Correct, but a releif rally in the short-term (specifically spring) up to 80-85K is likely before the dip 👌🏻
WangLoc BNB
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Bitcoin Cycle Update — $60K Reached, Thesis Still Intact
Quick update to my previous post about a potential Bitcoin cycle low around ~$25,000 in 2026. Since that write-up, $BTC has now traded down to the $60K region. For many, this already feels like capitulation. {future}(BTCUSDT) Price is down materially, sentiment has flipped bearish fast, and the narrative has shifted from “new highs” to “cycle is broken” in record time. But structurally, this does not invalidate the original thesis it actually fits it. Historically, major cycle lows are not formed during the first wave of pain. They form much later, after: Multiple failed reboundsProlonged boredom and low volatilityDeclining volume and participationA widespread belief that “crypto is done” What we are seeing now looks more like early-to-mid cycle compression, not final exhaustion. Sharp drops hurt, but true bear market lows are slow, grinding, and emotionally numbing. They don’t arrive with drama they arrive with apathy. If the model pointing to a 2026 low near $25K is even directionally correct, then moves like $60K are not the end of pain they are part of the process that resets expectations. The market needs time to erase hope, not just price. The key takeaway hasn’t changed: The opportunity is never about predicting the exact bottom. It’s about being mentally and strategically prepared to act when conviction is gone. Markets don’t bottom when fear is loud. They bottom when nobody is left to speak. If this cycle follows that path, the real accumulation phase won’t feel exciting it will feel pointless. And that’s usually when long-term wealth is built, quietly. #BTC #BTC60KResistance #BitcoinDropMarketImpact
$BTC This is what we are measuring right now. A reverse (relief rally) that brings the price back to around 86K some say more. That on its own is a 19% ROI but we are waiting for the reversal to happen. Note: After that the price will continue to drop maybe as low as 26K Why? Because we are in a 4 year cycle which makes 2026 a bearish year (This is not financial advice please DYR).
The daily RSI is over sold. Many analysts project a reliefe rally from 75 / 76K upwards starting Feb. even if the 75 K support does not hold the FIb level gives u bit more space
Bluechip
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Bitcoin Weekly Analysis:
Is it going to $60k or $100k ?
Bitcoin is trading above the $75,000 level, which is a key weekly support level on the chart. This zone was retested recently, and how price behaves here will decide the next major move.
On the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin has dropped below the 20W moving average and the 50W moving average.
From here, there are two clear scenarios.
SCENARIO 1
Bitcoin holds the April 2025 low and $75k becomes the bottom. For this scenario to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the April 2025 lows and form a higher low.
What would that mean?
The long-term trend stays in place: higher highs and higher lows. The move down to $75k becomes a pullback, not a trend break.
Now connect it to moving averages:
The 20-week MA moving below or pressing into the 50-week MA is a bearish signal, yes. But it does not automatically mean a bear market.
It can also be a late signal after a heavy correction. So Bitcoin needs to stop making lower lows in this $75k area.
For the 4 year cycle to break, Bitcoin needs to reclaim and close above the 50W MA which is currently at $100,400.
A clean weekly close above this area would signal that momentum has finally reset back in favor of bulls.
Most importantly, it needs to hold above the April 2025 low and start building weekly closes that show buyers are stepping back in.
SCENARIO 2
Bitcoin loses the April 2025 low and downside targets open up. This scenario is simple:
If Bitcoin breaks the April 2025 low, the structure changes. At that point:
The higher low structure fails.
The $75k support no longer holds.
If that happens, the $50k–$60k zone becomes the first downside area because it is a major psychological zone and a common reset range after a high-to-low correction.
WHAT DECIDES WHICH SCENARIO WINS?
1. Does Bitcoin hold $75,000 on weekly closes or not?
2. Does Bitcoin break the April 2025 low or not?
If $75k and the April 2025 low holds: Scenario 1 stays alive.
If $75k breaks and the April 2025 low breaks: Scenario 2 becomes the higher-probability path.
