Bnbguy

🚨💭Precious Metals (February 7, 1:30 AM)
• International Gold: London gold quoted at $4942.64/ounce, with a daily increase of $240.01, showing significant volatility at a high level in the short term, with core support at $4650 and resistance at $4980-5000.
• International Silver: London silver quoted at $76.63/ounce, up $9.488, supported by industrial demand and low inventory, with significant volatility.
• Domestic Silver T+D: Quoted at 18390 yuan/kg, up 261 yuan from the previous day, with a fluctuation range of 17829-18848 yuan/kg.
• Core Drivers: Federal Reserve policy expectations, geopolitical situation, central bank purchases of gold continue to provide support; short-term vigilance is needed for high-level volatility risks, with a clear medium to long-term positive logic.
II. Cryptocurrency (February 7, 0:00)
• Bitcoin: Recovery trend, strong support at $64,000, first resistance at $68,000, second resistance at $72,000.
• Key Signals: The total network liquidation is below $5 million/hour, selling pressure is weakening; BTC spot ETF net inflow exceeds $100 million, institutions are bottom fishing; the Fear and Greed Index rises from 10 to 20, with sentiment recovering.
• Operation Tips: If it stabilizes above $68,000 with increased volume and the funding rate turns positive, you can try to go long with a small position; if it falls below $64,000 with reduced volume and a forced liquidation recovery, then observe or reduce positions.
III. A-shares (closing on February 6)
• Shanghai Composite Index: Closed at 4065.58, down 0.25%, with a transaction volume of 898.655 billion, the day's lowest was 4029.97, and the highest was 4095.03.
• CSI 300: Closed at 4,643.60, down 0.57%, with a transaction volume of 505.760 billion, lowest at 4,606.64, highest at 4,678.26.
• Shenzhen Component Index: Closed at 13,906.73, down 0.33%, with a transaction volume of 1,247.064 billion, lowest at 13,726.86, highest at 14,065.78.
• Core Characteristics: A slight pullback for two consecutive days, transaction volume has shrunk, market observation sentiment is rising, and short-term attention should be given to the effectiveness of previous support levels.
IV. Other Markets
• Non-ferrous: Shanghai tin main contract price at 366,710, with a rise of 1.03% within 26 minutes, showing market volatility.
• Live Pigs: The national average price for three-way live pigs is ¥15.07 per kg, down ¥0.43 per kg from the previous day, setting a new low in nearly nine months, showing a general decline.
V. Key Points of Market Analysis
1. Volume-Price Matching: An increase requires more volume, a decrease should have reduced volume; divergence between volume and price often signals a trend reversal.
2. Key Price Levels: Pay attention to support levels (such as $4,650 for gold and $64,000 for Bitcoin) and resistance levels (such as $4,980-$5,000 for gold and $68,000 for Bitcoin); a breakout or breakdown accompanied by increased volume signals is stronger.
3. Capital Flow: Net inflow/outflow of main funds, changes in ETF funds, etc., reflect institutional attitudes and market heat.
4. Sentiment Indicators: Fear and Greed Index, USDT premium, etc., to assist in judging market sentiment and the strength of external buying.
VI. Operation Suggestions
• Precious Metals: Those with low risk tolerance should observe, while medium to long-term investors can gradually build positions at lower prices, setting strict stop losses (international gold reference $4,600, Shanghai gold reference ¥1,080 per gram).
• Cryptocurrency: In the early stages of a rebound, positions should not exceed 30%, long position stop loss at $63,500, short position stop loss at $72,500, and strictly control leverage risk.
• A-shares: Mainly observing in the short term, waiting for stabilization signals, and focusing on opportunities for pullbacks in undervalued high-prosperity sectors

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Public service announcement: Please be extremely cautious with $BTC. The technical chart structure is screaming danger and indicating significant downside risk in the short to mid-term.
### Negative Technical Analysis
*Confirmed Bearish Reversal (H&S):** The price action confirms a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. This structure is highly reliable and signals the exhaustion of the prior uptrend and a likely shift in momentum towards aggressive sellers.
*Crucial Trendline Failure:** Compounding the H&S pattern, the immediate rising support trendline (the neckline) has been decisively broken. This confirms the initial failure of bulls to maintain upward pressure and opens the door for accelerated selling pressure.
*Downside Target Confirmation:** Based on the chart projection, the target for this breakdown aligns with the lower boundary of the long-term channel, zeroing in on the critical $50,000 Support Zone. A fast move to this level is highly probable.
### Warning & Conclusion
Entering a position here is incredibly risky, especially while the bearish momentum is so strong. I strongly advise staying on the sidelines. Do not try to 'catch the falling knife' near the current price level. Protect your capital and wait for a confirmed bottom or a strong, clean bounce off major support.
Are you holding any coins with similar ugly charts? Share in the comments so we can all be aware!
Keep calm and HOLD BTC at Binance
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