time high alongside ETH.
$BNB
$DUSK

Federal Reserve official Raphael Bostic anticipates U.S. GDP growth will exceed 2% in 2026, while inflation pressures are expected to continue. He emphasizes the need to maintain restrictive monetary policy due to high inflation, describes the labor market as balanced but not loose, and warns that a government shutdown could distort economic data until April or May.
$WAL
$DUSK

Gold prices are pulling back after hitting a record high, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and easing tensions with Iran, which have reduced safe-haven demand. Despite the short-term dip, the overall uptrend remains intact due to expectations of future interest rate cuts and continued "buy the dip" investor sentiment.
Major Points :
Price Pullback: After hitting a record high of $4,642.97, spot gold has declined for three sessions, trading at $4,595.76 as momentum weakens, signaling a potential near-term correction.Key Pressures: A stronger U.S. dollar (hitting 99.129) and rising Treasury yields (up to 4.16%) are weighing on dollar-denominated gold prices.Geopolitical Shift: President Trump’s softened stance on Iran—citing a decrease in protest-related killings—has reduced safe-haven demand, which had driven gold to its peak.Underlying Support: Expectations of future Federal Reserve rate cuts and the 50-day moving average are encouraging “buy the dip” sentiment, helping sustain the longer-term uptrend.Technical Outlook: The main trend remains upward, but a correction toward $4,458.49 is possible. A break below $4,274.02 would signal a trend reversal.Market Sentiment: Despite short-term pressures, the outlook for gold remains positive due to low interest rate expectations and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
$XAU
$XAG
$PAXG

Quality builds the community, and now it pays. Binance Square is launching a 10-day reward sprint to spotlight, respect, and directly tip our top creators.
Here’s the deal: A total prize pool of 100 BNB will be distributed daily among 10 leading creators, based on performance. Every day for the next 10 days, 1 BNB will be tipped to each of the 10 winners.
How to win?
Core Metrics: Page views, clicks, likes, comments, and shares.Bonus Edge: Content that drives real actions (like trading via content mining).Any format counts: In-depth analysis, short videos, memes, original opinions—all are eligible.Win repeatedly: Top creators can rank and earn multiple days in a row.
Act now: Ensure your tipping feature is enabled via @Binance Square Official to receive rewards daily. Recommend top content and keep sharing unique, high-value insights. Your quality deserves more than likes—it deserves BNB.
The leaderboard updates daily. Don’t miss your chance to be on it.
$BNB
$BTC
$ETH

XRP prices dropped following the release of a controversial US Senate crypto bill, but investor optimism and key fundamentals are fueling a defense of the critical $2 support level.
Key Highlights:
Bill Triggers Volatility: The draft "Market Structure Bill" from the US Senate Banking Committee received mixed reviews, causing immediate profit-taking in XRP and a dip below $2.10.Regulation Fears Weigh: Critics, like Coinbase's CEO, warn the bill could overly empower the SEC and stifle innovation, directly impacting XRP due to its long legal battle with the regulator.Sensitivity to Policy: XRP has proven highly reactive to US crypto legislation, surging nearly 15% on positive news earlier in the process.Bulls Find Support: Despite the pullback, strong inflows into XRP-spot ETFs and growing real-world utility for XRP are underpinning a positive short-to-medium term outlook.Divergent Industry Views: While Coinbase strongly criticized the bill, Ripple's CEO called it a "massive step forward," highlighting industry division.Technical Battle: XRP is currently holding above its 50-day EMA (~$2.08) but faces resistance at the 200-day EMA (~$2.33). Holding $2 is seen as crucial for the bullish trend.Price Targets Remain: Analysts maintain bullish targets of $2.5 (short-term), $3.0 (medium-term), and $3.66 (long-term), contingent on supportive regulations and ETF flows.Key Risks: The bullish scenario could be derailed by hawkish central bank shifts, weak US economic data, ETF outflows, or significant political opposition to the crypto bill.
Bottom Line: XRP is caught in a tug-of-war between regulatory uncertainty from Washington and strong fundamental demand from investors. The path of the new Senate bill will be a major determinant of whether XRP can break through resistance and begin its march toward higher price targets.

$XRP
$BNB

Bitcoin is testing a crucial resistance level near $100K, which could confirm whether its recent slump was merely a deep correction within an ongoing bull market. While the broader crypto market paused after a rally, altcoin Dash posted explosive gains of over 130% in a speculative surge. Meanwhile, institutional capital is returning, Bitcoin has decoupled from gold, and Ethereum staking has reached a new peak—though liquidity remains heavily focused on major cryptocurrencies.