Not a political move my friend, we are in the fifth cycle, BTC is bearish for the 1st quarter of 2026 before a reliefe rally 🙏🏻
RaaFiii
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$BTC | MARKET UPDATE Crypto markets shook hard after a single political move. Trump’s announcement of 10% tariffs on the EU caused Bitcoin to drop nearly $5,800, wiping out roughly $215 BILLION from the total crypto market in just a few days. This wasn’t about technicals or fundamentals — geopolitics drove the move. The tariffs, targeting Denmark over Greenland, sent a clear signal: trade tensions and macro risks are back. High-beta assets like crypto reacted instantly. A sharp, sudden correction — a reminder that narratives still control short-term moves. The big question: is this just a knee-jerk reaction, or the start of deeper market turbulence? #StrategyBTCPurchase #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceHODLerBREV
$BTC Remember what I posted here last week. Understand that we are approaching a bearish wave 5. I have been monitoring experts very closely (not the hype ones) the ones who actually do a thesis based on charts & numbers. Let’s just hope that a (reliefe rally) steps in in March. Untill then it’s (capital preservation) 🙏🏻
TheNomad
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Bearish
*Proceed with caution* many many analysts expect 👇🏻
🔴 Soon a bearish cycle to start bringing $BTC down to 70 K 😬
⚠️ A last high might occur after a micro correction 97-98K but no guarantees at all
B) Trump / China meeting (Cautious) 🟡 this is probably why the markets are slow due to uncertainty; however, if a deal is sealed 🟢 The problem here is that the meeting is Thursday & if Trump announces on Friday after the markets are closed (it's face to face with crypto) Follow up meeting on Nov 10th as well.
C) Historically same scenario with the moving average and Bitcoin dominance happened in 2017 & 2021 before Alt season started & Alt tokens surged, so you can treat that as a 🟢
Here are 7 REASONS why you should be optimistic about #ETH during Q4!
Despite the Trump announcement which flushed the order books, here is a list of facts that makes me optimistic about #ETH in Q4:
1) Last year JP Morgan said that Crypto is a Ponzi scheme, couple of days ago they announced that they will allow BTC & ETH as collateral globally by the end of the year!
2) ETH just got 27.6 Billion flow, the largest liquidity injection in ETH history.
3) Trump reaching an agreement with China, probability of the 100% tariff by NOV 1st is down to 6% based on “Altcoin daily.” Pressure is shifting towards NOV 10th.
4) G. Kendrick from Standard Chartered announced that they will pick ETH to grow 300B for real world asset investment over the next 12 months.
5) We haven’t yet seen the 10 day historical Q4 rally yet which guves room for the market in Q4.
6) Tom Lee keeps saying that ETH will flip BTC and the guy is not changing his mind (Comparing BTC to Gold and ETH to the US Dollar & Wall-street).
7) Based on Poly-Market prediction theirs is a 98% chance that the FED will have rate cuts by next week.
Fingers crossed, we hope to see ETH breaking the 4,300 Res level and moving towards its 5K milestone ✊🏻
I am writing this on (Friday, October 17th, 2025). What is happening on the #ETH chart is normal. The reversal that happned after (Trump’s announcement) was a (3 wave move up) — Not enough to conclude that a solid low has formed. Now we are witnessing a 5 wave move down coming close to the low that formed after the Trump’s last announcment and market slide.
Now what? … Normally we should look closely to Febonnaci support area (3,633 USD) if #ETH holds above that price thier is a HIGH PROBABILITY of a 3 wave move up 🟢 most likely to wrap up during Q4 (that is a good indicator that the bulls are taking the lead)
If not (in other words if the price dipps below 3,633 USD) we are looking at a larger correction which might cause several issues and bring the price lower 🔴 or worse, going into a choppy consolidation phase that might take a couple of months to recover and even then their’s no guarantee that the price will grind higher (unless other external factors step in ex. Black Rock, Lee Bit, and other promising whales pitch in).
Bottom line: Do your self a favor, do not trade in Futures use spot and learn the basics of (stock investment)! If you are watching the news very closely and investors and moving in on #ETH now would be a good time for entry as part of a dicerse portfolio.
