CryptoScenarios

📊 Relative strength in action: Who leads while Bitcoin consolidates?
In sessions where Bitcoin remains sideways and the market continues to digest recent volatility, assets that advance with their own dynamics begin to stand out.
To identify them, I used a simple technical screener, focused on detecting real relative strength, beyond short-term noise:
- Timeframe: daily (1D)
- 24h Change: greater than 10%
- Price: above SMA 20 and SMA 50
- Relative volume: greater than 1.5
The result is what is observed in the image: coins that are leading in performance, even without a clear push from Bitcoin.
📌 This does not constitute an investment recommendation, but rather a reading of market behavior. When capital begins to discriminate, relative strength is often one of the first signals to appear.
In contexts of high dispersion, observing which assets resist or advance on their own can provide as much information as looking at the overall index.
👉 If you are following the market in this segment, it is worth reviewing these dynamics and seeing which coins continue to show relative strength, even in uncertain environments.

💵 Stronger dollar, extra pressure on crypto
The dollar strengthened by about 1% after the nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed, especially against commodity-linked currencies.
A stronger dollar usually weighs on USD-denominated assets, like Bitcoin and metals, by reducing their appeal to international buyers.
📌 It's not an isolated shock:
it's the same macro thread that has been driving the market in recent days.
Crypto continues to react to liquidity, rates, and the dollar.
$BTC #Dollar #Macro #CryptoMarket

🏦 Appointment at the Fed weighs on crypto
The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next president of the Federal Reserve led markets to recalibrate expectations regarding interest rates and liquidity.
Warsh is known for his tougher stance on inflation and his emphasis on Fed balance sheet discipline, an approach that historically reduces the appeal of speculative assets that depend on abundant liquidity.
In this context, the crypto market reacted negatively once again. Bitcoin and Ethereum responded with moderate declines, reflecting a scenario where rate cuts might take longer than expected.
📌 More than a one-off move, the market message is clear: the macro narrative has once again dominated the short term in crypto.
$BTC $ETH #Macro #Fed #CryptoMarket

🗓️ Start of the week in crypto: where we are
Last week was complex for the crypto market. Bitcoin touched the zone of $76,000, amid liquidations of more than $2.5 billion and a drop close to 7% in the total market capitalization in just 24 hours.
The main movements:
- BTC accumulates close to -10% for the year, with lower risk appetite
- ETH fell more than 17% in January, losing the level of $2,500
- The adjustment was marked by excess leverage and macro pressure
As the week begins, $BTC attempts to stabilize between $78,000–80,000, while $ETH remains above $2,400. There are rebounds, but the market remains fragile and attentive to global liquidity.
📌 This week will be key to see if the market finds equilibrium… or if volatility continues to dominate.
#BTC #ETH #CryptoMarket

💥 $1.7B in liquidations and extreme fear in crypto
In 24h:
• $1.7 billion liquidated
• 270,000+ traders expelled
• 90% were long positions
• $BTC and $ETH at 2-month lows
• Market cap -6%
👉 This is not a normal drop.
The Fear & Greed index falls to 16 → extreme fear.
Level that historically appears in capitulations.
Panic… or necessary cleanup?
#CryptoCrash #Liquidations

💵 The dollar rebounds and crypto feels it
The USD rises after rumors that Trump would soon announce a new Fed chair.
The markets interpret the movement as a signal of tighter policy.
Strong dollar = pressure on risk assets.
📉 $BTC drops to ~$82K
📉 $ETH loses ~3%
Cryptos continue to react to the same macro flow that moves bonds and FX.
Do you see this as macro noise… or a regime change?
#CryptoMacro

📉 Crypto enters risk-off mode
$BTC drops ~2% to $82.6K after the Fed maintains rates at 4.25%–4.50%. Powell was clear: cuts before 2026 seem unlikely.
Added to geopolitical tension → capital leaving risk assets.
Key movements:
• $ETH drops ~3% to $2,735 and loses the psychological level of $3,000
• $XRP drops ~3% to $1.75, breaking support at $1.85 (stops get triggered)
• $SOL drops ~1.5% to $115.9, showing relative strength vs the rest
• Total market cap falls to ~$3.06T and 90/100 top coins in red
• BTC spot ETFs record net outflows (institutional demand is cooler)
Do you see this as a cleaning of leverage… or the start of a more defensive phase?
#CryptoMarket #Macro

🏦 Binance moves in Europe: applies for MiCA license from Greece
Binance established a subsidiary in Greece and is advancing to operate under the EU's MiCA regulatory framework.
📌 Why does it matter?
• Regulatory normalization of the sector
• Institutional gateway to Europe
• Binance betting on clear rules, not gray areas
In a cycle where regulation defines winners, positioning first is a strategic advantage.
Greece becomes a key point for regulated crypto expansion in the EU.
Will Europe be the new institutional hub of the ecosystem?
$BNB #Binance #MiCA #CryptoRegulation

🤖 Ethereum launches ERC-8004: the standard for AI agents on blockchain
Ethereum is implementing a new standard that allows AI agents to have:
• Portable identity
• Verifiable reputation
• On-chain validation
Each agent functions as a “digital passport” in the form of an NFT.
📌 Why does it matter?
This creates a global market where AI agents can interact, pay, and coordinate without intermediaries.
AI + blockchain → native infrastructure for machine-to-machine economy.
Analysts believe that ERC-8004 + micropayments (x402) could lay the foundation for autonomous trade among agents.
It's not just a technical upgrade.
It's Ethereum positioning itself as the base layer of the AI economy.
Are we witnessing the beginning of the Web of agents?
$ETH #Ethereum #AI #CryptoInfrastructure

