4H: Structure starts to change from LL–LH to potential first HL after spike low at 1.1172. Price has broken the last minor LH → indication of early reversal phase. MA7 & MA25 are starting to curve upward, price reclaiming MA99.
1H: There was a strong bullish impulse (long green candle + volume spike). Currently experiencing a healthy pullback forming a higher low. Micro structure is already HH–HL.
15M: Pullback forming a base above MA25. Sell volume decreasing → sign of weakening seller distribution. Potential continuation if breaks 1.525 with volume.
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📊 Volume Analysis • Significant spike in volume during the upward impulse from the 1.30–1.35 area. • Pullback volume decreasing → healthy correction, not aggressive distribution. • No significant breakdown volume yet.
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🕯 Candle & Confirmation • There is strong rejection from below 1.30 (long lower wick previously). • Break-close above minor resistance 1.48. • Candle momentum is still predominantly bullish.
📉 EMA & Momentum • MA7 crosses up MA25 (short bullish crossover). • Price holds above MA99 4H → early swing reversal signal. • Momentum is shifting from bearish to neutral–bullish.
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⏰ Estimated Duration: 12 hours – 2 days (short swing)
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📈 Scenario If TP Is Achieved: • If a strong break occurs at 1.68 with volume, potential to continue to 1.75–1.80. • Ideal re-entry during retest of 1.62 as new support.
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📉 Scenario If SL Is Touched: • HL structure fails. • Wait for reaction at 1.38 – 1.40 as the next demand zone. • Avoid re-entry before clear reversal confirmation.
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