Watch closely & if it holds at the minor support price we are looking at a 🚀🚀🚀
TheNomad
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Bullish
#ETH Bullish signals all around the support areas. Here is my humble insights. We might look at a plunge within the next 6 hours but don’t be discouraged 🙏🏻 if the price holds near the micro support area (Approx 2,440 USD) and (HOLD) then start to climb we might be see a bullish RALLY surpassing the 3K USD mark around 4:30 pm GMT (Friday May 25th). #Ethereum
#ETH Bullish signals all around the support areas. Here is my humble insights. We might look at a plunge within the next 6 hours but don’t be discouraged 🙏🏻 if the price holds near the micro support area (Approx 2,440 USD) and (HOLD) then start to climb we might be see a bullish RALLY surpassing the 3K USD mark around 4:30 pm GMT (Friday May 25th). #Ethereum
Check the date & timing of my posts 🙏🏻 I’m glad to say that when I posted the graph below SYN exceeded our expectations and had a a solid 14% increase 🟢 now the price is back to the same resistance point & hopefully it will pickup again for a good profit ✨ Let’s pump ✊🏻
TheNomad
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Bullish
$SYN Please check the date and time when this was posted before taking action 📣 Now is a great time for entry 🟢 Understand that SYN is in a consolidation phase and resistance point that dates back to FEB 2024. What happened since then is very normal! 1) The process spiked around 170%, 2) Investors cashed out causing a drop of 45%…
What makes me optimistic at this point is as follows: A) The hourly and daily price are both below the moving average, B) Trading volume and book orders are solid, C) Volatility is ideal for BOT traders, D) Both the daily MACD & Hourly MACD indicators are below the equilibrium point with a positive trajectory showing a near future cross over 🙏🏻, E) The current price is cheap which will maximize ROI Insha Allah.
$ICP Please check the date and time when this was posted before taking action 📣 Call me crazy, but I just bought ICP 🟢 Here is why
1) The current hourly price is below the moving average and the MACD indicator is at its trough. 2) Understand that the current pricing is a very old resistance point dating back to January 2024. 3) On a micro level the current price is at resistance since May 13th (in other words now you are buying cheap). 4) What makes people skeptical at this point is that the token looks like it is in a consolidation phase, but in reality, this migh be very very benificial for BOT traders and the likelyhood of the price slipping is slim.
Best case scenario, the price will start sloping upward and hit 12.10 which is an approx 2% increase. Even if the price slips, honestly I don't care, it will make its way back up Insha Allah.
$SYN Please check the date and time when this was posted before taking action 📣 Now is a great time for entry 🟢 Understand that SYN is in a consolidation phase and resistance point that dates back to FEB 2024. What happened since then is very normal! 1) The process spiked around 170%, 2) Investors cashed out causing a drop of 45%…
What makes me optimistic at this point is as follows: A) The hourly and daily price are both below the moving average, B) Trading volume and book orders are solid, C) Volatility is ideal for BOT traders, D) Both the daily MACD & Hourly MACD indicators are below the equilibrium point with a positive trajectory showing a near future cross over 🙏🏻, E) The current price is cheap which will maximize ROI Insha Allah.
$SYN Please check the date and time when this was posted before taking action 📣 Now is a great time for entry 🟢 Understand that SYN is in a consolidation phase and resistance point that dates back to FEB 2024. What happened since then is very normal! 1) The process spiked around 170%, 2) Investors cashed out causing a drop of 45%…
What makes me optimistic at this point is as follows: A) The hourly and daily price are both below the moving average, B) Trading volume and book orders are solid, C) Volatility is ideal for BOT traders, D) Both the daily MACD & Hourly MACD indicators are below the equilibrium point with a positive trajectory showing a near future cross over 🙏🏻, E) The current price is cheap which will maximize ROI Insha Allah.
$OM OM is looking good at the moment 🟢 A) The price is in consolidation since mid march which is good for daily traders & BOT traders due to its volatility and predictable outcome, B) Currently as I write this the price went beck to its resistance point (in other words your buying the token at a cheap price), C) MACD indicators for daily, 4 hr, and 1 hr timeframes are showing signals for a bullish run, D) If you are a daily trader act fast, the price is below the moving average and the MACD indicator shows that it’s about to cross over ✨ E) Data shows that their is a high trading volume, solid book orders and the spread is good 👍🏻