Major Points:
Bitcoin Approaches Critical Threshold: BTC touched $98K, hitting a key Fibonacci level (61.8% retracement) from its $126K peak to November lows near $80K. A sustained break above $100K would signal the bull market remains intact.Crypto Market Pauses at $3.26T: After a rally to $3.30T, total market cap took a breather but remains near a two-month high—still viewed as a corrective rebound.Dash Explodes, But Caution Advised: Dash surged over 130% in a week, rebounding from its 200-day average. Analysts warn the move may be a low-liquidity “pump and dump,” not the start of altseason.Institutional Demand Returns: Capital is flowing back into crypto after year-end caution, with Bitcoin and gold correlation dropping to zero—historically a bullish signal for BTC.Ethereum Staking Hits Record High: 35.8M ETH (29.57% of supply) is now locked in staking, reflecting strong holder commitment.Liquidity Concentrates in Majors: Big institutional entry has led to liquidity clustering in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and few other large caps, thinning out support for smaller coins.
$BTC
$DASH
$ETH

The U.S. dollar is trapped in a tense holding pattern. While global headlines swirl with geopolitical risk and political pressure on the Federal Reserve, currency traders have tuned it all out. Their entire focus is on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note, which is itself squeezed into a tightening range. This market-wide fixation means that when Treasury yields finally break out, the reaction in the dollar is likely to be sharp and volatile. For now, the dollar index is motionless at a key technical junction—its next major move hinges entirely on which way bond yields decide to go.
Major Points:
Dollar Stalls at Critical Level: The US Dollar Index (DXY) closed slightly lower at 99.058, stuck in a tight range between key technical levels (99.072 – 99.384). Traders are waiting for a catalyst to trigger the next big move.Sole Focus: Treasury Yields: Despite multiple geopolitical tensions (Iran, Venezuela) and political drama (Trump attacking Fed Chair Powell), traders are ignoring the noise and fixating on the 10-year Treasury yield for direction.Yield Squeeze Warns of Coming Volatility: The 10-year yield is crushed between two major moving averages (4.125% and 4.233%). The longer this compression lasts, the more violent the eventual breakout will be—and the dollar will ride that wave.Conflicting Forces at Play: The dollar is caught between supportive factors (Fed rate pause, geopolitical risk) and major headwinds (threats to Fed independence, potential Supreme Court rulings on tariffs).Technical Standoff: The DXY rally has stalled. A break below 99.072 could trigger a slide toward 98.307, while a surge above 99.384 could fuel a rally toward 100.395.
$BREV

The prices of gold and silver are facing diverging pressures. Gold has retreated below the key $4,600 level, primarily pressured by strong U.S. economic data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. This reduces the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, silver has found stability near $89 after a rejection from higher resistance, maintaining its overall upward trajectory within a defined price channel.
Major Points Highlighted:
Gold Under Pressure: Gold (XAU/USD) has slipped below $4,600 due to fading safe-haven demand.Catalyst: Robust U.S. data (lower unemployment, strong retail sales) has reinforced expectations that the Fed will pause on rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and weighing on gold.Silver's Resilience: Silver (XAG/USD) is stabilizing near $89, finding support within its rising price channel despite a pullback from a recent high near $93.35.Limiting Factors for Losses: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (U.S.-Iran friction) and market uncertainties are providing a floor for gold prices and preventing a steeper decline.Key Watch: Traders are awaiting the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data for further clues on the labor market's strength.Technical Outlook:Gold: Trading in a rising channel; key support sits near $4,570, with resistance around $4,690. The structure remains cautiously constructive.Silver: Maintains its upward channel; immediate support is near $86.50, with a rebound targeting $92.50 if support holds.
$XAU
$XAG
$PAXG

Gold has surged to a new all-time high above $4,640, strongly confirming its ongoing bull market. The trend is supported by key moving averages, with the next major resistance zone identified between $4,664 and $4,713. Analysts see potential for further gains as momentum remains strong.
Major Points Highlighted:
Record-Breaking High: Gold surged to a new all-time high of $4,643, signaling sustained bullish momentum.Bull Trend Strengthened: A daily close above $4,635 confirms the breakout, while support holds at $4,588.Post-Breakout Resilience: The first pullback after December’s breakout found support near the 20-day moving average, reinforcing trend strength.Next Resistance Zone: A key resistance area lies between $4,664 and $4,713, with further upside potential toward $4,766.Moving Averages as Support: The 10-day ($4,485) and 20-day ($4,439) moving averages provide dynamic support levels.Sustained Advance Likely: With only one minor retracement since the breakout, gold’s structure supports continued upward movement.
$XAU
$XAG
$XAI