📊 Is Bitcoin following the legendary pattern of Jesse Livermore?
Some traders believe that BTC is replicating the classic psychological cycle:
accumulation → breakout → speculative expansion.
According to this reading, the market is approaching the most explosive phase of the cycle.
Others warn:
Bitcoin is not a stock from 1920 — ETF, halving, and global macro are changing the game.
📌 The pattern does not predict prices.
It reflects collective psychology.
Are we before the expansion… or forcing the fit?
$BTC #Bitcoin #TradingPsychology

Capitulation or extreme conviction in $ETH ?
A whale began to partially close its enormous long position in Ethereum, which raised alarms of capitulation.
However, hours later it added exposure again, maintaining nearly $600M in ETH, in addition to relevant positions in $BTC and $SOL .
📉 The PnL remains in the red, but the bias does not change.
🤔 Informed conviction… or simply trapped in its thesis?
#ETH #BTC #Whales

📊 What does the market expect for $BTC , $ETH , and $XRP in February?
In Polymarket, traders are betting on a consolidation scenario, not on extreme movements:
• $BTC: most probable range 88k–90k
• $ETH: consensus between 2,800–3,100
• $XRP: stabilization at 1.80–2.00
📌 Caution predominates in the short term.
🤔 Do you agree with the market or do you expect a breakout first?
#BTC #ETH #XRP

📈 $BTC rebounds while the dollar hits nearly 4-year lows
Bitcoin rises close to +2.3% in a context of a weakening dollar following Trump's comments about letting it "float."
This environment reinforces the narrative of debasement trade and enhances the appeal of alternative assets.
🤔 Is it just a technical rebound or is the market starting to react to the weak dollar?
$BTC $ETH #CryptoMacro

🏦 BlackRock presents a Bitcoin income ETF
BlackRock filed an S-1 to launch the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, a product that aims to:
▪️ Track the price of $BTC
▪️ Generate income by selling call options on its IBIT ETF
📌 What does this mean for the market?
• More systematic selling of volatility
• Possible downward pressure on option premiums
• Less participation in strong price increases
It is not necessarily bearish for BTC, but it does indicate greater institutionalization and sophistication of the market.

📊 XRP in a key zone: what is a triple bottom?
The price of $XRP has touched the same support zone three times without breaking it, forming what is known in technical analysis as a triple bottom.
This pattern is often interpreted as seller exhaustion, but it requires confirmation: breaking resistances and increasing volume.
For now, XRP is moving near the 1.80–1.90 USD, in a balance zone between buyers and sellers.
👀 Do you think there will be bullish confirmation or more consolidation?

🚨 DeFi Alert: $17M drained by a "convenience click." Are you at risk?
The aggregator SwapNet just suffered an exploit of $16.8 million. The concerning part is not just the figure, but HOW it happened: it affected users who disabled the "Single Approval" in search of speed.
The Risk Scenario: Many traders use "Infinite Approvals" to save time and gas. But that's like leaving your front door open. The attacker exploited the SwapNet router contract on Base and Ethereum to drain the wallets.
Reflection for the 2026 cycle: As we discussed today with BitGo's IPO, this year the market will not reward "hype," but rather secure infrastructure. If you don't safeguard your keys and permissions, the market will take them from you.
Do you usually use infinite approvals to save gas or do you prefer to sign each transaction? 👇
#DeFi #Security #SwapNet #CryptoSafety $ETH

Historic in Latam! 🇨🇴 Bitcoin reaches pension funds in Colombia
It is not speculation, it is real adoption. AFP Protección, the second largest fund in Colombia ($55B in assets), launches a fund with exposure to $BTC .
Why is it important?
Institutional Validation: It is no longer just retail; large pension managers are opening the door.
Prudent Model: It is not for everyone (requires advice), but it paves the way for other funds in the region to follow suit.
Regulation: Coincides with new DIAN regulations, providing legal clarity to the sector.
Colombia ranks 22nd in global adoption and this is only going to accelerate things. "Digital Gold" is becoming increasingly real for long-term savings. 🛡️
Do you think other Latam countries will follow this model soon? Chile, Mexico, Peru? 👇
#Bitcoin #Colombia #CryptoNews #Latam

Weekly close complex: $BTC closed near $86,762, confirming weakness after losing $90k.
From here, the price could enter into sideways movement, while the market continues to clean up excess leverage.
Key level to recover: close daily candles above $90k to stabilize sentiment.
Area to watch: the area of $86k acted as immediate support and showed a bounce.
The MACD is starting to improve, suggesting that the dump lost strength, but now we need confirmation with buying pressure (ideally accompanied by volume).
Do you think this consolidates as a buying zone or is a visit to $80k still needed?

📌 ETH falls ~2% before the Fed: market in caution mode
Ethereum retraces nearly -2%, with the crypto market more pressured by a global "risk-off" tone. Geopolitical uncertainty is pushing capital back towards safe havens like gold, while the market awaits the Fed meeting next week.
📍 Zone to watch:
Can ETH maintain structure and absorb sales… or does it remain weak while volume stays low?
👉 What weighs more today for ETH?
A) Macro + rates
B) Geopolitics
C) Rotation within crypto
$ETH #Ethereum #CryptoMarkets